Financial and market performance 1Q May 14, 2009

Transcription

1 Financial and market performance May 14, 2009

2 Financial performance of the Group PLN mln 1Q 2008 yoy % change Revenues, incl.: (12.4%) - advertising* - copy sales* - Special Projects, incl. collections (16.3%) (7.1%) 2.2% Operating cost (7.6%) EBIT (74.) Operating EBITDA** (45.9%) Net profit (94.1%) Cash position PLN mln e/y 1Q09 Cash and short-term securities Debt Net cash Available credit line PLN mln Operating cost structure 7.6% yoy % change 9.7% 70% 8.4% 28.3% 1.5% staff cost non-cash expense of sharebased pay ments raw materials, energy and consumables marketing and promotion D&A No of employees (FTE) Employment (FTE at the end of period) FTEs (1Q09 vs 4Q08 change) 6 FTEs (yoy change) 0 1Q08 0.3% 1Q09 other Q08 4Q08 1Q09 Decrease: in raw materials, energy and consumables lower volume of book collections and lower production volume in printing houses; in marketing and promotion reduced number of marketing campaigns and dual pricing offers; Increase: in staff cost annualization effect of salary regulations introduced in April 08, development of Internet offer, consolidation of Trader.com (Polska) Sp. z o.o. in D&A cost intensive investment program in AMS in dismissal notices delivered in 1Q dismissal notices delivered till May, 7 09 Source: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q09 * excluding Special Projects ** excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments 2

3 Ad market performance Quarterly ad spend performance Ad market structure in yoy % change 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 Internet* Television Radio Television 47% 1pp Outdoor** 0pp Internet* 12% PLN 1.6 bln 3pp 7% Dailies 12% 3pp Radio Magazines 13% 0pp 1pp yoy pp and % change Outdoor** Magazines Dailies Ad market performance in 2009 inconsistent GDP forecasts; disturbed correlation between GDP and ad market performance; we expect ad market decline to deepen in 2Q09. Source: Q09 ad spend estimates by: Agora (print based on Expert Monitor and monitoring of Agora, radio based on Expert Monitor), Starlink (TV, Internet in 2008 display, search engines, since 1Q09 additionally classifieds, marketing), IGRZ (outdoor) * since1q09 media house Starlink changed the methodology of Internet ad market measurement; Internet ad market includes now: display, SEM, marketing and classifieds. Previously it included only display and SEM; the historical data, concerning the estimates for Internet ad market for previous reporting periods has not been adjusted adequately therefore the data is not fully comparable **IGRZ, since 1Q 09 data based on a new definition of outdoor market redefined as out-of-home market incl. stationary, mobile and digital advertising; the historical data has been adjusted adequately and is fully comparable 3

4 Dailies ad market performance Newspaper ad spend structure* Gazeta maintains its market share in dailies ad spend in 1Q09 if recruitment ads are excluded Fakt 7% 1pp Dziennik 5.5% 1pp Gazeta 39.5% 4pp Other 10% Polskapresse 0pp 15% 1pp PLN 0.2 bln Mecom (local) 2pp yoy pp change Super Express 3% 0pp Rzeczpospolita 0pp Metro 4% 1pp Top ad categories in dailies yoy % change 75% 55% 35% 15% -5% -25% -45% 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 announcements 12% financial products yoy pp change 3pp 1pp automotiv e 11% retail chains 1pp 1pp real-estate PLN 0.2 bln 9% 1pp recruitment 8pp other 44% 5pp -65% recruitment real-estate automotive announcements financial products retail chains Source: dailies ad market: display ads, Agora s estimates *major dailies only 4

5 Segment performance: Newspapers* Financial performance PLN mln 1Q 2008 yoy % change Revenues, incl.: (18.9%) - advertising in GW (30.7%) - copy sales in GW (6.6%) Operating cost, incl.: (15.9%) - materials & energy (9.5%) - staff cost excl. non-cash cost of share-based payments (0.9%) - marketing & promotion (33.2%) Decline in number of recruitment ads (by 59%) in which Gazeta holds a leader s position - Lower circulation - Less effective dual pricing - Very competitive market - Lower production volume - Newsprint portfolio mix EBIT (30.0%) Operating EBITDA** (34.5%) - Fewer dual pricing projects - Reduced number of advertising campaigns *incl. Gazeta, Metro, Special Projects, contract printing Source: financials: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q 09 ** excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments and allocations of general overhead cost of Agora SA 5

6 Newspapers segment performance: Gazeta Copy sales of dailies Other paid-for distribution methods in thou. copies Friday cover price up to PLN 1.5 Everyday cover price up to PLN 1.8, Saturday PLN 2.0 Thursday and Friday cover price up to PLN 1.6 Everyday cover price up to PLN 3.4 Everyday cover price up to PLN 1.8 Monday-Thursday cover price up to PLN 2.0, Friday-Saturday PLN 2.5 Jan08 Feb08 Mar08 Apr08 May08 Jun08 Jul08 Aug08 Sep08 Oct08 Nov08 Dec08 Jan09 Feb09 Mar09 Fakt Gazeta Super Express Rzeczpospolita Dziennik 491K 398K 199K 151K 147K Monday-Wednesday and Saturday cover price up to PLN 1.3 (11th May 09) Monday-Thursday cover price up to PLN 2.0, Friday-Saturday PLN 2.5 (10th Apr 09) % share in total paid distribution 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% 6% 15% Gazeta Rzeczpospolita Dziennik Other paid-f or distribution methods Total sales (incl. subscription) 41% Weekly readership reach No of readers Gazeta 4.6 mln 15.4% First community online service in Polish Internet dealing with history and education Fakt Metro Super Express 4.6 mln 2.4 mln 2.3 mln 8.0% 7.6% 15.3% Editorial changes in Gazeta Relaunch of Large Format magazine new editorial formula Rzeczpospolita 1.4 mln 4.5% People and money new business supplement Dziennik 1.3 mln 4.3% 0% 4% 12% % reach 16% New editorial content for senior readers of Gazeta Source: copy sales: ZKDP, total paid circulation, Jan 08 Mar 09, other paid forms of circulations - share in total paid distribution Jan-Mar 09; readership: Polskie Badania Czytelnictwa, execution MillwardBrown SMG/KRC, Jan-Mar 09, N=12 447, CCS indicator (average issue readership); 6

7 Newspapers segment performance: Metro Financial performance Metro vs newspaper ad spend** PLN mln 1Q 2008 yoy % change Ad revenues (3.4%) Operating EBITDA* (0.3) Other 97% Ad market share Metro 3% 1Q 2008 Other 96% Metro 4% 1pp Ad revenues 1Q09 vs 1Q08 % change 24% 6% Dailies Metro #3 among most daily read newspapers in Poland*** Relaunch of online service Readership reach 10% 8.0% New services: - targeted distribution % reach 5% 4.5% - small events - custom publishing 2.4 mln readers 1.4 mln readers 0% Weekly Average issue Source: financials: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q 09; readership: Polskie Badania Czytelnictwa, execution MillwardBrown SMG/KRC, Jan-Mar 09, N=12 447, CCS indicator (weekly readership), CPW (average issue readership); * excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments and allocations of general overhead cost of Agora SA ** display ads, Agora s estimates (data in current prices) *** according to CPW index (average issue readership) 7

8 Newspapers segment performance: Special Projects (incl. collections) Financial performance Statistics % 22.9 yoy % change 1Q 2008 Series 5 6 PLN mln Revenues 184.6% Operating EBITDA* One-offs 11 8 Total number of projects Copies sold (mln)** Q 2008 New distribution platform books CDs, DVDs Source: financials: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q 09 * excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments and allocations of general overhead cost of Agora SA ** books, CDs, and DVDs 8

9 Segment performance: Internet Financial performance* Agora s online ad revenues growth vs Internet ad market growth*** PLN mln Revenues, incl.: % - display ads % - incl. Trader.com (Polska) vortals ad sales % - incl. Trader.com (Polska) Operating cost, incl.: % - staff cost excl. non-cash cost of share-based payments 1Q 2008 yoy % change % - promotion and marketing (33.) - Consolidation of Trader.com (Polska) - Annualization of salary regulations carried out in April 08 - Internet offer development yoy % change 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 17% 21% EBIT (2.2) (2.3) 4.3% Operating EBITDA** (0.6) (1.6) 62.5% 0% Internet ad market Agora Reach of Internet portals 80% 77.3% % 61.2% % reach 56.1% 41.3% 54.2% 48.6% 48.0% 47.4% 40% % Jan06 Mar06 May06 Jul06 Sep06 Nov06 Jan07 Mar07 May07 Jul07 Sep07 Nov07 Jan08 Mar08 May08 Jul08 Sep08 Nov08 Jan09 Onet.pl Wirtualna Polska Interia.pl o2.pl Agora New series produced in cooperation with A2 Multimedia based on licence from EQUAL the producer of popular Internet series LonelyGirl15 and Kate Modern Source: reach, real users: Megapanel PBI/Gemius, reach Jan06-Feb09; financials: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q 09; * Internet division, Agora Ukraine, Trader.com (Polska) including print revenues **excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments and allocations of general overhead cost of Agora SA *** Internet ad market: Starlink, since 1Q09 media house Starlink changed the methodology of Internet ad market measurement; Internet ad market includes now: display, SEM, marketing and classifieds. Previously it included only display and SEM; the historical data, concerning the estimates for Internet ad market for previous reporting periods has not been adjusted adequately therefore the data is not fully comparable; Agora: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q 09 SearchLab agency specialises in search engine advertising (entry into search engine advertising) 9

10 Segment performance: Outdoor Financial performance AMS ad market share** PLN mln 1Q 2008 yoy % change Revenues, incl.: (3.) - ad revenues (3.7%) Operating cost, incl.: % - execution of campaigns (20.2%) - maintenance cost % - staff cost excl. non-cash cost of share-based payments % -D&A % - promotion & marketing (16.2%) outdoor ad spend AMS 2 2.4pp yoy pp change EBIT (3.1) Operating EBITDA* (47.) Competition in outdoor market (rate card data)*** Outdoor ad market structure by panels (rate card data)*** New s Outdoor 12% Cityboard 15% CPP 11% Other 15% AMS 30% Superpremium 23% 2pp - backlight m2 - frontlight 12x3/12x4, FLN50 and 100 Spectacular 10% 1pp - backlight over 48m2 -mesh yoy pp change Premium 36% 4pp -scroll - frontlight 6x3 yoy % change Premium panels ad revenues 1Q09 105% 110% 55% 20% 0% Total market AMS Stroer 17% Universal 31% 6pp - citylight - billboard Source: financials: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q 09; * excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments ** IGRZ, 1Q 09, data based on a new definition of outdoor market redefined as out-of-home market incl. stationary, mobile and digital advertising; excluding cross-promotion of Agora s other media on AMS panels if such promotion was executed without prior reservation *** Expert Monitor, 1Q 09, rate card data, including cross-promotion of Agora s other media on AMS panels if such promotion was executed without prior reservation 10

11 Segment performance: Magazines Financial performance PLN mln 1Q 2008 yoy % change Readership position on monthly magazines market (all categories) 4 Revenues (10.3%) - copy sales (10.) - ad revenues (10.7%) Operating cost, incl.: (8.4%) - materials & energy (3.5%) - staff cost excl. non-cash cost of share-based payments % - promotion & marketing (18.3%) EBIT (22.2%) Operating EBITDA* (27.9%) mln readers mln 3.8 mln 3.2 mln 3.2 mln Monthly magazine advertising performance Media Point Group 4.5% Axel Springer 4% Gruner+Jahr 10.5% Ag o r a 11% 0 Twój Styl Claudia Cztery Kąty (Home Design) Poradnik Domowy (Housekeeping) Edipresse 7% Bauer 15% Other 17.5% Murator 7.5% Marquard 12.5% Burda Media Polska 10.5% Source: financials: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q 09; monthlies ad market: monitoring of Expert Monitor based on rate card data, 125 titles, excl. specialist titles, 1Q09; readership: Polskie Badania Czytelnictwa, execution MillwardBrown SMG/KRC, Jan-Mar 09, N=12 447, CCS indicator, 15+ *excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments and allocations of general overhead cost of Agora SA 11

12 Segment performance: Radio Financial performance* Radio ad market structure PLN mln 1Q 2008 yoy % change Revenues, incl.: % - ad revenues % Operating cost, incl.: % - staff cost excl. non-cash cost of share-based payments % - promotion and marketing (16.1%) EBIT % Operating EBITDA** % Broker 26% 0pp Eurozet 31% 0pp PLN 129 mln 7% Time 17% 1 pp Ag o r a 12% 1.5 pp Polskie Radio 3 pp Other 6% 0.5 pp yoy pp change Daily reach Further development of radio Internet platform 12% yoy pp change 0.5 pp 5 new channels in % reach 6% 0.8 pp 6.4% 11.7% Channels: Video music 1 Thematic 20 Authorial 2 Traditional/analog 4 Total 27 0% TOK FM Music stations Source: financial: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q 09; ad market: Agora based on Expert Monitor, Agora s share incl. TOK FM, excl. brokerage; daily reach: Radio Track, MillwardBrown SMG/KRC, cities of broadcasting,15+, TOK FM: Jan-Mar 2008: N=8 104, Jan-Mar 2009: N=8 035; Music stations: Jan-Mar 2008: N=11 422, Jan-Mar 2009: N= * local radio stations (incl. TOK FM) ** excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments 12

13 Summary: our objectives Continue to execute our main goals: further implementation of operating efficiency improvement plan; concentrate on development and restructuring of existing business areas; take advantage of current equity market conditions to win valuable assets if available. 13

14 Appendix: Changes in reporting of Group s operating segments OLD Newspapers and Internet - Gazeta - Metro - Collections - Print - Internet (incl. Trader.com (Polska)* and LLC Agora Ukraine) - Corporate Sales - Management Board cost and the overhead cost of support divisions Magazines - magazines - Agora Press Ltd (Company in Ukraine) Outdoor - AMS Group no changes no changes Internet segment separated - Corporate Sales, Management Board - + and Support Divisions overhead cost of Agora SA presented in matching positions Radio - local stations (excl. superregional TOK FM) Superregional TOK FM added Headquarters and New Business Development Change of name from Collections to Special Projects Newspapers Internet Magazines Outdoor Radio Matching positions NEW - Gazeta -Metro - Special Projects (incl. collections) -Print - Internet (incl. Trader.com (Polska)* and LLC Agora Ukraine) - magazines - Agora Press Ltd (Company in Ukraine) - AMS Group - local stations - superregional TOK FM - Headquarters and New Business Development - Corporate Sales - Management Board and Support Divisions overhead cost of Agora SA - Matching adjustments and intercompany eliminations * incl. publishing activities of Trader.com (Polska) Sp. z o.o. since June 30,

15 This presentation has been prepared by Agora SA (the "Company"). The data and information contained on the individual slides do not show a complete or coherent financial analysis, nor present the commercial offer of the Company and serve for information purposes only. A detailed description of the business and financial affairs of Agora SA is presented on website. All data therein are based on sources which the Company regards as credible. The Company reserves the right to amend data and information at any time, without prior notice. This presentation was not verified by an independent auditor. This presentation may contain slides containing statements related to the future. Such statements cannot be interpreted as forecasts or other assurances in respect of future Company's financial results. The expectations of the Company's management are based on their knowledge, experience and individual views and are dependent on many factors which may cause that the actual results may differ from statements contained in this document. The Company recommends that professional investment advice is sought in case any investment in the Company's securities is considered. 15