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1 northeast group, llc Emerging Markets Smart Infrastructure: Smart Water September group.com

2 Emerging Markets Smart Infrastructure: Smart Water Water scarcity is a growing problem across the globe, compounded by climate change and population growth. All signs indicate that this scarcity will only continue to grow more severe. Even as countries scramble to build water treatment and desalination plants and impose consumption restrictions, emerging market nations are still on average losing 38% of their water due to leaks from crumbling infrastructure and theft. A failure to accurately meter and bill water on a timely basis is another contributing factor. This lost water creates additional needs for costly treatment plants, increases the demand for energy from pumping stations, and puts added stress on already strained communities and environments. Meanwhile, lost revenue from this water only increases the need for government subsidies, which already are necessary to cover a significant portion of the costs of water in many countries. Smart water infrastructure will improve water sector efficiency by reducing leakage, waste, and theft. This smart water infrastructure includes smart water meters, smart water networks, smart irrigation, and advanced water software analytics used by utilities to improve their operations. These smart infrastructure components represent cost- effective solutions that have already been deployed in many regions across the globe and show enormous potential for growth in the coming decade. However, to- date smart water technologies have still been slow to be adopted, even in developed countries. The hurdles for smart water in emerging market countries are in many cases greater, but so are the opportunities. This study covers the smart water infrastructure markets in 72 emerging market countries across Central & Eastern Europe, China, Eurasia, India, Latin America, the Middle East & North Africa, Southeast Asia, and Sub- Saharan Africa. A key component of this study s methodology is the calculation of the savings potential in each country from smart water infrastructure based on the full cost of water. The full cost of water is a metric that "#$%&'("%()#*& 0"*,1(-2,$*(3,*&$(2,$4&*(5,1#&(6789( "#"$%&'()*#%+,)-%,(+).(/$01#(2,*)32)(#(+4324) #%+5(,*)6789) :;<=( "#$%&'()"$*+&,-*(.$"#/( :;<>( DE$F%,( G+FI,( JIKF,( 8H)D( :;<?( :;<@( :;<A( GHH( H#$,-F,( L,MI(D2&$F%,( H(D-F,( :;<B( :;<C( :;:;( :;:<( takes into account water scarcity, water- related energy and labor costs, as well as implicit and explicit subsidies not captured by existing tariffs. This study uses these savings potential numbers as well as assessments of the political, economic, and technical capacity of water utilities in each country to forecast the smart water markets in each country to :;::( :;:=( "#$%&'()*#+,-+-( Financing remains the key hurdle to smart water development in emerging market countries. Even with strong business cases,

3 many of these countries are too poor to make such long- term investments without outside assistance. The ones that are capable are often reluctant to do so due to a lack of awareness and a tendency towards inaction. But with infrastructure aging and scarcity growing more severe, inaction is no longer an option and the case for smart water is simply too compelling to ignore. All emerging market countries covered in this study will begin to explore smart water infrastructure in this decade, creating a total market potential of $46.5 billion in cumulative capital expenditure by Emerging Markets Smart Infrastructure: Smart Water includes a global overview section with over 60 tables and charts. The study highlights 35 leading smart water projects across all emerging market regions. This study also includes market forecasts for the smart water metering, smart water networks, smart irrigation, and water software analytics sectors for each of the 72 emerging market countries. In the study, after the global overview section, each country is profiled in a dashboard format that covers the key water metrics and forecast in the ;//+&$#:&<5/(:#8%)#=.+:%=.$*# ($"# ("# '"# &"# %"# $"# =530.#6/5./>3?# "#$%&'("%()#*&"+,&-.&)+&$/$%0)+0&/"%1$#'& G0C09H1# I#*#J# 80,8F0# "# "# ("# $"# )"# %"# *"# +,-./01#2, #7.,-8# 2,9:.0;09-0#<530.# >.+),%?#@.)4=%&:4#A).+8# ""#$%&'($)*&(+*+)&'$,-".'&'/+"$)-0'&-"&1($"& "#$%&'&(%#)%*+,-./# 0"#$%&'&(%#)%*+,-./# 12"#$%&'&(%#)%*+,-./# 3+))%/4#4&)56# 75*8.5/4# 9+$$#,.:4# Key questions answered in this study: How large will the smart water market in emerging markets become over the next decade? Which countries stand to achieve the most benefits through smart water deployments? In which countries are current water tariffs failing to achieve cost recovery? Where are the major smart water projects and who are the major vendors? Which countries will focus on AMI, AMR, smart water networks, and software analytics to reduce leakage? What is the role of smart irrigation in emerging markets? $%&'()*(#+,'-&./#0%,'.#1*2',/.'34.3'&5#0%,'.#6,.&'# U5[-*2,1,/3F6,/37(F&,%/ P/,375/*,3*7(352,. "#$%&'(&)* >C >> =: DE@F*%6-1%G<;H<IB8H;$J:> QRS )*%/*-1& T(*72, U%6%*-1& DE@K/7L1+G"MKN<;H=O<;H9IB<NCP PQRS northeast group, llc "M,/%K,1%/-XB J9C$:=>GHHN>P%((5%'K/7L1+I 8;N=:F2 = "#$%&'#%($&-#;*/+-&21%(/:#,& <#$=(%&>1$(3#-%& "((5%'+753,+7'.QRS Y5''*7317ZL%1,/ 8J; 8;?1%#,&#//4#,&-#;*/+-&2($&)1"(& <#$=(%&@/0*3#%1$-& H>;P H<;P C;P J;P =;P ;P "#$%&'("%()#*& +,-.%$/$-0$&1"#$%& H;;P :;P J;P W;P D,7/K-% #,'%/53 \7'.7M% ]%4%V+31%( ]&/K&431%( "/2,(-% "4,/[%-^%( _%^-V-31%( `4[,V-31%( _5/V2,(-31%( `V/%-(, <;P ;P #,'%/53 ]%4%V+31%( _%^-V-31%( `4[,V-31%( _5/V2,(-31%( `V/%-(, D,7/K-% \7'.7M% "4,/[%-^%( ]&/K&431%( "/2,(-% 2$%.("3)#"&(,-'0435,-& 6,-'0435,-&7*&'$(#,%& J$;;; >$;;; W$;;; =$;;; <$;;; H$;;; ; W=2 = 8<NHWF 2 = 8HJNC \7'.7M% D,7/K-% `V/%-(, #,'%/53 "/2,(-% ]%4%V+31%( "4,/[%-^%( ]&/K&431%( _%^-V-31%( `4[,V-31%( _5/V2,(-31%( _71%'32%/1L%1,/G8\I 8>; T_ T//-K%A7( 8W; Q,1L7/V3 \,1,/-(K 8=; 8<; 8H; <;H= WP HCP \5(-*-6%' T(.531/-%' 99P "K/-*5'15/%' <;HW <;H> <;HJ <;H9 <;H: <;HC <;<; <;<H <;<< <;<= "#$%&'#%($&)*+),*+)%-&.(/01$-&'*%)&2$(-(/3(&*/&314/%$56& "##$#%&'%($)*+(,-.,/0',*1/-*$ )-,2,(3 7$18(3%- "4,/352,1,/.,6'7&2,(13 900*:1/#,&#//4#,&*/;(-%"(/%&*/&0$*2& *$$*+#:1/& 89$:;<$9=>?"#$%&'(&%)*&+(,($-.,$(-/.&(-+(,.01%)2(%3(4,)&+(#+-5&.)' +*,-./*01$23#&42*5$1678*99:# $%&'()*(#+,'-&./#0%,'.#1*2',/.'34.3'&5#0%,'.#6,.&'#7#893*.':#;,/<=9,';/ "#

4 Table of Contents i. Executive Summary 1 ii. Methodology 4 1. Introduction What does smart water infrastructure entail? Smart water within the larger smart infrastructure landscape The case for smart water The full cost of water Smart water networks business case Smart water metering business case The case for smart irrigation Hurdles to smart water deployments Smart water market forecast Global outlook for smart water Water scarce countries High non- revenue water (NRW) countries High consumption countries Agriculturally intensive countries Regional overviews Projects and vendors Smart water vendors active in emerging markets Smart water projects in emerging markets Country snapshots Snapshot overview Albania Algeria Argentina Armenia Azerbaijan Bahrain 84

5 Table of Contents (cont.) 6.8 Belarus Bolivia Bosnia and Herzegovina Brazil Bulgaria Burma (Myanmar) Cambodia Chile China Colombia Croatia Czech Republic Ecuador Egypt Estonia Georgia Ghana Hungary India Indonesia Jordan Kazakhstan Kenya Kuwait Kyrgyzstan Laos Latvia Lebanon Libya Lithuania Macedonia 115

6 Table of Contents (cont.) 6.39 Malaysia Mexico Moldova Montenegro Morocco Oman Paraguay Peru Philippines Poland Qatar Romania Russia Rwanda Saudi Arabia Serbia Singapore Slovakia Slovenia South Africa Tajikistan Tanzania Thailand Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan Uganda Ukraine United Arab Emirates (UAE) Uruguay Uzbekistan 146

7 Table of Contents (cont.) 6.70 Venezuela Vietnam Yemen Zambia Conclusion The next steps Appendix List of abbreviations List of companies mentioned in this report 154 List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables Emerging markets smart water: key takeaways 3 Figure 1.1: Smart water value chain 6 Figure 1.2: Water supply chain 7 Figure 1.3: Five layers of smart water networks 8 Figure 1.4: Metering in emerging markets 9 Table 1.1: Benefits of different water metering technologies 10 Figure 1.5: Smart infrastructure overview 13 Figure 2.1: Current tariffs and full cost of water 17 Figure 2.2: Calculating the full cost of water 18 Figure 2.3: Annual per- household savings from smart water networks 19 Figure 2.4: Smart water networks savings example: Oman 20 Figure 2.5: Annual per- household smart water network savings at different water prices 21 Figure 2.6: Annual per- household savings from smart water metering 24 Figure 2.7: Smart water metering savings example: Oman 25 Figure 2.8: Annual smart meter savings examples in Oman 26 Table 3.1: Emerging markets smart water forecast (by country) 32 Figure 3.1: Cumulative smart water deployments in emerging markets (by country) 32 Table 3.2: Emerging markets smart water forecast (by segment) 33 Figure 3.2: Cumulative smart water deployments in emerging markets (by segment) 33 Figure 4.1: Water scarcity 35 Figure 4.2: Countries with NRW rates above 40% 36 Figure 4.3: High NRW and electricity loss countries 37

8 List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables (cont.) Figure 4.4: Correlation between NRW and power distribution losses 37 Figure 4.5: Countries with per- capita water consumption above 700 m 3 /person/year 39 Figure 4.6: Countries with highest % of water used for agriculture 40 Figure 4.7: Water scarcity and NRW in emerging markets 41 Figure 4.8: Water consumption in terms of income 42 Figure 4.9: NRW by region (weighted average) 42 Table 4.1: Central & Eastern Europe smart water forecast 42 Figure 4.10: Cumulative smart water deployments in Central & Eastern Europe 43 Figure 4.11: Combined annual savings from smart water by region 43 Table 4.2: Eurasia smart water forecast 44 Figure 4.12: Eurasia smart water forecast 44 Figure 4.13: Cumulative smart water deployments in Latin America 45 Table 4.3: Latin America smart water forecast 46 Figure 4.14: Water scarcity by region (weighted average) 46 Table 4.4: Middle East & North Africa smart water forecast 47 Figure 4.15: Cumulative smart water deployments in Middle East & North Africa 47 Table 4.5: Southeast Asia smart water forecast 48 Figure 4.16: Cumulative smart water deployments in Southeast Asia 48 Figure 4.17: % water used in agriculture by region 49 Figure 4.18: Savings from smart water per income level by region 49 Table 4.6: Sub- Saharan Africa smart water forecast 50 Figure 4.19: Cumulative smart water deployments in Sub- Saharan Africa 50 Table 4.7: China smart water forecast 51 Figure 4.20: Cumulative smart water deployments in China 51 Table 4.8: India smart water forecast 52 Figure 4.21: Cumulative smart water deployments in India 52 Table 5.1: Smart water vendors by region 54 Table 5.2: Smart water metering vendors 56 Table 5.3: Smart water networking vendors 57 Table 5.4: Smart water irrigation vendors 58 Table 5.5: Smart water analytics vendors 59 Table 5.6: Smart water services vendors 60 Figure 5.1: Notable smart water projects (and vendors) in emerging markets 61 Table 6.1: The next steps and necessary actions 151

9 Order Form Emerging Markets Smart Infrastructure: Smart Water Pricing Single user $3,500 Enterprise license $4,995 Clients purchasing a single user license are limited to one user for this report. The enterprise license allows all employees within a single organization to view the report. Any forwarding or sharing of the report to others who have not paid for it is strictly forbidden. orders: Fill out and scan the sheet below. Please orders to ben.gardner@northeast-group.com Telephone: We can be reached at Please have all of the information below ready to expedite your order. Customer information SINGLE USER ENTERPRISE LICENSE NAME POSITION COMPANY ADDRESS CITY STATE POSTAL CODE COUNTRY TELEPHONE Credit card information Card type: VISA MASTERCARD AMERICAN EXPRESS DISCOVER CARD NUMBER EXPIRATION DATE CV CODE CARDHOLDER S NAME SIGNATURE DATE BILLING ADDRESS CITY STATE POSTAL CODE COUNTRY By purchasing this report I agree to abide by the following terms and conditions: 1. Single- user license - use of this report is restricted to one individual. 2. Enterprise license use of this report is restricted to individuals within a single enterprise or organization. I agree not to forward or share this report to others who have not paid for its use.

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