Michael Gold, Zhen Cai, Ina Cernusca.

Transcription

1 Michael Gold, Zhen Cai, Ina Cernusca * goldm@missouri.edu

2 Seedlings vs Cultivars If you have: The best soils for chestnut The best climate for chestnut Cultivars with known production for a given climate and soil The optimal management practices You will have the most productive chestnut growers and best prospects for the future of the industry

3 How to improve your bottom line, years to break even and profit? Earn income while waiting for nut production. How? Alley Cropping in first 5+ years

4 SZEGO AGE lbs

5 SZEGO NUTS

6 Szego Canker 6/10/17

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9 CGA Market Survey Conducted annually since 2009 *Survey CGA members To provide an updated information on chestnut production, harvesting and marketing. *Past surveys have included current and past CGA members, this year, only current members

10 Survey participants-activities Which of the following describes you? N=43 (total respondents)

11 Survey participants-activities N=35 (growers/sellers)

12 Survey participants Orchards Location # of State respondents AL 1 CA 3 FL 1 GA 1 IA 2 IL 4 KS 1 MI 5 MO 4 NY 1 NC 2 OH 3 OR 1 SC 2 VA 2 WA 2 Total 35

13 Production operation /2017 Total acres reported planted in chestnuts: 554 Commercial production: acres 49% have less than 10 acres planted N=33

14 Production operation: Plans (2017/18) N= new acres and 3,490 new trees planned to be planted

15 Production operation: Production process N=35

16 Conventional Production N=25 = notes change from 2015 survey

17 Organic Production N=7

18 The 2016 production season Total pounds of chestnuts harvested: 294,452 pounds On average, 12,802 pounds/respondent N=23

19 Compare: 2015 production season Total pounds harvested: 477,424* 12,903 pounds/respondent (N=38) *NOTE: Larger sample size

20 2016 Yields: Comparison to 2015

21 2016 Yields: Comparison to 2015 Higher yield Weather Higher quality of the nuts, less culls Trees grew Trees are maturing and not yet to full production. Trees coming into maturity. Fertilizer Lower yield Older trees killed by standing water/ thinning/ smaller yield on younger trees Bad harvest weather and poor pollination Extremely wet weather Crop loss due to Cicadas Late hard freeze Periodical cicadas (17 yr) devastated crop: 90% loss in affected orchards

22 2016 Chestnut Size N=23

23 Larger size Lack of pollinizers due to previous freeze Fewer nuts and heavy rains Organic fertilizer Lower yield fewer nuts per tree Good weather & light crop Maybe maturity. Water Fertilizer and good weather conditions Smaller size Hot summer 2016 Chestnut Size

24 2016 Chestnut Quality

25 Higher quality 2016 Chestnut Quality Much less blossom end rot than last year Most of them were Jumbos. Much more even in size and quality Bigger, cleaner and held up better Weather Lower quality More fungal spots More blossom end rot due to small crop and more deer depredation

26 Survey participants Marketing N=23 = notes change from 2015 survey

27 The 2016/17 marketing season Approximate annual gross sale figure from chestnuts in 2016 excluding shipping and delivery N=23 Pounds of fresh chestnuts sold in 2016/2017 Organic: 19,200 pounds Conventional: 357,677 pounds

28 The 2016/17 marketing season Percentage of value added in the gross annual sale figure N=23

29 The 2016/17 marketing season Market outlets Marketing cooperative continues to increase (also increases in 2015/2016)

30 COMPARE: 2012 marketing season

31 The 2016/17 marketing season Prices Outlet Price range Marketing cooperative $ $3.75 Farmers market $5.50-$7.00 Restaurants/chefs $5.50 Distributor/Broker $1.00 Health and natural food store $4.65 Grocery store $1.00 Wholesaler $1.82-$3.81 Online, direct to consumer $ $8.40 On farm sales $2.50-$8.40 N=33

32 The 2016/17 marketing season Demand for fresh chestnuts compared to previous year N=23

33 COMPARE: 2015/16 marketing season Demand for fresh chestnuts compared to previous year Decreased demand 13% I don't know 3% Unchanged demand 22% Increased demand 62% N=40

34 The 2016/17 marketing season Current demand for fresh chestnuts N=23

35 COMPARE: 2015/16 marketing season Current demand for fresh chestnuts I don't know 18% Below supply 10% Equal to supply 10% In excess of supply 62% N=40

36 The 2016/17 marketing season Demand for value added products N=5

37 COMPARE: 2015/16 marketing season Demand for value added products I don't know 29% In excess of supply 43% Below supply 14% N=7 Equal to supply 14%

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