Agricultural Trade Developments and Future Prospective in China

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1 Agicultual Tade Developments and Futue Pospective in China D. Zuo Changsheng Deputy Diecto Geneal Agicultue Tade Pomotion Cente Ministy of Agicultue, P. R. China

2 Contents I. Agicultual Development II. Agicultual Tade Development III. Futue Pospective

3 I. Intoduction of Agicultual Development in China

4 Agicultual Development m m m m m m Agicultual esouce constaints Agicultual poduction capacity Stuctual change Quality impovement Incease of ual income Agicultual Policy

5 Resouce constaints China has 120 million ha aable land, accounting fo 9% of wold total, pe capita land less than 0.1 ha, 40% of wold aveage. China has 2.4 tillion cubic metes wate esouce pe capita possession 1861 cubic metes, 1/4 of wold aveage

6 Resouce constaints: aable land

7 Resouce constaints: wate

8 Total output inceased significantly

9 Output of Majo Agicultue Poducts

10 Output of Majo Agicultue Poducts

11 Composition of Agicultual output

12 Planting Stuctue of Majo Cops

13 Output Stuctue of Livestock Poducts

14 Food safety impovement Pomotion of geen foods, oganic foods and cetified safe foods. The intoduction of new laws and egulations with egad to food safety contol. Enhanced official safety inspection and publication of esults. Taining and extension of new technology and pactices

15 Quick incease of ual household income

16 Agicultual Policy Cental Govenment Expenditue fo Agicultue, Rual Community and Fames RMB billion yuan

17 Fou Majo Types of Agicultual Subsidies

18 Agicultual Science and technology The Aggegate level of mechanization in plowing, sowing and havesting acoss the county eached 54.5% in 2011; The contibution ate of science and technological pogess to agicultue eached 53.5%.

19 Impovement in opeation scales By 2010, 220 million household-based land contacts signed and million hectaes of land management ight has been tansfeed, which account fo 14.7% of total contacted aable land.

20 Development of Industialized Opeation By 2010, 250,000 industialized agicultual oganizations, involved107 million fame households Fames pofessional coopeatives eached thousand, with 29 million ual households membes, accounting fo 11% of China s total ual households.

21 II. Agicultual Tade Development Agicultual Tade Policy Agicultual Tade changes FTA & Agicultual Tade

22 Taiff and Quota Afte enteing WTO in 2001, China has substantially educed the impot taiff of agicultue poducts. Aveage impot taiff of agicultue 15.2%, only ¼ of wold aveage.

23 Taiff ates of Agicultual Poducts

24 China s TRQ aangement Items MFN(%) In Quota Rate(%) Quota(thousand ton) Wheat ,636 Maize ,200 Rice ,320 Suga ,945 Wool Cotton

25 Agicultual Tade Development Rapid gowth of agicultual tade, annual gowth ate 18.7% (impot 23.1%, expot 14.2%) Highe impot gowth ate leads to inceased agicultual tade deficits since 2004

26 Tade volume change

27 Impot stuctue

28 Expot stuctue

29 Majo makets Geneal tends: --divesification in expot makets --concentation in impot makets

30 Top ten expot maket in 2011

31 The shae of top ten expot makets of China s agicultue poducts

32 Top ten impot souces in 2011

33 The shae of top ten impot maket

34 The Shae of FAT Patnes in China s Total Agicultual Tade Value

35 FTA & Agicultual Tade Stat

36 Agicultual Tade Value Between China and FTA Patnes

37 Potential FTA Patnes FTA unde Negotiation

38 III. Futue Pospective

39 Challenges Resouce constaints and small fams impede long tem competitiveness Open maket and highly distoted wold tade Impact of non-taditional factos on agicultue and tade Multi-national companies have big monopoly powe in global agicultual poduct supply chain, which theaten small fame suvive.

40 stategies Coodinated domestic and intenational maket m m m Based on gain self-sufficiency to ensue food secuity is a basic policy. Some bulk poducts need impot, but a easonable level of self-sufficiency is impotant. Pomote advantage poducts expot

41 stategies Enhance agicultue competiveness m m m Acceleate the tansfomation of agicultual development patten. Incease the investment in agicultue, especially in R&D. Pomote industialization of agicultue.

42 stategies Impove macoeconomic egulation and ovesight m m Agicultual tade development plan Monitoing and ealy waning system Ceate a fai tade envionment m m Multilateal and bilateal negotiation Tade emedy

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