Tasmanian Organics Network 18 April 2018 Tasmania's Organic Spring: The 99.8% Opportunity

Transcription

1 Tasmanian Organics Network 18 April 2018 Tasmania's Organic Spring: The 99.8% Opportunity Dr John Paull Geography & Spatial Sciences University of Tasmania Image : J Paull,

2 Organics Context - World Context - Australia China - Tasmania 2 or 3 success stories - global Map of Tas organics Free certification? 2

3 Food shoppers want organic 60% Organic 58% 50% 46% 49% 52% Organic is important 40% 30% 20% 22% 24% 26% 27% 28% 29% 29% 31% 34% 35% 36% 41% 42% 10% 0% Netherlands UK Canada Japan Australia Belgium Germany USA 3 France Argentina Spain South Korea Italy Mexico Brazil Russia China GfK, 2017

4 Food shoppers don t want GMOs 60% GMO-free 60% 49% 49% GM-free is important 45% 30% 15% 28% 31% 32% 33% 36% 37% 37% 41% 43% 43% 45% 45% 45% 45% 0% Netherlands UK Belgium Australia Japan Canada USA Argentina 4 Germany South Korea Brazil France Russia Spain Italy Mexico China GfK, 2017

5 it is generally unsafe to eat foods grown with pesticides * 70% 60% 69% 69% 62% 50% 40% 30% 20% 31% 10% 0% US adults Aus adults US scientists *Pew Research Center, 2015, p.5, US adults N=2002; US scientists 31%, N=3748; Lamberts (2017): Aus adults N=1203 5

6 Source: Pan UK (2017) 6

7 x5 Organic Agriculture excludes synthetic fertilisers synthetic pesticides GMOs engineered nanoparticles irradiation 7

8 x4 Consumers buy Organic because better for family better for me better for environment better for animals 8

9 Q: The consumer is King? Farmer is King? 9

10 World Organic Agriculture 60,000,000 Hectares 45,000,000 30,000, % pa 15,000,

11 The World of Organic Agriculture (hectares) Density equalising map 11 Paull & Hennig, 2016

12 Australia is a Pygmy in the GM World & a Giant in the Organics World GMOs (ha) Organics (ha) Australia 0.5% Rest of World 99.5% Rest of World 53% Australia 47% 12 Organics data: Willer & Lernoud, 2018

13 Tasmania 4003 hectares - certified organic 79 organic producers 13 Aglaw & Mobium, 2017

14 1924: Agriculture Course at Koberwitz (Poland) 14 Rudolf Steiner ( )

15 1928: Australia s first organic farmer Ernesto Genoni, 1928, Experimental Circle Ernesto Genoni ( ) 15

16 1934: Australia s first woman organic farmer Ileen Macpherson ( ) 16

17 1940: coins the term organic farming (UK) Lord Northbourne, 1940, Organic farming Lord Northbourne ( ) 17

18 1946: Tasmania s first Organic Farming advocacy society (The Living Soil Association of Tasmania) Henry Shoobridge ( ) 18

19 Organic Gardening & Farming Society of Tasmania ( ) published a national journal c

20 Organic (ha) - Big 5 Rest 37% Australia 47% Spain 3% Argentina USA 5% 4% China 4% World total = 57.8 m ha 20 data: Willer & Lernoud, 2018

21 Organic (ha) - Australia TAS <0.01% WA 14% NSW 11% TAS <0.01% NT 5% VIC 2% SA 38% Australia total = 27.1 m ha Tasmania = 4,003 ha 21 QLD 30% data: AgLAw & Mobium 2017

22 Organic (producers) - Australia VIC 21% TAS 4% SA 13% NT 1% QLD 24% NSW 29% WA 9% Australia total = 2075 producers Tasmania = 79 producers 22 data: AgLAw & Mobium 2017

23 35% 30% 30.2% Organic (ha) - % of Ag land 25% 20% 15% 20.3% 16.9% 16.5% 13.1%12.8%12.5% 10% 5% 7.1% 6.5% 3.8% 0% Liechenstein Austria Sweden data: Willer & Lernoud, 2017 Estonia Switzerland Latvia Falklands Australia 23 Germany Poland 1.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%0.03% World USA Serbia China Russia Tasmania Bosnia & Hertzegovina

24 Vision: Russia to supply the world with organic food 24 image: newstarget.com, 2

25 China 25

26 China 26

27 China 27

28 China 28

29 China 29

30 China China: Alternative certifications30

31 Organic mentions=nil 31

32 Organic mentions = nil 32

33 Vision Bhutan to be the world s first 100% organic country Prime Minister 3 of 20 states already declared organic Gross National Happiness is more important than Gross National Product Constitution 2008 c 33

34 100% Organic: Sikkim 74,190 certified organic hectares 64,000 farmers 34 Prime Minister Mohendra Modi & Chief minister Pawan Chamling January 2016 intoday.in

35 11 me-too Indian states Goa, Karnataka, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh & Uttarakhand 35 image: nmhs.org.in

36 Global Bananas Dominican Republic 1% Rest of World 99% 36 data: FAO, 2017

37 Global Organic Bananas Rest of World 45% Dominican Republic 55% 37 data: FAO, 2017

38 World Organic Forestry 300,000 (Tasmania = nil) 225,000 Hectares 150,000 75, data: FIBL & IFOAM reports

39 World Organic Aquaculture 500, ,000 (Tasmania = nil) Hectares 250, , data: FIBL & IFOAM reports

40 World Organic Wildculture 70,000,000 60,000,000 (Tasmania = nil) 50,000,000 Hectares 40,000,000 30,000,000 20,000,000 10,000, data: FIBL & IFOAM reports

41 World Total Certified Organic Land 100,000,000 90,600,111 ha 75,000,000 +Organic Forestry (2010) Hectares 50,000,000 +Organic Aquaculture (2009) +Organic Wildculture (2006) 25,000,000 (Tasmania = 4003 ha) 0.004% data: FIBL & IFOAM reports

42 A motivation for an Organic Tasmania Tasmania Farm Gate: $2.02 billion + Price premium for organic 0% - 200% =??????? 42 DPIPWE, 2016 Halpin, 2004

43 Bronwyn Tilyard, DPIPWE, 2018 Organic Farms 43

44 Q: Are we on the threshold of an Organic Tasmania? 44

45 Suggestion: $230K over 4 years * Mapping Data (TON) * Free Certification 45 Liberal Party Tas, 2018

46 Thank you Questions 46

47 Tasmania's Organic Spring: The 99.8% Opportunity John Paull Geography & Spatial Sciences, University of Tasmania Tasmania has experienced seventy years of organics advocacy (from 1946). Yet Tasmania has just 0.2% of its agricultural land certified organic. Converting the state to organic could take 35,000 years at the current rate - and who has that kind of time? In contrast, Australia has 7.1% of its agricultural land as certified organic. Australia has more organic land than any other country. Tasmania has 4003 certified organic agriculture hectares and 79 certified organic operators (compared to the Australian total of 27.1 million organic agriculture hectares and 2075 certified organic operators). This suggests that there is a massive opportunity - the 99.8% opportunity - for Tasmania to embrace the ethics, practices, and economic benefits of organic production. With the impending certification of a number of organic dairy properties in Tasmania, is the state on the cusp of an Organic Spring? OMG (Organic Milk Group) has just achieved certification of its first dairy farm and has just started supplying Woolworths supermarkets with organic milk. Moon Lake has three dairy farms at or near conversion to organic and plans direct organic milk exports, Hobart to China. A new map of organic farms in Tasmania is presented. 47

48 References AgLaw Centre, & Mobium Group. (2017). Australian Organic Market Report Brisbane: Australian Organic Ltd. Dairy Australia. (2017). Dairy Situation and Outlook: June Melbourne: Dairy Australia Limited. DPIPWE. (2016). Tasmania's Sustainable Agri-Food Plan Hobart: Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment (DPIPWE). GfK. (2017). Decision Factors on What to Eat or Drink: Global GfK Survey (October 2017). London: GfK (Growth from Knowledge). Lamberts, R. (2017). The Australian Beliefs and Attitudes Towards Science Survey. Canberra, Australia: Australian National University. PANUK. (2017). Food for Thought: Pesticide Residues in the School Fruit and Vegetable Scheme (SFVS). Brighton, UK: Pesticide Action Network UK (PANUK). Paull, J. (2009). The Living Soil Association: Pioneering organic farming and innovating social inclusion. Journal of Organic Systems, 4(1), Paull, J. (2014). Lord Northbourne, the man who invented organic farming, a biography. Journal of Organic Systems, 9(1), Paull, J. (2014). Ernesto Genoni: Australia's pioneer of biodynamic agriculture. Journal of Organics, 1(1), Paull, J. (2017). Four new strategies to grow the organic agriculture sector. Agrofor International Journal, 2(3), Paull, J. (2017). Ileen Macpherson: Life and tragedy of a pioneer of biodynamic farming at Demeter Farm and a benefactor of Anthroposophy in Australia. Journal of Organics, 4(1), Paull, J., & Hennig, B. (2016). Atlas of Organics: Four maps of the world of organic agriculture. Journal of Organics, 3(1), Pew Research Center. (2015). Public and Scientists' Views on Science and Society. Washington: Pew Research Center. Royal Government of Bhutan. (2008). The Constitution of the Kingdom of Bhutan. Thimphu: Royal Government of Bhutan. RT. (2017). Putin vows to make Russia major supplier of organic food to Asia-Pacific Region. 11 November. Moscow: rt.com. Willer, H., & Lernoud, J. (Eds.). (2018). The World of Organic Agriculture: Statistics and Emerging Trends 2018: Frick, Switzerland: Research Institute of Organic Agriculture (FiBL) & Bonn: IFOAM-Organics International. 48