ILO VALUE CHAIN STUDIES FINAL STUDY REPORT FINAL REPORT PRESENTATION

Transcription

1 ILO VALUE CHAIN STUDIES FINAL STUDY REPORT FINAL REPORT PRESENTATION

2 AGENDA Welcome and Introductions 10:00-10:05 Study Context 10:05-10:20 Overall Study Findings 10:20-10:40 Value chain Selection 10:40-11:10 Challenge Fund Design 11:10-11:30 Recommended Next steps 11:30-12:00

3 TOR: Desk Study To review relevant and recent value chain studies and projects Review of all previous studies and value chain projects identifying economic sectors that have potential for private sector-led, employment intensive and environmentally sustainable growth especially in rural areas Development of subsector criteria select 5 subsector value chains, in which skills development is a critical success factor for productivity, growth and competitiveness.

4 TOR: Final Report Value chain mapping characterise the product market to include sources of raw materials, buyers, mechanisms for information flow within the value chain, and key supporting services (energy, transportation, training etc) Brief product and industry profile that should Market, production and trade data Key drivers of the demand for the product Identify key segments and activities in the chain where poor performance or inefficiencies due to shortage of skills severely undermine the competitiveness of the entire value chain

5 What did we do? Analysed literature on Zimbabwe s economic performance Reviewed subsector studies conducted in Zimbabwe strong bias to agriculture (rural, stage of economy, ease of entry) Developed customised selection criterion value chain maps & channels Driving forces & interventions Developed customised subsector reports Five subsectors Designed a challenge fund framework for ILO Rationale Governance Management Performance management

6 Final Report Contents Poverty and unemployment in Zimbabwe Youth and youth challenges in Zimbabwe Highlights of selected subsectors in Zimbabwe. Key driving forces and opportunities for intervention Geographical distribution of subsectors Overall intervention recommendation Challenge Fund design Indicative subsector development indicators Indicative participants in the value chains Next steps Specifics for setting up the challenge fund

7 AGENDA Welcome and Introductions 10:00-10:05 Study Context 10:05-10:20 Final Report Summary 10:20-10:40 Value chain Selection 10:40-11:10 Recommendations 11:10-11:30 Implications & Next steps 11:30-12:00

8 Analytical Framework Economy of Zimbabwe Focus: Understand the key drivers of the economy and how the structural demand and supply issues impact on value chains targeted for youth economic empowerment What does the economy look like? What is the structure of the economy? What is the socio-economic context? What is constraining the economy? What is the import/export relationship? What is the industrial capacity utilisation? What are the psychographic structure? Where are the pockets of opportunities? Which sub sectors are growing and why? What is the link to youth economic empowerment? What are the missing links to that vision?

9 Structure of Economy Focus: Understand the key drivers of the economy and how the structural demand and supply issues impact on value chains targeted for youth economic empowerment Fiscal Policy Review Sectoral Growth Rate Table Sector 2008 Actual Revised 2009 Est. Original 2010 Projections Agriculture -39.3% 14.9% 10% 18.8% Manufacturing -33.4% 10.2% 10% 4.5% Mining -17.1% 8.5% 40% 31% Tourism 2.8% 6.5% 10% 3.5% Electricity, and Water Gas -36.5% 1.9% 3.4% -1.8% Construction -8.5% 2.1% 3.2% 1.5% Finance Insurance and -27.9% 4.5% 5.5% 2.0% Real Estate -36.4% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5% Transport and Communication Public Administration 5.4% 2.2% 4% 3% 0% 2.0% 3% 2.0% 2010 (Revised Projections)

10 How should we respond? Low Disposable Incomes

11 How should we respond? Youth in Zimbabwe Key Information Population 13,2m Diaspora Percent of Youth (15-29 years) Population distribution Skills mismatches Slow job growth Lack of access to capital 1-1,5m 3.7m (>31% of population) Urban: 31% Rural: 69% Youth unemployment: 24,9% Causes of Youth Unemployment Inadequate job matching & signalling

12 AGENDA Welcome and Introductions 10:00-10:05 Study Context 10:05-10:20 Desk Study Review Findings 10:20-10:40 Value chain Selection 10:40-11:10 Recommendations 11:10-11:30 Implications & Next steps 11:30-12:00

13 How should we respond? Value chain analysis Focus: Industry growth function of growth of firms in that sector stemming from capitalisation of market opportunities and investments in technology and skills development of its staff to enhance domestic and international competitiveness. Relevance to target group (e.g. the poor, SMEs, women, workers) High number of poor or disadvantaged groups (poor close to markets: producers, workers, consumers) Decent Work change potential? Stepping up (productivity, market share, work quality) Stepping out (new markets, jobs, opportunities) Criteria Size Relevance Intervention Potential? Feasibility of stimulating value chain development for decent work through systemic market change. Participants Considerations Priorities Capacity Feasibility

14 How should we respond? Value chain analysis logic Focus: Youth as employees of firms, or suppliers into value chains or as consumers. (opportunities and capacity) Value chain analysis Skills development Business linkages as clusters or networks of youth Partnerships with value chain actors

15 How should we respond? Value chain selection Focus: four criteria: market potential, economic impact (size), ILO priorities, environmental issues. Summary Information Subsectors Reviewed 20 Subsectors recommended 4 Highly recommended 5 Not recommended 11

16 How should we respond? Value chain selection Focus: four criteria: market potential, economic impact (size), ILO priorities, environmental issues. Subsector Typologies Limited Growth Potential High growth and export potential (5) Growth opportunities with constraints (6) Domestic growth and import substitution (3) Domestic growth potential (6) Beef Cotton Sugar, banana Poultry Groundnuts, Soya Pork Tobacco Paprika, HVE vegetables Groundnuts Maize, domestic vegetables Gold, chrome, diamonds Tea, coffee Milk Sorghum, Honey

17 AGENDA Welcome and Introductions 10:00-10:05 Study Context 10:05-10:20 Desk Study Review Findings 10:20-10:40 Value chain Selection 10:40-11:10 Value Chain Maps 11:10-11:30 Implications & Next steps 11:30-12:00

18 Zimbabwe Cotton Sub sector Map Markets Local Cotton Seed Local Lint Cotton Export Cotton Seed Export Lint Cotton Processing Cotton Ginneries (n=18) Buying Point Aggregation Post harvest handling Production Smallholder Farmers (v= ,000 mt) Large Scale Commercial Farmers Inputs Research and Development Government and Private Sector Research Channel One Smallholder Contract Grower Channel Channel 3: Large Scale Commercial Outgrower Channel

19 How should we respond? Cotton Summary Subsector Drivers cotton input credit scheme (contract farming) models Hi export demand, competitive buyers & good producer prices Yield levels and profitability of farmers Key Interventions in subsector Work with cotton companies to facilitate recruitment of youth into cotton production Facilitate provision of training in production skills, grading and business management aspects Training youth in local processing of cotton seed for oil extraction and cotton seed cake for local uses in other enterprises Work in partnership with value chain players (cotton ginneries, textile firms) to identify youth employment opportunities

20 Smallholder Farmers Zimbabwe Groundnuts Sub sector Map Markets Household Market National Supermarkets Processing Small Processors (n=4) Large Processors (n=4) Assembly & Aggregation Domestic Brokers International Brokers Shelling Production Smallholder Farmers Inputs Input suppliers (n=5) Channel One Household Consumption Channel Channel 2: Small Processors Channel Channel 3: Large Processor Channel

21 How should we respond? Groundnuts Summary Subsector Drivers Key Interventions in subsector Access to quality seed and extension support Access to working capital to buy sufficient volumes Enforcement of import quality control measures Facilitate formation of youth business groups or incorporation of youth into existing production groups Facilitate youth training in production skills to enhance yields Explore possibilities of contracting with processing companies to work with youth groups on outgrower arrangements with guarantees for uptake of produce. Explore employment opportunities for youth with processing companies Facilitate the formation of youth trading business enterprises and their access to finance.

22 Zimbabwe Soya Bean Sub sector Map Markets Stock Feed Market Household oil &margarine Export Market WFP Market Processing Cake Manufacturers (n=4) Large Processing Companies (n=4) Soya Chunk Producers (n=4) Assembly & Aggregation Traders Traders Importation Brokers (v=50,000 mt) Production Smallholder Farmers Medium Scale A2 Farmers LSCF Farmers & ARDA Estates Inputs Input suppliers (n=4) Channel One Stock Feed Channel Channel 2: Domestic Household Channel Channel 3: Export Household Channel Channel 4: Domestic Relief Channel

23 How should we respond? Soya Bean Summary Subsector Drivers Access to capital Demand higher than supply Low productivity & limited SHF organisation Key Interventions in subsector Production- Support youth farmers in high rainfall natural region II and III to produce good yields of soya bean. Input supply/output buyers- incentivising establishment of local agrodealers to stock inputs and buy produce. Output marketing- partner with processors to enhance youth enterprises access to financial support and enable innovative outgrower linkages with smallholder farmers chain. Explore processing plants youth employment opportunities

24 Zimbabwe Poultry Sub sector Map Markets Household Supermarkets Institutional Markets Export Markets Wholesaling & Retailing Processing 4 Abattoirs e.g. Ostrindo (30% market share) (V=21,000 birds/week) Suncrest Abattoirs (30% market share) (V=96-120,000 birds/week) Irvines Abattoirs (40% market share) (V=135,000 birds/week) Production Smallholder Farmers Communal Outgrower Farmers (n=200) 17 Out-growers 176 Outgrowers Veterinary Support Government Inputs Chick Breeders, Stock Feed Manufacturers and Abattoirs Channel One Low Income HH channel Channel 2: Medium Abattoir Channel Channel 3: Large Abattoir channel

25 How should we respond? Poultry Summary Subsector Drivers Key Interventions in subsector Levels of production (10,000 birds) Levels of market demand (hi local & regional) Industrial protection (import ban) Developing outgrower schemes between abattoirs and youth enterprises Facilitate formation of youth enterprises Facilitate provision of technical and business training Enhance market linkages between youth poultry enterprises and low income households for live birds and eggs.

26 Zimbabwe Honey Sub sector Map Markets Local HH (Raw Honey ) Low Income s/mkts (processed) Hi Income s/mkts & hotels Pharmaceutical companies Wholesaling & Retailing Imports Processors Honey Dew Farm BKAZ Bulking Production SH Farmers Middlemen Communal Farmers High Production Farmers BKAZ Members (8-20,000) Commercial Farmers ZFDT ZFDT Members Inputs Distribution NGOs NGOs BKAZ ZFDT Training NGOs and Domboshava Bee Centre Channel One Low Income HH channel Channel 2: Urban High Income HH Channel Channel 3: Regional & International Export channel

27 How should we respond? Honey Summary Subsector Drivers Key Interventions in subsector Levels of production Organisation of the production and marketing functions Demand from supermarkets and pharmaceutical companies Identify youth with technical skills such as woodwork and sheet metal fabrication & help them establish beehive producing and maintenance enterprises Partner with value chain players and facilitate formation of youth beekeeping enterprises and technical and business training Facilitate youth owned market intermediary enterprises to link beekeepers and processors

28 AGENDA Welcome and Introductions 10:00-10:05 Study Context 10:05-10:20 Desk Study Review Findings 10:20-10:40 Value chain Selection 10:40-11:10 Recommendations 11:10-11:30 Implications & Next steps 11:30-12:00

29 Overall Recommendation To maximise partnership opportunities with the private sector and NGOs, Competitive process to designing and implementing programme activities. ILO design the concept, specify desired results Invite private firms to submit project designs in partnership with NGOs and government departments. Condition of contract awards =co-contribution on matching basis.

30 Benefits of Approach Projects embedded in private sector value chains in win-win manner Empower private sector to drive competitiveness of value chains and youth economic development Matched funding allows ILO to cover more sectors than two and widely spread its resource investment Leverage private and public capital and skills Inject liquidity into value chains

31 Challenge Fund Features A temporary market development catalyst stimulate pro-poor innovation by private firms improve market access for those historically excluded from enterprise opportunities Key design characteristics Requirements Development impact A financial contribution One-off limited duration grant Limits scope for donor dependency & distortion Awarded through an open competitive process By open invitation, widely marketed; awarded by independent panel Demand driven competition, focus, entrepreneurship, innovation To a private firm Private firm (or a consortium led by it) Leverages existing activities, not new projects or organisations Against a matching contribution Minimum of 1:1 co-financing Leverages private funding and risk ownership To be implemented by the firm For long-term commercial gain with a defined social impact Recipients must have capacity to implement/ source TA independently Project must deliver both social and commercial returns, clearly defined Capacity to implement & driven by the logic of the transaction Development impact likely to be sustainable if it is profitable

32 Project Locations Concentrations of poor youth Pro-poor youth growth sectors Dynamic private sector partners Identify a critical mass of private firms & youth Commitment to outgrowers schemes development Commitment to resource sharing Willingness to innovate?

33 Is a CF Relevant to Zimbabwe? Difficult & uncertain investment climate poor or thin markets = greater costs & business risks Lack of competitive pressure Firms typically content to serve established, low risk market segments, experience little market pressure to seek new market Poor information - information on the youth, whether as commercial partners or consumers, is weak. creates uncertainty and risk

34 Is a CF Relevant to Zimbabwe? Innovation failures inertia within larger firms, Inertia in smaller companies which lack the market linkages, expertise and finance to innovate and expand. *historical reliance on and dominance of the large scale commercial farmers of large firms in Zimbabwe, New terrain challenges confronting small youth owned enterprises and emerging enterprises in rural smallholder economic activities).

35 CF Operations Capital Expenditure activities: CF Investment- Appraising business development plans and approving grants CF Fund Capitalisation- securing contributions to the CF for leverage. Operating Expenditure activities- CF Operations- SOPs & Grant criteria and procedures Communications, Knowledge Sharing and Stakeholder Management CF Promotion and marketing- Publicising the facility and generating a pipeline of projects and a cadre of certified service providers.

36 CF Operations cont d Operating Expenditure activities- Creating Linkages fostering and brokering business linkages between different firms Portfolio Management Providing after care services to CF clients to ensure success and capture results Monitoring and Evaluation- Reporting on impact and identifying areas for improvement and generating lessons for dissemination.

37 How is it structured? Investment Committee STTA Inputs: Learning and Communication Monitoring and Evaluation Technical Analysis Challenge Fund Leader/Manager Project Management and Support Structure Community of Practice Partners (NGOs, Donors, GOZ etc) Grant Manager Knowledge Management Unit Gokwe Value Chain Cluster Mt Darwin Value Chain Cluster Projects Projects

38 Budget Breakdown CAPEX- 75% of budget Projects as generated by firms OPEX- 25% of budget 75% operating costs 25% monitoring and evaluation

39 Thank You DISCUSSIONS END OF MEETING