Crop Modelling & Yield Forecasting

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Crop Modelling & Yield Forecasting"

Transcription

1 Crop Modelling & Yield Forecasting AGRICAB FINAL MEETING 23-24/03/2015 Hendrik Boogaard Alterra, WUR

2 WP31 Crop Production Systems Agricultural statistics Agro-meteorological modeling & crop forecasting Use cases in Kenya Senegal Mozambique Early warning and crop mapping Irrigation agriculture Use case in North Africa

3 Main Objectives Crop Modelling / Agro-Meteo Crop Yield Forecasting

4 Crop Modelling / Agro-Meteo FEWS-NET Early warning systems for rainfed agriculture mainly use global data on weather, EO-based vegetation indices (e.g. NDVI) and simple water balances

5 Crop Modelling / Agro-Meteo Early warning systems for rainfed agriculture mainly use global data on weather, EO-based vegetation indices (e.g. NDVI) and simple water balances FEWS-NET ICPAC

6 Crop Modelling / Agro-Meteo Early warning systems for rainfed agriculture mainly use global data on weather, EO-based vegetation indices (e.g. NDVI) and simple water balances FEWS-NET ICPAC FAO-GIEWS

7 Crop Modelling / Agro-Meteo Early warning systems for rainfed agriculture mainly use global data on weather, EO-based vegetation indices (e.g. NDVI) and simple water balances FEWS-NET ICPAC FAO-GIEWS MARS

8 Crop Modelling / Agro-Meteo Dynamic process based models: Help evaluating the integrated effect of weather, soil, crop management Deliver useful indicators for monitoring (crop specific, direct response, indication of phenological stages, extend by using weather forecast) Provide advanced indicators for statistical crop yield forecasting Enable studies on land and water management scenarios, adaptation to climate change, yield gaps, etc.

9 Crop yield forecasting Regression analysis or scenario analysis (PCA, cluster analysis, prediction) CST (CGMS Statistical Tool): Streamlines process of analysis and allows to store results and store Key: and document settings used to make a specific forecast Use common sense, look for convergence of evidence Reliable yield statistics Meaningful indicators (integration with SPIRITS)

10 Crop Modelling / Agro-Meteo EU-JRC MARS toolbox & infrastructure as an important benchmark

11 Requirements Year 1: an analysis of the current capacity was analysed All partners have (some) experience in using operational monitoring services compromising EO-based vegetation indicators (NDVI-related), rainfall, simple water balance approaches and statistical yield forecast procedures. Capacity on set-up and use of process based crop models was lacking In most cases skills in data processing and analysis was limited (e.g. RDMB, Access, data retrieval, querying)

12 Training & capacity building Year 2-3: training, demonstration & capacity building on concepts, theory, methods and software combined with hands-on training Events: 3-weeks training in Europe (Wageningen, The Netherlands) Trainings in use-case countries: national stakeholder s workshops, national technical workshops, regional workshops for West and Eastern Africa On average each use case partner received at least 3 trainings Conferences Training material (WOFOST, CST) & reporting

13 Training & capacity building Participants of the Alterra training Training session at Alterra Field trip to land reclamation projects - dyke Field trip to land reclamation projects potato fields

14 Training & capacity building Hands-on training on crop yield forecasting CSE Hands-on training on crop growth modeling and crop yield forecasting DRSRS Hands-on training on crop growth modeling and crop yield forecasting INAM Hands-on training on regional crop modelling and crop yield forecasting DRSRS

15 Building regional crop model prototypes Daily weather data (archive and NRT-feed) are key For prototyping: readily available JRC MARS-ECMWF at 0.25 grid For operations: alternatives are needed especially for sustained NRT Availability of weather data in GEONETCast-EUMETCast dissemination systems: Rainfall: TAMSAT TARCAT, RFE, CHIRPS, TRMM/GPM (not available) Radiation: Down-welling Surface Short Radiation Flux (DSSF) MSG Other elements (air temperature, humidity, wind speed) not available More active involvement of national meteorological services More meteo data under WMO R&D license? Other global datasets from numerical models: POWER? MARS? Report: Down-welling Surface Short Radiation Flux (DSSF) Validation! e.g. best rainfall product => composite?

16 Building regional crop model prototypes Data quality e.g. Validation of MSG radiation (Roerink et al., 2012) Validation RFE Mozambique (Toté et al., 2015 ) 16

17 Building regional crop model prototypes Data quality e.g. Validation of MSG radiation (Roerink et al., 2012) Validation RFE Mozambique (Toté et al., 2015 ) 17

18 Building regional crop model prototypes Local crop data: Spatial distribution (arable land / crop specific mask) Sowing dates (local calendars) Future: EO-based sowing dates (+: spatial and annual variability; -: problems of crop specifity)? Observations for calibration: not easily accessible but scattered over many different organizations in different formats and varying supporting meta-data AGRICAB lacked partners from agronomy domain which complicated collection and provision of crop data Soil data from 1 to 5 million soil map Future: 1 km soil attribute data give by SoilGrids of ISRIC

19 Building regional crop model prototypes Calibration to define variety specific crop parameters Populate Access db with all data & run

20 Building regional crop model prototypes Calibration to define variety specific crop parameters Populate Access db with all data & run

21 Building regional crop model prototypes Simulated grain maize yields (left) averaged over including the coefficient of variation (right) under water-limited situation in Kenya

22 Building regional crop model prototypes Simulated grain maize yields (left) averaged over including the coefficient of variation (right) under water-limited situation in Senegal

23 Building regional crop model prototypes Simulated grain maize yield in Mozambique averaged over (left: fully irrigated conditions and right: rain fed conditions)

24 Crop yield forecasting - Senegal Indicators: Selected indicators from regional WOFOST Cumulative fapar (SPOT-VGT) from Start-Of-Season Imported into CST from SPIRITS Land cover specific aggregation to departments

25 Crop yield forecasting - Senegal Yields statistics from Department of Statistics of Ministry of Agriculture in Senegal (DAPSA) Grain maize, sorghum and millet Period , focus on period Added archive for new departments

26 Crop yield forecasting - Senegal Check outliers e.g. Department Kolda with high yields for High yields resulted from a special maize program stopped after 2005 => excluded

27 Crop yield forecasting - Senegal Tested a number of regression models based on single indicators at departmental level (for 6 dekads in August/September, ) Benchmarked against trend

28 Crop yield forecasting - Senegal Best performing single indicator models over Aug-Sep: Regional WOFOST (crop model) EO-based cumulated fapar Cumulated rainfall since 20 May Trend model

29 Impact & conclusions Major effort in training staff: Methods, data, software, operational aspects Better informed Developed ideas and plans e.g.: Kenya: stakeholders (KMD, MoA, JKUAT, DRSRS) initiated work group on regional crop models and crop yield forecast system Senegal: appointed specific staff on CST. Strong cooperation with DAPSA and EW community at large. Training material (presentations, exercises, user manuals, guidelines, prototypes,..) Robust software installation (WOFOST, CST, SPIRITS2CST)

30 Impact & conclusions Preliminary versions of regional crop models and crop yield forecast procedures but room for improvement Set-up & maintenance of regional crop model is complicated and requires in-depth knowledge on database management and use of crop models (input data, calibration): For all use cases this needs follow-up and involvement of specialized institutes (agronomy, soils, meteo) Possibly regional centres are best equipped to run such applications Use of CST tool and database for crop yield forecasting is relatively easy and can run independently from regional crop model. Key issues are preparation of proper indicators and availability of accurate yield statistics.

Introduction to yield forecasting with CST

Introduction to yield forecasting with CST Introduction to yield forecasting with CST H. Kerdiles (JRC), H. Boogaard & S. Hoek (Alterra) Harare, Zimbabwe 26 Oct 2016 Yield variability: can you rank the maize fields according to their yield? Same

More information

Operational products for crop monitoring. Hervé Kerdiles, JRC MARS

Operational products for crop monitoring. Hervé Kerdiles, JRC MARS Operational products for crop monitoring Hervé Kerdiles, JRC MARS Outline Meteo products Rainfall, temperature, global radiation, ETa, snow depth Biomass indicators & crop yield prediction NDVI & other

More information

Crop Monitoring as an E-agricultural tool in Developing Countries CGMS ADAPTATION MOROCCO

Crop Monitoring as an E-agricultural tool in Developing Countries CGMS ADAPTATION MOROCCO Crop Monitoring as an E-agricultural tool in Developing Countries CGMS ADAPTATION MOROCCO Reference: D23.4_CGMS_adaptation_Morocco_F1.0 Author(s): Allard de Wit, Tarik el Hairech Version: 1.0 Date: 8/04/2014

More information

World wide Monitoring System

World wide Monitoring System Crop Monitoring and Early Warning for Food-Security, the MARS-FOOD Approach Felix Rembold MARS-FOOD Action / AGRIFISH Unit Institute for Protection and Security of the Citizen MARS-FOOD Context and Objectives

More information

Service Operations Report Crop Yield and Vegetation Monitoring

Service Operations Report Crop Yield and Vegetation Monitoring GMFS Global Monitoring for Food Security Earth Watch GMES Services Element (GSE) ESA ESRIN/Contract No. 19402/05/I-LG To provide earth observation based services and encourage partnerships in monitoring

More information

By V. Otieno, E. Kayijamahe & A. Royer

By V. Otieno, E. Kayijamahe & A. Royer 13 th EUMETSAT Users Forum - September 2018 IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre - ICPAC USE OF MESA STATIONS FOR NATURAL RESOURCE AND FOOD SECURITY MONITORING By V. Otieno, E. Kayijamahe &

More information

The European Commission s science and knowledge service. Joint Research Centre

The European Commission s science and knowledge service. Joint Research Centre The European Commission s science and knowledge service Joint Research Centre JRC MARS Crops yield forecasts: method and 2018 forecasts Bettina Baruth Brussels 11/07/2018 Table of content Mars Crop Yield

More information

MARS Crop monitoring and yield forecasting in the Mediterranean neighbourhood

MARS Crop monitoring and yield forecasting in the Mediterranean neighbourhood MARS Crop monitoring and yield forecasting in the Mediterranean neighbourhood Olivier Leo Monitoring Agricultural Resources Unit, Joint Research Centre Brussels, 30 September 2015 http://ies-intranet/h04/apps/chrono/21386.pptx

More information

Early warning analysis for crop and pastureland in Senegal: a contribu8on to food security. Title

Early warning analysis for crop and pastureland in Senegal: a contribu8on to food security. Title Early warning analysis for crop and pastureland in Senegal: a contribu8on to food security Diop Mouhamadou Bamba 1, Diouf Abdoul Aziz 1,4, Faye Gayane 1, Tote Carolien 2, Royer Antoine 2, El Hadji M. Dieng

More information

CGMS-Maroc: National System for Agrometeorological monitoring

CGMS-Maroc: National System for Agrometeorological monitoring CGMS-Maroc: National System for Agrometeorological monitoring Mouanis LAHLOU Hassan II Institute of Agronomy and Veterinary Medicine On behalf : Balagui R., Arrach R., El Hairech T., Ajerame M.M., Content

More information

Seasonal monitoring in Angola

Seasonal monitoring in Angola Seasonal monitoring in Angola Ad hoc report Southern Regions of the country hit by drought, in some areas for second consecutive year Absolute NDVI anomaly between current year and the long term average

More information

Set-up of CGMS in Ethiopia and first user experiences

Set-up of CGMS in Ethiopia and first user experiences 4th CGMS Expert Meeting (18-19 March 2009) JRC ISPRA Set-up of CGMS in Ethiopia and first user experiences Bernard TYCHON, Bakary DJABY (Ulg), Michel MASSART (JRC-FOODSEC) A. Objective Adaptation of the

More information

Requirements from agriculture applications

Requirements from agriculture applications Requirements from agriculture applications Nadine Gobron On behalf Andrea Toreti & MARS colleagues MAIN ACTIVITIES Crop monitoring and yield forecasting in EU and neighbouring countries since 1992 Crop

More information

Crop Monitoring for Food Security from Space

Crop Monitoring for Food Security from Space San Diego, 18-22 February 2010 AAAS Annual Meeting 1 Crop Monitoring for Food Security from Space Felix Rembold Joint Research Centre (JRC) The European Commission s Research-Based Policy Support Organisation

More information

FAO-Rome as a form of technical support to the Global Information and Early Warning System (GIEWS)

FAO-Rome as a form of technical support to the Global Information and Early Warning System (GIEWS) pixabay/17 Country-Level ASIS: an agriculture drought monitoring system Background The Food and Agriculture Organization of United Nations (FAO) has developed an agricultural drought monitoring system

More information

Interim Progress meeting, 23 rd November 2011, JRC (Ispra, Italy)

Interim Progress meeting, 23 rd November 2011, JRC (Ispra, Italy) Interim Progress meeting, 23 rd November 2011, JRC (Ispra, Italy) 1 Participants 1.1 Partners and their representatives: European Commission (DG-INFSO, EU): Ardiel Cabrera SDLO (Alterra, NL): Allard de

More information

Crop monitoring in Eritrea

Crop monitoring in Eritrea JRC SCIENTIFIC AND POLICY REPORTS Crop monitoring in Eritrea Abundant rainfall in Eritrea generated a satisfactory crop development in the Kremti season Ana Pérez-Hoyos, François Kayitakire and Felix Rembold

More information

Title. From a global ecosystem model to national studies on biomass estimation & livestock insurance (WP3.2 Livestock systems)

Title. From a global ecosystem model to national studies on biomass estimation & livestock insurance (WP3.2 Livestock systems) Title From a global ecosystem model to national studies on biomass estimation & livestock insurance (WP3.2 Livestock systems) Julien Minet 1, Abdoul Aziz Diouf 1,2, Issa Garba 1,3, Marie Lang 1,4,5, Bakary

More information

ADAPTATION OF WOFOST MODEL FROM CGMS TO ROMANIAN CONDITIONS

ADAPTATION OF WOFOST MODEL FROM CGMS TO ROMANIAN CONDITIONS LAZĂR CĂTĂLIN, BARUTH BETTINA, MICALE FABIO, LAZĂR DANIELA ANCA J. Plant Develop. 16 (2009): 97 102 ADAPTATION OF WOFOST MODEL FROM CGMS TO ROMANIAN CONDITIONS LAZĂR CĂTĂLIN 1, BARUTH BETTINA 2, MICALE

More information

FP7- SPA.2013.1.1-06: Stimulating development of downstream services and service evolution. Contract N : 606983 A downstream service to support agro-production, planning and policy http://www.ermes-fp7space.eu/

More information

Land Surface Analysis SAF (LSA SAF)

Land Surface Analysis SAF (LSA SAF) Ref. Ares(2014)73020-15/01/2014 Land Surface Analysis SAF (LSA SAF) Pedro Viterbo, Lisboa, Portugal Acknowledgments: Isabel Trigo & the LSA SAF consortium 12-13 December 2011 Lisbon Layout Overview of

More information

Seasonal Monitoring in Namibia

Seasonal Monitoring in Namibia Seasonal Monitoring in Namibia Ad Hoc Report Severe drought affecting cereal production and pastoral areas in northern and central Namibia Hervé Kerdiles, Felix Rembold, Ana Pérez-Hoyos 1 ACRONYMS USED

More information

Copernicus Global Land Service possible downstream services in Agriculture. Lieven Bydekerke, Programme Manager Remote Sensing Applications

Copernicus Global Land Service possible downstream services in Agriculture. Lieven Bydekerke, Programme Manager Remote Sensing Applications Copernicus Global Land Service possible downstream services in Agriculture Lieven Bydekerke, Programme Manager Remote Sensing Applications Outline» Challenges in global Agriculture» Remote sensing & agriculture»

More information

Crop monitoring and yield forecasting MARS activities in South America

Crop monitoring and yield forecasting MARS activities in South America Crop monitoring and yield forecasting MARS activities in South America Raúl LÓPEZ LOZANO European Commission, Joint Research Centre GLOBCAST dissemination event Conference Centre Albert Borschette Brussels,

More information

Climate Change and Agriculture

Climate Change and Agriculture Climate Change and Agriculture MARS-AGRI4CAST on-going activities Simon Kay on behalf of the MARS-AGRI4CAST Team 1 AGRI4CAST infrastructure The development of the AGRI4CAST infrastructure for climate change

More information

MCYFS The agrometeorological system of the EC: present and future

MCYFS The agrometeorological system of the EC: present and future Institute for Protection and Security of the Citizen Wageningen 19 October 2007 1 WIMEK workshop on Earth Observation and crop growth modeling 1 MCYFS The agrometeorological system of the EC: present and

More information

Satellite innovations for scaling-up index insurance

Satellite innovations for scaling-up index insurance Das Bild kann nicht angezeigt werden. Dieser Computer verfügt möglicherweise über zu wenig Arbeitsspeicher, um das Bild zu öffnen, oder das Bild ist beschädigt. Starten Sie den Computer neu, und öffnen

More information

Crop monitoring in Eritrea

Crop monitoring in Eritrea JRC TECHNICAL REPORTS Crop monitoring in Eritrea Unfavourable crop prospects in the main producing areas of western lowlands and central highlands Ana Pérez-Hoyos, François Kayitakire and Felix Rembold

More information

Operational agro-climatic data products for the agriculture & food sector in Africa Bringing Communities and Sensors together

Operational agro-climatic data products for the agriculture & food sector in Africa Bringing Communities and Sensors together Operational agro-climatic data products for the agriculture & food sector in Africa Bringing Communities and Sensors together Claire Jacobs, Ronald Hutjes, Iwan Supit, Johnny te Roller, Allard de Wit,

More information

Seasonal Monitoring in DPRK 2014

Seasonal Monitoring in DPRK 2014 Seasonal Monitoring in DPRK 2014 Lower crop production expected compared to 2013 Anne Schucknecht, Francois Kayitakire, Hervé Kerdiles September 2014 Absolute NDVI anomalies between the current year (2014)

More information

Drought monitoring and early warning in the Sahel : The AGRHYMET experience

Drought monitoring and early warning in the Sahel : The AGRHYMET experience Drought monitoring and early warning in the Sahel : The AGRHYMET experience Presentation at the World Conference on Disaster Reduction Kobe, Japan, 18 22 January, 2005 by Dr Seydou B. TRAORE Agrometeorologist

More information

geoland GEOLAND Overview of Interacting parts and future plans Integrated GMES Project on Landcover and Vegetation

geoland GEOLAND Overview of Interacting parts and future plans Integrated GMES Project on Landcover and Vegetation Integrated GMES Project on Landcover and Vegetation GEOLAND Overview of Interacting parts and future plans Marc Leroy Jean-Christophe Calvet Marek Tinz Kees van Diepen Etienne Bartholomé Co-funded by the

More information

IPC. Guidelines for using Remote Sensing Derived Information in support of the IPC analysis 1. The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification

IPC. Guidelines for using Remote Sensing Derived Information in support of the IPC analysis 1. The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification IPC The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification Guidelines for using Remote Sensing Derived Information in support of the IPC Analysis Rembold F.*, Korpi K.*, Rojas O.* 1 *Joint Research Centre of

More information

Participatory design of farm level adaptation to climate risks in an arable region in the Netherlands

Participatory design of farm level adaptation to climate risks in an arable region in the Netherlands Participatory design of farm level adaptation to climate risks in an arable region in the Netherlands ECCA conference Hamburg 20 th March 2013 Ben Schaap, Pytrik Reidsma, Jan Verhagen, Joost Wolf and Martin

More information

The MARS, GLOBCAST & GEOGLAM Crop Yield monitoring and Forecasting Systems and their potential Application in Bangladesh

The MARS, GLOBCAST & GEOGLAM Crop Yield monitoring and Forecasting Systems and their potential Application in Bangladesh The MARS, GLOBCAST & GEOGLAM Crop Yield monitoring and Forecasting Systems and their potential Application in Bangladesh Jacques Delincé, Global Strategy ESS-FAO Rome Slides from: O. Léo (MARS-JRC) I.

More information

Wageningen University, The Netherlands

Wageningen University, The Netherlands Wageningen University, The Netherlands Objectives Influence of adaptation on the impact of climate change on European agriculture Improve insights in adaptation to include adaptation in assessment models

More information

Flood and Drought Webinar #3 February 28 th, 2017 Drought early warning and assessment, experiences from Africa

Flood and Drought Webinar #3 February 28 th, 2017 Drought early warning and assessment, experiences from Africa Flood and Drought Webinar #3 February 28 th, 2017 Drought early warning and assessment, experiences from Africa Facilitator: Gareth James Lloyd Senior Advisor UNEP-DHI Partnership Technical support: Maija

More information

The geospatial domain: new ways of addressing the Millennium Development Goals

The geospatial domain: new ways of addressing the Millennium Development Goals Earth Observation for Africa, with Africa; AAAS Boston 14 th 18 th February 2008 1 Joint Research Centre (JRC) The European Commission s Research-Based Policy Support Organisation The geospatial domain:

More information

Russia and Central Asian Countries

Russia and Central Asian Countries Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen (IPSC) Agriculture & Fisheries Unit MARS FOOD Action Bulletin 4, 26 CROP MONITORING for FOOD SECURITY and Central Asian Countries Situation at the

More information

Below normal rains affect crops and pastoral areas in Southern and Eastern Ethiopia

Below normal rains affect crops and pastoral areas in Southern and Eastern Ethiopia Crop monitoring in Ethiopia September 9 Date of issue: 13 October 9 Vol. 3-9 Below normal rains affect crops and pastoral areas in Southern and Eastern Ethiopia The rains in August and September have been

More information

Estimation of the extreme meteorological and hydrological conditions in Slovenia in the future

Estimation of the extreme meteorological and hydrological conditions in Slovenia in the future International Workshop on Climate Change, Budapest, 6 8 June 2016 REPUBLIC OF SLOVENIA MINISTRY OF THE ENVIRONMENT AND SPATIAL PLANNING SLOVENIAN ENVIRONMENT AGENCY Estimation of the extreme meteorological

More information

Climate change predictions in Sub Saharan Africa: impacts and adaptation CLIMAFRICA

Climate change predictions in Sub Saharan Africa: impacts and adaptation CLIMAFRICA Prof Riccardo Valentini CMCC - ITALY CLIMAFRICA Climate change predictions in Sub-Saharan Africa: impacts and adaptations CLIMAFRICA Climate change predictions in Sub Saharan European Commission FP7 Funding

More information

Service Validation Report Early Warning Services

Service Validation Report Early Warning Services GMFS Global Monitoring for Food Security Earth Watch GMES Element (GSE) ESA ESRIN/Contract No. 19402/05/I-LG To provide earth observation based services and encourage partnerships in monitoring Global

More information

A Report on CRAFT Implementation for In-season Wheat Yield Forecasting (Winter 2014/15) in Nepal

A Report on CRAFT Implementation for In-season Wheat Yield Forecasting (Winter 2014/15) in Nepal A Report on CRAFT Implementation for In-season Wheat Yield Forecasting (Winter 2014/15) in Nepal CGIAR Research Project on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) Regional Agriculture Forecasting

More information

SIGMA project. Overview

SIGMA project. Overview SIGMA project Overview Background SIGMA - Facts Start 1 November 2013 30 March 2017 Agriculture AND Environment 22 partners, 17 countries VITO, CIRAD, JRC, IIASA, Alterra, RADI, NMSC, DEIMOS, GeoSAS, RCMRD,

More information

Rice Monitoring in Europe

Rice Monitoring in Europe JRC 66856 - ISSN 1831-9793 EUR 24736 EN -2011 Rice Monitoring in Europe Second part of the season Despite some downward revisions in the final figures the average yield potential remains satisfactory Highlights

More information

The Democratic People s Republic of Korea. Outlook for Food Supply and Demand in 2014/15 (November/October)

The Democratic People s Republic of Korea. Outlook for Food Supply and Demand in 2014/15 (November/October) 3 February 2015 GIEWS Update The Democratic People s Republic of Korea Outlook for Food Supply and Demand in 2014/15 (November/October) This report has been prepared based on official production figures

More information

Vegetation monitoring in the framework of EUMETSAT Land Surface Analysis SAF (land-saf/lsa-saf):

Vegetation monitoring in the framework of EUMETSAT Land Surface Analysis SAF (land-saf/lsa-saf): Satellite products for drought monitoring and agro-meteorological applications. Budapest 24-28 April 2017 Alirio Arboleda. Vegetation monitoring in the framework of EUMETSAT Land Surface Analysis SAF (land-saf/lsa-saf):

More information

ITALIAN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AND THE HEAT WAVE DURING SUMMER Luigi Perini 1 and M. Carmen Beltrano Ministry of Agriculture, Rome, Italy

ITALIAN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AND THE HEAT WAVE DURING SUMMER Luigi Perini 1 and M. Carmen Beltrano Ministry of Agriculture, Rome, Italy P1.41 ITALIAN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AND THE HEAT WAVE DURING SUMMER 23 Luigi Perini 1 and M. Carmen Beltrano Ministry of Agriculture, Rome, Italy 1. INTRODUCTION Mediterranean climate is usually defined

More information

National crop yield statistics and yield forecasting in France

National crop yield statistics and yield forecasting in France 6 th CGMS Expert Meeting National crop yield statistics and yield forecasting in France Auriane RENAUD, Statistical Service of French Ministry of Agriculture I. Dissemination II. Drawing up of yield forecasting

More information

A Report on In-season Paddy Yield Forecasting (Summer 2015) using CRAFT in Nepal

A Report on In-season Paddy Yield Forecasting (Summer 2015) using CRAFT in Nepal A Report on In-season Paddy Yield Forecasting (Summer 2015) using CRAFT in Nepal CGIAR Research Project on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) Regional Agriculture Forecasting Toolbox

More information

GEOGLAM, Michel Deshayes, GEO, GEOGLAM Coordinator for the Agricultural Community of Practice

GEOGLAM, Michel Deshayes, GEO, GEOGLAM Coordinator for the Agricultural Community of Practice GEOGLAM, Global Agricultural Monitoring Michel Deshayes, GEO, GEOGLAM Coordinator for the Agricultural Community of Practice GEO, Group on Earth Observations Created in 2005, to develop a coordinated and

More information

Collaborative Agreement. JRC (MARS Unit-AGRI4CAST): M. El Aydam & INRA (Morocco): R. Balaghi AGRI4CAST. Collaborative Agreement JRC / INRA - Maroc

Collaborative Agreement. JRC (MARS Unit-AGRI4CAST): M. El Aydam & INRA (Morocco): R. Balaghi AGRI4CAST. Collaborative Agreement JRC / INRA - Maroc Collaborative Agreement JRC (MARS Unit-): M. El Aydam & INRA (Morocco): R. Balaghi 1. General context 2. Main objectives 3. Main Results 4. Perspectives 1. General context Morocco Min Agri INRA (DSS) Crop

More information

Assessing Agricultural Drought Risk Jürgen Vogt and Hugo Carrao

Assessing Agricultural Drought Risk Jürgen Vogt and Hugo Carrao Assessing Agricultural Drought Risk Jürgen Vogt and Hugo Carrao European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC) Disaster Risk Management Unit juergen.vogt@ec.europa.eu Assessment of Drought Hazard and

More information

CropSyst model and model testing for use in Serbia

CropSyst model and model testing for use in Serbia Republic of Serbia Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia CropSyst model and model testing for use in Serbia Technical Workshop on Crop Yield Forecast in SEE, Skopje, Macedonia 30 31 May 2013 CropSyst

More information

STATISTICAL TOOLBOX PILOTING

STATISTICAL TOOLBOX PILOTING Crop Monitoring as an E-agricultural tool in Developing Countries STATISTICAL TOOLBOX PILOTING AND WORKSHOP REPORT Held at Kenitra from February 15 to 17, 2012 Reference: E-AGRI_D62.2_PilotingWorkshopReport

More information

Disaster Early Warning and Response Activities at RCMRD Tesfaye Korme (Ph.D), Regional Centre for Mapping of Resources for Development

Disaster Early Warning and Response Activities at RCMRD Tesfaye Korme (Ph.D), Regional Centre for Mapping of Resources for Development Satellite Earth Observation & Disaster Risks Disaster Early Warning and Response Activities at RCMRD Tesfaye Korme (Ph.D), Regional Centre for Mapping of Resources for Development RCMRD and its member

More information

Service: status & evolution

Service: status & evolution The Copernicus Global Land Service: status & evolution R. Lacaze HYGEOS on behalf the GIO - Global Land consortium What is Copernicus? The European system for monitoring i the Earth The European response

More information

Pilot studies on estimating the content of Nitrogen and Phosphorus in agricultural products. Catalin SIMOTA

Pilot studies on estimating the content of Nitrogen and Phosphorus in agricultural products. Catalin SIMOTA Pilot studies on estimating the content of Nitrogen and Phosphorus in agricultural products Catalin SIMOTA National Research and Development Institute for Soil Science Agrochemistry and Environment Bucharest

More information

Technical description of crop model (WOFOST) calibration and simulation activities Shandong province, China

Technical description of crop model (WOFOST) calibration and simulation activities Shandong province, China Version : 2 Page : 1 of 79 Date : 2017-04-28 Technical description of crop model (WOFOST) calibration and simulation activities Shandong province, China Hendrik Boogaard (Alterra) Miao Zhang (RADI) Nana

More information

Impact of El Niño on agriculture in Southern Africa for the 2015/2016 main season

Impact of El Niño on agriculture in Southern Africa for the 2015/2016 main season JRC MARS Bulletin Global Outlook Series Impact of El Niño on agriculture in Southern Africa for the 2015/2016 main season Authors: Rembold F., Kerdiles H., Lemoine G., Perez-Hoyos A. 2016 1 This publication

More information

Climate Change Impacts on Rain-fed Agriculture and Crop Yields in the Niger Basin

Climate Change Impacts on Rain-fed Agriculture and Crop Yields in the Niger Basin Climate Change Impacts on Rain-fed Agriculture and Crop Yields in the Niger Basin Aondover Tarhule and Uvirkaa Akumaga Dept. of Geography and Environmental Sustainability, University of Oklahoma Importance

More information

Unfavourable winter and summer climatic conditions decrease annual production levels in north-western countries. Southern and eastern

Unfavourable winter and summer climatic conditions decrease annual production levels in north-western countries. Southern and eastern Unfavourable winter and summer climatic conditions decrease annual production levels in north-western countries. Southern and eastern countries show production levels close to or above average values.

More information

Collaboration of Space Research Institute NASU-SSAU with EC JRC on satellite monitoring for food security: background and prospects

Collaboration of Space Research Institute NASU-SSAU with EC JRC on satellite monitoring for food security: background and prospects Collaboration of Space Research Institute NASU-SSAU with EC JRC on satellite monitoring for food security: background and prospects Prof. Nataliia Kussul 1 Space Research Institute NASU-SSAU, Ukraine Context

More information

IMPACTS OF DROUGHT ON MAIZE CROP IN KENYA. By John Mwikya, Kenya Meteorological Dept.

IMPACTS OF DROUGHT ON MAIZE CROP IN KENYA. By John Mwikya, Kenya Meteorological Dept. IMPACTS OF DROUGHT ON MAIZE CROP IN KENYA By John Mwikya, Kenya Meteorological Dept. INTRODUCTION The main staple crop for Kenyans is maize and is grown in all parts of the country except in the pastoral

More information

H2020 SENSAGRI project: developing prototypes for new Copernicus services for agriculture

H2020 SENSAGRI project: developing prototypes for new Copernicus services for agriculture GEOINT for Environmental Compliance Assurance in rural areas/agriculture H2020 SENSAGRI project: developing prototypes for new Copernicus services for agriculture Antonio Ruiz Verdú University of Valencia

More information

GEOGLAM Global Agricultural Monitoring. Michel Deshayes

GEOGLAM Global Agricultural Monitoring. Michel Deshayes GEOGLAM Global Agricultural Monitoring Michel Deshayes mdeshayes@geosec.org Outline GEOGLAM and AMIS GEOGLAM Structure and Governance New activities and projects Rangelands and Pasture Monitoring Early

More information

Global Agricultural Monitoring International Coordination: GEOGLAM

Global Agricultural Monitoring International Coordination: GEOGLAM Global Agricultural Monitoring International Coordination: GEOGLAM Chris Justice NASA - Earth Observation for Food Security and Agriculture Consortium Department of Geographical Sciences, University of

More information

Review. of the application of modern information technologies in the agricultural management systems. S.Korsakova

Review. of the application of modern information technologies in the agricultural management systems. S.Korsakova Review of the application of modern information technologies in the agricultural management systems S.Korsakova REVIEW OF MODERN INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES APPLIED INAGRICULTURAL MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS The USA,

More information

Guided by WMO-134 ( Guide to Agricultural Meteorological Practices (GAMP) 2007 completely revised version) Sistana SCADA Systems Ltd.

Guided by WMO-134 ( Guide to Agricultural Meteorological Practices (GAMP) 2007 completely revised version) Sistana SCADA Systems Ltd. Agricultural Decision Support System Guided by WMO-134 ( Guide to Agricultural Meteorological Practices (GAMP) 2007 completely revised version) Sistana SCADA Systems Ltd. Agricultural Decision Support

More information

Earth Observation for Crop Modelling

Earth Observation for Crop Modelling Earth Observation for Crop Modelling International trends & developments How to promote earth observation applications? How to get funding? Capacity building 0. Introduction Mark Noort, consultant, project

More information

How will climate change affect future potato production and water use in South Africa?

How will climate change affect future potato production and water use in South Africa? How will climate change affect future potato production and water use in South Africa? Martin Steyn 1, Anton Haverkort 1,2, Linus Franke 2 and Francois Engelbrecht 3 1 University of Pretoria; 2 Wageningen

More information

Regional Consultation on Climate Services at the National Level for South East Europe. Agriculture

Regional Consultation on Climate Services at the National Level for South East Europe. Agriculture Regional Consultation on Climate Services at the National Level for South East Europe Agriculture Prof. Ordan Chukaliev, Ph.D. Faculty of Agricultural Sciences and Food University of Ss Cyril and Methodius,

More information

DROUGHT IMPACT: DATA AVAILABILITY AND USE FOR ESTIMATION OF DROUGHT RISK. Drought Risk Assessment 6-8 November 2018 Budapest

DROUGHT IMPACT: DATA AVAILABILITY AND USE FOR ESTIMATION OF DROUGHT RISK. Drought Risk Assessment 6-8 November 2018 Budapest DROUGHT IMPACT: DATA AVAILABILITY AND USE FOR ESTIMATION OF DROUGHT RISK Dr.ir. Anne Gobin Drought Risk Assessment 6-8 November 2018 Budapest Acknowledgements: MERINOVA, cordex.be, ipot, BELCAM, AFTER

More information

Sentinel-2 Agriculture project : Preparing Sentinel2 exploitation for agriculture monitoring

Sentinel-2 Agriculture project : Preparing Sentinel2 exploitation for agriculture monitoring Sentinel-2 Agriculture project : Preparing Sentinel2 exploitation for agriculture monitoring Defourny Pierre, Bontemps Sophie, CaraCozmin, Dedieu Gerard, Hagolle Olivier, Inglada Jordi, Thierry Rabaute,

More information

APPLICATIONS OF AN OPERATIONAL COMPUTER PROGRAM FOR IRRIGATION PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT IN ROMANIA

APPLICATIONS OF AN OPERATIONAL COMPUTER PROGRAM FOR IRRIGATION PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT IN ROMANIA APPLICATIONS OF AN OPERATIONAL COMPUTER PROGRAM FOR IRRIGATION PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT IN ROMANIA AdrianaCornelia Marica, Petruta Tuinea, Jozsef Urban National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Sos.

More information

Pakistan Agricultural Information Systems Project

Pakistan Agricultural Information Systems Project Pakistan Agricultural Information Systems Project Designing Provincial Crop Outlook Reports: A Discussion-Meeting with Stakeholders Islamabad, Pakistan February 25, 2014 Dath K. Mita, PhD Senior Global

More information

Agricultural Risk Management and Forecasting

Agricultural Risk Management and Forecasting World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water Agricultural Risk Management and Forecasting Robert Stefanski Agricultural Meteorology Division Climate Prediction and Adaptation

More information

The food security issue Remote Sensing tells us the truth! --- Bart Deronde

The food security issue Remote Sensing tells us the truth! --- Bart Deronde The food security issue Remote Sensing tells us the truth! --- Bart Deronde Food Security exist when all people at all times have physical, social and economic access to sufficient, safe and nutritious

More information

Towards a European Drought Observatory (EDO)

Towards a European Drought Observatory (EDO) JRC Information Exchange Day 02 June 2010 Madrid 1 Towards a European Drought Observatory (EDO) Jürgen Vogt European Commission Joint Research Centre Institute for Environment and Sustainability Ispra

More information

Application of CSM-CERES-Maize for evaluation of planting date under rainfed conditions in the Northern Guinea Savanna agro-ecology of Nigeria

Application of CSM-CERES-Maize for evaluation of planting date under rainfed conditions in the Northern Guinea Savanna agro-ecology of Nigeria Application of CSM-CERES-Maize for evaluation of planting date under rainfed conditions in the Northern Guinea Savanna agro-ecology of Nigeria K.O.OLUWASEMIRE and S.O. OYATOKUN Agronomy Department, University

More information

POTENTIALS FOR DETECTING CANOPY WATER STRESS USING GEOSTATIONARY MSG-SEVIRI SWIR DATA

POTENTIALS FOR DETECTING CANOPY WATER STRESS USING GEOSTATIONARY MSG-SEVIRI SWIR DATA POTENTIALS FOR DETECTING CANOPY WATER STRESS USING GEOSTATIONARY MSG-SEVIRI SWIR DATA Rasmus Fensholt, *Department of Geography and Geology, University of Copenhagen, Denmark Co-workers; Silvia Huber*,

More information

Towards a Global Agricultural Monitoring System of Systems. Chris Justice University of Maryland ( Ag 0703 Task Lead )

Towards a Global Agricultural Monitoring System of Systems. Chris Justice University of Maryland ( Ag 0703 Task Lead ) Towards a Global Agricultural Monitoring System of Systems Chris Justice University of Maryland ( Ag 0703 Task Lead ) IRSA Beijing, Feb 11-13 th 2009 World food and agriculture are facing critical challenges

More information

The European Environment s Agency requirements for Meteorological and Climatic data

The European Environment s Agency requirements for Meteorological and Climatic data The European Environment s Agency requirements for Meteorological and Climatic data With special focus on reanalysed meteorological fields Philippe Crouzet EEA with inputs from André Jol EEA and Hadley

More information

Crop monitoring and yield forecasting MARS activities in Asia

Crop monitoring and yield forecasting MARS activities in Asia Crop monitoring and yield forecasting MARS activities in Asia Rémi Lecerf European Commission, Joint Research Centre GLOBCAST dissemination event Conference Centre Albert Borschette Brussels, 30 September

More information

END OF SOWING WINDOW REPORT SOUTHERN AFRICA (2017/18 SEASON)

END OF SOWING WINDOW REPORT SOUTHERN AFRICA (2017/18 SEASON) This End-of-Planting Season Report is a publication by the African Risk Capacity (ARC). This report discusses the performance of the planting window, which stretches from October to January for most of

More information

Monitoring and modeling agricultural drought for famine early warning

Monitoring and modeling agricultural drought for famine early warning Monitoring and modeling agricultural drought for famine early warning James Verdin Chris Funk, Michael Budde, Ronald Lietzow, Gabriel Senay, Ronald Smith, Diego Pedreros 1 James Rowland, Guleid Artan 2

More information

Climate research initiatives in Ethiopian Institute of Agricultural Research

Climate research initiatives in Ethiopian Institute of Agricultural Research Climate research initiatives in Ethiopian Institute of Agricultural Research Andualem Shimeles Ethiopian Institute of Agricultural Research Andualem.Shimeles@eiar.gov.et NASA IDS: Seasonal Prediction of

More information

FAO perspectives: From climate information to climate impacts on agriculture and food security

FAO perspectives: From climate information to climate impacts on agriculture and food security Agrometeorologists for farmers in hotter, drier, wetter future Nov. 9, 2016, Ljubljana FAO perspectives: From climate information to climate impacts on agriculture and food security Mariko Fujisawa FAO

More information

geoland HALO Workshop Issue I.1.00 Observatory of Natural Carbon fluxes Jean-Christophe Calvet and the geoland / ONC Team

geoland HALO Workshop Issue I.1.00 Observatory of Natural Carbon fluxes Jean-Christophe Calvet and the geoland / ONC Team Observatory of Natural Carbon fluxes HALO Workshop Issue I.1.00 Jean-Christophe Calvet and the / ONC Team November 2004 ONC overview ONC tools ONC implementation ONC first results Conclusions November

More information

Projection of the Impact of Climate Change on the Surface Energy and Water Balance in the Seyhan River Basin Turkey

Projection of the Impact of Climate Change on the Surface Energy and Water Balance in the Seyhan River Basin Turkey Projection of the Impact of Climate Change on the Surface Energy and Water Balance in the Seyhan River Basin Turkey Kenji TANAKA 1, Yoichi FUJIHARA 2 and Toshiharu KOJIRI 3 1 WRRC, DPRI, Kyoto University,

More information

E-AGRI VIEWERS FOR ANALYSIS AND VISUALISATION OF WEATHER AND CROP INDICATORS

E-AGRI VIEWERS FOR ANALYSIS AND VISUALISATION OF WEATHER AND CROP INDICATORS Crop Monitoring as an E-agricultural tool in Developing Countries E-AGRI VIEWERS FOR ANALYSIS AND VISUALISATION OF WEATHER AND CROP INDICATORS Reference: E-AGRI_D26.1_E-AgriViewers_D1.0 Author(s): Allard

More information

DEVELOPMENT OF A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR NATURAL DAMAGE ASSESSMENT BASED ON REMOTE SENSING AND BIO-PHYSICAL MODELS

DEVELOPMENT OF A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR NATURAL DAMAGE ASSESSMENT BASED ON REMOTE SENSING AND BIO-PHYSICAL MODELS DEVELOPMENT OF A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR NATURAL DAMAGE ASSESSMENT BASED ON REMOTE SENSING AND BIO-PHYSICAL MODELS M.A. Sharifi a*, W.G.M. Bastiaanssen b, S.J. Zwart b a ITC, P.O. Box 6, 7500 AA, Enschede,

More information

Assessment of impacts of climate change on runoff: River Nzoia catchment, Kenya. Githui F. W, Bauwens W. and Mutua F.

Assessment of impacts of climate change on runoff: River Nzoia catchment, Kenya. Githui F. W, Bauwens W. and Mutua F. Assessment of impacts of climate change on runoff: River Nzoia catchment, Kenya by Githui F. W, Bauwens W. and Mutua F. Objective To investigate the impact of climate change on runoff of Nzoia river catchment

More information

Annex C. Quick reference to CropWatch indicators, spatial units and methodologies

Annex C. Quick reference to CropWatch indicators, spatial units and methodologies 92 CROPWATCH BULLETIN MAY 2017 Annex C. Quick reference to CropWatch indicators, spatial units and methodologies The following sections give a brief overview of CropWatch indicators and spatial units,

More information

FY24 28 JAXA. Big BCG

FY24 28 JAXA. Big BCG RESTEC 26 1 31 2 FY24 28 JAXA 37 3 Big BCG 4 ( + + ) National Spatial Data Infrastructure Theme Maps (1/5,000, 1/10,000,1/25,000, 1/50,000) ( ) GIS ADB GSMaP Input Rain gage Improved Flood prediction model

More information

AGRICULTURAL METEOROLOGY IN TURKEY

AGRICULTURAL METEOROLOGY IN TURKEY AGRICULTURAL METEOROLOGY IN TURKEY Dr. Osman ŞİMŞEK TURKISH STATE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE RESEARCH DEPARTMENT Agricultural Meteorology Division February 2014 AGRICULTURAL METEOROLOGY Studies in Agricultural

More information

for Wildland Fire GOFC-GOLD Fire IT Workshop October 2011 Stresa, Italy

for Wildland Fire GOFC-GOLD Fire IT Workshop October 2011 Stresa, Italy The Global Early Warning System for Wildland Fire 1 GOFC-GOLD Fire IT Workshop 18-19 October 2011 Stresa, Italy Presentation Outline 1. Fire danger and early warning 2. Overview of the Global EWS 3. Recent

More information

The EUMETSAT Satellite Application Facility on Land Surface Analysis (LSA SAF) Continuous Development 2 Phase

The EUMETSAT Satellite Application Facility on Land Surface Analysis (LSA SAF) Continuous Development 2 Phase The EUMETSAT Satellite Application Facility on Land Surface Analysis (LSA SAF) Continuous Development 2 Phase Jean-Louis Roujean and many co-authors METEO FRANCE / Toulouse jean-louis.roujean@meteo.fr

More information

Crop Monitoring as an E-agricultural tool in Developing Countries CGMS STATISTICAL TOOLBOX

Crop Monitoring as an E-agricultural tool in Developing Countries CGMS STATISTICAL TOOLBOX Crop Monitoring as an E-agricultural tool in Developing Countries CGMS STATISTICAL TOOLBOX Reference: E-AGRI_D61.1_CGMS_Statistical_Toolbox_F1.0 Author(s): Allard de Wit, Steven Hoek Version: 1.0 Date:

More information