Climate Data Update. June, Current Rainfall and NDVI. June 09: Monthly Rain Gauge Data (mm) Gulf of Aden. Bossasso Baran. Erigavo.

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1 FNSAU Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit - Somalia Issued July, 29 Climate Data Update June, 29 Current Rainfall and NDVI This report is a compilation of climate data on Somalia that FSNAU and FEWS NET regularly review for analysis. Primary data sources are NOAA/USGC, MARS-JRC and SWALIM. Maps and graphs in this bulletin are produced from three sources: Current Rainfall Estimates and NDVI data are derived from NOAA/CPC, while the rain gauge data is collected by FAO-SWALIM The seasonal profiles on page 2 are produced in collaboration with MARS-JRC. For more information visit mars/about-us/foodsec The Rainfall and NDVI long term trends are derived from NOAA AVHRR and SPOT VEGETATION. For more information visit earlywarning.usgs.gov/adds/ and uploads/138.pdf June 9: Monthly Rain Gauge Data (mm) 2 Barbera Borama Hargeisa Odweyne Luuq6 Baidoa 18 Jowhar Dinsoor 48 Bardhere Afgoye Genale 86 Buale Jamame86 Ceelberde Wajid Hudur Source: Swalim 12 Erigavo Bossasso Baran Elafweyn 12 Burao Qardo Caynabo 1 Garowe Lasanod Beletweyne Halgan Galkayo June 9: Monthly Rainfall Estimates (mm) AWDAL BARI SANAG W. GALBEED TOGDHEER SOOL NUGAL MUDUG GALGADUD BAKOOL HIRAN GEDO M.SHABELLE BAY L.SHABELLE M. JUBA L.JUBA Source: NOAA Climate in Somalia is characterized by a bi-modal rainfall pattern with the major Gu rains (April-June) and the Deyr rains (October-December). These rainy seasons are separated by two dry spells, Jilaal (January-March) and Hagaa (July-August) Somalia Seasonal Time Line Deyr Rains Jilaal Dry Season Gu Rains Hagaa Dry Season Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct June 9: Dekadal Rain Gauge Data (mm) Station Name DEKAD Boroma 2 Gulajeed n/a n/a n/a Wogooyi Galbeed Berbera n/a n/a n/a Hargeisa Burao 12 Odweyne n/a n/a n/a Sanaag Erigavo 7 5 Elafweyne n/a n/a n/a Caynabo Bossasso Garowe 1 Galkayo CeelBerde n/a n/a n/a Hudur n/a n/a n/a Baidoa n/a n/a n/a Dinsoor n/a n/a n/a Luuq 6 Middle Shabelle Jowhar 12 6 Lower Shabelle Afgoye Middle Juba Buale Lower Juba Jamame *n/a: Data not available Indian Ocean Hiran Indian Ocean Hiran May 9: Dekadal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) 1st Dekad (1-1) 2nd Dekad (11-2) 3rd Dekad (21-3) 1st Dekad (1-1) June 9: Dekadal Rainfall Estimates (RFE) 2nd Dekad (11-2) 3rd Dekad (21-3) Indian Ocean

2 FSNAU Climate Data Update, June, 29 Seasonal Trends Agricultural Areas Map 1 Map 2 Pastoral Areas Pastoral Saanag Pastoral Source: SWALIM Source: FAO-Africover Pastoral Pastoral Pastoral Hiran Rainfed Middle Shabelle Rainfed Lower Shabelle Irrigated Lower Shabelle Rainfed Rainfed Rainfed The maps and graphs on this page are produced in collaboration with the FOODSEC action of the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission. The graphs present time profiles of crop specific NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) as lines and rainfall values from the ECMWF model as bars. For more information please refer to ec.europa.eu/mars/about-us/foodsec 2

3 FSNAU Climate Data Update, June, 29 Long Term Trends Time Series Data used A g r i c u l t u r a l a r e a s : S P O T VEGETATION NDVI (from 1999) and RFE (from 1995). Pastoral areas: NOAA AVHRR NDVI (from 1982) and RFE (from 1995) The main reason for the choice of different NDVI time series is that the impact of the political crisis in Somalia was probably more disrupting for agriculture than for pastoralism, making it preferable to use a Post War LTA for agriculture. In addition SPOT VEGETATION data have a 1km resolution while NOAA AVHRR and RFE only 8km. KENYA June 9: Rainfall as % of Long Term Mean W. albeed Hiran June 9: NDVI Absolute Difference from Long Term Mean Source: NOAA Source: SPOT June 9: Rainfall station data as % of Long Term Mean Borama Gebiley Luuq Bardhere Afmadow Dinsor Jamame Barbera Hudur Baidoa Hargeisa Beletweyne Jowhar Afgoye Genale Source: Swalim Erigavo Buloburti 32 Lasanod Galkayo Bossasso Qardo June 9: Rainfall station data Longterm Trend Data (LTM) Station Name Monthly Total Monthly LTM % of LTM Borama Gebiley n/a 6 n/a W.Galbeed Barbera n/a Hargeisa 33 n/a Saanag Erigavo Lasanod 1 Bossasso Qardo 4 Galkayo 6 Hudur Baidoa n/a n/a n/a Dinsor n/a 15 n/a Bardhere n/a 1 n/a Luuq M.Shabelle Jowhar L.Shabelle Afgoye Genale 72 L.Juba Jamame Afmadow n/a 23 n/a Central Beletweyne n/a 15 n/a Bulo burti n/a 5 n/a *n/a: Data not available Livelihood Zones for RFE Time Series Analysis Source: FSNAU Time Series Data used The graphs show the deviation of the vegetation index (1st y axis) and rainfall (2nd y axis) from the long term average (LTA) due to biophysical conditions like weather, plant type, soil etc... for different Land Cover classes. An abnormal positive or negative deviation means that the current plant conditions differ significantly from the LTA. 1-daily Vegetation index deviations from LTA are shown as lines, while RFE seasonally cumulated deviations are shown as dots. The red horizontal lines represent approximately 1 standard deviation for the vegetation index and are used as refernce for a normal variation range, meaning that variations of the vegetation index above or below the red line can be considered truly exceptional. To facilitate the reading of these graphs, variations happening during the dry season have been masked out (equal to ) by using thresholds on the average vegetation index profiles. Each graph is accompanied by a map showing the administrative unit (region or district) and the land cover class it represents. The land cover data used are a combination of AFRICOVER data and SWALIM Land cover data (the latter being available only for the Shabelle and Juba riverine areas and for Galbeed). 3

4 FSNAU Climate Data Update, June, 29 /Hiran Regions - Agricultural Areas and Hiran Regions Rainfed Hiran Irrigated Hiran Irrigated NDVI dev Rainfed NDVI dev 8 Hiran Irrigated RFE dev Rainfed RFE dev daily NDVI deviation in % Jan- Apr- Jul- Nov- Feb-1 May-1 Sep-1 Dec-1 Mar-2 Jul-2 Oct-2 Jan-3 May-3 Aug-3 Nov-3 Mar-4 Jun-4 Sep-4 Jan-5 Apr-5 Jul-5 Nov-5 Feb-6 May-6 Sep-6 Dec-6 Mar-7 Jul-7 Oct-7 Jan-8 May-8 Aug-8 Nov-8 Mar-9 Jun-9 Juba Region - Agricultural Areas Middle and Lower Juba Regions Middle Juba Rainfed Lower Juba Rainfed Lower Juba Rainfed NDVI dev Lower Juba Rainfed RFE dev Middle Juba Rainfed NDVI dev Middle Juba Rainfed RFE dev Jan- Apr- Jul- Nov- Feb-1 May-1 Sep-1 Dec-1 Mar-2 Jul-2 Oct-2 Jan-3 May-3 Aug-3 Nov-3 Mar-4 Jun-4 Sep-4 Jan-5 Apr-5 Jul-5 Nov-5 Feb-6 May-6 Sep-6 Dec-6 Mar-7 Jul-7 Oct-7 Jan-8 May-8 Aug-8 Nov-8 Mar-9 Jun-9 1 daily NDVI deviation in % 4

5 FSNAU Climate Data Update, June, 29 / Regions - Agricultural Areas and Regions Rainfed Rainfed 8 Rainfed NDVI dev Rainfed RFE dev Rainfed NDVI dev Rainfed RFE dev daily NDVI deviation in % Jan- Apr- Jul- Nov- Feb-1 May-1 Sep-1 Dec-1 Mar-2 Jul-2 Oct-2 Jan-3 May-3 Aug-3 Nov-3 Mar-4 Jun-4 Sep-4 Jan-5 Apr-5 Jul-5 Nov-5 Feb-6 May-6 Sep-6 Dec-6 Mar-7 Jul-7 Oct-7 Jan-8 May-8 Aug-8 Nov-8 Mar-9 Jun-9 Galbeed/ Regions - Agricultural Areas Galbeed and Burhakaba Regions Galbeed Rainfed Burhakaba Rainfed Burhakaba Rainfed NDVI dev Burhakaba Rainfed RFE dev Galbeed Rainfed NDVI dev Galbeed Rainfed RFE dev Jan- Apr- Jul- Nov- Feb-1 May-1 Sep-1 Dec-1 Mar-2 Jul-2 Oct-2 Jan-3 May-3 Aug-3 Nov-3 Mar-4 Jun-4 Sep-4 Jan-5 Apr-5 Jul-5 Nov-5 Feb-6 May-6 Sep-6 Dec-6 Mar-7 Jul-7 Oct-7 Jan-8 May-8 Aug-8 Nov-8 Mar-9 Jun-9 1 daily NDVI deviation in % 5

6 FSNAU Climate Data Update, June, 29 Shabelle Regions - Agricultural Areas Lower and Middle Shabelle Regions Lower Shabelle Irrigated Middle Shabelle Irrigated 7 Lower Shabelle Irrigated NDVI dev Lower Shabelle Irrigated RFE dev Middle Shabelle Irrigated NDVI dev Middle Shabelle Irrigated RFE dev daily NDVI deviation in % Jan- Apr- Jul- Nov- Feb-1 May-1 Sep-1 Dec-1 Mar-2 Jul-2 Oct-2 Jan-3 May-3 Aug-3 Nov-3 Mar-4 Jun-4 Sep-4 Jan-5 Apr-5 Jul-5 Nov-5 Feb-6 May-6 Sep-6 Dec-6 Mar-7 Jul-7 Oct-7 Jan-8 May-8 Aug-8 Nov-8 Mar-9 Jun-9 Burao/Elafweyn Districts - Rangelands Burao and Elafweyn Districts Burao Savannah Elafweyn Savannah Burao Savannah NDVI dev Burao Savannah RFE dev Elafweyn Savannah NDVI dev Elafweyn Savannah RFE dev Jun-9 Dec-9 Jun- Dec- Jun-1 Dec-1 Jun-2 Dec-2 Jun-3 Dec-3 Jun-4 Dec-4 Jun-5 Dec-5 Jun-6 Dec-6 Jun-7 Dec-7 Jun-8 Dec-8 Jun-9 1-daily NDVI deviation in % 6

7 FSNAU Climate Data Update, June, 29 Taleh/Cardo Districts - Rangelands Taleh and Cardo Districts Taleh Savannah Cardo Savannah 8 Taleh Savannah NDVI dev Taleh Savannah RFE dev Cardo Savannah NDVI dev Cardo Savannah RFE dev daily NDVI deviation in % Jun-9 Dec-9 Jun- Dec- Jun-1 Dec-1 Jun-2 Dec-2 Jun-3 Dec-3 Jun-4 Dec-4 Jun-5 Dec-5 Jun-6 Dec-6 Jun-7 Dec-7 Jun-8 Dec-8 Jun-9 Afmadow/Elwak Districts - Rangelands Afmadow/Elwak Districts Afmadow Herbaceous Elwak Herbaceous Afmadow Savannah NDVI dev Afmadow Savannah RFE dev Elwak Savannah NDVI dev Elwak Savannah RFE dev Jun-9 Dec-9 Jun- Dec- Jun-1 Dec-1 Jun-2 Dec-2 Jun-3 Dec-3 Jun-4 Dec-4 Jun-5 Dec-5 Jun-6 Dec-6 Jun-7 Dec-7 Jun-8 Dec-8 Jun-9 1-daily NDVI deviation in % 7

8 FSNAU Climate Data Update, June, 29 Lasanod/Eyl Districts - Rangelands Lasanod and Eyl Districts Lasanod Savannah Eyl Savannah Lasanod Savannah NDVI dev Eyl Savannah NDVI dev Lasanod Savannah RFE dev Eyl Savannah RFE dev daily NDVI deviation in % Jun-9 Dec-9 Jun- Dec- Jun-1 Dec-1 Jun-2 Dec-2 Jun-3 Dec-3 Jun-4 Dec-4 Jun-5 Dec-5 Jun-6 Dec-6 Jun-7 Dec-7 Jun-8 Dec-8 Jun-9 Abudwak/Elberde Districts - Rangelands Abudwak and Elberde Districts Abudwak Savannah Elberde Savannah Abudwak Savannah NDVI dev Abudwak Savannah RFE dev Elberde savannah NDVI dev Elberde savannah RFE dev daily NDVI deviation in % Jun-9 Dec-9 Jun- Dec- Jun-1 Dec-1 Jun-2 Dec-2 Jun-3 Dec-3 Jun-4 Dec-4 Jun-5 Dec-5 Jun-6 Dec-6 Jun-7 Dec-7 Jun-8 Dec-8 Jun-9 8 Technical and Managerial Support Funding Agencies Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit - Somalia (FSNAU), P.O. Box 123, Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya. United Nations Somalia, Ngecha Road Campus Telephones: Safaricom: , Zain: , Landline: , Fax: , info@fsnau.org, Website: