Small Grains Summary. September United States Department of Agriculture. National Agricultural Statistics Service.

Transcription

1 United s Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 Cr Pr 2-3 (0)

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3 All wheat production totaled 2. billion bushels in 0, up 2 percent from the last forecast but percent below 03. Grain area is.2 million acres, down percent from last year. The U.S. yield is 3. bushels per acre, down. bushels from a year ago. Levels of production and change from last year by type are: winter wheat,. billion bushels, down 3 percent; other spring wheat, million bushels, up percent; and Durum wheat, 90. million bushels, down percent. Oat production is estimated at million bushels, 9 percent below the August forecast and 9 percent below last year s million bushels. The estimated yield is. bushels per acre, down. bushels from August and down 0. bushel from a year ago. Record high yields are estimated in South Dakota and Washington. Harvested area is. million acres, percent below the August forecast and 9 percent below last year. This is the smallest acreage harvested for grain on record, continuing a steady downward trend. Barley production is estimated at 20 million bushels, up 3 percent from the August forecast and up percent from last year. Average yield per acre, at a record high 9. bushels, is up 3. bushels from the last forecast and 0. bushels above 03. The area harvested for grain is estimated at.03 million acres, down 3 percent from August and percent below a year ago. The increase from the previous production forecast is mostly due to Montana, where harvested area is up,000 acres and the yield increased by bushels per acre. For Idaho, North Dakota, and Washington, yields increased from August but are more than offset by decreases in the harvested acreage, resulting in lower production. This report was approved on September 30, 0. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Floyd D. Gaibler Chairperson Rich Allen Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

4 Contents Page Grains & Hay Barley... Oats... Rye... Wheat, All... Wheat, by Class... 3 Wheat, Class Percentage Estimates... Wheat, Durum... 3 Head Population... Wheat, Other Spring... 2 Head Population... Wheat, Winter... 0 Head Population... Crop Comments... Crop Summary... Information Contacts Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 2 NASS, UA

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6 CA CO GA ID IL IN IA KS ME MI MO NE NY NC OH OK OR PA SC TX UT WA WI WY Oats: Area Planted and Harvested, by and United s, 02-0 Area Planted Area Harvested ,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres ,99 Includes area planted in preceding fall.,9,0 2,0 2,2,0 Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

7 CA CO GA ID IL IN IA KS ME MI MO NE NY NC OH OK OR PA SC TX UT WA WI WY Yield Oats: Yield and Production, by and United s, 02-0 Production Bushels Bushels Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels ,2 00,0, 3,2 3,300 3, 2,29,,0, 2,300 2,3,,3 2,0 3,3 0 2,,0,,00, 30,000 2,00 9,0,,,0 0,90,0 2,02,0,,,90,,0,29 2, 3,9 900,0,90,,,300 92,0,0 2,,,0,0 2, 900 0,00, 2,00,, ,00 3,0 3,0, 3,9 3, 2,000,0, 3,90,00 2 3, ,002,33, Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

8 AZ CA CO DE ID KS KY ME MD MI NE NV NJ NY NC OH OR PA UT VA WA WI WY Barley: Area Planted and Harvested, by and United s, 02-0 Area Planted Area Harvested ,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres ,0, , 2, , , , , , ,00 Includes area planted in preceding fall.,3,2,23,2,03 Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

9 AZ CA CO DE ID KS KY ME MD MI NE NV NJ NY NC OH OR PA UT VA WA WI WY Yield Barley: Yield and Production, by and United s, 02-0 Production Bushels Bushels Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels ,00,3,,909, 9 2, 3,9 3, 39, ,0, ,,0, 2, 3, 9,00,,0 3, 3,2,93,239, 0, 2,02 2, 3, ,00 3 3,0 3,9 2,9 2,00 2,90,,9,9,0,0 9,0 2,00 9,00 33,30 2, 2,0, ,30 0, 3,0 3, 3,0 2,9,,0, ,90 2,23 20,03 Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

10 AL AZ AR CA CO DE FL GA ID IL IN IA KS KY LA MD MI MS MO NE NV NJ NM NY NC OH OK OR PA SC TN TX UT VA WA WV WI WY All Wheat: Area Planted and Harvested, by and United s, 02-0 Area Planted Area Harvested ,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres , , 30 9, , ,90, ,00, ,030 0, , ,30 30,90 0,0 0 0, 9,0, ,30,0,00, 0 3,0 30,0 20 2, ,3 330, , ,2,0,0, ,9 9,0, , 00, , , 3 90, , ,3 0,9, 32 30,9 0 3,00 0 0, 300 2, , , , , , 0,0, 2 0 0,0,000,0,00 2,9 3, 3 2,3 0 03, 90, ,0 30, 3 930,00, ,90 90, ,9 20 3, ,2 23,3 2, Includes area planted in preceding fall. 9,,2 3,03, Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

11 Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 9 NASS, UA All Wheat: Yield and Production, by and United s, 02-0 Yield Production Bushels Bushels Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels AL AZ AR CA CO DE FL GA ID IL IN IA KS KY LA MD MI MS MO NE NV NJ NM NY NC OH OK OR PA SC TN TX UT VA WA WV WI WY ,00 9, 3,0 3,00 3, 3,0 2,90,0 30,0,30,0,,00,2 29,0 2,,0 33,0 0,3, 0,2 3,900,,0 2,09,2 03,0 3,0 9,0,290,2,,300 3,90 0,30 29,0 33, 2,,, 3,,92 2,0 3,,, ,0, 2,0 29,,2 0,000 2,00,0,3,0 0,2, 3,00 2,330 3, 9,092,0,3, 3,090,000 9,00 3,,09,2,39 3,0 9,0,,3 39,3 2 2,300,09 2,3, 2,0 9,93 32, 3,0,0 2,2,0 0,0 3, 2,20,3 3,0,,0, 0,9 90,0,,3,330,0 9,2,00,300 23, ,,0,0,90,,9 2, 3, 0,0, 9,900 3,0 2 2,2 3, 2,3,

12 AL AZ AR CA CO DE FL GA ID IL IN IA KS KY LA MD MI MS MO NE NV NJ NM NY NC OH OK OR PA SC TN TX UT VA WA WV WI WY Winter Wheat: Area Planted and Harvested, by and United s, 02-0 Area Planted Area Harvested ,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres , , ,, , ,300 0, , ,0 30 0, ,900, ,0, ,0 30,0 20, 2 2, , ,0,900, ,0 0 90,0 00, , , , , , ,00 0,00 0 2, , ,, ,000,0 90,30 3,,00 3, , ,30, , ,0 20 3,0 0, 2 3,,3 Includes area planted in preceding fall. 3,3 29,2 3,3 3,2 Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 0 NASS, UA

13 Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA Winter Wheat: Yield and Production, by and United s, 02-0 Yield Production Bushels Bushels Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels AL AZ AR CA CO DE FL GA ID IL IN IA KS KY LA MD MI MS MO NE NV NJ NM NY NC OH OK OR PA SC TN TX UT VA WA WV WI WY ,00 3,0 22,00 3,300 3,0 2,90, 30,0,30,0,,00,2 29,0,00,0 33,0 2,0,,2 3,900,,0 2,,2 03,0 29, 9,0,290,,,300 3,0 0,30 0,00 33,2 2,3,3,00 3, 2 2,0,00,000, ,0,0 2,0 29,,2 0,000 2,00,0,3,0 9, 3,00,30 3, 29,092,0,3,,0,000 9,00,90,09,2,90 3,0 9,0,,3, ,0 3,9,,2 2,0 3 32, 2,0,900 2,2,0 3,000 3, 2,20,3 3,0,,0, 0,9,000,,3,30,0 330,2,00,300 23,000 9,900,0,0,0,,9,0 3, 0,0, 9,900,0 2 2,0 3,,99,3

14 CO ID NV OR UT WA WI WY CO ID NV OR UT WA WI WY Other Spring Wheat: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by and United s, 02-0 Area Planted Area Harvested ,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres 0 2,000 3,,900,00 0 9,39 Yield 30 30, 2,900,0,00 0 3,2 0,00 3,000,0 0, ,3,00 3, 2,900 30, , ,00 2,,00 0,30 2 3, Production Bushels Bushels Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels ,00 29,900,0,900,0,0 2, , , 2,0 0,00, ,00,0, , ,30 2,900,000,30 2 3, ,0 9,0 9, ,000,00,90 9 2, ,9 3,02 3, Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 2 NASS, UA

15 AZ CA AZ CA Durum Wheat: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by and United s, 02-0 Area Planted Area Harvested ,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres , 30 2,93 Yield , ,9, 2, 93 90,9 2, ,90 2 2,9 Production Bushels Bushels Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels ,92 9, ,99,,0,0,90, ,0 2, 9,3 9,000,0 3, ,9 9,3 90, Year Hard Red Wheat: Production by Class, United s, 02-0 Winter Soft Red White Hard Red Spring White Durum,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,32,00,99,2 3,9 30,3 30,30 9,0 2,290 22,9 3,39 99, 30,2 Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data available. 3, 3,2 3, 9,9 9,3 90, Total,, 2,3, 2,3, Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 3 NASS, UA

16 Wheat: Class Percentage Estimates The following percentages are the basis for the U.S. wheat production by class estimates each year. These estimates are based on the latest varietal or class survey data available. These end-of-season percentages will be used during the 0 forecast season. However, if an unusual situation significantly distorts a s usual distribution, then updated percentages will be used to forecast the production by class. (Note: the Idaho, Oregon, and Washington percentages are based on their estimates of production by class). AL AZ AR CA CO DE FL GA ID IL IN IA KS KY LA MD MI MS MO NE NV NJ NM NY NC OH OK OR PA SC TN TX UT VA WA WV WI WY Wheat: Production Distribution by Class and, 03-0 Winter Oth Spr (excl Durum) Hard Red Soft Red White Hard Red White Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

17 Winter Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 0 winter wheat estimating s during 0. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields were visited monthly from May through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. CO Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected s, 00-0 Month July August Number Number Number Number Number IL July August KS July August MO July August July August NE July August OH July August OK July August TX July August WA July August Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

18 All Spring Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in three spring wheat producing s during 0. Randomly selected plots in wheat fields were visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Crop and Other Spring All Spring Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected s, Number Number Number Number Number Durum Preliminary. counts will be published in the "Crop Production 0 Summary" Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

19 GA OK Rye: Area Planted and Harvested by and United s, 02-0 Area Planted Area Harvested ,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres Oth Sts ,3,3,30 Includes area planted in preceding fall. 2 Other s include IL, KS, MI,, NE, NY, NC, PA, SC, TX, and WI GA OK Rye: Yield and Production by and United s, 02-0 Yield Production Bushels Bushels Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels ,300 00, 2 0 0,90 9 Oth Sts ,,2, Other s include IL, KS, MI,, NE, NY, NC, PA, SC, TX, and WI.,,3, Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

20 Crop Oats Barley All Wheat Winter Durum Other Spring Rye Crop Oats Barley All Wheat Winter Durum Other Spring Rye Crop Oats Barley All Wheat Winter Durum Other Spring Rye Small Grains - Annual Summary: Area Planted, United s, 02-0 (Domestic Units) Area Planted ,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres,99,00,3, 2,93,39,3,9,3 2,,3 2,9 3,2,3 Small Grains - Annual Summary: Area Harvested, United s, 02-0 (Domestic Units) Area Harvested ,000 Acres,000 Acres,000 Acres 2,0,23,2 29,2 2,09 3,33 23 Small Grains - Annual Summary: Yield, United s, 02-0 (Domestic Units) Yield 2,2,2 3,03 3,3 2,9 3, Bushels Bushels Bushels ,0,2 9, 3,3 2, 3,3,30,0,03, 3,2 2, 3, Crop Oats Barley All Wheat Winter Durum Other Spring Rye Small Grains - Annual Summary: Production, United s, 02-0 (Domestic Units) Production ,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,000 Bushels,002 22,90,,,3,00 9,9 3,9,,33 2,23 2,3,,,2 9,3 3,02,3, 20,03 2,3,,99,3 90, 3,, Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

21 Crop Oats Barley All Wheat Winter Durum Other Spring Rye Crop Oats Barley All Wheat Winter Durum Other Spring Rye Small Grains - Annual Summary: Area Planted, United s, 02-0 (Metric Units) Area Planted Hectares Hectares Hectares 2,02,30 2,02,90 2,0,090,902,20,,,32,9,3,,3 2,,20,,0,3,,9,,,, Small Grains - Annual Summary: Area Harvested, United s, 02-0 (Metric Units) Area Harvested Hectares Hectares Hectares 32,,,,, 2,03,290,09,30,,9 0,30 9,0,92,90 2,,00,3,,,0,39,0 29,,3,,32,030 2,9,0,3,30,03,0,9,,0 3,,3,30,3,0 3,9,30 990,0,39,9 29,0 Crop Oats Barley All Wheat Winter Durum Other Spring Rye Small Grains - Annual Summary: Yield, United s, 02-0 (Metric Units) Yield Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Crop Oats Barley All Wheat Winter Durum Other Spring Rye Small Grains - Annual Summary: Production, United s, 02-0 (Metric Units) Production Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons,3,,90,300 3,0,0 30,9, 2,, 0,,90,00 2,09,0,0,900 3,3,90,2,90 2,30,030,2,390 29,30,9,00,09,,,30 0,0,90 2,2,0,,3 2,30 Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 9 NASS, UA

22 Oats: Production is estimated at million bushels, 9 percent below the August forecast and 9 percent below last year s million bushels. The estimated yield is. bushels per acre, down. bushels from August and down 0. bushel from a year ago. Record high yields are estimated in South Dakota and Washington. Harvested area is. million acres, percent below the August forecast and 9 percent below last year. This is the smallest acreage harvested for grain on record, continuing a steady downward trend. Compared with last year, area harvested for grain declined,000 acres in Minnesota, 3,000 acres in North Dakota, and,000 acres in South Dakota. During April, much of the Corn Belt and Great Plains regions experienced favorable weather conditions and adequate soil moisture, allowing planting to progress ahead of normal. In the Ohio and upper Mississippi Valleys, planting continued at a rapid pace through month s end. By April, the major oat-producing s had percent of the acreage planted compared with 0 percent for the five year average. The northern Great Plains received frequent showers around mid-may which provided much-needed moisture for the emerging crop. However, below normal temperatures slowed crop development slightly. In the Corn Belt, beneficial rains allowed for adequate growth and development. By the end of May, 92 percent had emerged compared with percent for the five year average. During June, cooler weather in the northern Great Plains began to slow crop development, while in the Corn Belt, lower temperatures did not have much of an adverse effect on the crop. During July, fields entered the heading stage and matured at a near normal pace in all s except Minnesota, where cool weather caused progress to lag. By August, harvest had begun in all s, but was behind normal due to continued cool weather and areas of thunderstorms. By the end of the month favorably drier conditions allowed harvest to advance to near normal levels, except in Minnesota and North Dakota. On September, harvest was 90 percent complete in Minnesota and 9 percent complete in North Dakota, compared with 9 percent and percent for their respective five year averages. Elsewhere, harvest was virtually complete. Barley: Production is estimated at 20 million bushels, up 3 percent from the August forecast and up percent from last year s estimate. Average yield per acre, at 9. bushels, is up 3. bushels from the last forecast and 0. bushels above 03. The area harvested for grain is estimated at.03 million acres, percent below a year ago. Nationally, harvested area is the smallest since 9 but yield is a new record high,.0 bushels above the previous record of 2. bushels set in 992. Record yields were set in Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nebraska, and South Dakota. This year s barley crop got an early start in the five major-producing s, with planting and emergence advancing well ahead of the -year average. However, as below-normal temperatures prevailed across the northern Great Plains and northern Corn Belt throughout the summer, development lagged behind the normal pace. On August 29, harvest was percent complete, 29 points behind last year and points behind normal. With maturity delayed by the cool summer conditions, Minnesota growers had harvested just percent of their acreage, 3 points behind normal, while North Dakota producers, with percent of their acreage harvested, trailed the normal pace by 2 points. Winter Wheat: The 0 winter wheat production is estimated at. billion bushels. This is up nearly percent from the August forecast but 3 percent below last year s crop. The U.S. yield is 3. bushels per acre, up 0. bushel from August but 3.2 bushels below last year s final yield. Acreage for grain is estimated at 3. million acres, percent below 03. Planted area is 3. million acres, down percent from the previous year. Hard Red Winter (HRW) harvested acreage was down significantly from last year in the central Great Plains and Montana due to fewer planted acres and higher than normal abandonment. Dry spring conditions led to lower yields in all Plains s, except Texas and South Dakota. Timely rains in South Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 NASS, UA

23 Dakota and Montana resulted in better yields than in 03. Yields in Texas rebounded from below average levels last year. Overall, HRW production totals million bushels, down percent from last year. Soft Red Winter (SRW) producing s yields improved significantly from poor yields last year in the South and along the Atlantic coast. Yields declined from very good levels last year in most other s. Overall, SRW production is down fractionally from 03 and totals 30 million bushels. White Winter production, at 23 million bushels, is down percent from last year. Improved yields more than offset lower acreage in the Pacific Northwest (Idaho, Oregon, and Washington). Excellent irrigated and non-irrigated yields in Idaho resulted in a level yield equal to the record high set in 00. Other Spring Wheat: Production in 0 is estimated at million bushels, up percent from the last forecast and up percent from 03. Harvested area is 3.3 million acres, percent lower than last year. The U.S. yield is a record high 3. bushels per acre, 3. bushels better than last year and.3 bushels higher than the previous record set in 992. Dry spring conditions resulted in timely seeding of the crop. Early planting combined with timely rains resulted in rapid emergence. Crop development slowed throughout the summer due to cool temperatures and frequent precipitation, especially in Minnesota, North Dakota, and Montana. Cool, damp weather continued into August and September, delaying harvest progress. As of September 2, only percent of the crop was harvested, 0 points behind the -year average. Yields are better than last year in all s except Minnesota and Wisconsin, with large increases in most s. Objective yield survey data showed very high plant populations and weight per head in Minnesota, North Dakota, and Montana. Timely rains in eastern Idaho resulted in very good dryland yields. Durum Wheat: Production for 0 totaled 90. million bushels, up 2 percent from August, but percent less than last year. Grain area harvested totaled 2. million acres, percent below a year ago. The U.S. yield is estimated at 3.0 bushels per acre, up. bushels from the last forecast and 3.3 bushels per acre above 03. North Dakota s Durum harvest was only 2 percent complete as of September 2, more than 2 weeks behind the -year average and 3 weeks behind last year. Rye: Production for 0 is estimated at.2 million bushels, down fractionally from last year. Harvested area totaled 3,000 acres, up,000 from 03. The U.S. yield, at 2.9 bushels per acre, is down 0.2 bushel from last year. Oklahoma leads the Nation in production and recorded their largest crop on record. South Dakota set a new record high yield, breaking last year s record by bushels per acre. Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 2 NASS, UA

24 Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Joe Prusacki, Chief (2) -22 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (2) -22 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (2) -0 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed (2) -92 Troy Joshua - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (2) -9 Dennis Koong - Hay, Oats, Sorghum (2) Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (2) -39 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (2) - Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops (2) -2 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (2) -22 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (2) -23 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas (2) -30 Jorge Garcia-Pratts - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (2) -2 Rich Holcomb - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (2) -2 Terry O Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes (2) -2 Kim Ritchie - Hops (3) Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (2) -2 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (2) -2 Small Grains 0 Summary September 0 22 NASS, UA

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26 UA Data Users Meeting October, 0 Hampton Inn & Suites Chicago, Illinois (32) The UA s National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and seek comments and input from data users. Other UA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be included in the meeting. For registration details or additional information for the Data Users Meeting, see the NASS homepage at or contact Karlyn McCutcheon (NASS) at (2) 90- or at karlyn_mccutcheon@nass.usda.gov. This Data Users Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on October 9, 0. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register contact Jim Robb (Livestock and Marketing Information Center) at () -29 or at robb@lmic.info.