Cattle on Feed. United States Cattle on Feed Up 1 Percent

Transcription

1 Cattle on Feed ISSN: Released March 22, 29, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United s Department of Agriculture (USDA). United s Cattle on Feed Up Percent Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the United s for feedlots with capacity of, or more head totaled.8 million head on March, 29. The inventory was percent above March, 28. Placements in feedlots during February totaled.86 million head, 2 percent above 28. Net placements were.79 million head. February, placements of cattle and calves weighing less than 6 pounds were 4, head, pounds were, head, pounds were 5, head, -899 pounds were 442, head, pounds were, head, and, pounds and greater were 65, head. Marketings of fed cattle during February totaled.68 million head, slightly above 28. Other disappearance totaled 66, head during February, 6 percent above 28.

2 Cattle on Feed Inventory, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s: March, 28 and 29 Item On feed February... Placed on feed during February... Fed cattle marketed during February... Other disappearance during February... On feed March (, head) (, head) (percent),6,87,6 57,7,6,857,68 66,796 6 Cattle on Feed Inventory, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s: February, 28 and 29 Item On feed January... Placed on feed during January... Fed cattle marketed during January... Other disappearance during January... On feed February (, head) (, head) (percent),489 2,68,858 69,6,69,969,9 6, Cattle on Feed (March 29)

3 Cattle on Feed Inventory on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 28 and 29 March, 28 February, 29 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... March, 29 previous month (, head) (, head) (, head) (percent) (percent) , 65 2, , , ,25 5 2, , 2 525, , 2,6 26 2, Other s United s...,7,6,796 Cattle on Feed Inventory on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Cattle on Feed (March 29)

4 Cattle Placed on Feed on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 28 and 29 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... February 28 January 29 February 29 previous month (, head) (, head) (, head) (percent) (percent) Other s United s...,87,969, Cattle Placed on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 4 Cattle on Feed (March 29)

5 Cattle Placed on Feed by Weight Group on,+ Capacity Feedlots and Month s and United s: 28 and 29 Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas... February 28 Under 6 lbs lbs lbs -899 lbs 9+ lbs lbs,+ lbs Total (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) Other s United s.. Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas January 29 Under 6 lbs lbs lbs -899 lbs 9+ lbs lbs,+ lbs Total (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (X) , Other s United s.. Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas February 29 Under 6 lbs lbs lbs -899 lbs 9+ lbs lbs,+ lbs Total (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (X) , Other s United s.. 4 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. The 9 pounds and greater weight group is the sum of pounds and, pounds and greater weight groups (X) 65,857 Cattle Marketed on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 28 and 29 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... February 28 January 29 February 29 previous month (, head) (, head) (, head) (percent) (percent) Other s United s...,6,9,68 Cattle on Feed (March 29) 5

6 Cattle Marketed on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Cattle Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 28 and 29 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... February 28 January 29 February 29 previous month (, head) (, head) (, head) (percent) (percent) Other s... 4 United s Cattle on Feed (March 29)

7 Terms and Definitions of Cattle on Feed Estimates Cattle on feed are steers and heifers being fed a ration of grain, silage, hay and/or protein supplement for slaughter market that are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. It excludes cattle being "backgrounded only" for later sale as feeders or later placement in another feedlot. Placements are steers and heifers put into a feedlot, fed a ration which will produce a carcass that will grade select or better, and are intended for the slaughter market. Marketings are steers and heifers shipped out of feedlots to a slaughter market. Other disappearance includes death loss, movement from feedlots to pasture, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: January and July all known feedlots in the United s with capacity of, or more head are surveyed to provide data for cattle on feed estimates. the other months, all known feedlots from 6 s are surveyed. The 6 s account for approximately 98 percent of the cattle on feed in feedlots with capacity of, or more head. Individual estimates are published monthly for 2 of the 6 s. Data collected from the remaining 4 s are used to establish the Other s estimates. These 4 s include Illinois, New Mexico, Oregon, and Wyoming. The Other s category represents all cattle on feed with a capacity of, or more head for the rest of the United s. Estimating Procedures: These cattle on feed estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by Regional Field Offices. Regional and survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from the previous month when establishing the current estimates. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve month to month relationships. Estimates for the previous month are subject to revision in all s each month when current estimates are made. In February, all monthly estimates for the, and the number of feedlots and annual marketings from two years ago are reviewed and subject to revisions. The reviews are primarily based on slaughter data, state check-off or brand data, and any other data that may have been received after the original estimate was made. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date and estimates become final. Reliability: Since all,+ capacity cattle on feed operators in every are not included in the monthly survey, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table on the following page. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for cattle on feed inventory estimates over the past 24 months is. percent. This means that chances are 2 out of that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of.8 million head by more than. percent. Chances are 9 out of that the difference will not exceed. percent. The table on the following page shows a 24 month record of the range of differences between first and latest estimates for selected items. Using estimates of number on feed as an example, changes between the first estimate and the latest estimate during the past 24 months have averaged, head, ranging from to, head. this period the initial estimate has been above the latest estimate times and has been below the latest estimate times. This does not imply that the initial estimate is likely to understate or overstate final inventory. Cattle on Feed (March 29) 7

8 Reliability of Monthly Cattle on Feed Estimates [Based on data for the past 24 months] Item on feed... Root mean square error 9 percent confidence level Difference between first and latest estimate Average Smallest Largest Below latest Months Above latest (percent) (percent) (,) (,) (,) (number) (number).. Placements Marketings..... Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov. Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch... (22) 72-7 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section... (22) Sherry Bertramsen Livestock Slaughter... (22) Holly Brenize Sheep and Goats... (22) Donnie Fike Dairy Products... (22) Heidi Gleich Cattle, Cattle on Feed... (22) 72-4 Mike Miller Milk Production and Milk Cows... (22) Seth Riggins Hogs and Pigs... (22) Cattle on Feed (March 29)

9 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: Both national and state specific reports are available via a free subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit and click on National or in upper right corner above search box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive. Cornell s Mann Library has launched a new website housing NASS s and other agency s archived reports. The new website, All subscriptions containing reports will be sent from the new website, To continue receiving the reports via , you will have to go to the new website, create a new account and re-subscribe to the reports. If you need instructions to set up an account or subscribe, they are located at: You should whitelist notifications@usdaesmis.library.cornell.edu in your client to avoid the s going into spam/junk folders. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at () , 7: a.m. to 4: p.m. ET, or nass@nass.usda.gov. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or employment activities.) If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form (PDF), found online at or at any USDA office, or call (866) to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 4 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C , by fax (22) or at program.intake@usda.gov.

10 USDA NASS Data Users Meeting Tuesday, April 2, 29 University of Chicago Gleacher Center North Cityfront Plaza Drive Chicago, IL USDA s National Agricultural Statistics Service will hold an open forum for users of U.S. domestic and international agriculture data. NASS is organizing the 29 Data Users Meeting in cooperation with five other USDA agencies Agricultural Marketing Service, Economic Research Service, Farm Service Agency, Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board and the Census Bureau s Foreign Trade Division. Agency representatives will provide updates on recent and pending changes in statistical and information programs important to agriculture, answer questions, and welcome comments and input from data users. For registration details or additional information about the Data Users Meeting, see the meeting page on the NASS website ( Contact Vernita Murray (NASS) at or vernita.murray@nass.usda.gov or Patricia Snipe (NASS) at or patricia.snipe@nass.usda.gov for information. The Data Users Meeting precedes the Industry Outlook Conference at the same location on Wednesday, April 24, 29. The outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss developments and trends. For registration details or additional information about the Industry Outlook Conference, see the conference page on the LMIC website ( Or contact Laura Lahr at or laura.lahr@lmic.info.