Developments in Biotechnology in the U.S. Wheat Sector. Shannon Schlecht, Director of Policy U.S. Wheat Associates

Transcription

1 Developments in Biotechnology in the U.S. Wheat Sector Shannon Schlecht, Director of Policy U.S. Wheat Associates

2 Biotech Defined Biotechnologically derived crops also referred to as: Genetically modified organism Genetically enhanced Transgenic, Cisgenisis/Intragenic Using modern biotechnology applications to insert specific DNA segments into a plant, for the purposes of: Agronomic issues limiting crop yield or quality Processing or end product issues (starch, nutritional, Vitamin, Gluten, etc) Advanced Conventional Breeding Marker Assisted Selection & Double Haploid Hybrid

3 Biotech Crop Adoption Global Crops - Corn - Soybeans - Cotton - Canola - Squash - Papaya - Alfalfa - Sugar beet - Sweet Pepper - Tomato - Poplar - Potato

4 100 U.S. Biotech Plantings 90 Percentage Planted Corn Cotton Soybeans Source USDA, other estimates

5 U.S. Acreage Wheat, Corn & Soybeans Corn Soybean Wheat 32 Million Hectares Source: USDA PS&D

6 Not Just in the United States 14,000 12,000 Canada - Acreage Rapeseed/Canola Wheat Thousand Hectares 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Source: USDA PS&D Database

7 The Need for Biotech Wheat - Global World Harvested Area, last 30 years: - World wheat harvested area down 3.8% - World corn harvested area up 46% Million Hectares Corn Wheat Source: USDA PS&D

8 The Need for Biotech Wheat: U.S. & World Yield Statistics US Corn World Corn US Wheat World Wheat MT per Hectare Source: USDA PS&D

9 The Need for Biotech Wheat U.S. National Average Net Return per Hectare $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 $/hectare $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $1,198 - corn $816 - soybeans Corn Soybeans $400 Wheat $200 $- $351 - wheat Source: USDA/ERS - Agricultural Baseline Projections February 2012

10 Competition!

11 U.S. Industry Cooperation Wheat Summits Broad industry representation Growers, millers, bakers, life science companies, academics, handlers, etc Communication / Education Create a place for open dialogue and to provide information

12 Principles of Commercialization Informative Dialogue education & outreach activities Regulatory approvals 5% of normal export volume Tolerances in place for non-gm commercial shipments Availability of accurate and timely trait detection test Stewardship of technology, education & outreach to growers Support a certified seed model for value capture

13 Trilateral Statement - Canada & Australia Supply the world with wheat Disease, insects, nutrients, water, drought, frost, nutritional aspects for healthy products Wheat acreage declining switching to other crops Wheat yields are slower deeper hole with every year that passes Proven technique to deliver traits w/ strict regulatory scrutiny & over 10 yrs of records Expand and attract new scientists and research to wheat

14 Timeline of Updates and 2009 USW/NAWG meet with six private biotech companies Syngenta acquires two wheat seed companies Bayer partnership with CSIRO in Australia Monsanto acquires wheat breeding & seed company Bayer acquires biotech firm

15 Timeline of Updates Syngenta enters hybrid wheat business Syngenta & CIMMYT announce public/private partnership Limagrain Cereal Seeds (LCS) starts N. American breeding & seed program Vilmorin acquires position in Arcadia, Arcadia acquires position in LCS Monsanto & Kansas State agreement BASF & Monsanto expand research collaboration

16 Timeline of Updates 2010 (cont.) Monsanto and Intergrain collaboration and acquisition Monsanto & Virginia Tech agreement Bayer CropScience and Evogene collaborative Bayer CropScience and University of Nebraska Lincoln agreement Bayer CropScience acquires two breeding companies in the Ukraine

17 Timeline of Updates 2011 KWS acquires germplasm of two U.S. companies and creates KWS Cereals USA, LLC Bayer CropScience agreement with RAGT Semences in France DowAgroSciences acquries Northwest Plant Breeding and expands Hyland Seeds to PNW DowAgroSciences enters agreement with HRZ Wheats in Australia Bayer CropScience agreement with South Dakota State

18 Timeline of Updates 2012 Limagrain Cereal Seeds and University of Idaho form Public Private Partnership More to come

19 USDA U.S. Field Trial Process Permits and Notifications APHIS EPA FDA Stewardship Time and Cost 13.1 years and $136 million Discovery, development, seed, crop production & discontinuation

20 Biotechnology Research: U.S. Crops No Commercial Wheat Plantings Allowed Trials since 1987 Source: Virginia Polytechnic and State University Wheat Research Drought, Salinity, Frost, Heat, Nitrogen Use, Disease, Insect, Starch, Pesticide, Fiber, Folic, Celiac

21 Field Trials United States and Global Many traits of interest Abiotic Stresses Drought, Heat, Frost, Cold, Nitrogen Utilization Efficiency Diseases and Insects Fusarium Head Blight Starch and endosperm characteristics Herbicide tolerance 2009 & trials each year in U.S trials notified Drought, salinity, starch composition, heat, herbicide, etc potential trials notified

22 Choice Consumer choice IFIC Survey 2012 of U.S. Consumers 70% buy if more sustainable 80% of U.S. food products biotech ingredient Labeling Producer choice 76% of U.S. growers NAWG survey Tolerance levels Segregation systems

23 Market Choice Consumer Choice Market Thresholds At very low % biotech, avoidance costs are prohibitive Cost At lower % biotech, avoidance costs rise exponentially At higher % biotech, avoidance has minimal cost impact Biotech Threshold (%) Source: International Grain Trade Coalition (IGTC)

24 Biotech Benefits - Sustainability Innovation to Produce More & Conserve More Wheat behind other crops per unit of output Field to Market January 2009 Comparison of 1987 to 2007 Land Use Corn reduced 37% vs 17% in wheat Energy Use Soybeans reduced 65% vs 9% for wheat Green House Gas Soybeans 38% lower, whereas wheat is 15% higher Pesticide Use (PG Economics) Reduced 437 million kgs of active ingredient

25 Safety of Biotech Food Safety reviewed by multiple agencies around the world A Decade of EU-Funded GMO Research 130 projects over 25 years involving over 500 research groups - biotechnology, and in particular GMOs, are not per se more risky than conventional plant breeding technologies. Over 200 peer reviewed publications Composition, allergenicity, toxicology, nutrition

26 Where Do We Go From Here Likely 10 years to commercialization Advanced conventional breeding gains sooner Biotech wheat has to work both for the buyer and for the seller There must be mutual benefit There must be choice and tolerances Working together, we can make it happen We can achieve choice and mutual benefit, assure sustainable supplies of high quality wheat Much more dialogue ahead...

27 Future - World Population, Wheat Acreage & Wheat Consumption Million Metric Tons & Million Hectares 1, MMT Demand? Acreage Demand Population Year Source USDA PS&D and UN Population Database Population (billions)

28 Future????