GEOGLAM: G20 S GLOBAL AGRICULTURAL MONITORING INITIATIVE SPACE BASED EARTH OBSERVATIONS TO ENHANCE GLOBAL COMMODITY MARKET TRANSPARENCY

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1 GEOGLAM: G20 S GLOBAL AGRICULTURAL MONITORING INITIATIVE SPACE BASED EARTH OBSERVATIONS TO ENHANCE GLOBAL COMMODITY MARKET TRANSPARENCY Ian Jarvis (on behalf of GEO Agricultural Community of Practice) Earth Observation Service Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada May 1, 2012

2 April 2001 April 2002 April 2003 April 2004 April 2005 April 2006 April 2007 April 2008 April 2009 April 2010 April 2011 US $ per Metric Ton Context for Improved Agricultural Monitoring World prices of wheat, rice, corn, and soybeans rose 226% from Between June of 2010 and May 2011 price of wheat increased by over 80% The recent price increases have pushed an additional 44 million people into poverty (FAO) 2011 Horn of Africa drought left over 13 million in need of food aid (FAO) Wheat Monthly Crop Prices: Source: IMF (index Mundi) Drought Aust/Ukr Russia drought

3 PERCENT OF POPULATION BY COUNTRY WITH INSUFFICIENT FOOD UN FAO

4 LARGEST PRODUCERS VS. COUNTRIES PROJECTED TO DOUBLE/TRIPLE POPULATION BY 2050

5 Looking Forward Increasing pressures on agricultural land and production from: Increased severe weather events and climate change Population growth & Changing diets Fuel vs. Food vs. Feed Limited water and suitable arable land Higher price volatility for major grains Crop yield variability is a main driver of short term changes in market equilibrium Weather/climatic effects on production are triggers for price hikes Commodity markets are increasingly linked (good and bad) Rising fuel prices impact food prices (transport, fertilizer) NEED TO INCREASE GLOBAL PRODUCTION BY 70% BY 2050 TO MEET DEMAND (FAO) Tools for monitoring and reliably forecasting production are essential for anticipating market imbalances and enhancing policy responses

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7 Background : the G20 Agriculture priority (2011) G20 Final Declaration Cannes, November We commit to improve market information and transparency in order to make international markets for agricultural commodities more effective. To that end, we launched: The "Agricultural Market Information System" (AMIS) in Rome on September 15, 2011, to improve information on markets...; The "Global Agricultural Geo-monitoring Initiative" (GEOGLAM) in Geneva on September 22-23, This initiative will coordinate satellite monitoring observation systems in different regions of the world in order to enhance crop production projections and weather forecasting data.

8 GEO Secretariat The GEOGLAM Initiative : Objectives To strengthen the international community s capacity to produce and disseminate relevant, timely and accurate forecasts of agricultural production at national, regional and global scales, through reinforced use of Earth Observations. SORCE Envisat Aura/Aqua/Terra QuikScat Sage IKONOS CBERS SeaWiFS SPOT 4, 5 SPIN-2 SeaWinds Orbview 2, 3 TRMM DMC ACRIMSAT ERBS Radarsat ALOS EROS A1 Grace QuickBird UARS Toms-EP Landsat 7 Jason Earth Observation Agronomy Agro-economy Cultivated area / crop type area Meteorology Cereal grain production per hectare (Source: SAGE, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisc., USA) Crop yield forecast

9 The GEOGLAM Initiative Outcome An improved and more harmonized systems of systems taking advantage of new satellite assets and a higher level of international coordination GEOGLAM will be implemented in the framework of GEO (Agriculture Community of Practice) GEOGLAM will be implemented over a six year timeframe, with the first year dedicated to planning ( )

10 GEO Agriculture Monitoring Community of Practice The Group on Earth Observations is coordinating efforts to build a Global Earth Observation System of Systems, or GEOSS. GEO is a voluntary partnership of governments and international organizations. It provides a framework within which these partners can develop new projects and coordinate their strategies and investments

11 Many countries have a national agricultural monitoring system Several global/regional scale systems in place with common data needs, few common standards and protocols and inconsistent results

12 The GEOGLAM Initiative: Project Components 1. GLOBAL/ REGIONAL SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS Main producer countries, main crops 2. NATIONAL CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT for agricultural monitoring using Earth Observation 3. MONITORING COUNTRIES AT RISK Food security assessment 4. EO DATA COORDINATION 5. METHOD IMPROVEMENT through R&D coordination GEOGLAM is a coordination initiative, aiming at providing key information on Agricultural production using Earth Observations through: Supporting, strengthening and articulating existing efforts and developing capacities and awareness at national, regional and global level

13 The GEOGLAM Initiative: Project Components 1. GLOBAL/ REGIONAL SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS Main producer countries, main crops 2. NATIONAL CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT for agricultural monitoring using Earth Observation 4. EO DATA COORDINATION 3. MONITORING COUNTRIES AT RISK Food security assessment 5. METHOD IMPROVEMENT through R&D coordination Global qualitative and quantitative reliable crop production outlook Better coordination and harmonization between existing global and regional monitoring systems

14 The GEOGLAM Initiative: Project Components 1. GLOBAL/ REGIONAL SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS Main producer countries, main crops 2. NATIONAL CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT For agricultural monitoring using Earth Observation 4. EO DATA COORDINATION 3. MONITORING COUNTRIES AT RISK Food security assessment 5. METHOD IMPROVEMENT through R&D coordination Within major food producing nations: Enhanced national capacities (institutional, technical, infrastructure, data access) to improve national agriculture monitoring estimates

15 The GEOGLAM Initiative: Project Components 1. GLOBAL/ REGIONAL SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS Main producer countries, main crops 2. NATIONAL CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT for agricultural monitoring using Earth Observation 3. MONITORING COUNTRIES AT RISK Food security assessment 4. EO DATA COORDINATION 5. METHOD IMPROVEMENT through R&D coordination Improved methods and tailored agriculture monitoring products for countries at risk Strengthening national & regional institutions Harmonize between existing monitoring systems

16 The GEOGLAM Initiative: Project Components 1. GLOBAL/ REGIONAL SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS Main producer countries, main crops 2. NATIONAL CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT for agricultural monitoring using Earth Observation 3. MONITORING COUNTRIES AT RISK Food security assessment 4. EO DATA COORDINATION 5. METHOD IMPROVEMENT through R&D coordination Improved coordination of satellite observations for agricultural monitoring (with GEO Committee on Earth Observing Satellites) Improved coordination of data from in situ agricultural observation networks and meteorological observation / forecasting networks

17 The GEOGLAM Initiative: Project Components 1. GLOBAL/ REGIONAL SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS Main producer countries, main crops 2. NATIONAL CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT for agricultural monitoring using Earth Observation 3. MONITORING COUNTRIES AT RISK Food security assessment 4. EO DATA COORDINATION 5. METHOD IMPROVEMENT through R&D coordination Improved methods to monitor agricultural production through Earth Observation data, leveraging the GEO Joint Experiments on Crop Assessment and Monitoring (JECAM)

18 The GEOGLAM Initiative: Leveraging JECAM JECAM activities are being undertaken at a series of study sites which represent the world s main cropping systems and agricultural practices. Sharing Data and Methods to develop standards and best practices that will inform the development of the GEOGLAM system of systems In development JECAM.ORG

19 The GEOGLAM Initiative : G20 Mexico April, 2012 Current Status The GEOGLAM High Level Implementation Plan Strategic targets Work plan components High Level Budget Governance G20 Direction Sought Guidance on the Funding strategy Appoint steering committee members Appoint national points of contact

20 The GEOGLAM Initiative Summary The GEOGLAM high level implementation plan is complete GEO is awaiting direction from the Mexico G20 on the funding strategy, steering committee and national representation Next steps: Develop a detailed project plan Establish a dedicated project office Develop Data Requirements with the Committee on Earth Observing Satellites (Tentative July) GEOGLAM is on target to provide enhance agricultural monitoring based on EO, leading to better and more transparent information for markets and food security

21 The GEO Global Agricultural Monitoring initiative..thanks