MEAT AND FOODSTUFF ANNUAL REPORT 2012 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2013

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3 MEAT AND FOODSTUFF ANNUAL REPORT 2012 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2013 Analysts: Trần Ngọc Yến Trần Thị Nga Vietnam Market Analysis and Forecast Joint Stock Company - AgroMonitor 5th floor, No.97, Hao Nam Str., O Cho Dua Ward, Dong Da Dist., Hanoi Tel: Fax: Website: Customer Service Department: Tel: agromonitor.hn@gmail.com

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5 TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES IN REPORT LIST OF FIGURES IN REPORT A. DOMESTIC MARKET I. Overview of animal husbandry in Gross output of animal husbandry in Total number of cattle and poultry; and total off-take live weight in Meat imports-exports II. Pork 1. Pork supply in Imports and exports of fresh, frozen and chilled pork 3. Prices III. Bovine meat 1. Bovine meat supply in Imports of fresh, frozen and chilled bovine meat 3. Prices IV. Poultry meat 1. Supply of poultry meat in Imports of fresh, frozen and chilled chicken 3. Prices V. Processed meat VI. Factors affecting meat and foodstuff market 1. Macro factors (interest rate, exchange rate, GDP per capita, inflation) 2. Natural calamity and epidemics 3. Prices of inputs (feed, breeding animal, electricity, water, etc.) 4. Policy B. WORLD MARKET I. Pork II. Chicken

6 Meat and Foodstuff Annual Report 2012 and Outlook for 2013 AgroMonitor III. Beef C. OUTLOOK ON MEAT AND FOODTUFF MAKRET IN 2013 I. Plan on economic development and some major macro-economic indicators of Vietnam in Economic development plan for Forecast on Vietnam s economy in 2013 II. Outlook on Vietnam s meat and foodstuff market in World market 2. Vietnam market APPENDIX 3

7 LIST OF TABLES IN REPORT Table 1: Number of pig herds and poultry flocks surveyed as of April 1 and October 1, (Million heads) Table 2: Pork imports of Vietnam by market for the first 11 months of 2012 and compared to the same period of 2011 (Million US$, %) Table 3: Situation of blue ear disease, Table 4: Policies related to animal husbandry in 2012 Table 5: World pork output, consumption, imports-exports in 2012 (Thousand tons) Table 6: Industrial chicken output in 2012 (Thousand tons) Table 7: 2012 world bovine meat output, consumption and exports (thousand tons) Table 8: Forecast of international organizations on Vietnam s economic outlook in 2012 and 2013 Table 9: Plan on developing livestock and poultry production in 2013 (Thousand heads) Table10: Plan for livestock and poultry output in 2013 (1000 thousand tons) : 2012=> 2013 Table 11: Imports of meat and meat products by type, 2010-First 11 months of 2012 (Million US$) Table 12: Meat exports of Vietnam, 2009-First 11 months of 2012 (Million US$) Table 13: Off-take weight of live hog, (Thousand tons) Table 14: 10 provinces of Vietnam with the highest number of pigs, (Thousand pigs) Table 15: Imports-exports of pork, 2009-First 11 months of 2012 (Million US$) Table 16: Major importers of Vietnam pork, 2009-First 11 months of 2012 (Million US$) Table 17: Off-take weight of buffaloes and cows, and growth rate (Thousand tons, %)

8 Meat and Foodstuff Annual Report 2012 and Outlook for 2013 AgroMonitor Table 18: 10 provinces of Vietnam with the highest number of buffaloes and cows, (Thousand heads) Table 19: Bovine meat imports of Vietnam from some major partners, First 11 months of 2012 (Million US$) Table 20: Off-take weight of live poultry, (Thousand tons) Table 21: Imports of poultry and poultry offal of Vietnam from some major markets, 2010-First 11 months of 2012 (Million US$) Table 22: Imports of processed meat, 2010-First 11 months of 2012 (Thousand US$) Table 23: Base interest rate of Vietnam dong, (%) Table 24: Growth rate in gross retail sales of goods and services for the first 11 months, (compared to the same period of the previous year, %) 5

9 LIST OF FIGURES IN REPORT Figure 1: Gross output growth of animal husbandry and agro-forestry & fisheries, (Million VND, %) Figure 2: Total off-take live weight of animals, (Thousand tons) Figure 3: Total meat and meat product imports, January 2009-November 2012 (Million US$) Figure 4: Increasing/decreasing rate of meat import value for the first 11 months of 2012 and compared to the same period of 2011 (%) Figure 5: Meat imports by type, 2010-first 11 months of 2012 (Million US$) Figure 6: Meat import proportion by type for the first 11 months of 2012 and compared to the same period of 2011 (%) Figure 7: Meat exports of Vietnam, (Million US$) Figure 8: Correlation in meat import-export value of Vietnam, January November 2012 (Value of January 2010=100) Figure 9: Meat export proportion by type for the first 11 months of 2012 and compared to the same period of 2011 (%) Figure 10: Total off-take weight of live hog, (Thousand tons) Figure 11: Top 10 provinces in number of pigs nationwide, (Thousand pigs) Figure 12: Imports of pork, January 2009-November 2012 (Million US$) Figure 13: Pork exports of Vietnam, January 2009-November 2012 (Million US$) Figure 14: Key pork export markets of Vietnam, first 11 months of 2012 (Million US$) Figure 15: Development of over-80-kg live hog prices in some markets, (VND/kg) Figure 16: Development of live hog prices in Dong Nai in 2012 (Thousand VND/kg) Figure 17: Development of ham prices in some markets, (VND/kg) Figure 18: Correlation between prices of over-80-kg live hog and ham in Hanoi, (Price of January 2010=100)

10 Meat and Foodstuff Annual Report 2012 and Outlook for 2013 AgroMonitor Figure 19: Correlation between prices of over-80-kg live hog and ham in HCMC, (Price of January 2010=100) Figure 20: Total off-take live weight of buffaloes and cows, and growth (Thousand tons, %) Figure 21: 10 provinces with the highest number buffaloes and cows countrywide (Thousand heads) Figure 22: Bovine meat imports of Vietnam by month, January November 2012 (Million US$) Figure 23: Bovine meat imports of Vietnam from some major partners, first 11 months of 2012 (Million US$) Figure 24: Average silverside prices by month in some localities, (VND/kg) Figure 25: Production of live poultry, (Thousand tons) Figure 26: Imports of poultry and poultry offal of Vietnam, January November 2012 (Million US$) Figure 27: Imports of poultry and poultry offal of Vietnam from some markets, 2009-first 11 months of 2012 (Million US$) Figure 28: Prices of live original chicken in Hanoi, January 2010-December 2012 (VND/kg) Figure 29: Prices of three-color chicken in Dong Nai in 2012 (VND/kg) Figure 30: Prices of original chicken carcass and industrial chicken carcass in Hanoi, January 2010-December 2012 (VND/kg) Figure 31: Imports and exports of processed meat, January 2009-November 2012 (Thousand US$) Figure 32: Growth rate in gross retail sales of goods and services, (comapred to a year earlier, %) Figure 33: Consumer price index (CPI), food price index and foodstuff price index, (December 2007=100) Figure 34: Base interest rate of Vietnam dong, (%) Figure 35: Grains and oilseeds index, (Index of January 2000=100) Figure 36: Development of domestic corn procurement prices in 2012 (VND/kg) Figure 37: Global beef/veal output, (Thousand tons) 7

11 Figure 38: Beef/veal outputs of the U.S., Brazil and India, (Thousand tons) Figure 39: Global beef imports-exports, (Thousand tons) Figure 40: Beef exports of major countries, (Thousand tons) Figure 41: World pork output and consumption, (Thousand tons) Figure 42: Pork output, consumption and imports of China, (Million tons) Figure 43: World industrial chicken output and consumption, (Thousand tons)

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