Economic Returns to Canola Rotations in Eastern Washington

Transcription

1 Economic Returns to Canola Rotations in Eastern Washington

2 Objectives and Accomplishments To develop user-friendly enterprise budgets specific to growing regions in Washington State that account for canola s rotational impacts and to make the budget tools available to growers, researchers, agricultural industry members, and others. low rainfall (Region 2) intermediate rainfall (Region 2) high rainfall (Region 1) irrigated (Region 3)

3 Enterprise budget tools for assessing costs, returns, and rotational impacts of canola in Eastern Washington A visual guide to using the budgets Jenny R. Connolly, and Dr. Vicki McCracken 1, and Dr. Kate Painter 2 1 School of Economic Sciences, Washington State University 2 Dept. of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, University of Idaho

4 Purpose of Budgets Tools -> To compare returns between rotations with and without canola, accounting for canola s rotational impacts. User-friendly Excel enterprise budgets specific to growing regions in Washington State Budgets account for canola s rotational impacts (chemical and tillage differences, yield impacts on wheat) For use by growers, researchers, agricultural industry members, and others

5 Budget Features Tabs in Budget Workbook (Excel) : Title Page Assumptions and Instructions Summary (of returns) Input Costs Calendars (red indicates interactive tabs) Crop budget sheets (crops in rotation with canola are separated out) Machinery complement Machinery costs

6 Using and Adapting the Budgets 1. Review the Instructions & Assumptions tab, the Calendar tabs, and the Machinery Complement tab to understand what assumptions were made about farm size, machinery operations, inputs, etc. in the default budget scenarios. Default budget scenarios are based on grower interviews and expert input yields, calendars and types of operations, machinery size, chemical rates, etc.

7 2. Modify the yield and price values in red text on the Summary tab. Choose rotations for comparison from the drop down menu in Table 2 on the Summary tab.

8 Example of rotation options in Low Rainfall Zone budgets: Traditional rotations F HRWW F SWWW F SWWW F SWWW F HRWW F HRWW Canola rotations F WC F SWWW F WC F HRWW F= fallow HRWW= hard red winter wheat SWWW= soft white winter wheat WC= Winter canola

9 3. Modify inputs, rates, and various costs on the budget sheet for each crop in the rotations being compared. Input prices can be updated on the Input Cost tab or directly on the individual crop budget sheet. Machinery operation costs can be updated on the Machinery Cost tab

10 Input costs based on University of Idaho s annual Idaho Crop Input Price Summary

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12 Summary Tab: Crop and Rotation Returns Interpreting results: Costs (TC) Variable Costs (VC) + Fixed Costs (FC) = Total Variable costs include annual operating costs like fertilizer, seed, etc. Fixed costs include ownership costs like depreciation, insurance, etc. Positive returns over variable costs (Revenue - VC) indicate shortterm profitability while positive returns over total costs (Revenue - VC - FC) indicate long-term profitability. Returns vary based on price, yield, and cost values entered into the budget.

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14 Summary Inclusion of canola into crop rotations may offer agronomic benefits to farms that translate into improved overall farm profitability over time. Our research Finds favorable economic returns of selected crop rotations that incorporate canola as compared to returns of traditional crop rotations appropriate to each region when rotational impacts are considered, based on scenarios considered.

15 Demonstration of Impacts of Canola on System with F-SWWW- F-SWWW vs. F-C-F-SWWW (canola) (through wheat Yield increases)* Wheat Rotation Yield for SWWW Canola Rotation Yield for Soft White Winter Wheat Returns over total costs for canola rotation minus returns over total costs for wheat rotation - Positive values indicate canola rotation outperforms wheat rotation

16 Price Trends for Oilseeds and Cereals,

17 Prices 2000 to 2013 Price Canola Soybeans Wheat Year Price Trends to 2013

18 Returns over Costs varying Canola Price only for Region 2 (<12 inches)

19 Summary Budgets provide another tool to growers and advisors to growers to evaluate profitability of canola in traditional rotations Budgets account for additional rotational benefits and costs (which are ignored when looking at a single year costs/returns) Budgets provide detailed, interactive scenarios that can be adjusted to specific farm situations, that are hopefully easy to use!

20 Rotations in Region 1 and 3 suggested by growers

21 Comments/Questions? Contact Vicki McCracken