Cattle on Feed. United States Cattle on Feed Up 5 Percent

Transcription

1 Cattle on Feed ISSN: Released January,, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United s Department of Agriculture (USDA). United s Cattle on Feed Up Percent Cattle and calves on feed for slaughter market in the United s for feedlots with capacity of, or more head totaled. million head on January,. The inventory was percent above January,. The inventory included 7.8 million steers and steer calves, up percent from the. This group accounted for 6 percent of the total inventory. Heifers and heifer calves accounted for.6 million head, up percent from. Placements in feedlots during December totaled.8 million, 6 percent above 9. Net placements were.73 million head. December, placements of cattle and calves weighing less than 6 pounds were 8,, pounds were 9,, pounds were,, and 8 pounds and greater were 38,. Marketings of fed cattle during December totaled.83 million, percent above 9. This is the second highest fed cattle marketings for the month of December since the series began in 996. Other disappearance totaled 6, during December, percent below 9.

2 of Cattle on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s: January, and Item On feed December... Placed on feed during December... Fed cattle marketed during December... Other disappearance during December... On feed January... (percent),77,6,73 7,8,6,79,87 6, of Cattle on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s: December, 9 and Item On feed November... Placed on feed during November... Fed cattle marketed during November... Other disappearance during November... On feed December... 9 (percent),3,8,63 66,77,87,98,769 6, on Feed by Class on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s: January, and Item Class on Feed January Steers and Steer Calves... Heifers and Heifer Calves... Cows and Bulls... Head) Head) (percent) 6,877, ,8,6 77 Cattle on Feed (January )

3 of Cattle on Feed on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: and January, December, Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... January, previous month (percent) (percent) 87 6, 7,, , ,9 3 63,36,6 38, ,8 6,8,3 37 6, Other s United s...,8,6,7 99 United s Cattle on Feed,+ Capacity Feedlots Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Cattle on Feed (January ) 3

4 of Cattle Placed on Feed on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 9 and Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... December 9 November December previous month (percent) (percent) Other s United s...,6,98, United s Cattle on Feed,+ Capacity Feedlots Placed Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Cattle on Feed (January )

5 of Cattle Placed on Feed by Weight Group on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 9 and Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas... December Under 6 lbs lbs lbs 8+ lbs Total Other s United s... Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas November 9 38,6 Under 6 lbs lbs lbs 8+ lbs Total , Other s United s ,8,98 of Cattle Marketed on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 9 and Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... December 9 November December previous month (percent) (percent) Other s United s...,73,769,87 3 Cattle on Feed (January )

6 United s Cattle on Feed,+ Capacity Feedlots Marketed Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 9 and Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... December 9 November December previous month (percent) (percent) Other s... United s Cattle on Feed (January )

7 on Feed by Class on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Quarter s and United s: and Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... Jan, Steers and steer calves Heifers and heifer calves Cows and bulls Oct, Jan, Jan, Oct, Jan, Head) Head) Head) Head) Head) Head) ,,, ,3,3 97,6 7 6,, 9, , , , , ,89 7 Jan, Head) 8 Oct, Head) 6 6 Jan, Head) 6 8 Other s United s... 6,877 6,6 7,8,68,3, Cattle on Feed (January ) 7

8 Terms and Definitions of Cattle on Feed Estimates Cattle on feed are animals being fed a ration of grain, silage, hay and/or protein supplement for slaughter market that are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. It excludes cattle being "backgrounded only" for later sale as feeders or later placement in another feedlot. Placements are cattle put into a feedlot, fed a ration which will produce a carcass that will grade select or better, and are intended for the slaughter market. Marketings are cattle shipped out of feedlots to a slaughter market. Other disappearance includes death loss, movement from feedlots to pasture, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Reliability of Cattle on Feed Estimates Survey Procedures: January and July all known feedlots in the United s with capacity of, or more head are surveyed to provide data for cattle on feed estimates. the other months, all known feedlots from 6 s are surveyed. The 6 s account for 98 percent of the cattle on feed in feedlots with capacity of, or more head. Individual estimates are published monthly for of the 6 s. Data collected from the remaining s are used to establish the Other s estimates. These s include IL, MN, NM, OR, and WY. The Other s category represents all cattle on feed with a capacity of, or more head for the rest of the United s. Estimating Procedures: These cattle on feed estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each office. Regional and survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from the previous month when establishing the current estimates. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve month to month relationships. Estimates for the previous month are subject to revision in all s each month when current estimates are made. In February, all monthly estimates for the, and the number of feedlots and annual marketings from two years ago are reviewed and subject to revisions. The reviews are primarily based on slaughter data, state check-off or brand data, and any other data that may have been received after the original estimate was made. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date and estimates become final. Reliability: Since all,+ capacity cattle on feed operators in every are not included in the monthly survey, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table on the following page. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for cattle on feed inventory estimates over the past months is. percent. This means that chances are out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of. million head by more than. percent. Chances are 9 out of that the difference will not exceed.9 percent. The table on the following page shows a month record of the range of differences between first and latest estimates for selected items. Using estimates of number on feed as an example, changes between the first estimate and the latest estimate during the past months have averaged 3, head, ranging from to 8, head. this period the initial estimate has been above the latest estimate 6 times and has been below the latest estimate times. This does not imply that the initial estimate is likely to understate or overstate final inventory. 8 Cattle on Feed (January )

9 Reliability of Monthly Cattle on Feed Estimates [Based on data for the past months] Item on feed... Root mean square error 9 percent confidence level Difference between first and latest estimate Average Smallest Largest Below latest Months Above latest (percent) (percent) ) ) ) (number) (number) Placements Marketings Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch... () 7-37 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section... () 69- Sherry Bertramsen Livestock Slaughter... () 8-3 Joe Gaynor Dairy Products Prices... () Jason Hardegree Cattle, Cattle on Feed... () 7-3 Mike Miller Milk Production and Milk Cows... () Everett Olbert Sheep and Goats... () 7-7 Nick Streff Hogs and Pigs... () 7-36 Lorie Warren Dairy Products... () Cattle on Feed (January ) 9

10 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: Both national and state specific reports are available via a free subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit and in the Receive NASS Updates box under Receive reports by , click on National or to select the reports you would like to receive. Printed reports may be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling toll-free (8) , or (73) 6-6 if calling from outside the United s or Canada. Accepted methods of payment are Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (8) 77-9, 7:3 a.m. to : p.m. ET, or nass@nass.usda.gov. The United s Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental status, religion, sexual orientation, political beliefs, genetic information, reprisal, or because all or a part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA's TARGET Center at () 7-6 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write to USDA, Assistant Secretary for Civil Rights, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Civil Rights, Independence Avenue, S.W., Stop 9, Washington, DC -9, or call toll-free at (866) (English) or (8) (TDD) or (866) (English Federal-relay) or (8) (Spanish Federal-relay). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.

11 Today s Strategies & Tomorrow s Opportunities February -, Crystal Gateway Marriott Hotel Arlington, Virginia Early Bird Registration $3 until January, * $37 after January Topical Sessions Will Address: *Risk Management *Renewable Energy *Rural Communities *Land Tenure Issues *Sustainability *Foreign Trade & Domestic Markets *Conservation & the Environment *Nutrition & USDA Dietary Guidelines *Broadband