Catalogue no XIE. Cattle. 2005, vol. 4, no. 1. Statistique Canada. Statistics. Canada
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1 Catalogue no XIE Cattle Statistics 2005, vol. 4, no. 1 Statistics Canada Statistique Canada
2 How to obtain more information Specific inquiries about this product and related statistics or services should be directed to: Client Services,, Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, K1A 0T6 (telephone: or by agriculture@statcan.ca). For information on the wide range of data available from Statistics Canada, you can contact us by calling one of our toll-free numbers. You can also contact us by or by visiting our website. National inquiries line National telecommunications device for the hearing impaired Depository Services Program inquiries Fax line for Depository Services Program inquiries infostats@statcan.ca Website Information to access the product This product, catalogue no XIE, is available for free. To obtain a single issue, visit our website at and select Our Products and Services. Standards of service to the public Statistics Canada is committed to serving its clients in a prompt, reliable and courteous manner and in the official language of their choice. To this end, the Agency has developed standards of service that its employees observe in serving its clients. To obtain a copy of these service standards, please contact Statistics Canada toll free at
3 Statistics Canada Cattle Statistics 2005, vol. 4, no. 1 Published by authority of the Minister responsible for Statistics Canada Minister of Industry, 2005 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without prior written permission from Licence Services, Marketing Division, Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada K1A 0T6. February 2005 Catalogue no XIE, vol. 4, no. 1 Frequency: Semi-annual ISSN Ottawa La version française de cette publication est disponible sur demande (n XIF au catalogue). Note of appreciation Canada owes the success of its statistical system to a long-standing partnership between Statistics Canada, the citizens of Canada, its businesses, governments and other institutions. Accurate and timely statistical information could not be produced without their continued cooperation and goodwill.
4 Cattle Statistics 2005, vol 4, no. 1 Symbols The following standard symbols are used in Statistics Canada publications:. not available for any reference period.. not available for a specific reference period... not applicable 0 true zero or a value rounded to zero 0 s value rounded to 0 (zero) where there is a meaningful distinction between true zero and the value that was rounded p r x E F preliminary revised suppressed to meet the confidentially requirements of the Statistics Act use with caution too unreliable to be published This publication was prepared under the direction of: Mark Elward, Chief Livestock and Animal Products Section Robert Plourde, Unit Head Livestock and Animal Products Section Donald Cutts, Statistical Officer Livestock and Animal Products Section Statistics Canada - Cat. no XIE
5 Table of Contents Page Highlights..6 Concepts and Methods Table 1. Inventory on Farms, by Province, East, West and Canada Supply-Disposition by Province, East, West and Canada Cattle, Farm Production, Canada Calves, Farm Production, Canada Inventory per Farm Type, by Province, East, West and Canada Prices, steers, at Toronto, by Month Prices, steers, at Alberta, by Month Cattle and Calves, Number by Class and Calf Crop, United States and Canada Statistics Canada Cat. no XIE
6 Cattle estimates January 1, 2005 Canada s national cattle herd continued to swell last year, reaching a record 15.1 million head as of January 1, 2005, a little over a year and a half after the worldwide ban on Canadian cattle because of mad cow disease. According to the January Livestock Survey, Canadian farmers had 430,000 more cattle on their farms this year than they did on January 1, This was the equivalent of a 2.9% increase. However, compared to January 1, 2003, before the ban was imposed, farmers had 1.6 million more head of cattle on their farms at the start of this year. Livestock inventories at January 1 Cattle Hogs Sheep '000 of head Canada 14,660 15,090 14,623 14, Atlantic Quebec 1,420 1,415 4,250 4, Ontario 2,224 2,189 3,670 3, Manitoba 1,450 1,510 2,852 2, Saskatchewan 2,855 3,040 1,265 1, Alberta 5,675 5,930 2,050 2, British Columbia Note: Figures may not add up to totals because of rounding. Survey results reflect the impact of a ban on Canadian cattle and beef following the disclosure of a single case of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE), or mad cow disease, on May 20, The border remained closed to all Canadian beef exports until September At that time, the United States, followed by a number of other countries, agreed to allow imports of Canadian boneless beef from animals younger than 30 months. Subsequently, in December 2003, a dairy cow in Washington State, which was originally from Alberta, tested positive for BSE. The Canadian Food Inspection Agency confirmed two more cases of BSE in January The border is expected to be open to Canadian cattle as of March Statistics Canada Cat. No XIE 6
7 The survey of 10,000 producers also found that hog inventories rose marginally to 14.7 million head. Exports of live hogs to the United States were at record levels. Cattle herd builds up in the Prairies Herd sizes did not rise in all provinces, as increases in the Prairie Provinces were partially offset by declines in eastern Canada and British Columbia. As of January 1, 2005, Saskatchewan s herd was up 6.5% from the same time in the previous year, the largest increase. Manitoba s herd was 4.1% higher while Alberta cattle inventories advanced 4.5% over the year. Alberta accounted for 39% of all cattle in Canada at January 1, At the same time, inventories in Quebec dipped 0.4%, while Ontario s cattle herd fell 1.6%. British Columbia inventories declined 4.1%. The fact that some inventories were falling will be seen as a positive development by parts of the industry because of the US border closure to Canadian cattle. More cattle in the Prairies at January 1, Percentage change from Canada Alberta Saskatchewan Manitoba Ontario Quebec -4 Farmers reported increased levels of cattle on cow-calf operations, which are often small operations. Cow-calf farms are holding 5.6% more cattle this year than last and 16.9% more than two years ago. As of January 1, 2005 there are 9.5 million head of cattle on cow-calf operations. The largest increases were experienced by Alberta and Saskatchewan, provinces where the inventories on cow-calf operations surged by 9.5% and 8.6%, respectively. Statistics Canada Cat. No XIE 7
8 The number of beef cows on farms on January 1, 2005 stood at 5.3 million head, up 6.0% from a year ago. In times of expansion this news might be more welcome. However, producers have reported that they are retaining cull cows because of the limited markets for these animals and poor prices. Some, but by no means all, of these animals that would have been culled if the market conditions were normal will calve in Plunge in exports following border closure The BSE crisis has resulted in record numbers of cattle on Canadian farms. However, it has also crippled the nation s value of beef exports to the world. In 2002, pre-bse, total cattle and beef exports hit $3.9 billion, the equivalent of $11 million in sales each day. By 2004, the value of these exports had plunged to only $1.9 billion, less than half of the 2002 levels. Trade has been a crucial factor for Canada s beef industry. Expansion in the industry during the 1980s coincided with freer trade, and was primarily driven by exports to the United States, Canada s largest trading partner. World exports of Canadian Cattle & Beef 250 millions of CDN$ Jan 02 Apr 02 Jul 02 Oct 02 Jan 03 Apr 03 Jul 03 Oct 03 Jan 04 Apr 04 July 04 Oct 04 Cattle Beef By 2002, the Canadian cattle industry had expanded to the point where it was worth an estimated $7.7 billion a year to farmers. Analysis illustrates that the accumulated impact of BSE on cattle farm cash receipts, from May 2003 to the end of 2004, was in the range of Statistics Canada Cat. No XIE 8
9 $5.3 billion. The losses to cattle producers were partially offset by BSE-related government payments that paid out $1.4 billion from May 2003 to the end of September A number of other factors have offset the plunge in exports. First, slaughter has climbed to record levels. In 2004, slaughter was 25.7% above 2003 levels and was 15.7% above those in These gains were fuelled by domestic demand, combined with lower levels of beef imports. Generally, domestic consumption remained stable or declined between 1976 and However, in 2003, Canadians consumed 5% more beef than they did the year before. Meanwhile, Canada has been importing less beef meat. Imports dropped quickly during the summer of During 2004, monthly beef imports averaged 7,600 tonnes - 70% below the pre-bse levels. At the same time, prices for all cattle slaughter animals, feeders as well as calves tumbled because of the domestic oversupply resulting from the plunge in exports. Although they have improved since the months following the ban, slaughter prices during the fall of 2004 amounted to 73% of prices last seen in the spring of Closed U.S. border leads to record cattle inventories at January 1, 2005 million head Canada Alberta Statistics Canada Cat. No XIE 9
10 Cattle Statistics 2005, Vol.4, no.1 Livestock Statistics Concepts and Methods Concepts Inventory levels of the various types of livestock intended for sale in Canada are measured at specific times throughout the year. Surveyed operations are requested to include all animals located on the farming operation, regardless of ownership. They are also asked to include animals owned but pastured on a community pasture, grazing co-op or public land. Producers are asked to exclude animals owned but kept on a farm, ranch or feedlot operated by someone else. Inventory levels are estimated for cattle, calves, pigs, sheep and lambs. Estimates are also produced for certain categories of animals on the basis of age, sex, weight and/or purpose i.e. breeding or slaughter. Current information on livestock inventories and related statistics such as supply and disposition enable those active in the agricultural sector to observe and assess changes in the industry, measure performance and keep the agricultural community and general public informed of developments. The primary data users are federal and provincial governments, producer boards, farmers and farm organizations, private business, academic research institutions and students. Livestock data assists governments in formulating agricultural policies and developing programs. Farming organizations use statistics in developing recommendations for producers and governments. Farmers make increasing use of prices, production, and marketing statistics in planning their operations. In addition, these livestock statistics are used in the calculation of farm incomes and in the Canadian System of National Accounts for indicators such as gross domestic product. Methods To produce livestock estimates, there are actually 6 different survey occasions. All of the survey occasions collect data primarily using Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI) although there are special procedures in place for the very large or complex operations. Two of the occasions are the January Livestock Survey and the July Livestock Survey. These are large-scale general livestock surveys collecting data on cattle, hogs, sheep and other livestock, referring to inventories at the 1st of the month. The probability samples include about 10,000 operations at January 1, and about 28,000 operations at July 1. These surveys collect data during a three-week period in the western provinces, Ontario and Quebec. Regardless of when operators respond, they are asked to report inventories as of January 1 or July 1. The livestock survey results are released, following processing and analysis, approximately seven weeks after the reference date. Hog inventories are the focus of two other survey occasions collecting estimates of pig numbers at April 1 and October 1. This survey was initiated in 1998 as estimates from 1978 to 1997 were based solely on analytical tools. For the hog surveys, a sub-sample of the prior livestock survey is used. The probability samples are 2,500 at April 1 and October 1 and, similar to the livestock surveys, these CATI surveys cover the western provinces, Ontario and Quebec. Producers are requested to report their inventories as of the reference date, although the data are collected during a 7-day period near or before that date. The hog survey results are normally released three to four weeks after the reference date. The June and November Atlantic Surveys are used to produce estimates for that region. These surveys are multi-purpose collecting data, primarily inventories, on livestock including cattle, Statistics Canada Cat. No XIE 10
11 Cattle Statistics 2005, Vol.4, no.1 hogs and sheep in addition to collecting data related to the area, yield and production of the principal field crops. The probability samples are 1,300 in June and 2,200 in November with the data collected by telephone. The results are released at the same time as the livestock results. For reference points where surveys do not exist for the Atlantic region, analytical tools are used to produce the estimates. Recently a new piece of information has been added to the cattle statistics allowing users a better understanding of the cattle industry. In essence, the total inventories are distributed, on the basis of survey results and sector level balance sheets, to a specific farm type. The two major categories are dairy and beef. The beef sector is then broken down to beef cattle on cow/calf and mixed beef and dairy operations; beef cattle on feeder, stocker/finish operations; and, beef cattle on feeding operations, which include feedlots. To summarize, the livestock statistics are survey-based estimates. The survey relies on a list frame that is established every five years by the Census of Agriculture and updated to include new entrants, particularly large hog operations. The probability sample surveys are conducted by telephone. The survey results are analysed and corrected before the data are used to analyse the industry and fine-tune the estimates. The survey data are reviewed in a board environment before the commodity analyst works with the data primarily using supplydisposition analysis. The results of the industry analysis are reviewed by the board before being sent to the individual provinces. Once the data are finalised they are released to the public and published. The principal data released include inventories and summarized supply-disposition tables. The data also flow, via farm income estimates, to the Canadian System of National Accounts. In addition the data are used in the calculation of net farm income projections, produced by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada in co-operation with Statistics Canada and the provinces. Statistics Canada Cat. No XIE 11
12 Table 1. Cattle and Calves on Farms, Semi-Annually, by Province, East, West and Canada, N.L. P.E.I. N.S. N.B. Que. Ont. East Man. Sask. Alta. B.C. West Canada January 1, / 99 % Bulls, 1 year plus Beef cows Milk cows Heifers:dairy replacement Heifers:beef replacement Heifers:slaughter Steers, 1 year plus Calves, under 1 year Total July 1, / 99 % Bulls, 1 year plus Beef cows Milk cows Heifers:dairy replacement Heifers:beef replacement Heifers:slaughter Steers, 1 year plus Calves, under 1 year Total January 1, / 00 % Bulls, 1 year plus Beef cows Milk cows Heifers:dairy replacement Heifers:beef replacement Heifers:slaughter Steers, 1 year plus Calves, under 1 year Total July 1, / 00 % Bulls, 1 year plus Beef cows Milk cows Heifers:dairy replacement Heifers:beef replacement Heifers:slaughter Steers, 1 year plus Calves, under 1 year Total Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 12
13 Table 1. Cattle and Calves on Farms, Semi-Annually, by Province, East, West and Canada, N.L. P.E.I. N.S. N.B. Que. Ont. East Man. Sask. Alta. B.C. West Canada January 1, / 01 % Bulls, 1 year plus Beef cows Milk cows Heifers:dairy replacement Heifers:beef replacement Heifers:slaughter Steers, 1 year plus Calves, under 1 year Total July 1, / 01 % Bulls, 1 year plus Beef cows Milk cows Heifers:dairy replacement Heifers:beef replacement Heifers:slaughter Steers, 1 year plus Calves, under 1 year Total January 1, / 02 % Bulls, 1 year plus Beef cows Milk cows Heifers:dairy replacement Heifers:beef replacement Heifers:slaughter Steers, 1 year plus Calves, under 1 year Total July 1, / 02 % Bulls, 1 year plus Beef cows Milk cows Heifers:dairy replacement Heifers:beef replacement Heifers:slaughter Steers, 1 year plus Calves, under 1 year Total Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 13
14 Table 1. Cattle and Calves on Farms, Semi-Annually, by Province, East, West and Canada, N.L. P.E.I. N.S. N.B. Que. Ont. East Man. Sask. Alta. B.C. West Canada January 1, / 03 % Bulls, 1 year plus Beef cows Milk cows Heifers:dairy replacement Heifers:beef replacement Heifers:slaughter Steers, 1 year plus Calves, under 1 year Total July 1, / 03 % Bulls, 1 year plus Beef cows Milk cows Heifers:dairy replacement Heifers:beef replacement Heifers:slaughter Steers, 1 year plus Calves, under 1 year Total January 1, / 04 % Bulls, 1 year plus Beef cows Milk cows Heifers:dairy replacement Heifers:beef replacement Heifers:slaughter Steers, 1 year plus Calves, under 1 year Total Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 14
15 Table 2. Cattle and Calves, Supply-Disposition Balance Sheet, Semi-Annually, by Province, East, West and Canada, N.L. P.E.I. N.S. N.B. Que. Ont. East Man. Sask. Alta. B.C. West Canada January - June Inventory at January Calves born Interprovincial imports International imports Total Supply ( ) Slaughter Interprovincial exports International exports Deaths and condemnations Output ( ) Inventory at July 1, July - December Inventory at July Calves born Interprovincial imports International imports Total Supply ( ) Slaughter Interprovincial exports International exports Deaths and condemnations Output ( ) Inventory at January 1, January - June Inventory at January Calves born Interprovincial imports International imports Total Supply ( ) Slaughter Interprovincial exports International exports Deaths and condemnations Output ( ) Inventory at July 1, July - December Inventory at July Calves born Interprovincial imports International imports Total Supply ( ) Slaughter Interprovincial exports International exports Deaths and condemnations Output ( ) Inventory at January 1, Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 15
16 Table 2. Cattle and Calves, Supply-Disposition Balance Sheet, Semi-Annually, by Province, East, West and Canada, N.L. P.E.I. N.S. N.B. Que. Ont. East Man. Sask. Alta. B.C. West Canada January - June Inventory at January Calves born Interprovincial imports International imports Total Supply ( ) Slaughter Interprovincial exports International exports Deaths and condemnations Output ( ) Inventory at July 1, July - December Inventory at July Calves born Interprovincial imports International imports Total Supply ( ) Slaughter Interprovincial exports International exports Deaths and condemnations Output ( ) Inventory at January 1, January - June Inventory at January Calves born Interprovincial imports International imports Total Supply ( ) Slaughter Interprovincial exports International exports Deaths and condemnations Output ( ) Inventory at July 1, July - December Inventory at July Calves born Interprovincial imports International imports Total Supply ( ) Slaughter Interprovincial exports International exports Deaths and condemnations Output ( ) Inventory at January 1, Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 16
17 Table 2. Cattle and Calves, Supply-Disposition Balance Sheet, Semi-Annually, by Province, East, West and Canada, N.L. P.E.I. N.S. N.B. Que. Ont. East Man. Sask. Alta. B.C. West Canada January - June Inventory at January Calves born Interprovincial imports International imports Total Supply ( ) Slaughter Interprovincial exports International exports Deaths and condemnations Output ( ) Inventory at July 1, July - December Inventory at July Calves born Interprovincial imports International imports Total Supply ( ) Slaughter Interprovincial exports International exports Deaths and condemnations Output ( ) Inventory at January 1, Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 17
18 Table 3. Cattle, Total Slaughter and Farm Production, Canada, Meat Production Year Total Slaughter Exported Alive Imported Alive Farm Production Total Slaughter Average Cold Dressed Weight 1 Total Cold Dressed Weight 1 Edible Offal (A) (B) (C) (A)+(B)-(C) kg tonnes Not including edible offal. Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 18
19 Table 4. Calves, Total Slaughter and Farm Production, Canada, Meat Production Year Total Slaughter Exported Alive Imported Alive Farm Production Total Slaughter Average Cold Dressed Weight 1 Total Cold Dressed Weight 1 Edible Offal (A) (B) (C) (A)+(B)-(C) kg tonnes Not including edible offal. Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 19
20 Table 5. Total Inventory per Farm Type, by Province, East, West and Canada, 2000 to 2003 Atlantic Jan. 1/2000 July 1/2000 Jan. 1/2001 July 1/2001 Jan. 1/2002 July 1/2002 Jan. 1/2003 July 1/2003 On ALL CATTLE Operations: Bulls Milk cows Beef cows Milk heifers Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Dairy Cattle on All Operations Bulls Milk cows Beef cows Milk heifers Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on All Operations 1 : Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Cow / Calf Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Feeder, Stocker / Finish Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Feeding Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Excluding small amounts of heifers for slaughter and steers on dairy farms. Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 20
21 Table 5. Total Inventory per Farm Type, by Province, East, West and Canada, 2004 to 2005 Atlantic Jan. 1/2004 July 1/2004 Jan. 1/2005 On ALL CATTLE Operations: Bulls Milk cows Beef cows Milk heifers Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Dairy Cattle on All Operations Bulls Milk cows Beef cows Milk heifers Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on All Operations 1 : Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Cow / Calf Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Feeder, Stocker / Finish Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Feeding Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Excluding small amounts of heifers for slaughter and steers on dairy farms. Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 21
22 Table 5. Total Inventory per Farm Type, by Province, East, West and Canada, 2000 to 2003 Quebec Jan. 1/2000 July 1/2000 Jan. 1/2001 July 1/2001 Jan. 1/2002 July 1/2002 Jan. 1/2003 July 1/2003 On ALL CATTLE Operations: Bulls Milk cows Beef cows Milk heifers Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Dairy Cattle on All Operations Bulls Milk cows Beef cows Milk heifers Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on All Operations 1 : Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Cow / Calf Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Feeder, Stocker / Finish Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Feeding Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Excluding small amounts of heifers for slaughter and steers on dairy farms. Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 22
23 Table 5. Total Inventory per Farm Type, by Province, East, West and Canada, 2004 to 2005 Quebec Jan. 1/2004 July 1/2004 Jan. 1/2005 On ALL CATTLE Operations: Bulls Milk cows Beef cows Milk heifers Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Dairy Cattle on All Operations Bulls Milk cows Beef cows Milk heifers Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on All Operations 1 : Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Cow / Calf Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Feeder, Stocker / Finish Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Beef Cattle on Feeding Operations: Bulls Beef cows Beef heifers - breeding Beef heifers - slaughter Steers Calves TOTAL Inventory Excluding small amounts of heifers for slaughter and steers on dairy farms. Statistics Canada - Catalogue number XIE 23
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