CSA-Plan: Strategies to put Climate-Smart Agriculture into Practice 24 May 2017 World Bank

Transcription

1 CSA-Plan: Strategies to put Climate-Smart Agriculture into Practice 24 May 2017 World Bank Evan Girvetz Todd

2 Africa CSA Alliance

3 CSA-Plan: A multi-step planning and implementation guide to scaling CSA Flexible Simple Stakeholder Driven Linkable

4 CSA-Plan Situation Analysis Target Setting, Climate Risks & Enabling Conditions Engagement Prioritizing Interventions Practices, Programs and Policies CSA Investment Portfolios Value for Money & Trade-offs Program Implementation Design, Development & Deployment Knowledge into Action Monitoring and Evaluation Across Scales and Systems Evidence Based Results Framework Taking CSA to Scale Learning from Experience Capacity Strengthening Targets, Vulnerability & Impacts, Readiness Stocktaking for CSA Action

5 CSA-Plan Situation Analysis Target Setting, Climate Risks & Enabling Conditions Vulnerability & Impacts + Readiness Stocktaking for CSA Action CSA Country Profiles 15 Profiles Developed Across Africa, Asia and Latin America 15+ additional currently being developed globally

6 Climate Change and Impacts Tanzania Projected Change in Temperature and Precipitation by

7 Developed to support the World Bank Kenya Climate Smart Agriculture Project ($250 million) Risk profiles were developed through strong engagement with county-level stakeholder Being developed for 31 Kenyan counties Provides a platform for CSA engagement and capacity building at the county level Kenya County Climate Risk Profiles: Key Risks and Adaptation Options Identified Across Value Chains

8 CSA-Plan Situation Analysis Risks and Enabling Conditions Vulnerability & Impacts + Readiness Prioritizing Interventions Practices, Programs and Policies Trade-offs & Value for Money Stocktaking for CSA Action CSA Investment Portfolios Trade-offs among aspects of CSA Synergies between aspects of CSA FAO

9 Prioritizing Interventions Governmental decision-makers (national, local) Research NGOs Development partners Community organizations Results Results Results Results Scope region, commodity CSA indicator selection long list of CSA practices Short list of priority practices and programs Stakeholder selection via workshops Ranked short list based on economic analysis CSA investment portfolios Identified opportunities and constraints

10 Social IRR (%) CSA Cost-benefit Analysis

11 Rosenstock et al. Resilience SOC (Effect size) rot n il ysical e- measured both outcomes, because the impact of management practices CSA depends Compendium: on location and thus it is spurious to compare results of studies between locations in Synergies and trade-offs with CSA Tradeoffs Synergies 15% 56% -Net returns +soil C +Yield +soil C n of b of dicaprito ducn a tud % Productivity Productivity (Effect size) +Yield -women s labor 19% Tradeoffs

12 Priorities Matter for Designing CSA Programs Equal Adaptation & Productivity Adaptation Only Productivity Only Maize Yield Only Maize Yield considering adoption rates Green Manure Green Manure Green Manure Organic Fertilizer Inorganic Fertilizer Mulching Organic Fertilizer Water Harvesting Water Harvesting Intercropping Organic Fertilizer Mulching Mulching Inorganic Fertilizer Water Harvesting Water Harvesting Reduced Tillage Agroforestry Green Manure Organic Fertilizer Pruning Crop Residue Organic Fertilizer Zai Pits Zai Pits Inorganic Fertilizer Pruning Inorganic Fertilizer Intercropping Mulching Agroforestry Inorganic Fertilizer Pruning Mulching Reduced Tillage Crop Residue Intercropping Intercropping Reduced Tillage Crop Residue Reduced Tillage Agroforestry Crop Residue Improved Variety Green Manure Intercropping Water Harvesting Reduced Tillage Crop Residue Crop Rotation Agroforestry Crop Rotation Improved Variety Agroforestry Rosenstock et al.

13 CSA-Plan Situation Analysis Risks and Enabling Conditions Vulnerability & Impacts + Readiness Targeting & Prioritizing Practices, Programs and Policies Trade-offs & Value for Money Program Implementation Design & Implementation Guidelines Knowledge into Action Stocktaking for CSA Action CSA Investment Portfolios Taking CSA to Scale CSA Program Development Implementation Guides Business models Incentive schemes

14 Reward (% yield increase) CSA Compendium: Risk vs. Reward of CSA High Reward, High Risk sri High Reward, Low Risk ifiv af if wh of wh zai gm ic rt iv mu af res if af of iv rot afp rt res res if Low Reward, High Risk of rot Low Reward, Low Risk Crop Beans Maize Rice Tubers Chance of Success Lamanna et al. in prep

15 CSA X-Ray: Prioritizing with Data

16 Linking Farmers to Markets through Climate Smart Value Chains: LINK2.0

17 Program Design & Implementation: Innovative Finance and Business Models for Scaling CSA Resilience, Nutrition, Poverty and Equity Outcomes Village Saving and Loan Associations Farmers Organizations & Groups Markets & Household Consumption Climate Resilience Gender Equity Social Capital Farmer Field Business Schools Climate-Smart Agriculture Interventions Input Suppliers

18 CSA-Plan Situation Analysis Risks and Enabling Conditions Vulnerability & Impacts + Readiness Targeting & Prioritizing Practices, Programs and Policies Trade-offs & Value for Money Program Implementation Design & Implementation Guidelines Knowledge into Action Monitoring and Evaluation Across Scales and Systems Evidence Based Results Framework Stocktaking for CSA Action CSA Investment Portfolios Taking CSA to Scale Learning from Experience

19 Rural Household Multi-Indicator Survey (RHoMIS) A practical minimum data approach to create harmonized datasets at scale CHALLENGE Idiosyncratic data limits understanding & responses APPROACH Interoperable monitoring systems by design OUTCOME Characterizing and tracking change at scale Cost-effective & rapid survey Dietary diversity Gross income Flexible, inclusive of a core-set Every development partner has, or is developing, a unique approach to monitoring CSA which is likely to create a pile of information difficult to make sense of Links & builds on existing efforts Innovate to reach accuracy at scale Diagnose risks, detect relationships and monitor changes among climate, agriculture, gender, nutrition, and poverty

20 Big Data Opportunities in Agriculture

21 CSA-Plan Situation Analysis Target Setting, Climate Risks & Enabling Conditions Engagement Prioritizing Interventions Practices, Programs and Policies CSA Investment Portfolios Value for Money & Trade-offs Program Implementation Design, Development & Deployment Knowledge into Action Monitoring and Evaluation Across Scales and Systems Evidence Based Results Framework Taking CSA to Scale Learning from Experience Capacity Strengthening Targets, Vulnerability & Impacts, Readiness Stocktaking for CSA Action

22 World Bank Kenya Climate Smart Agriculture Project: Design & Implementation Support World Bank Kenya Climate Smart Agriculture Project Key Design Principles Prioritization of promising CSA interventions Scaling up of promising interventions Value chain (VC) approach Gender Sensitivity Nutrition informed Collaboration among agencies Complementarity with other interventions

23 24 May 2017 World Bank Webinar Evan Girvetz Todd