Antalya, 25 September Christine Ton Nu

Transcription

1 Antalya, 25 September 2014 Christine Ton Nu

2 REMINDER OF THE CONTEXT 1/3 Food dependency in the region A production that cannot satisfy the demand Scarcity of natural resources in the Mediterranean High food price volatility on international markets and increasing role of international markets in the supply chains Competition between the Mediterranean States?

3 Cereal Production in the Mediterranean (2009) Source: IEMED, data: FAO

4 Evolution of wheat production and consumption in North Africa (MT, Abis, source USDA 2013)

5 Arable land (hectares per person) in Middle East and North Africa Source: WORLD BANK INDICATORS

6 Imports of Food Items in 2008 in the Mediterranean (% of total imports) Source: IEMED, data: UNCTAD, WB and OECD

7 Aftermaths of food dependency: the cost of food subsidies (in % of the GDP) between 2000 and 2011 Source: Matthieu Brun (CIHEAM), Data: FAO, FMI, Cereal Office.

8 The erosion of the EU and the rise of new entrants in Mediterranean agricultural and agro-food markets, evolution - Mediterra 2014 Origin Market share 2000 Market share 2010 Difference % Western Europe 64.4% 56.0% - 8.4% Eastern Europe 0.9% 2.6% + 1.6% Americas 10.7% 12.2% + 1.5% Asia/Oceania 6% 8.4% + 2.4% Other countries 18.8% 20.8% + 2.1%

9 REMINDER OF THE CONTEXT 2/3 A constantly rising demand of cereals in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean countries due to population and economic growth changes in food habits Insufficient production due to climate and geographic constraints

10 Evolution of the Cereal Situation in the MENA Region from 1960 to 2011 (in Mt) (Abis, Mediterra 2012)

11 Nutrition in the Mediterranean ( ) Source: IEMED, Data: FAO

12 MENA share in world wheat imports Source : Abis, 2012 (CIHEAM)

13 REMINDER OF THE CONTEXT 3/3 Wheat as a key commodity in the region Bread as a symbolic food Wheat: most imported agricultural product Strategic dimensions of this commodity

14 North Africa s dependency to cereal imports (Abis, 2012) Share of imports in cereal consumption (FAOSTAT, 2013) Evolution of cereal import bills (source UN Comtrade)

15 MED-AMIN : the result of a collective political will A request of the 13 CIHEAM Member States end of 2012 Launching of the MED-AMIN initiative early 2014 (kick-off meeting in Paris) Approval by the 13 agricultural ministries of CIHEAM in Feb in Algiers

16 MED-AMIN : MEDiterranean Agricultural Market Information Network A network coordinated by CIHEAM (Mediterranean Agronomic Institute of Montpellier & General Secretariat) Work in close collaboration with FAO, AMIS Secretariat and the services of the European Commission Name based on the notion of trust in Arabic amin Overall Goal : contribute to food security of the Mediterranean populations, by providing advice to policy-makers on agricultural markets issues

17 MED-AMIN s main objective Main objective: Promote cooperation and share experiences among the national information systems on agricultural markets Promoting the implementation of the initiative "Mediterranean Agricultural Market Information Network (MED- AMIN)", launched in January 2014 to meet the CIHEAM member countries expectations of establishing an area of dialogue, exchange, and technical cooperation around the monitoring of agricultural cereal markets and the methodology of statistical systems for these commodities CIHEAM Ministerial Declaration, February 2014

18 Specific short-term objectives 1. Create trust among the network's members as well as mutual knowledge and understanding by means of meetings, exchanges of experience and good practices, and common work on monitoring the cereal markets in the Mediterranean; 2. Improve the knowledge on cereal markets (production, utilization, stocks, prices, trade exchanges) in the region, in a forward-looking way («market intelligence») ; 3. Share information and create a common understanding of market monitoring in the countries; 4. Reinforce the countries' capacities to produce, collect and analyze data of better quality by means of trainings, experts' missions, methodological exchanges, common projects, etc.; 5. Produce analysis, in particular on short term perspectives for the commodities selected, as well as advocacy about cereals and food security, and better communication to the decision-makers and the media.

19 Med-AMIN s scope In a first stage (possible extensions in the future) Cereals: wheat (soft and durum wheat), corn, barley and rice 13 countries of CIHEAM Public sector : focal points / country

20 MED-AMIN activities Activities undertaken are: 1. Perform an inventory of data collected at the national level through a single template built by the Secretariat with the assistance of experts and sent to the focal points 2. Work on methodologies to build cereal balances 3. Identify additional sources of funding to sustain the network

21 Conclusions A promising start but lots of challenges ahead we have to turn this initiative into a success Next meeting: 6-7 November, Izmir Coming soon: Med-AMIN website More information: tonnu@iamm.fr abis@ciheam.org Thank you for your attention!