Cattle on Feed. United States Cattle on Feed Up 4 Percent

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1 Cattle on Feed ISSN: 948- Released July, 07, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United s Department of Agriculture (USDA). United s Cattle on Feed Up 4 Percent Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the United s for feedlots with capacity of,000 or more head totaled 0.8 million head on July, 07. The inventory was 4 percent above July, 06. The inventory included 6.96 million steers and steer calves, up percent from the. This group accounted for 64 percent of the total inventory. Heifers and heifer calves accounted for.86 million head, up percent from 06. Placements in feedlots during June totaled.77 million head, 6 percent above 06. Net placements were.7 million head. June, placements of cattle and calves weighing less than 600 pounds were 75,000 head, pounds were,000 head, pounds were 40,000 head, pounds were 85,000 head, pounds were,000 head, and,000 pounds and greater were,000 head. Marketings of fed cattle during June totaled.99 million head, 4 percent above 06. Other disappearance totaled 56,000 head during June, 8 percent below 06. United s All Cattle on Feed Up 6 Percent from 05 Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the United s for all feedlots totaled.8 million head on July, 07. The inventory was up 6 percent from the July, 05 total of. million head. Cattle on feed in feedlots with capacity of,000 or more head, accounted for 84.5 percent of the total cattle on feed on July, 07. This is down 0. percent from 05.

2 of Cattle on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance on,000+ Capacity Feedlots United s: July, 06 and 07 Item On feed June... Placed on feed during June... Fed cattle marketed during June... Other disappearance during June... On feed July (,000 head) (,000 head) (percent) 0,4,55,9 6 0,6,096,7,9 56 0, of Cattle on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance on,000+ Capacity Feedlots United s: June, 06 and 07 Item On feed May... Placed on feed during May... Fed cattle marketed during May... Other disappearance during May... On feed June (,000 head) (,000 head) (percent) 0,78,889, ,4 0,9,9,, on Feed by Class on,000+ Capacity Feedlots United s: July, 06 and 07 Item Class on feed July Steers and steer calves... Heifers and heifer calves inventory (,000 Head) (,000 Head) (percent) (percent) 6,869,487 6,964, All Cattle on Feed United s: July, 05 and 07 [06 all cattle on feed estimate not available due to the July 06 Cattle report being suspended] (,000 Head) (,000 Head) (percent) United s...,,0 06 Cattle on Feed (July 07)

3 of Cattle on Feed on,000+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 06 and 07 July, 06 June, 07 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... July, 07 previous month (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (percent) (percent) ,0 45, 0, , 45, 0 40, , 40,0 5, Other s United s... 0,6,096 0,8 04 Cattle on Feed Inventory on,000+ Capacity Feedlots United s Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Cattle on Feed (July 07)

4 of Cattle Placed on Feed on,000+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 06 and 07 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... June 06 May 07 June 07 previous month (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (percent) (percent) Other s United s...,55,9, of Cattle Placed on,000+ Capacity Feedlots United s Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 4 Cattle on Feed (July 07)

5 of Cattle Placed on Feed by Weight Group on,000+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 06 and 07 Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas... June 06 Under 600 lbs lbs lbs lbs 0+ lbs lbs,000+ lbs Total (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) Other s United s.. Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas May 07 Under 600 lbs lbs lbs lbs 0+ lbs lbs,000+ lbs Total (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (X) 0, Other s United s.. Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas June 07 Under 600 lbs lbs lbs lbs 0+ lbs lbs,000+ lbs Total (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (X) , Other s United s.. 75 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. The 0 pounds and greater weight group is the sum of pounds and,000 pounds and greater weight groups (X),7 of Cattle Marketed on,000+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 06 and 07 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... June 06 May 07 June 07 previous month (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (percent) (percent) Other s United s...,9,, Cattle on Feed (July 07) 5

6 of Cattle Marketed on,000+ Capacity Feedlots United s Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Other Disappearance on,000+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 06 and 07 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... June 06 May 07 June 07 previous month (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (percent) (percent) Other s United s Cattle on Feed (July 07)

7 on Feed by Class on,000+ Capacity Feedlots by Quarter s and United s: 06 and 07 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... Jul, 06 Steers and steer calves Apr, 07 Jul, 07 Jul, 06 Heifers and heifer calves Apr, 07 Jul, 07 (,000 Head) (,000 Head) (,000 Head) (,000 Head) (,000 Head) (,000 Head) 5 55,0 4,40 40, ,0, , ,0 0,, , , Other s United s... 6,869 7,40 6,964,487,679,857 Cattle on Feed (July 07) 7

8 Terms and Definitions of Cattle on Feed Estimates Cattle on feed are steers and heifers being fed a ration of grain, silage, hay and/or protein supplement for slaughter market that are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. It excludes cattle being "backgrounded only" for later sale as feeders or later placement in another feedlot. Placements are steers and heifers put into a feedlot, fed a ration which will produce a carcass that will grade select or better, and are intended for the slaughter market. Marketings are steers and heifers shipped out of feedlots to a slaughter market. Other disappearance includes death loss, movement from feedlots to pasture, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: January and July all known feedlots in the United s with capacity of,000 or more head are surveyed to provide data for cattle on feed estimates. the other months, all known feedlots from 6 s are surveyed. The 6 s account for approximately percent of the cattle on feed in feedlots with capacity of,000 or more head. Individual estimates are published monthly for of the 6 s. Data collected from the remaining 4 s are used to establish the Other s estimates. These 4 s include Illinois, New Mexico, Oregon, and Wyoming. The Other s category represents all cattle on feed with a capacity of,000 or more head for the rest of the United s. Estimating Procedures: These cattle on feed estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by Regional Field Offices. Regional and survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from the previous month when establishing the current estimates. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve month to month relationships. Estimates for the previous month are subject to revision in all s each month when current estimates are made. In February, all monthly estimates for the, and the number of feedlots and annual marketings from two years ago are reviewed and subject to revisions. The reviews are primarily based on slaughter data, state check-off or brand data, and any other data that may have been received after the original estimate was made. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date and estimates become final. Reliability: Since all,000+ capacity cattle on feed operators in every are not included in the monthly survey, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table on the following page. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for cattle on feed inventory estimates over the past 4 months is 0. percent. This means that chances are out of that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 0.8 million head by more than 0. percent. Chances are 9 out of 0 that the difference will not exceed 0. percent. The table on the following page shows a 4 month record of the range of differences between first and latest estimates for selected items. Using estimates of number on feed as an example, changes between the first estimate and the latest estimate during the past 4 months have averaged,000 head, ranging from 0 to 5,000 head. this period the initial estimate has been above the latest estimate time and has been below the latest estimate 6 times. This does not imply that the initial estimate is likely to understate or overstate final inventory. 8 Cattle on Feed (July 07)

9 Reliability of Monthly Cattle on Feed Estimates [Based on data for the past 4 months] Item on feed... Root mean square error percent confidence level Difference between first and latest estimate Average Smallest Largest Below latest Months Above latest (percent) (percent) (,000) (,000) (,000) (number) (number) Placements Marketings Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov. Vacant, Chief, Livestock Branch... (0) - Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section... (0) 6-44 Sherry Bertramsen Livestock Slaughter... (0) -40 David Colwell Sheep and Goats... (0) Donnie Fike Dairy Products... (0) 6-6 Michael Klamm Cattle, Cattle on Feed... (0) -040 Mike Miller Milk Production and Milk Cows... (0) -78 Seth Riggins Hogs and Pigs... (0) -06 Cattle on Feed (July 07) 9

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