Sensitivity of the US Agriculture and Forest Sectors to Climate Change Policies and Adaptation

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Sensitivity of the US Agriculture and Forest Sectors to Climate Change Policies and Adaptation"

Transcription

1 28th USAEE/IAEE North America Conferences Sensitivity of the US Agriculture and Forest Sectors to Climate Change Policies and Adaptation En Zhu Argonne National Laboratory Bruce A. McCarl Texas A&M University 12/9/2008 1

2 28th USAEE/IAEE North America Conferences Climate Change Mitigation A worldwide issue of concern Globally coordinated action UNFCCC : UN Framework Convention on Climate Change Created in 1992 and ratified by 176 governments. Objective of stabilizing atmospheric GHG concentrations. Under it s support, the KYOTO Protocol was formed. 12/9/2008 2

3 GHG Sources-Why Us? U.S. -- one fourth of the world s total emissions. Energy-related activities 85% of total emissions on a carbon equivalent basis in Carbon Emission Sources in US 22% 6% 8% 28% 36% Power Plant Transportation Industry Agriculture Residential Source: EPA - U.S. GHGE Inventory /9/2008 3

4 Why Agriculture and Forestry? Options for net GHGE reduction Energy use reduction Energy production fuel source switching Agriculture and forestry (AF) McCarl and Schneider 1999: low-cost Other emission reduction is expensive: requires a large cut in energy use, or new technologies. AF Mitigation strategies are competitive Watson 2000: cost-effective, co-benefits soil productivity could be improved through increased capacity to retain water and nutrients long-lived valuable products (wood) are produced marginal lands could be improved and riparian ecosystems restored Erosion reduction 12/9/2008 4

5 Emission Reduction Options in Ag and Forestry Four fundamental ways: 1. Change land use e.g., afforestation, grassland conversion 2. Alter management practices e.g., soil tillage practices, extend timber rotations 3. Alter production levels and activity mix e.g. Less animals or a different mix of grass fed / feedlot 4. Substitute for GHG-intensive products e.g., biofuels for fossil fuels A comprehensive assessment should try to capture these elements 12/9/2008 5

6 A Modeling Approach: FASOMGHG Forest and Agricultural Sector Optimization Model with GHG effects (CO2, CH4, N2O) Examines land-based GHG strategies Considers saturation characteristics of both soils and forests (uses 30 years for ag soils, FORCARB model for forest soils and growth/yield characteristics of forests from USDA Forest Service) 100 year model, decadal time-step Land exchanges in response to GHG prices, plus all the agricultural activities by decade 12/9/2008 6

7 Basic Modeling --FASOMGHG 12/9/2008 7

8 Spatial Resolution of FASOMGHG 12/9/2008 8

9 International Trade in FASOMGHG Foreign regions included in FASOMGHG FASOM has supply and demand curves for corn, 4 types of wheat, soybeans, rice and sorghum across the above regions and within 11 major US regions where the region trades the commodity. FASOM also maintains transportation costs between all regions. The model determines exports to the point where prices are in equilibrium considering transport across all markets. 12/9/2008 9

10 FASOMGHG Mitigation Options Strategy Basic Nature CO2 CH4 N2O Crop Mix Alteration Emis, Seq X X Crop Fertilization Alteration Emis, Seq X X Crop Input Alteration Emission X X Crop Tillage Alteration Emission X X Grassland Conversion Sequestration X Irrigated /Dry land Mix Emission X X Ferment Ethanol Production Offset X X X Cellulosic Ethanol Production Offset X X X Biodiesel Production Offset X X X Bioelectric Production Offset X X X Stocker/Feedlot mix Emission X Enteric fermentation Emission X Livestock Herd Size Emission X X Livestock System Change Emission X X Manure Management Emission X X Rice Acreage Emission X X X Afforestation Sequestration X Existing timberland Manage Sequestration X Deforestation Emission X Forest Product Choice 12/9/2008 Sequestration X 10

11 Dynamic Role of Sinks Strategies Cumulative Contribution at a $10 Price MMT MMT Non-CO2 Sources Agricultural Soil 7500 Forest Carbon Time Cumulative Contribution at a $25 Price Non-CO2 Sources Biofuel Offset 7500 Agricultural Soil Forest Carbon Cumulative Contribution at a $50 Price MMT MMT Non-CO2 Sources Biofuel Offset Agricultural Soil Forest Carbon Time Cumulative Contribution at a $100 Price Non-CO2 Sources Biofuel Offset Agricultural Soil Forest Carbon Time Source: Lee, Heng-Chi, An Economic Investigation of the Dynamic Role for Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation by 12/9/ the U.S. Agricultural and Forest Sectors, PhD Dissertation, Texas A&M University,December Time

12 Dynamic Role of Strategies (II) Time from Now 0 to 30 years >30 years Limited forest and afforest Non co2 Ag soils Limited forest and afforest Non co2 Bio fuels Non co2 Limited Ag soils Forest and afforest Biofuels Non co2 <$50/metric ton >$50/metric ton Level of Price 12/9/

13 Results Mitigation and Market Effects Fisher index GHG Mitigation and Ag-Markets Crop prices Livestock prices Livestock production Crop production Crop exports Carbon price ($/tce) Tradeoff between carbon and traditional production ag prices rise, forest products fall 12/9/

14 Results: Co-Benefits, Economic & Envir. 150 Ag-Sector Welfare 100 Multi-environmental Impacts Welfare changes (bill $) U.S. Producers (Net) Foreign Countries Dead Weight Loss U.S. Consumers Carbon price ($/tce) Pollution (%/acre) Nitrogen Subsurface Flow Phosphorus loss through sediment Soil erosion Carbon price ($/tce) Nitrogen Percolation Producers gain & Consumers lose Exports reduced 12/9/ Environmental gains Some co-benefits do not saturate over time but continue to be accrued (erosion, runoff, farm income).

15 Commodity FASOMGHG with Bioenergy Offset Rates Computed Through Lifecycle Analysis Net Carbon Emission Reduction (%) Crop Ethanol Cellulosic Ethanol Energy Form Biodiesel Electricity Co-Fire 5% Electricity fire100 Corn 31 Sorghum 39 Sugarcane 65 Corn Residue Wheat Residue SwitchGrass Energy Sorghum Sweet Sorghum 61 Sweet Sorghum Ratoon 63 Soybean Oil 71 Corn Oil 55 Bagasse Lignin Crop ethanol<cellulosic<biodiesel<electricity Opportunities have different potentials Ethanol offsets are in comparison to gasoline Power plants offsets are in comparison to coal. 12/9/

16 Questions and discussions 12/9/

17 Reference Aber J., R.P. Neilson, S. McNulty, J. M. Lenihan, D. Bachelet, and R.J. Drapek Forest Processes and Global Environmental Change: Predicting the Effects of Individual and Multiple Stressors. BioScience 51: Adams DM, RJ Alig, BA McCarl et al FASOMGHG conceptual structure, and specification: documentation. Texas A&M University, ( Adams, R., B.A. McCarl, D. Dudek, and J. Glyer: 1988, 'Implications of Global Climate Change for Western Agriculture', Western J. Agric. Econ. 12(2), Adams, R., Rosenzweig, C., Peart, R., Ritchie, J., McCar., R., Glyer, J., Curry, R., Jones, J., Boote, K., and Allen, Jr., L.: 1990 'Global Climate Change and US Agriculture', Nature 345(17), Adkins, L., and R. Garbaccio. A Bibliography of CGE Models Applied to Environmental Issues. Working Paper, US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C., Alig, R.J., D.M. Adams, and B.A. McCarl. Impacts of Incorporating Land Exchanges Between Forestry and Agriculture in Sector Models. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 30, 2(December 1998): Alig, R. J., D.M. Adams, and B.A. McCarl. Projecting Impacts of Global Climate Change on the US Forest and Agriculture Sectors and Carbon Budgets. Report under national climate change assessment, Alig, R.J., D.M. Adams and B.A. McCarl, "Projecting Impacts of Global Climate Change on the US Forest and Agriculture Sectors and Carbon Budgets", Forest Ecology and Management, (Special Issue), Alig, R.J., D.M. Adams, B.A. McCarl, J.M. Callaway, and S.M. Winnett. Assessing Effects of Mitigation Strategies for Global Climate Change with an Intertemporal Model of the US Forest and Agriculture Sectors. Environmental and Resource Economics, 9: , Antle, J.M., S. Capalbo, S. Mooney, T.E. Elliott and K. Paustian Spatial Heterogeneity, Contract Design, and the Efficiency of Carbon Sequestration Policies for Agriculture October /9/

18 Reference Antle, J.M. and B.A. McCarl The Economics of Carbon Sequestration in Agricultural Soils The International yearbook of environmental and resource economics 2002/2003 pp Antle, J.M. and S. Mooney, Designing Efficient Policies for Agricultural Soil Carbon Sequestration, in Agriculture Practices and Policies for Carbon Sequestration in Soil (J. Kimble, Ed.), pp , CRC Press LLC, Boca Raton, FL Arthur, L.: 1988, 'The Greenhouse Effect and the Canadian Prairies', in Johnston, G., Freshwater, D., and Favero, P., (eds.), Natural Resource and Environmental Policy Issues, Westview Press, Inc., Boulder. Babcock, B.A., P.G. Lakshminarayan, J.J. Wu, and D. Zilberman, The Economics of A Public Fund for Environmental Amenities: A study of CRP contracts American Journal of Agricultural Economics 78, Babiker, Mustafa H Subglobal Climate-Change Actions and Carbon Leakage: The Implications of International Capital Flows. Energy Economics 23: Bairam, E. 1991, Elasticity of Substitution, Technical Progress and Returns to Scale in Branches of Soviet Industry: A New CES Production Function Approach. Journal of Applied Econometrics, vol. 6, Barker, Terry Achieving a 10 percent Cut in Europe s Carbon Dioxide Emissions using Additional Excise Duties: Coordinated, Uncoordinated and Unilateral Action using the Econometric Model E3ME. Economic Systems Research 11(4): Bernstein, P. M., W. D. Montgomery, T. F. Rutherford. Global Impacts of the Kyoto Agreement: Results from the MS-MRT Model. Resource and Energy Economics 21 (1999) Binkley, C., M. Apps, and L. Nilsson. Sequestering Carbon in Natural Forests. Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology 27(1997): Binkley, C., D. Brand, Z Harkin, G. Bull, N. Ravindranath, M. Obersteins, S. Nilsson, Y. Yamagata, and M. Krott. Carbon Sink by the Forest Sector: Options and Needs for Implementation. Forest Policy and Economics 4, no. 1(2002): And Lot more.. 12/9/

An Economic Exploration of Biofuel based Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation

An Economic Exploration of Biofuel based Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation An Economic Exploration of Biofuel based Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Bruce A. McCarl Regents Professor of Agricultural Economics Texas A&M University Presented at Workshop on Agriculture as a Producer

More information

Economic Potential for Agricultural Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: An Investigation in the United States

Economic Potential for Agricultural Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: An Investigation in the United States Economic Potential for Agricultural Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: An Investigation in the United States Bruce A. McCarl Department of Agricultural Economics Texas A&M University U. A. Schneider Departments

More information

Communicating to (with) policymakers Example in dealing with comprehensiveness and uncertainty

Communicating to (with) policymakers Example in dealing with comprehensiveness and uncertainty Overview Communicating to (with) policymakers Example in dealing with comprehensiveness and uncertainty Emissions from Forestry & Agriculture and the panorama of policy choices 1 Perspective # 1 2 Global

More information

Curbing Greenhouse Gases: Agriculture's Role

Curbing Greenhouse Gases: Agriculture's Role Curbing Greenhouse Gases: Agriculture's Role Bruce A. McCarl Professor Department of Agricultural Economics Texas A&M University (409) 845-7504 (fax) mccarl@tamu.edu Uwe Schneider Research Associate Department

More information

Forest and Agriculture Sector Optimization. Analysis of Deforestation and Climate Change

Forest and Agriculture Sector Optimization. Analysis of Deforestation and Climate Change Forest and Agriculture Sector Optimization Model-Green House Gases (FASOMGHG) Analysis of Deforestation and Climate Change Mitigation Options Ralph J. Alig, USDA Forest Service, PNW Research Station Greg

More information

Jointly Estimating Carbon Sequestration Supply from Forests and Agriculture

Jointly Estimating Carbon Sequestration Supply from Forests and Agriculture Jointly Estimating Carbon Sequestration Supply from Forests and Agriculture Bruce A. McCarl (mccarl@tamu.edu, 979-845-1706) Department of Agricultural Economics Texas A&M University College Station, TX,

More information

Agriculture in the climate change and energy price squeeze

Agriculture in the climate change and energy price squeeze Agriculture in the climate change and energy price squeeze Bruce A. McCarl Regents Professor of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University Texas Agricultural Experiment Station Darius Adams, Oregon State

More information

Assessing Economic Potential for GHG Offsets in US Agriculture and Forestry

Assessing Economic Potential for GHG Offsets in US Agriculture and Forestry Assessing Economic Potential for GHG Offsets in US Agriculture and Forestry Presented at Workshop on Transition in agriculture and future land use patterns LEI, Wageningen University Bruce A. McCarl, Texas

More information

Economic Potential of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions: Comparative Role for Soil Sequestration in Agriculture and Forestry

Economic Potential of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions: Comparative Role for Soil Sequestration in Agriculture and Forestry Economic Potential of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions: Comparative Role for Soil Sequestration in Agriculture and Forestry Uwe A. Schneider, Bruce A. McCarl, Brian C. Murray, Jimmy R. Williams, and

More information

Economic Potential of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions: Comparative Role for Soil Sequestration in Agriculture and Forestry

Economic Potential of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions: Comparative Role for Soil Sequestration in Agriculture and Forestry Economic Potential of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions: Comparative Role for Soil Sequestration in Agriculture and Forestry Bruce A. McCarl (mccarl@tamu.edu, 979-845-1706) Department of Agricultural

More information

MODELING ALTERNATIVE POLICIES FOR GHG MITIGATION FROM FORESTRY AND AGRICULTURE

MODELING ALTERNATIVE POLICIES FOR GHG MITIGATION FROM FORESTRY AND AGRICULTURE MODELING ALTERNATIVE POLICIES FOR GHG MITIGATION FROM FORESTRY AND AGRICULTURE ROBERT BEACH Environmental, Technology, and Energy Economics Program, RTI International, USA rbeach@rtiorg ADAM DAIGNEAULT

More information

The Cost of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in U.S. Agriculture and Forestry

The Cost of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in U.S. Agriculture and Forestry 1 The Cost of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in U.S. Agriculture and Forestry Bruce A. McCarl, 1 Uwe A. Schneider 2* 1 Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-2124,

More information

Leakage and Comparative Advantage Implications of Agricultural Participation in Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation

Leakage and Comparative Advantage Implications of Agricultural Participation in Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Western University Scholarship@Western Department of Economics Research Reports Economics 2004 Leakage and Comparative Advantage Implications of Agricultural Participation in Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation

More information

Climate Change Squeeze: Impacts, Adaptation, and Mitigation in Agriculture and Forestry

Climate Change Squeeze: Impacts, Adaptation, and Mitigation in Agriculture and Forestry Climate Change Squeeze: Impacts, Adaptation, and Mitigation in Agriculture and Forestry Bruce A. McCarl Regents Professor of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University mccarl@tamu.edu, http//ageco.tamu.edu/faculty/mccarl

More information

Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Through Energy Crops in the U.S. With Implications for Asian-Pacific Countries

Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Through Energy Crops in the U.S. With Implications for Asian-Pacific Countries Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Through Energy Crops in the U.S. With Implications for Asian-Pacific Countries Uwe A. Schneider Research Associate Department of Economics Center for Rural and Agricultural Development

More information

Leakage and Comparative Advantage Implications of Agricultural Participation in Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation

Leakage and Comparative Advantage Implications of Agricultural Participation in Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Leakage and Comparative Advantage Implications of Agricultural Participation in Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Heng-Chi Lee Bruce A. McCarl Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University,

More information

Economic Context for Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Options

Economic Context for Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Options Economic Context for Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Options Ron Sands Joint Global Change Research Institute 3 rd International Methane and Nitrous Oxide Mitigation Conference 17-21 November 23

More information

Economic Implications of International Participation Alternatives for. Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation

Economic Implications of International Participation Alternatives for. Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Economic Implications of International Participation Alternatives for Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Heng-Chi Lee Research Associate Department of Agricultural Economics Texas A&M University

More information

Leakage and Comparative Advantage Implications of Agricultural Participation in Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation

Leakage and Comparative Advantage Implications of Agricultural Participation in Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Leakage and Comparative Advantage Implications of Agricultural Participation in Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Heng-Chi Lee Assistant Professor Institute of Applied Economics National Taiwan Ocean

More information

Description of the GLOBIOM model

Description of the GLOBIOM model Description of the GLOBIOM model 17 September 2013, Ecofys, IIASA, E4tech Ecofys, IIASA and E4tech are jointly undertaking a project for the European Commission (DG ENERGY) on the modelling of ILUC associated

More information

Insights from Agricultural and Forestry GHG Offset. Studies that Might Influence IAM Modeling

Insights from Agricultural and Forestry GHG Offset. Studies that Might Influence IAM Modeling Insights from Agricultural and Forestry GHG Offset Studies that Might Influence IAM Modeling Bruce A. McCarl Regents Professor of Agricultural Economics Texas A&M University, College Station TX Man-Keun

More information

The Lifecycle Carbon Footprint of Biofuels

The Lifecycle Carbon Footprint of Biofuels The Lifecycle Carbon Footprint of Biofuels Proceedings of a conference January 29, 2008, in Miami Beach, FL. Edited by Joe L. Outlaw Agricultural and Food Policy Center Texas A&M University College Station,

More information

Effects of Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Policies: The Role of International Trade

Effects of Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Policies: The Role of International Trade Effects of Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Policies: The Role of International Trade Uwe A. Schneider, Heng-Chi Lee, Bruce A. McCarl, and Chi-Chung Chen Working Paper 01-WP 279 July 2001

More information

Agriculture and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Who, What, How, Where and When?

Agriculture and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Who, What, How, Where and When? Agriculture and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Who, What, How, Where and When? Keith Paustian, Department of Soil and Crop Sciences and Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins,

More information

Economic Potential of Biomass Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas. Emission Mitigation

Economic Potential of Biomass Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas. Emission Mitigation Economic Potential of Biomass Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Bruce A. McCarl Professor Department of Agricultural Economics Texas A&M University Uwe A. Schneider Post Doctoral Research

More information

The Value of a Carbon Offset Market for Agriculture

The Value of a Carbon Offset Market for Agriculture The Value of a Carbon Offset Market for Agriculture The House of Representatives recently passed the American Clean Energy and Security Act (H.R. 2454), a pending bill that would create a cap and trade

More information

Greenhouse gases and agricultural: an introduction to the processes and tools to quantify them Richard T. Conant

Greenhouse gases and agricultural: an introduction to the processes and tools to quantify them Richard T. Conant Greenhouse gases and agricultural: an introduction to the processes and tools to quantify them Richard T. Conant Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory Colorado State University Perturbation of Global Carbon

More information

Agriculture and Carbon Offsets Policy

Agriculture and Carbon Offsets Policy Agriculture and Carbon Offsets Policy Christopher Galik Duke University Fueling the Farm II Center for Environmental Farming Systems July 10, 2008 Overview Flashback Role & Potential of Offsets in Climate

More information

Florida Water Availability and Water Needs In 2020, Chuck Aller Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services February 28, 2008

Florida Water Availability and Water Needs In 2020, Chuck Aller Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services February 28, 2008 Florida Water Availability and Water Needs In 2020, 2060 Chuck Aller Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services February 28, 2008 Florida Agriculture Today 41,000 farms and ranches 14.3 million

More information

Economic Potential of Biomass Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas. Emission Mitigation

Economic Potential of Biomass Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas. Emission Mitigation Economic Potential of Biomass Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Uwe A. Schneider Research Scientist Department of Economics Iowa State University Bruce A. McCarl Professor Department of

More information

BioEnergy Policy Brief January 2013

BioEnergy Policy Brief January 2013 Aggregate Economic Implications of National Cellulosic Biofuel Goals 1 Naveen C. Adusumilli, C. Robert Taylor, Ronald D. Lacewell, and M. Edward Rister Estimates of the domestic and international economic

More information

Agricultural practices that reduce greenhouse gases (GHGs) and generate co-benefits

Agricultural practices that reduce greenhouse gases (GHGs) and generate co-benefits Environmental Toxicology II 61 Agricultural practices that reduce greenhouse gases (GHGs) and generate co-benefits K. Duncan Health Studies, University of Toronto at Scarborough, Canada Abstract Human

More information

Greg Latta Forest Engineering and Resource Management Oregon State University

Greg Latta Forest Engineering and Resource Management Oregon State University Greg Latta Forest Engineering and Resource Management Oregon State University FASOM Model Collaborators Texas A&M Bruce McCarl Jerry Cornforth Oregon State University Darius Adams Eric White USDA Forest

More information

Abstract. Acknowledgments

Abstract. Acknowledgments Economics of Sequestering Carbon in the U.S. Agricultural Sector. By Jan Lewandrowski, Carol Jones, and Robert House, Resource Economics Division, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture;

More information

Economic Potential of Biomass-Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation

Economic Potential of Biomass-Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation CARD Working Papers CARD Reports and Working Papers 8-2001 Economic Potential of Biomass-Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Uwe A. Schneider Iowa State University Bruce A. McCarl Texas

More information

Carbon Credit Potential from Intensive Rotational Grazing under Carbon Credit. Certification Protocols

Carbon Credit Potential from Intensive Rotational Grazing under Carbon Credit. Certification Protocols Carbon Credit Potential from Intensive Rotational Grazing under Carbon Credit Certification Protocols Kurt Stephenson Dept of Ag & Applied Econ Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA 24061 Email: Kurts@vt.edu Phone

More information

Biofuels: Costs and Potential for Mitigating Greenhouse Gases

Biofuels: Costs and Potential for Mitigating Greenhouse Gases Biofuels: Costs and Potential for Mitigating Greenhouse Gases Madhu Khanna Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics Energy Biosciences Institute University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign GHG Emissions

More information

The Importance of tracking combined land carbon change effects of increased wood and ag biomass energy demand

The Importance of tracking combined land carbon change effects of increased wood and ag biomass energy demand The Importance of tracking combined land carbon change effects of increased wood and ag biomass energy demand IEA Bioenergy Task 38 Argonne National Laboratory April 12-13, 2012 Ken Skog USDA Forest Service

More information

Growing Crops for Biofuels Has Spillover Effects

Growing Crops for Biofuels Has Spillover Effects Growing Crops for Biofuels Has Spillover Effects VOLUME 7 ISSUE 1 Scott Malcolm smalcolm@ers.usda.gov 10 Marcel Aillery maillery@ers.usda.gov Federal mandates for biofuel production promote expanded crop

More information

THE COMPARATIVE VALUE OF BIOLOGICAL CARBON SEQUESTRATION

THE COMPARATIVE VALUE OF BIOLOGICAL CARBON SEQUESTRATION THE COMPARATIVE VALUE OF BIOLOGICAL CARBON SEQUESTRATION BRUCE A. MCCARL, BRIAN C. MURRAY, AND UWE A. SCHNEIDER 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 C1 Abstract Carbon sequestered via forests and agricultural soils saturates

More information

Estimating Leakage From Forest Carbon Sequestration Programs

Estimating Leakage From Forest Carbon Sequestration Programs Estimating Leakage From Forest Carbon Sequestration Programs Brian C. Murray Bruce A. McCarl (Texas A&M University) Heng-Chi Lee (Texas A&M University) Working Paper 02_06 May 2002 2002 Research Triangle

More information

AGRICULTURAL SECTOR ANALYSIS ON GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION MITIGATION IN THE UNITED STATES. A Dissertation UWE ANDREAS SCHNEIDER

AGRICULTURAL SECTOR ANALYSIS ON GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION MITIGATION IN THE UNITED STATES. A Dissertation UWE ANDREAS SCHNEIDER AGRICULTURAL SECTOR ANALYSIS ON GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION MITIGATION IN THE UNITED STATES A Dissertation by UWE ANDREAS SCHNEIDER Submitted to the Office of Graduate Studies of Texas A&M University in partial

More information

Harvested Wood Products and Bioenergy for Climate Change Mitigation: Competing Services?

Harvested Wood Products and Bioenergy for Climate Change Mitigation: Competing Services? Harvested Wood Products and Bioenergy for Climate Change Mitigation: Competing Services? Hannes Böttcher Forestry Program International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Laxenburg/Austria UNECE/FAO

More information

Sensitivity of Carbon Sequestration Costs to Soil Carbon Rates

Sensitivity of Carbon Sequestration Costs to Soil Carbon Rates Sensitivity of Carbon Sequestration Costs to Soil Carbon Rates John M. Antle, Susan M. Capalbo,* Siân Mooney Department of Agricultural Economics and Economics P.O. Box 172920 Montana State University

More information

THE COMPARATIVE VALUE OF BIOLOGICAL CARBON SEQUESTRATION

THE COMPARATIVE VALUE OF BIOLOGICAL CARBON SEQUESTRATION THE COMPARATIVE VALUE OF BIOLOGICAL CARBON SEQUESTRATION BRUCE A. MCCARL, BRIAN C. MURRAY, AND UWE A. SCHNEIDER A. Abstract Carbon sequestration via forests and agricultural soils saturates over time.

More information

Climate Change and Agriculture: How is USDA Helping Agriculture Respond

Climate Change and Agriculture: How is USDA Helping Agriculture Respond Plug Flow Digester Reduced Tillage Precision Agriculture Conservation Buffers Climate Change and Agriculture: How is USDA Helping Agriculture Respond Jan Lewandrowski (USDA) Solids Separation 2016 Crop

More information

USDA GLOBAL CHANGE FACT SHEET

USDA GLOBAL CHANGE FACT SHEET USDA GLOBAL CHANGE FACT SHEET Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Agriculture and Forestry The global concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere has increased measurably over the past 250 years, partly

More information

Seoul, Korea May, 2017

Seoul, Korea May, 2017 Life-Cycle Analysis of Bioethanol Fuel Steffen Mueller, PhD, University of Illinois at Chicago Energy Resources Center Seoul, Korea May, 2017 Introduction University of Illinois at Chicago has 29,000 students

More information

Climate Change Policy and Economics: Implications and Opportunities for Agriculture. KSU Extension Conference Global Climate Change Session

Climate Change Policy and Economics: Implications and Opportunities for Agriculture. KSU Extension Conference Global Climate Change Session Climate Change Policy and Economics: Implications and Opportunities for Agriculture Susan M. Capalbo Oregon State University Presentation to KSU Extension Conference Global Climate Change Session October

More information

Influences of Permanence on the Comparative Value of Biological Sequestration versus Emissions Offsets

Influences of Permanence on the Comparative Value of Biological Sequestration versus Emissions Offsets Influences of Permanence on the Comparative Value of Biological Sequestration versus Emissions Offsets Bruce A. McCarl, Brian C. Murray, and Uwe A. Schneider Working Paper 01-WP 282 August 2001 Center

More information

WRI POLICY NOTE. CLIMATE:AGRICULTURE No. 2. The agricultural sector emits large quantities of the more

WRI POLICY NOTE. CLIMATE:AGRICULTURE No. 2. The agricultural sector emits large quantities of the more WRI POLICY NOTE CLIMATE:AGRICULTURE No. 2 AGRICULTURE AND CLIMATE CHANGE: GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION OPPORTUNITIES AND THE 2007 FARM BILL EVAN BRANOSKY AND SUZIE GREENHALGH How can managers of agricultural

More information

THE EFFECTIVENESS OF FOREST CARBON SEQUESTRATION STRATEGIES WITH SYSTEM-WIDE ADJUSTMENTS. Draft: May 13, 1998

THE EFFECTIVENESS OF FOREST CARBON SEQUESTRATION STRATEGIES WITH SYSTEM-WIDE ADJUSTMENTS. Draft: May 13, 1998 THE EFFECTIVENESS OF FOREST CARBON SEQUESTRATION STRATEGIES WITH SYSTEM-WIDE ADJUSTMENTS Draft: May 13, 1998 Brent Sohngen The Ohio State University 2120 Fyffe Rd. Columbus, OH 43210-1067 Robert Mendelsohn

More information

Linking forestry, land use, and energy models for climate change mitigation assessment

Linking forestry, land use, and energy models for climate change mitigation assessment Linking forestry, land use, and energy models for climate change mitigation assessment Petr Havlík 1, Mykola Gusti 1, Nicklas Forsell 1, Tatiana Ermolieva 1, Georg Kindermann 1, Hannes Bötcher 1, Pekka

More information

THE INTRODUCTION THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT

THE INTRODUCTION THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT THE INTRODUCTION The earth is surrounded by atmosphere composed of many gases. The sun s rays penetrate through the atmosphere to the earth s surface. Gases in the atmosphere trap heat that would otherwise

More information

Energy Issues Affecting Corn/Soybean Systems: Challenges for Sustainable Production

Energy Issues Affecting Corn/Soybean Systems: Challenges for Sustainable Production Energy Issues Affecting Corn/Soybean Systems: Challenges for Sustainable Production Issue Paper 48 January 2012 Dr. Doug Karlen www.cast-science.org 1 Authors Douglas Karlen (Chair) Task Force Members

More information

The Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) Program

The Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) Program The Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) Program Presentation for The Nexus of Biofuels Energy, Climate Change, and Health Workshop (Institute of Medicine) January 25, 2013 Karl Simon, Director Transportation

More information

Estimating the Overall Impact of A Change In Agricultural Practices on Atmospheric CO 2

Estimating the Overall Impact of A Change In Agricultural Practices on Atmospheric CO 2 Estimating the Overall Impact of A Change In Agricultural Practices on Atmospheric CO 2 T.O. West (westto@ornl.gov; 865-574-7322) G. Marland (marlandgh@ornl.gov; 865-241-4850) Environmental Sciences Division,

More information

Energy Inputs for 1 st and 2 nd Generation Ethanol Feedstocks: Modeling Effects of Cultivation Practices and Crop Selection on GHG Emissions

Energy Inputs for 1 st and 2 nd Generation Ethanol Feedstocks: Modeling Effects of Cultivation Practices and Crop Selection on GHG Emissions Energy Inputs for 1 st and 2 nd Generation Ethanol Feedstocks: Modeling Effects of Cultivation Practices and Crop Selection on GHG Emissions Tristram O. West, Laurence M. Eaton, Chad Hellwinckel,* Mark

More information

Information on LULUCF actions by Sweden. First progress report

Information on LULUCF actions by Sweden. First progress report Information on LULUCF actions by Sweden First progress report 2016 This information on LULUCF actions by Sweden responds the request set out in article 10 of Decision [529/2013/EU] on Land-Use, Land-Use

More information

Ajay K. Bhardwaj*, P. Jasrotia, S.K. Hamilton and G.P. Robertson Great Lakes Bioenergy Research Center (GLBRC), Michigan State University, W.K.

Ajay K. Bhardwaj*, P. Jasrotia, S.K. Hamilton and G.P. Robertson Great Lakes Bioenergy Research Center (GLBRC), Michigan State University, W.K. Ajay K. Bhardwaj*, P. Jasrotia, S.K. Hamilton and G.P. Robertson Great Lakes Bioenergy Research Center (GLBRC), Michigan State University, W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, 37 E. Gull lake Drive, Hickory

More information

Economic Potential of Biomass Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation

Economic Potential of Biomass Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Environmental and Resource Economics 24: 291 312, 2003. 2003 Kluwer Academic Publishers. Printed in the Netherlands. 291 Economic Potential of Biomass Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation

More information

GLOBIOM: The Impact of Second Generation Biofuels on the Global Forest and Land-use Sectors?

GLOBIOM: The Impact of Second Generation Biofuels on the Global Forest and Land-use Sectors? GLOBIOM: The Impact of Second Generation Biofuels on the Global Forest and Land-use Sectors? Petr Havlík, Uwe A. Schneider, E. Schmid, M. Obersteiner, R. Skalský, et al. Forestry Program (IIASA) Sustainability

More information

Jussi Lankoski Carbon action - tiedetyöpaja Ilmatieteen laitos

Jussi Lankoski Carbon action - tiedetyöpaja Ilmatieteen laitos ILMASTOPOLITIIKKA JA HIILIKOMPENSAATIOIDEN POLITIIKKAHAASTEET Jussi Lankoski Carbon action - tiedetyöpaja 11.4. 2018 Ilmatieteen laitos Agriculture s role in GHG emissions Agriculture contributes strongly

More information

How Might Carbon Prices and Energy Costs Affect Returns to Agricultural Producers?

How Might Carbon Prices and Energy Costs Affect Returns to Agricultural Producers? Nicholas Institute for Environmental Policy Solutions Working Paper NI WP 09-05 May 2009 How Might Carbon Prices and Energy Costs Affect Returns to Agricultural Producers? Authors Brian Murray, Nicholas

More information

UNESCAP APCAEM : Regional Forum on Bio-energy Sector Development. Dr. Chang-Gil Kim

UNESCAP APCAEM : Regional Forum on Bio-energy Sector Development. Dr. Chang-Gil Kim UNESCAP APCAEM : Regional Forum on Bio-energy Sector Development Dr. Chang-Gil Kim Contents I Introduction II Contents of the Kyoto Protocol and Post-2012 Discussions III IV V Instruments for GHGs Control

More information

The Role of Agriculture and Forestry In Emerging Carbon Markets

The Role of Agriculture and Forestry In Emerging Carbon Markets The Role of Agriculture and Forestry In Emerging Carbon Markets David W. Wolfe Dept. of Horticulture; dww5@cornell.edu ; Websites: http://www.hort.cornell.edu/wolfe hort edu/wolfe http://www.climateandfarming.org

More information

Group discussion. Assignments

Group discussion. Assignments Group discussion Intuitive explanation of the problem Compare and contrast: Project to reduce deforestation on the frontier by better enforcement of environmental laws Project to improve logging practices

More information

Main Anthropogenic Sources of Greenhouse Gases Agriculture, Fire, Change in Land Use and Transport

Main Anthropogenic Sources of Greenhouse Gases Agriculture, Fire, Change in Land Use and Transport Main Anthropogenic Sources of Greenhouse Gases Agriculture, Fire, Change in Land Use and Transport Content GHG Emissions from AFOLU GHG Emissions from Transport Land Use & Forestry as a Source of GHG Transport

More information

Biofuels Toward the Next Generation. BCSEA Energy Solutions, June 10, 2008 Patrick Mazza, Research Director, Climate Solutions

Biofuels Toward the Next Generation. BCSEA Energy Solutions, June 10, 2008 Patrick Mazza, Research Director, Climate Solutions Biofuels Toward the Next Generation BCSEA Energy Solutions, June 10, 2008 Patrick Mazza, Research Director, Climate Solutions Climate Solutions Climate Solutions mission is to accelerate practical and

More information

Climate Change. Climate Change is Occurring

Climate Change. Climate Change is Occurring Climate Change Issue Summary: Earth s climate is changing. Temperatures are rising, snow and rainfall patterns are shifting, and more extreme climate events - like heavy rainstorms and record high temperatures

More information

The Cost of Agricultural Carbon Savings

The Cost of Agricultural Carbon Savings The Cost of Agricultural Carbon Savings Uwe A. Schneider Working Paper 02-WP 306 June 2002 Center for Agricultural and Rural Development Iowa State University Ames, Iowa 50011-1070 www.card.iastate.edu

More information

Greenhouse Gas Mitigation through Energy Crops in the United States with Implications for Asian-Pacific Countries

Greenhouse Gas Mitigation through Energy Crops in the United States with Implications for Asian-Pacific Countries Greenhouse Gas Mitigation through Energy Crops in the United States with Implications for Asian-Pacific Countries Uwe A. Schneider and Bruce A. McCarl Working Paper 01-WP 274 September 2001 Center for

More information

ISSUE BRIEF 13 ClImATE CHANGE AND U.S. AGRICUlTURE JUHA SIIKAmäKI AND JOSEPH maher

ISSUE BRIEF 13 ClImATE CHANGE AND U.S. AGRICUlTURE JUHA SIIKAmäKI AND JOSEPH maher ISSUE BRIEF 13 Climate Change and U.S. Agriculture Juha Siikamäki and Joseph Maher 13 Climate Change and U.S. Agriculture Climate Change and U.S. Agriculture Juha Siikamäki and Joseph Maher Summary Despite

More information

Sensitivity of agricultural and forest GHG mitigation potential

Sensitivity of agricultural and forest GHG mitigation potential Sensitivity of agricultural and forest GHG mitigation potential Steven Rose RFF/EPA Workshop Modeling the Costs and Volumes of GHG Offsets May 12, 29 Some issues to consider Policy design Eligibility Discounting

More information

U.S. EPA Renewable Fuel Standard 2

U.S. EPA Renewable Fuel Standard 2 Policy Update Number 6 April 2, 2010 U.S. EPA Renewable Fuel Standard 2 Final Rule Summary Fig. 1. Projected volumes of renewable fuels under RFS2. Source: EPA 2010a. ICCT Policy Updates summarize and

More information

Energy Policy 58 (2013) Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect. Energy Policy. journal homepage:

Energy Policy 58 (2013) Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect. Energy Policy. journal homepage: Energy Policy 58 (2013) 64 74 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Energy Policy journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol Biomass production from the U.S. forest and agriculture sectors

More information

Agricultural and Economic Impacts of Moving to a Biobased Economy

Agricultural and Economic Impacts of Moving to a Biobased Economy Agricultural and Economic Impacts of Moving to a Biobased Economy Marie Walsh, Burt English, Daniel de la Torre Ugarte,, Chad Hellwinkel,, Jamey Menard, Richard Nelson CSREES-SARE Roundtable Discussion

More information

UN Climate Council Words in red are defined in vocabulary section (pg. 9)

UN Climate Council Words in red are defined in vocabulary section (pg. 9) UN Climate Council Words in red are defined in vocabulary section (pg. 9) To minimize the negative effects of global climate change, scientists have advocated for action to limit global warming to no more

More information

Forest Policy and Economics

Forest Policy and Economics Forest Policy and Economics () Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Forest Policy and Economics journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/forpol Permanence of agricultural afforestation for carbon

More information

Carbon Sequestration in Agro-Ecosystems

Carbon Sequestration in Agro-Ecosystems Carbon Sequestration in Agro-Ecosystems Charles W. Rice Soil Microbiologist Department of Agronomy K-State Research and Extension Atmospheric Concentrations of CO 2, Methane (CH 4 ), and Nitrous Oxide

More information

Innovations in energy systems

Innovations in energy systems Innovations in energy systems Dr. Claudio Gratton Department of Entomology Dr. Chris Kucharik Department of Agronomy Nelson Institute Center for Sustainability and the Global Environment Innovations in

More information

Life cycle analysis of ethanol: issues, results, and case simulations

Life cycle analysis of ethanol: issues, results, and case simulations Life cycle analysis of ethanol: issues, results, and case simulations Jeongwoo Han Systems Assessment Group Center for Transportation Research Argonne National Laboratory Annual ACE Conference Omaha, August

More information

Biofuels Production vs. Food Security

Biofuels Production vs. Food Security African Caribbean and Pacific Group of States (ACP) Science and Technology Programme Biofuels Production vs. Food Security Joe Asamoah, Ph.D YiriLodge, University of Ghana 2 4 April 2013 Outline Global

More information

Assessing Regional Water Impacts of Biofuel Production Scenarios

Assessing Regional Water Impacts of Biofuel Production Scenarios Assessing Regional Water Impacts of Biofuel Production Scenarios May Wu, Yonas Demissie, Eugene Yan Argonne National Laboratory GWPC Annual Forum Water and Energy Sustainability Sept. 26-29, 2010 Pittsburgh,

More information

Economics of a New Generation of Bioenergy Crops: Implications for Land Use and Greenhouse Gases

Economics of a New Generation of Bioenergy Crops: Implications for Land Use and Greenhouse Gases Economics of a New Generation of Bioenergy Crops: Implications for Land Use and Greenhouse Gases Madhu Khanna Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign

More information

Estimating Leakage from Forest Carbon Sequestration Programs

Estimating Leakage from Forest Carbon Sequestration Programs Western University Scholarship@Western Department of Economics Research Reports Economics 2004 Estimating Leakage from Forest Carbon Sequestration Programs Brian C. Murray Bruce A. McCarl Heng-Chi Lee

More information

2009 JOURNAL OF THE ASFMRA

2009 JOURNAL OF THE ASFMRA Carbon Sequestration: a Potential Source of Income for Farmers By Luis A. Ribera, Bruce A. McCarl and Joaquín Zenteno Abstract Concerns regarding climate changes due to human activities have largely increased

More information

Transfers and environmental co-benefits of carbon sequestration in agricultural soils: retiring agricultural land in the Upper Mississippi River Basin

Transfers and environmental co-benefits of carbon sequestration in agricultural soils: retiring agricultural land in the Upper Mississippi River Basin Climatic Change (2007) 80:91 107 DOI 10.1007/s10584-006-9143-1 Transfers and environmental co-benefits of carbon sequestration in agricultural soils: retiring agricultural land in the Upper Mississippi

More information

Sustainability and Bioenergy from Forests

Sustainability and Bioenergy from Forests Sustainability and Bioenergy from Forests Marcia Patton-Mallory, PhD Biomass and Bioenergy Coordinator, US Forest Service Harvesting Green Energy Conference Portland, OR January 29, 2008 Overview Sustainability:

More information

Agriculture and Climate Change

Agriculture and Climate Change Agriculture and Climate Change Katherine Killebrew, Professor Alison Cullen & Professor C. Leigh Anderson Prepared for the Agricultural Policy and Statistics Team of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

More information

Life Cycle Analysis of Canola for Biodiesel Use: PNW perspective

Life Cycle Analysis of Canola for Biodiesel Use: PNW perspective Life Cycle Analysis of Canola for Biodiesel Use: PNW perspective W. L. Pan, WA Biofuels Cropping Systems Coordinator W.A. Hammac, PhD Candidate Bioenergy Research Symposium, Nov. 13, 2012 Topics What is

More information

Charles W. Rice Department of Agronomy, Kansas State University Manhattan, KS

Charles W. Rice Department of Agronomy, Kansas State University Manhattan, KS K-State Research and Extension SEQUESTRATION OF ATMOSPHERIC CO 2 INTO SOILS: HOW AND WHY Charles W. Rice Department of Agronomy, Kansas State University Manhattan, KS 66506-5501 Phone 785-532-7217, Fax:

More information

Agricultural practices that favour the increase of soil organic matter. Philippe Ciais and Pete Smith

Agricultural practices that favour the increase of soil organic matter. Philippe Ciais and Pete Smith Agricultural practices that favour the increase of soil organic matter Philippe Ciais and Pete Smith Outline Current soil C stocks distribution Vulnerability of soil C Land use change Agricultural practice

More information

Climate Change: Impacts,Adaptation, and Mitigation. Charles W. Rice University Distinguished Professor Department of Agronomy Kansas State University

Climate Change: Impacts,Adaptation, and Mitigation. Charles W. Rice University Distinguished Professor Department of Agronomy Kansas State University Climate Change: Impacts,Adaptation, and Mitigation Charles W. Rice University Distinguished Professor Department of Agronomy Kansas State University IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, Working Group III, 2007

More information

Magnitude and Variability in Emissions Savings in the Corn-Ethanol Life Cycle from Feeding Co-Products to Livestock

Magnitude and Variability in Emissions Savings in the Corn-Ethanol Life Cycle from Feeding Co-Products to Livestock Magnitude and Variability in Emissions Savings in the Corn-Ethanol Life Cycle from Feeding Co-Products to Livestock CRC Life Cycle Assessment Workshop, Chicago, Oct. 20-21, 2009 Virgil R. Bremer 1, Adam

More information

Uncertainty Discounting for Land-Based Carbon Sequestration

Uncertainty Discounting for Land-Based Carbon Sequestration Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 41,1(April 2009):1 11 Ó 2009 Southern Agricultural Economics Association Uncertainty Discounting for Land-Based Carbon Sequestration Man-Keun Kim and Bruce

More information

Is There a Role for Geologic and Terrestrial Carbon Sequestration in Greenhouse Gas Mitigation? 1

Is There a Role for Geologic and Terrestrial Carbon Sequestration in Greenhouse Gas Mitigation? 1 Is There a Role for Geologic and Terrestrial Carbon Sequestration in Greenhouse Gas Mitigation? 1 J.M. Antle Professor of Agricultural Economics and Economics Montana State University, Bozeman, MT USA

More information

know and what we don t

know and what we don t Biofuels in Wisconsin: What we know and what we don t M A T T R U A R K, D E P A R T M E N T O F S O I L S C I E N C E U N I V E R S I T Y O F W I S C O N S I N - M A D I S O N ; U N I V E R S I T Y O

More information

Carbon sequestration in agricultural soils a global perspectivep

Carbon sequestration in agricultural soils a global perspectivep Carbon sequestration in agricultural soils a global perspectivep Pete Smith Royal Society-Wolfson Professor of Soils & Global Change, FSB, FRSE & Science Director of Scotland s ClimateXChange Institute

More information

The Global Environmental Change: Carbon Sequestration

The Global Environmental Change: Carbon Sequestration The Global Environmental Change: Carbon Sequestration Sources of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions Carbon Sequestration The global C politics Summary Sources of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions

More information