Regards sur Ie furur: May mai ACTES CANADIAN -TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH FORUM CANADA PROCEEDINGS. de la 34e Conference annuelle

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1 CANADIAN -TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH FORUM LE GROUPE DE RECHERCHES SUR LES TRANSPORTS AU CANADA PROCEEDINGS of the 34* Annual Conference ACTES de la 34e Conference annuelle GOING BEYOND: MOVING INTO THE NEW MILLENIUM Regards sur Ie furur: vers le nouveau millenaire Montreal. Quebec May mai 1999 UB/TIB Hannover

2 Subsidies, Session/Stance 6.3 Policy and Practice incanada's Ports External Challenges Facing Canadian Ports The Case for Reform Michael Ircha and Jeff Wood, University ofnew Brunswick "Adriftl Economic Benefits and the Impasse in Policy Reform for B C Ferries W G Waters n, University of British Columbia A Risk-Adjustment Model for Capital Budgeting in Transportation. The Capital Asset Pricing Model Approach to Port Investment Projects L A. LeBlanc, Berry College and B C Payne, University of SW Louisiana VOLUME n Session/Seance 7.2 Multi-modal Issues and the Environmental Challenge Just-In-Time System and Climate Change Javier Caceres and Darrell Richards 430 Impacts of the Modern Roundabout on North American Traffic Circulation, Modal Choice, Sustainable Development and Land Use Tony Redington 441 "Moving From Theory to Practice" The Combi-Road and Umtised Transport per Pipeline in The Netherlands as a strategy to increase transportation capacity and reduce environmental degradation. Roger Flinterman and Hans van Ham, Delft University of.. Technology.456 Session/Stance 7.3 Grain Logistics within an Evolving Context Branch Line Abandonment Mohammad Measuring the Impact of Khakbazan, Richard Gray and James Nolan, University of Saskatchewan 470 Impact of Pooling on Port Throughput and Customer Service Levels at the Port of Vancouver Bob Nietni, Jane Zheng and Charray Dutka, Canadian Wheat Board 485 XV

3 Session/Seance 8.1: Lessons in Environmental Responsibility Greenhouse Gases-A Dilemma for Transportation Planners. F.R. Wilson, A.M. Stevens and J.D. Innes, University ofnew Brunswick 499 Session/Seance 8.2: Productivity and Innovation in the Railway Industry Railway Productivity and Innovation Developments at Canadian Pacific Railway. Malcolm Cairns 513 Evaluation of the Economic Effects of Train Delays at Canadian National. Sacha Veillette, Arum Software Inc. and Brian Abbott, Canadian National Railway 529 Session/Seance 8.3: Logistics of Commodity Flows "Grain Transportation by Truck: Changes and Outlooks for Western Canada /98". Rene Kehoe, Transport Canada and Lloyd Ash, Trimac Consulting Services Manitoba's Marine Container Traffic; Trends and Developments in the 1990s. Michael Butt and Jill Ogston, University of Manitoba Transport Institute 553 Session/Seance 9.1: Perspectives on Western Grain Movements US-Canadian System Comparison: A Grain Shipper's Perspective, W. Drew and P. Rosher, Canadian Wheat Board 569 Location and Transportation Impacts of Privatizing the Marketing of Western Canadian Oats. Dr. Barry E. Prentice, Zhaokun Wang and Robert W.R. Morrissey, University of Manitoba. 585 Merging CN and CP: A Proposal for the Improvement in Grain Movement. Rory Hart, University of Manitoba 600 Session/Stance 9.2: Modelling Transport Demand Aging, Independence and Vehicle Use in Small Towns and Rural Areas. Irwin Bess, Statistics Canada ' 617 xvi

4 The Value ofpredictors on Nonresponse. Cindy Carter, Statistics Canada 629 Modelling the Travel Needs of the Elderly in the 21st Century. Eric D. Hildebrand, University of New Brunswick 638 Cross-Price Elasticities offreight Demand: A Dynamic Approach. Yuri V. Yevdokdmov, University of Manitoba 653 Session/S6ance 9.3: Planning for Highway Infrastructure The Effects of Highway Infrastructure Capital on the Cost Structure and Productivity Performance of Canadian Goods-Producing Industry. Bilkis R Khanam, Transport Canada 665 Guidelines to Consolidate Low Volume Roads: A Case Study Approach. Kiel Ova and Jill Hough, North Dakota State University 680 Session/Stance 10.1: Modelling for Airport Planning and Operations Optimization of Real-Time Aircraft Gate Assignment: Mathematical Model and Algorithm. Jia-Ming Cao, Henry Fan and Soi-Hoi Lam, Nanyang Technological University 695 Assessing the Socioeconomic Status ofairport Catchment Areas. Stephen R. Ellsworth, University of New Brunswick 710 Methodological Issues of Economic Impacts Studies: "The Good, The Bad and The Ugly". Scott J. Shurvell and Barry E. Prentice, University of Manitoba 724 A Place in the Sun, or A Shelter in the Storm? A Study ofparking Services. Victor Rueda, University of Manitoba 739 Session/Seance 10.2: Public Policy Developments in Transport Recognition of Public Objectives in the US Bus Industry as a Response to ISTEA. J. Nolan, University of Saskatchewan, P.C. Ritchie and J.E. Rowcroft, University ofnew Brunswick Infrastructure Banks: Innovative Financing for Tapped-Out Transport Budgets. Michael A. Crockatt and Barry E. Prentice, University of Manitoba 764 xvil

5 The Logistics and Economics ofmanitob'smarine Container Traffic. Jake Kosior and Linda Christian, University of Manitoba 778 AWARD WINNING STUDENT PAPERS CTRF STUDENT PAPER COMPETITION Undergraduate Category Third Prize An Economic Comparison of the American and Canadian Domestic Air Transport Industries Since Deregulation. Bonnie-Lynn Robertson, University of Western Ontario 792 Masters Category - Albert M. Stevens Award FirstPrize Air Canada Award for Best Air Transport Paper An Examination of the Current Barriers to Effective Airline Industry. A Case Study of Airport. Jennifer K, Lynes, University of Waterloo Waste Reduction in the Toronto's LesterB. Pearson International 815 Second Prize Globalization: British Airways' Vision and Prospects. Phoebe Ho, Department of Civil Engineering, University of British Columbia 830 xviii