Milk Production. January Milk Production up 1.8 Percent

Transcription

1 Milk Production ISSN: Released February, 08, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). January Milk Production up.8 Percent Milk production in the 3 major States during January totaled 7.3 billion pounds, up.8 percent from January 07. December revised production, at 7.0 billion pounds, was up. percent from December 06. The December revision represented an increase of 4 million pounds or less than 0. percent from last month's preliminary production estimate. Production per cow in the 3 major States averaged,979 pounds for January, 4 pounds above January 07. This is the highest production per cow for the month of January since the 3 State series began in 003. The number of milk cows on farms in the 3 major States was 8.74 million head, 49,000 head more than January 07, and 4,000 head more than December Annual Milk Production up.4 Percent from 06 The annual production of milk for the United States during 07 was 5 billion pounds,.4 percent above 06. Revisions to 06 production decreased the annual total 3 million pounds. Revised 07 production was up 35 million pounds from last month's publication. Annual total milk production has increased 3.4 percent from 008. Production per cow in the United States averaged, pounds for 07, 63 pounds above 06. The average annual rate of milk production per cow has increased.5 percent from 008. The average number of milk cows on farms in the United States during 07 was 9.39 million head, up 0.7 percent from 06. The average number of milk cows was unrevised for 07. The average annual number of milk cows has increased percent from 008.

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3 Contents Milk Cows and Production by Quarter United States: Milk Cows and Production by Month 3 Selected States: Estimated Milk Cows and Production by Month United States: Milk Cows and Production 3 Selected States: January 07 and Monthly Milk Production 3 Selected States... 5 Milk Cows and Production 3 Selected States: December 06 and Monthly Milk Cows 3 Selected States... 6 Milk Cows and Production United States: Milk Production United States: Milk Cows and Production States and United States: 06 and Milk Cows United States: Rate per Cow United States: Milk Cows by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: Milk Cows by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: Milk Produced per Cow by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: Milk Produced per Cow by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: Milk Production by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: Milk Production by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: Milk Cows and Production by Quarter States and United States: Milk Cows and Production by Quarter States and United States: Licensed Dairy Herds States and United States: 06 and Statistical Methodology... 9 Reliability of Monthly Milk Production Estimates... 9 Information Contacts... 0 Milk Production (February 08) 3

4 Milk Cows and Production by Quarter United States: [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Quarter January-March... April-June... July-September... October-December... Milk cows Milk per cow Milk production Change from 07 (,000 head) (,000 head) (pounds) (pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (percent) 9,369 9,399 9,40 9,398 5,77 5,888 5,6 5,649 53,56 55,344 53,473 53,0 Annual... 9,39 Includes dry cows. Excludes heifers not yet fresh. Excludes milk sucked by calves., 5,466 Milk Cows and Production by Month 3 Selected States: [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Month January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December... Milk cows Milk per cow Milk production Change from 07 (,000 head) (,000 head) (pounds) (pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (percent) 8,69 8,696 8,74 8,7 8,730 8,733 8,734 8,74 8,737 8,73 8,734 8,736 8,740,955,799,06,97,037,,97,6,850,,859,3,979 6,9 5,645 7,564 7,00 7,783 6,7 7,4 7,04 6,6 6,70 6,35 6,978 7,.8 Annual... 8,75 Includes dry cows. Excludes heifers not yet fresh. Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3,04 0,455 Estimated Milk Cows and Production by Month United States: [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Month January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December... Milk cows Milk per cow Milk production Change from 07 (,000 head) (,000 head) (pounds) (pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (percent) 9,359 9,365 9,383 9,39 9,40 9,404 9,404 9,404 9,399 9,395 9,398 9,400 9,405,7,783,997,95,06,90,3,99,85,89,837,9,96 8,8 6,6 8,740 8,33 8,95 8,060 8,68 8,049 7,56 7,769 7,60 8,058 8,450.8 Annual... 9,39 Includes dry cows. Excludes heifers not yet fresh. Excludes milk sucked by calves., 5,466 4 Milk Production (February 08)

5 Milk Cows and Production 3 Selected States: January 07 and 08 [May not add due to rounding] Arizona... California... Colorado... Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Milk cows Milk per cow Milk production Change from 07 (,000 head) (,000 head) (pounds) (pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (percent) 98, , ,45,5,75,850,995,765,0,000,5,90,40,005,30,800,030,800,5,05,975, , , ,4 37 3, Minnesota... New Mexico... New York... Ohio... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Vermont ,805,090,030,790,685,765,880,05,905,805,840,35,950,800,700,790,885,045,5, , , , Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin... 75,80 75,75,700,960,980,700,000, , , State Total... 8,69 - Represents zero. Includes dry cows. Excludes heifers not yet fresh. Excludes milk sucked by calves. 8,740,955,979 6,9 7,.8 Monthly Milk Production 3 Selected States Million pounds 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 5, Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Milk Production (February 08) 5

6 Milk Cows and Production 3 Selected States: December 06 and 07 State Arizona... California... Colorado... Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Milk cows Milk per cow Milk production Change from 06 (,000 head) (,000 head) (pounds) (pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (percent) 96, , ,80,95,80,70,05,730,890,980,95,40,0,5,5,675,00,770,900,00,965, , , , , Minnesota... New Mexico... New York... Ohio... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Vermont ,770,055,00,770,670,735,5,5,90,785,80,075,950,740,675,735,865,000,5, , , , Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin ,79 74,76,640,990,960,680,975, , , State Total... 8,683 - Represents zero. Includes dry cows. Excludes heifers not yet fresh. Excludes milk sucked by calves. 8,736,3,3 6,788 6,978. Monthly Milk Cows 3 Selected States Thousand head 8,745 8,735 8,75 8,75 8,705 8,695 8, Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 6 Milk Production (February 08)

7 Milk Cows and Production United States: [May not add due to rounding] Year Milk cows Production per cow Milk production Milk Total (,000 head) (pounds) (million pounds) 9,34 9,0 9,3 9,99 9,37 9,4 9,57 9,34 9,35 9,39 Average number during year, excluding heifers not yet fresh. Excludes milk sucked by calves. 0,397 0,56,4,334,7,86,59,396,778, 89,978 89,0 9,7 96,55 00,64 0,3 06,054 08,597,405 5,466 Milk Production United States: Million pounds 0,000 5,000 3% Increase over the past 0-year period 0,000 05,000 00,000 95,000 90,000 85, Milk Production (February 08) 7

8 Milk Cows and Production States and United States: 06 and 07 [May not add due to rounding] Alabama... Alaska... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Connecticut... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Milk cows Milk per cow Milk production Change from 06 (,000 head) (,000 head) (pounds) (pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (percent) 7.0 9, , ,43,667 4,679 3,333,968 5,9,56 9,00 0,85,786 4,833 9,667 4,680 3,67,755 6,8,05 8,560 0,9, , , , ,49, , , , ,49, Hawaii... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maine... Maryland ,54 4,647 0,340,57 3,634,80 8,05 4,083,000 9,8 6,93 4,378 0,74,80 3,75 3,000 8,589 3,333,000 9, ,66,9.0 4,53.0 5, ,39.0, ,67.0,99.0 4,64.0 5,7.0 3,49, Massachusetts.. Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Hampshire New Jersey ,47 5,957 0,967 4,400 4,84,07 3,37,000 0,500 7,49 7,583 6,30,537 5, 4,588,54 4,067,56,000 9, , 9, ,60.0 9, ,3.0 9, , , New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... Rhode Island... South Carolina ,479 3,834 0,978,500 0,6 8,703 0,744 0,454 7,65 6,667 4,960 3,6,56,563,59 8,667 0,395 0,834 6,50 6,467 7,7.0 4, , , 0, ,.0 4, , ,59.0 0, South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Vermont... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming , ,78.0,39 6,57,680,77 0,977 9,44 4,0 4,889 3,54 3,300,376 7,35 3,589 3,36,47 9,954 3,88 5,5 3,75 3,033, ,773.0,09,77.0,73.0 6, , , ,054.0,,78.0,73 6, , United States... 9,3 9,39.0,778,,40 5, Represents zero. Average number during year, excluding heifers not yet fresh. Excludes milk sucked by calves. 8 Milk Production (February 08)

9 Milk Cows United States: Thousand head 9,400 9,350 % Increase over the past 0-year period 9,300 9,50 9,00 9,50 9, Rate per Cow United States: Pounds 3,000,500 % Increase over the past 0-year period,000,500,000 0,500 0, Milk Production (February 08) 9

10 Milk Cows by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: 06 [Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh] State January February March April May June Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas... (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) 95, , , , , , Oregon... Texas Virginia... Washington , , , , , ,78 3-State total... 8,6 8,68 8,637 8,638 8,64 8,648 United States... 9,30 9,308 State July August September October November December Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas... 9,38 9,38 9,39 9,34 Annual average (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) 96, , , , , , , Oregon... Texas Virginia... Washington , , , , , , ,79 3-State Total... 8,659 8,667 8,665 8,668 8,675 8,683 8,653 United States... 9,37 9,33 United States monthly estimates are derived by proportionally allocating the quarterly estimates using the 3-state monthly total. Average based on monthly totals. 9,39 9,33 9,34 9,35 9,35 0 Milk Production (February 08)

11 Milk Cows by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: 07 [Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh] State January February March April May June Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas... (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) 98, , , , , , Oregon... Texas Virginia... Washington... 75,80 74,80 73,80 73,79 73,79 73,78 3-State total... 8,69 8,696 8,74 8,7 8,730 8,733 United States... 9,359 9,365 State July August September October November December Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas... 9,383 9,39 9,40 9,404 Annual average (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) 04, , , , , , , Oregon... Texas Virginia... Washington... 75,78 75,78 74,77 74,77 74,77 74,76 74,78 3-State total... 8,734 8,74 8,737 8,73 8,734 8,736 8,75 United States... 9,404 9,404 9,399 9,395 9,398 9,400 United States monthly estimates are derived by proportionally allocating the quarterly estimates using the 3-state monthly total. Average based on monthly totals. 9,39 Milk Production (February 08)

12 Milk Produced per Cow by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: 06 [Excludes milk sucked by calves] State January February March April May June Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas... (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds),0,0,60,80,005,745,95,985,905,70,095,865,050,75,90,660,85,0,830,050,60,040,5,895,075,830,960,045,990,0,60,970,55,855,05,780,90,990,0,65,0,05,00,0,5,80,965,075,970,85,030,905,40,730,090,700,830,965,855,00 Oregon... Texas...,770,900,960,765,70,75,890,835,845,755,680,900,850,640,650,630,770,85,75,655,80,40,000,790,800,770,890,990,95,785,760,0,970,770,760,745,840,955,885,740,835,95,085,830,85,805,95,975,990,80,755,045,00,750,760,70,80,860,970,750 Virginia... Washington...,645,005,965,565,90,855,695,065,000,665,00,965,705,080,065,590,00,985 3-State total...,90,834,995,7,09,96 United States...,90,85 State July August September October November December Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas...,975,97,997 Annual average (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds),0,90,5,645,65,660,0,985,880,0,880,0,5,585,55,65,0,970,905,80,85,805,0,450,045,585,805,880,835,085,0,880,75,475,065,635,880,955,95,40,00,830,30,595,970,630,85,905,890,085,80,95,80,70,05,730,890,980,95,40,906 4,679,968 5,9 0,85 4,647 0,340,57 3,634,80 5,957 Oregon... Texas...,765,080,050,770,785,70,0,860,970,770,745,085,05,730,745,675,880,895,960,745,670,965,950,675,690,630,800,790,900,690,70,05,000,750,695,695,0,885,955,750,690,980,95,75,65,640,80,5,5,700,770,055,00,770,670,735,5,5,90,785 0,967 4,479 3,834 0,6 0,744 0,454,39,680,77 0,977 Virginia... Washington...,585,080,00,540,065,990,50,985,90,585,005,950,535,95,895,640,990,960 9,44 4,0 3,54 3-State total...,8,9,845,904,856,3 3,049 United States...,99,895,80,88,833,909 United States monthly estimates are derived by proportionally allocating the quarterly estimates using the 3-state monthly total.,778 Milk Production (February 08)

13 Milk Produced per Cow by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: 07 [Excludes milk sucked by calves] State January February March April May June Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas... (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds),45,5,75,850,995,765,0,000,5,90,050,780,005,730,800,640,780,830,805,030,85,995,35,95,05,860,995,045,030,65,05,960,65,830,000,80,955,995,955,5,40,005,5,865,30,860,055,055,0,35,080,880,70,75,090,70,905,975,865,0 Oregon... Texas...,805,090,030,790,685,765,880,05,905,805,660,960,860,640,555,635,75,860,730,645,855,0,055,865,775,840,95,00,950,80,80,50,035,835,75,805,855,00,0,785,0,0,0,905,790,855,95,075,040,855,805,095,00,785,740,75,840,975,000,765 Virginia... Washington...,700,960,980,585,795,80,795,00,030,765,990,985,775,080,050,65,05,980 3-State total...,955,799,06,97,037, United States...,7,783 State July August September October November December Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas...,997,95,06 Annual average (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds),975,0,55,645,60,690,0,005,90,55,890,0,50,555,55,675,0,00,90,30,80,760,35,400,05,,80,95,880,00,90,0,75,460,045,680,90,995,5,85,960,85,35,55,955,670,855,5,880,5,0,5,5,675,00,770,900,00,965,80,90 4,680,755 6,8 0,9 4,378 0,74,80 3,75 3,000 6,30 Oregon... Texas...,835,5,045,790,755,730,905,990,030,800,830,065,05,790,735,75,95,950,00,775,740,965,95,70,675,655,80,855,90,70,790,000,980,745,700,700,0,890,0,765,75,985,895,675,60,660,795,890,880,705,80,075,950,740,675,735,865,000,5,775,537 4,960 3,6,59 0,395 0,834,376 3,589 3,36,47 Virginia... Washington...,605,070,05,60,050,05,580,965,0,630,995,995,60,900,90,680,975,990 9,954 3,88 3,75 3-State total...,97,6,850,,859,3 3,04 United States...,3,99,85,89,837,9 United States monthly estimates are derived by proportionally allocating the quarterly estimates using the 3-state monthly total., Milk Production (February 08) 3

14 Milk Production by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: 06 [Excludes milk sucked by calves] State January February March April May June Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas... (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) 4 3, , , , , , , , , , ,359 3, Oregon... Texas , , , , , , Virginia... Washington , , , , , ,537 3-State total... 6,553 5,8 7,7 6,80 7,44 6,660 United States... 7,679 6,898 8,399 7,95 8,6 State July August September October November December Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas... Annual total 7,773 (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) 380 3, , , , , , , , ,5 38, , , ,837 40,469 3,95,495 4,665,9 4,53 5,034 3,39 0,6 Oregon... Texas , , , , , , ,666 7,7 4,777 5,548,5 0,80,546 0,773,095,77 Virginia... Washington , , , , , ,507,73 6,650 30,0 3-State total... 6,864 6,659 5,99 6,504 6,05 6,788 99,434 United States... 7,90 7,684 6,977 7,550 7,6 7,853 United States monthly estimates are derived by proportionally allocating the quarterly estimates using the 3-state monthly total. Total milk production for year.,405 4 Milk Production (February 08)

15 Milk Production by Month 3 Selected States, 3 State Total, and United States: 07 [Excludes milk sucked by calves] State January February March April May June Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas... (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) 45 3, , , 33 3, , , , , , , , , Oregon... Texas , , , , , , , , , , Virginia... Washington , , , , , ,530 3-State total... 6,9 5,645 7,564 7,00 7,783 6,7 United States... 8,8 6,6 8,740 8,33 8,95 State July August September October November December Florida... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Kansas... Annual total 8,060 (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) (million pounds) 403 3, , ,65 36, , , , , , , , , ,00 39,798 4,89,496 4,67,99 4,64 5,7 3,496,3 Oregon... Texas , , , , , , , , , ,864 8, 4,9 5,59,59 0,8,68,054,5,78 Virginia... Washington , , , , , ,539,736 6,56 30,30 3-State total... 7,4 7,04 6,6 6,70 6,35 6,978 0,455 United States... 8,68 8,049 7,56 7,769 7,60 8,058 United States monthly estimates are derived by proportionally allocating the quarterly estimates using the 3-state monthly total. Total milk production for year. 5,466 Milk Production (February 08) 5

16 Milk Cows and Production by Quarter States and United States: 06 [May not add due to rounding] State Alabama... Alaska... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Connecticut... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Milk cows Milk production Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) 7.0 9, , , , (million pounds), , (million pounds) 0.9, , (million pounds) , ,84.0, (million pounds).0 0.9, , Hawaii... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maine... Maryland ,5 49.0,047.0, , ,0, , ,00.0, ,6 46,034.0, Massachusetts... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Hampshire... New Jersey ,669.0, ,780.0, ,73.0, ,69, New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... Rhode Island... South Carolina ,84 3, , , , , , , ,7.0 3, , , , , , , South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Vermont... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , United States... 9, , 9,39.0 9,34.0 5,97 54, , ,59.0 Quarterly average includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. Excludes milk sucked by calves. 6 Milk Production (February 08)

17 Milk Cows and Production by Quarter States and United States: 07 [May not add due to rounding] State Alabama... Alaska... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Connecticut... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Milk cows Milk production Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) 00.0, , , , (million pounds) 0.9, ,038.0, (million pounds) 0.7, ,43.0, (million pounds) , ,708.0, (million pounds) , ,809.0, Hawaii... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maine... Maryland , ,06.0, ,7 50.0,04.0, , ,040.0, ,60 47,059.0, Massachusetts... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Hampshire... New Jersey ,757.0, ,8, ,8, ,773.0, New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... Rhode Island... South Carolina ,04.0 3, , , ,8.0 3, , , , , , , ,00.0 3, , , South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Vermont... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , United States... 9, , ,40.0 9, , , , ,0.0 Quarterly average includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Production (February 08) 7

18 Licensed Dairy Herds States and United States: 06 and 07 Alabama... Alaska Arkansas Connecticut... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Licensed dairy herds (number) , (number) , Hawaii... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maine... Maryland... Massachusetts Mississippi... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Hampshire... New Jersey North Carolina... North Dakota Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... Rhode Island... South Carolina Tennessee... Texas Virginia... Washington... West Virginia Wyoming... United States ,45, ,80 3,350 75, , , , ,50 0 4, ,070, ,750 3,0 70, , , , , ,9 Average number of dairy farms licensed to sell milk, based on counts collected from State and other regulatory agencies. Licensed dairy herd estimates based on brucellosis test counts provided by the Pennsylvania Department of Agriculture. 8 Milk Production (February 08)

19 Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: Primary data used to determine these estimates were obtained from a sample of producers. Individual States maintain a list of all known milk producers and information on the size of their herd. States use all known sources of producers to ensure that their lists are as complete as possible. Generally, all large producers and a sample of small producers are included in the survey. Questionnaires are mailed to producers near the end of the month to obtain data for the first day of the month. Additional reports are obtained by telephone, as needed, to supplement the mail response. Where feasible, States utilize state and federal administrative data to estimate milk production. This eliminates duplication of data gathering by different government agencies such as Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) Dairy Market News. Indications of milk cow inventory are also obtained in the January Cattle Survey. Estimation Procedures: Regional Field Offices prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications, historic trends, and any available administrative data. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Milk production, milk per cow, and number of milk cows are subject to revision the following month after initial publication for monthly States or the following quarter for the quarterly States. Normally, administrative data from Federal Market Orders, State Departments of Agriculture, or other sources are the main basis for revisions. However, administrative data for all States may not be available in time for these revisions. Estimates are again subject to revisions in February each year based on additional administrative data. In the event that additional changes are necessary, a third revision is possible in February the following year. Estimates are again reviewed after data from the five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions are made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations with dairy animals are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the 3 State milk production estimates over the past 4 months is 0. percent. This means that chances are out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 7.3 billion pounds by more than 0. percent. Chances are 9 out of 0 that the difference will not exceed 0. percent. Reliability of Monthly Milk Production Estimates [Based on data for the past 4 months] Item Root mean square error 90 percent confidence level Difference between first and latest estimate Average Smallest Largest Below latest Months Above latest (percent) (percent) (,000) (,000) (,000) (number) (number) Milk production All Milk cows Milk Production (February 08) 9

20 Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. inquiries may be sent to Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch... (0) Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section... (0) Sherry Bertramsen Livestock Slaughter... (0) Donnie Fike Dairy Products... (0) Heidi Gleich Cattle, Cattle on Feed... (0) Mike Miller Milk Production and Milk Cows... (0) Seth Riggins Hogs and Pigs... (0) Vacant Sheep and Goats... (0) Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: Both national and state specific reports are available via a free subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit and click on National or State in upper right corner above search box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) , 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or nass@nass.usda.gov. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or employment activities.) If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form (PDF), found online at or at any USDA office, or call (866) to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C , by fax (0) or at program.intake@usda.gov.

21 USDA NASS Data Users Meeting Tuesday, April 4, 08 University of Chicago Gleacher Center 450 North Cityfront Plaza Drive Chicago, Illinois USDA s National Agricultural Statistics Service will hold an open forum for users of U.S. domestic and international agriculture data. NASS is organizing the 08 Data Users Meeting in cooperation with five other USDA agencies Agricultural Marketing Service, Economic Research Service, Farm Service Agency, Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board and the Census Bureau s Foreign Trade Division. Agency representatives will provide updates on recent and pending changes in statistical and information programs important to agriculture, answer questions, and welcome comments and input from data users. For registration details or additional information about the Data Users Meeting, see the meeting page on the NASS website ( Or contact Tina Hall (NASS) at or at tina.hall@nass.usda.gov or Patricia Snipe (NASS) at or at patricia.snipe@nass.usda.gov. The Data Users Meeting precedes the Industry Outlook Conference at the same location on Wednesday, April 5, 08. The outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss developments and trends. For registration details or additional information about the Industry Outlook Conference, see the conference page on the LMIC website ( or contact James Robb at