Acute Food Insecurity Situation Overview

Transcription

1 Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) (Sudan) map - current Valid To: Acute Food Insecurity Situation Overview Key Outcomes for the Wors t affected Area Blue Nile: GAM = 16.1% (average the State) Red Sea: Over 40% household have extreme food consumption gabs.: average livestock have size sheep/goat has decreased from 30 to 5 with 20% hhs reporting complete loses GAM =35%COR =2.2/10,000/day South Kordan:: 2.4%: GAM 4.4%M.,37/10000/day North Darfur: the total available grain (stock + market+ production) covered just about 0.9 % out annul needs(dc1). Security deterioration led to loss their livelihood asset more than n 25% the population: GAM = 22.9%: CDR = 1.05/10,000/d South Darfur::: 25% lost assets: GAM 22.9%: 1.5/10000/D ( CDR) West Darfur: 42% the populations in Furbaranga have food consumption gaps,generally there is no change in the livelihood the population : GAM = 8.5% CDR = 0.28/10,000/d 30/10/2012 Created on: 15/08/2012 Summary Causes, Context and Key Issues Poor national cereal production in 2011/2012 resulting in rapidly rising cereal prices, drought in western, central and Eastern regions, conflicts and displacements, Northerner returnees from South Sudan, combined with the high levels inflation compounded by the recent increases in fuel prices are immediate causes Emergency conditions in parts Greater Darfur, South Kordan and Blue Nile States and crisis condition in the Eastern and parts central regions. Shortage drinking water is another food security threat in Red Sea, Kordan, Darfur and Gedarif States. Below average rainfall in 2011 lead to water and pasture shortages which negatively affected pastoral communities. This was aggravated by the closure main livestock migratory routes and tension along borders in the States bordering South Sudan (South Darfur, South Kordan, White Nile and Blue Nile). This has resulted in accessing southern pastures and lead to concentration livestock in confined grazing areas which will worsen food security pastoral communities in those areas and are sources ffuture social and environmental threats. Key for Map Acute Food Insecurity Phase 1 Minimal 2 Stressed 3 Crisis 4 Emergency 5 Famine Areas with Inadequate Evidence ^ ^ ^ Not Analyzed Urban/Settlement Area would likely be at least 1 Phase worse without the effects humanitarian assistance Key for Callout Boxes ^ Acceptable Mediu Hig Confidence analysis ^ Area has reached Phase 3,4,or 5 for more than 3 consecutive years 3 ^ 1 Low 2 Moderate 3 High 4 Very High Chronic Food Insecurity Level (if available) Analysis Parteners and Suorting Organizations Logos:PAE &MOWR For more information, contact (Insert contact information here) moaf.fsts@gmail.com IPC Global Partners:

2 Part 2: Summary Findings, Methods, and Next Steps Key Findings and Issues (Briefly discuss key findings) According to the acute analysis The Country was classified into in phases 1, 2, 3 and 4 in some areas like drought prone areas and insecure areas. Food production showed surplus in irrigated areas, in central and Northern regions while some rain fed traditional areas suffered from drop in production due to the last poor rainy season, as the majority the rural population based on rain fed for food security and livelihood. Stable food crops like sorghum and millet recorded low production added to high food prices were the main reasons for classification phase 3 and 4. Food consumption was recorded as poor for the Grater Darfur states, due to civil unrest, displacement and poor access to food. Eastern region( Red Sea ) which is a drought affected area, High malnutrition rates were recorded, due to insufficient food intake and some epidemic diseases, also shortage drinking water especially in summer season is one the problems in this area. Border States to the South Sudan suffered from conflicts and inaccessibility to rangelands added to that the stress returnees. For food security pillars: inadequate availability due to low production made it difficult to satisfy the needs, while in some states there was surplus in production, Food was available in the market, but the soaring food prices was the main reason for difficulties to access food for the poor and vulnerable groups. For utilization some traditional means for sanitation causes hygienic problems, while in some areas there was shortage in drinking water which may be less than 15litres / p/day. Methods, Process & Key Issues (Write a brief description the IPC Methods and challenges encountered during analyses) Following three days training, the TWG collected secondary data from many sources within each state and then analyzed the data. Decisions were based on working group census. IPC V.2tools ( IPC analytic Framework, Acute Reference Table, Analysis Worksheets, create states map using IPC color and phase names) were used to classify food security phases. No standard method was used to estimate the percentages population at different food security phases ( insufficient data at the household level) The main sources evidences at the locality level are : 1. Ministry agriculture ( surveys,annual reports, etc ) 2. Ministry health surveys 3. International and UN agencies monitoring repots 4. HAC surveys & reports 5. CBS census 6. Ministry irrigation reports. 7. Ministry Animal Resources reports 8. Ministry Water Resources reports 9. Ministry social Welfare For the four outcomes the analysis based on: Food consumption: quantities versus consumption and to some extent food intake, FCS was analyzed only for Darfur and Northern states( available) Nutrition data was not analyzed at locality levels (available for states only) First part the analysis started at States Continuation analysis in Khartoum, National workshop Revision the analysis by The Federal working group and States working groups The main challenge 1. Limitation reliable sources information at locality level. 2. In Some States, the TWG does not fully represent all partners. 3. Many members TWGs at state level need additional training. 4. Estimation the percentages the population at different food security phases 5. Sustainability IPC process 6. Language barriers

3 livestock Movement Wheat Harvest Wage labors Recruitment land Preperation for Sorghum & Millet Dry Season Ches t infectio ns Food Security Seasonal Calendar and Monitoring Implications Hunger Season planting Herds Protection Livestock Movement Raingeland Improvind/ Seeds Broadcsting Wage labors Recruitment Dates Harvest Rainy Season land Preperation for Winter Season Eye Infectio ns Diarrhea Malaria Sorghum & Millet Harvest Ches t infectio ns Winter Season Planting Wheat Harvest land Preperation for Sorghum & Millet Dry Season April May June July August September October November December January February March The agricultural activities and in turn the food security situation in Sudan depend mainly on the rainy season which prone by the progress the ITCZ northward bringing the suitable conditions planting and early sowing over the country. The favorable conditions for planting commenced early during late-may in the most southern parts Sudan; states Blue Nile, Southern Kordan and Southern Darfur, the most Southern Parts Sennar and White Nile. This is normally preceded by land preparation process which started in March and continued to May. The planting cereals (Sorghum and Millet) taking place during early June in most southern parts the country and continued northward driven by the suitability rainfall and moisture conditions. The on farm operations normally take place during August and September; where the weeding and cleaning is performed. Sorghum and Millet harvest start in the south by late November and progress northwards till late February in the northern parts. The most important period for monitoring food Security situation is the lean season which starts in early May and continued to late September before the presence the new production. The summer activities followed by the preparations for the winter season take place in early September in the most northern parts and progress southwards till late October. Planting winter season crops take place in early November and the season progress till late February. The harvest Wheat starts during February and continues till the end April. The dates harvest started from July and completed by end September in the northern and River Nile states.the dry season starts in Early March through April and May in most parts the country. The movement nomads in Darfur and Kordan southwards starts in October and end in June where they reach most southern parts Sudan. The northwards migration starts during June and ends by late October. The animals prone diseases aear during the rainy season in June and ends by late November. The outbreak human diseases (Malaria, Chest infections, Diarrhea, Eye infections) aears throughout the year except in summer Months (March and June). Also chest infection starts from October till February. While, Diarrhea takes long period from June till October. Job oortunities for wages labors are available during the rainy season and the harvest period across the country in order to accomplish the on farms tasks and harvest work. Recommendations for Next Steps (Discuss expected and recommended next steps focusing on analytical activities, monitoring actions and linkage to action) Presentation the IPC version 2:00 results for aroval Final Production and public dissemination results for decision makers and stakeholders, Training on data collection, methods and analysis for enumerators Verification and suort data collected and Establishment data base system Refreshment training on Version 2:00 before the next Analysis Focusing on strategic objectives, monitoring and Evaluation the situation and further analysis Activation the state working groups and filling the gaps Financial and technical suort for better analysis Establishing, reinforcing state Food Security Technical Secretariat, Localities technical working groups and down streaming training Enhance coordination between state governor and food security technical secretariat (FSTS). Maintain collaboration with regional and global IPC initiatives and Creating a mechanism to link national lessons learned to regional and global level analysis Discussion on steps to be taken to sustain the IPC future implementation EU, FEWS NET and USAID, FAO( GSU), WFP, CIDA, JICA, etc. Assessment country analytical tools to capture population needs and to inform setting national priorities Regular update and refreshment courses Convening IPC country analytical session, at least twice a year Set up real time monitoring evaluation system with network partners Vetting IPC results amongst forum peers and decision makers

4 Part 3: Population Tables Detailed Population Table (Insert a detailed population table merging the population tables all areas. Level reporting should be the lowest administrative unit sub-divided by household food security situation groups when alicable) Detailed Population Table Name relevant Admin -Unit - Northern Central West region Central Western Eastern Name relevant Administ rative Unit - States level Total number population Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 3 or more Northern River Nile Khartou m N Kordan S Kordan White Nile Gazira SINNAR Nile Blue S. Darfur N. Darfur W Darfur Kassala Sea Red Gedaref Total Classified population

5 Strategic Objectives: According to the key outcomes and contributing factors and the hazards facing the country including: drought, conflict, soil degradation and erosion, soaring food prices. Shortage drinking water in some states, rainfall fluctuation, low productivity, food gaps, diseases breakout in some areas These hazards have negative effects on food security situation and livelihood The IPC classification in Sudan ranges from phase 1 to 4, even in some areas in phase 1 & 2 there are some problems which need to be highlighted and specified for strategic objectives: In phase 1 & 2: Building the resilience to some shocks like: Availability drinking water (safe and improved) Good monitoring and evaluation system to monitor the food security indicators Improvement irrigation system to enhance the production and productivity Safety measures to overcome the consequences high food prices Job oortunities to improve income Implementation projects to sustain the livelihood assets Phase 3: Certain measures to protect livelihood deterioration and further losses livelihood assets, through: Enhancement credit facilities to rebuild the livelihood assets lost during the shocks Nutrition assessments to monitor the nutrition situations and Activation health and nutrition centers and distribution vitamins and micronutrients to improve the nutrition status Income generating activities to compensate the losses production Implementation projects to sustain the livelihood assets Phase 4: Humanitarian assistant and food aid are important to save lives and livelihoods Resolution conflicts and peace building Certain measures can be taken to save lives livelihood

6 Part 4: Sections 1, 2, and 3 from Analysis Worksheets