Modelling soil organic carbon changes

Transcription

1 Thomas Prade Department of Biosystems and Technology Modelling soil organic carbon changes Implications for LCA studies Thomas Prade 61 st LCA Discussion Forum, Zürich, Switzerland, 15 March 2016

2 SOC in LCA How can SOC be relevant for a LCA study? Does biofuel from a specific crop fulfil the EU-RED sustainability criteria? How does a specific crop (rotation) impact soil fertility? How does intensification of agricultural production impact the environment?

3 SOC in LCA Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Winter oilseed rape Winter wheat Winter wheat Oat + 1 year of gras-clover + 2 years of gras-clover Björnsson, L., Prade, T., Lantz, M., Börjesson, P., Svensson, S.-E. and Eriksson, H. (2013). Impact of biogas crop production on greenhouse gas emissions, soil organic matter and food crop production A case study on farm level. Sweden, f3.

4 SOC in LCA [t CO 2 -eq ha -1 yr -1 ] 3 BIOGAS PRODUCTION BIOGENIC N 2 O CULTIVATION (fertilizer) CULTIVATION (diesel, machinery, materials) -1 SOIL ORGANIC CARBON -2-3 SOC contribution from both grass-clover cultivation and biofertilizer Systems expansion: fossil fuel replacement & food crop cultivation elsewhere => t/ha avoided CO 2 -emissions Björnsson, L., Prade, T., Lantz, M., Börjesson, P., Svensson, S.-E. and Eriksson, H. (2013). Impact of biogas crop production on greenhouse gas emissions, soil organic matter and food crop production A case study on farm level. Sweden, f3.

5 SOC in LCA Impact on GHG balance 1) Annual SOC effect = annual amount of soil organic carbon stabilised/mineralized Soil organic carbon

6 SOC in LCA Impact on GHG balance 1) Annual SOC effect = annual amount of soil organic carbon stabilised/mineralized Bare fallow Ultuna long-term experiment: Kätterer, T., et al. (2011) Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 141(1 2):

7 SOC in LCA Impact on GHG balance Annual SOC effect SOC 0,5 % 55 a t 55 a 1) Annual SOC effect = annual amount of soil organic carbon stabilised/mineralized kg C a SOC Bare fallow Ultuna long-term experiment: Kätterer, T., et al. (2011) Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 141(1 2):

8 SOC in LCA Impact on GHG balance 1) Annual SOC effect = annual amount of soil organic carbon stabilised/mineralized Soil organic carbon Mineralization

9 SOC in LCA Impact on GHG balance 1) Annual SOC effect = annual amount of soil organic carbon stabilised/mineralized Soil organic carbon Aboveground crop residues Belowground crop residues Manure/digestate/etc. Mineralization

10 SOC in LCA Impact on GHG balance 1) Annual SOC effect = annual amount of soil organic carbon stabilised/mineralized Change of carbon input SOC content [%] Years

11 SOC in LCA Impact on GHG balance 1) Annual SOC effect = annual amount of soil organic carbon stabilised/mineralized Change of carbon input SOC content [%] Years

12 SOC in LCA Impact on GHG balance 1) Annual SOC effect = annual amount of soil organic carbon stabilised/mineralized Change of carbon input SOC content [%] Δt ΔSOC Annual SOC effect kg Years

13 SOC in LCA Impact on GHG balance 1) Annual SOC effect = annual amount of soil organic carbon stabilised/mineralized Change of carbon input SOC content [%] Δt Δt Base case 40 years IPCC 20 years ΔSOC Annual SOC effect kg Years

14 SOC in LCA Impact on GHG balance 1) Annual SOC effect = annual amount of soil organic carbon stabilised/mineralized Change of carbon input SOC content [%] Δt Δt Base case 40 years IPCC 20 years ΔSOC Annual SOC effect kg 1 kg C = 3,67 kg CO 2 eq Years

15 SOC in LCA Impact on GHG balance 1) Annual SOC effect = annual amount of soil organic carbon stabilised/mineralized 2) N stabilisation/mineralisation * Soil organic matter (SOM) typically has a C:N ratio of 10:1 * Stabilised N is made unavailable to biogenic N 2 O formation

16 Crop residues IPCC Tier1 default method for calculating crop residue

17 Crop residues IPCC Tier1 default method for calculating crop residue. / IPCC (2006). IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. S. Eggleston, L. Buendia, K. Miwa, T. Ngara and K. Tanabe. Hayama, Japan, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES).

18 Crop residues Crop IPCC Aboveground Intercept [t DM ha -1 ] B/A ratio Winter wheat Oats Winter oilseed rape Grass-clover crops, establishing year Grass-clover crops, full production year Grass-clover crops, break year (0.30) 0.00 (0.80) (0.30) 0.00 (0.80) Björnsson, L., Prade, T., Lantz, M., Börjesson, P., Svensson, S.-E. and Eriksson, H. (2013). Impact of biogas crop production on greenhouse gas emissions, soil organic matter and food crop production A case study on farm level. Sweden, f3 - The Swedish Knowledge Centre for Renewable Transportation Fuels and Foundation: 79.

19 Crop residues Crop Nordic IPCC Root/A ratio Aboveground Aboveground Intercept [t DM ha -1 ] B/A ratio Winter wheat Oats Winter oilseed rape Grass-clover crops, establishing year Grass-clover crops, full production year Grass-clover crops, break year (0.25) (0.40) (0.30) 0.00 (0.80) (0.25) (0.63) (0.30) 0.00 (0.80) Björnsson, L., Prade, T., Lantz, M., Börjesson, P., Svensson, S.-E. and Eriksson, H. (2013). Impact of biogas crop production on greenhouse gas emissions, soil organic matter and food crop production A case study on farm level. Sweden, f3 - The Swedish Knowledge Centre for Renewable Transportation Fuels and Foundation: 79.

20 Crop residues Crop Nordic IPCC Root/A ratio Aboveground Aboveground Intercept [t DM ha -1 ] B/A ratio Winter wheat Oats Winter oilseed rape Grass-clover crops, establishing year Grass-clover crops, full production year Grass-clover crops, break year (0.25) (0.40) (0.30) 0.00 (0.80) (0.25) (0.63) (0.30) 0.00 (0.80) Beside root biomass, exudates are accounted for as 0.65 times root biomass (Bolinder, 2007). Bolinder, M. A., et al. (2007), Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 118(1 4): Björnsson, L., Prade, T., Lantz, M., Börjesson, P., Svensson, S.-E. and Eriksson, H. (2013). Impact of biogas crop production on greenhouse gas emissions, soil organic matter and food crop production A case study on farm level. Sweden, f3 - The Swedish Knowledge Centre for Renewable Transportation Fuels and Foundation: 79.

21 Crop residues Crop Yield Nordic IPCC Root/A ratio [t DM ha -1 ] Aboveground Aboveground Intercept [t DM ha -1 ] B/A ratio Winter wheat Oats Winter oilseed rape Grass-clover crops, establishing year Grass-clover crops, full production year Grass-clover crops, break year 2.5 (0.25) (0.40) (0.30) 0.00 (0.80) (0.25) (0.63) (0.30) 0.00 (0.80) Beside root biomass, exudates are accounted for as 0.65 times root biomass (Bolinder, 2007). Bolinder, M. A., et al. (2007), Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 118(1 4): Björnsson, L., Prade, T., Lantz, M., Börjesson, P., Svensson, S.-E. and Eriksson, H. (2013). Impact of biogas crop production on greenhouse gas emissions, soil organic matter and food crop production A case study on farm level. Sweden, f3 - The Swedish Knowledge Centre for Renewable Transportation Fuels and Foundation: 79.

22 Crop residues Crop residues [rel. yield] Belowground residues: Roots Belowground residues: Extra-root Aboveground residues Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Winter wheat Oats Winter oilseed rape GC crops (full prod. year) GC crops (break year) Crop yield and residues [t DM/ha] Harvested crop Belowground residues: Roots Belowground residues: Extra-root Aboveground residues Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Winter wheat Oats Winter oilseed rape GC crops (full prod. year) GC crops (break year)

23 Crop residues Crop residues [rel. yield] Belowground residues: Roots Belowground residues: Extra-root Aboveground residues Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Winter wheat Oats Winter oilseed rape GC crops (full prod. year) GC crops (break year) Crop yield and residues [t DM/ha] Harvested crop Belowground residues: Roots Belowground residues: Extra-root Aboveground residues Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Nordic IPCC Winter wheat Oats Winter oilseed rape GC crops (full prod. year) GC crops (break year)

24 SOC changes Slow change over many years Difficult to measure directly (annual fluctuations, soil heterogeneity) Long-term experiments are often used to identify important impacts SOC modelling to estimate changes

25 SOC modelling Aboveground crop residues Belowground crop residues Manure/digestate/etc. (Andrén and Kätterer 1997; Kätterer and Andrén 2001). Total soil organic carbon Young carbon pool Y A Y B Y M/D h A *k Y *Y A h B *k Y *Y B h M/D *k Y *Y M/D (1-h i )*k Y *Y i Old carbon pool O A O B O M/D k O *O

26 SOC modelling k O = calibration parameter Aboveground crop residues Belowground crop residues Manure/digestate/etc. (Andrén and Kätterer 1997; Kätterer and Andrén 2001). Total soil organic carbon Young carbon pool Y A Y B Y M/D h A *k Y *Y A h B *k Y *Y B h M/D *k Y *Y M/D (1-h i )*k Y *Y i Old carbon pool O A O B O M/D k O *O

27 SOC modelling h = humification coefficient Aboveground crop residues Belowground crop residues Manure/digestate/etc. (Andrén and Kätterer 1997; Kätterer and Andrén 2001). Total soil organic carbon Young carbon pool Y A Y B Y M/D h A h B *k Y *Y A *k Y *Y B h M/D *k Y *Y M/D (1-h i )*k Y *Y i Old carbon pool O A O B O M/D k O *O

28 SOC modelling 0.7 Humification coefficient [-] Green manure Straw Root biomass Saw mill shavings Manure Rötslam (WWTP) Peat Crop residues Organic residues Kätterer, T., et al. (2011) Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 141(1 2):

29 SOC modelling 18 pairwise comparisons: straw incorporated vs. straw removed 7 long-term field experiments, years 5 28 samplings Applies for aboveground crop residues Poeplau, C., Kätterer, T., Bolinder, M. A., Börjesson, G., Berti, A. and Lugato, E. (2015) Low stabilization of aboveground crop residue carbon in sandy soils of Swedish long-term experiments. Geoderma (0):

30 SOC modelling Humification coefficient [-] no clay function clay function (15% clay) Green manure Straw Root biomass Saw mill shavings Manure Rötslam (WWTP) Peat Crop residues Organic residues Updated from Kätterer, T., et al. (2011) Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 141(1 2):

31 Sensitivity analyses Impact of crops and soil amendments

32 Changes in crop rotation What happens to SOC when we change the crop rotation? Current crop rotation Modified crop rotation Year 1 Winter wheat Winter wheat Year 2 Sugar beets Sugar beets Year 3 Spring barley Spring barley Year 4 Winter wheat Winter wheat Year 5 Spring barley Grass, year I Year 6 Winter oilseed rape Grass, year II

33 Changes in crop rotation What happens to SOC when we change the crop rotation? SOC content [%] Mean initial SOC - CurCR Years

34 Changes in crop rotation What happens to SOC when we change the crop rotation? SOC content [%] Mean initial SOC - ModCR - no digestate Mean initial SOC - CurCR Years

35 Changes in crop rotation What happens to SOC when we change the crop rotation? 3.0 SOC content [%] Mean initial SOC - ModCR - digestate Mean initial SOC - ModCR - no digestate Mean initial SOC - CurCR Years

36 Sensitivity analyses Impact of crops and soil amendments Initial SOC content

37 Initial SOC content How sustainable is a crop rotation at different soil conditions? SOC content [%] Mean initial SOC - CurCR Years

38 Initial SOC content How sustainable is a crop rotation at different soil conditions? High initial SOC - CurCR SOC content [%] Mean initial SOC - CurCR Low initial SOC - CurCR Years

39 Initial SOC content How sustainable is a crop rotation at different soil conditions? SOC content [%] High initial SOC - ModCR - digestate High initial SOC - ModCR - no digestate High initial SOC - CurCR Mean initial SOC - ModCR - digestate Mean initial SOC - ModCR - no digestate Mean initial SOC - CurCR Low initial SOC - ModCR - digestate Low initial SOC - ModCR - no digestate Low initial SOC - CurCR Years

40 Sensitivity analyses Impact of crops and soil amendments Initial SOC content Soil clay content

41 Soil clay content 2.5 SOC content [%] High clay content - CurCR High clay content - ModCR Low clay content - CurCR Low clay content - ModCR No clay function - CurCR No clay function - ModCR Years

42 Summary SOC changes can have a considerable impact on GHG emissions The overall SOC effect of a carbon input is impacted by site specific factors (initial SOC, clay content) the material specific humification coefficient crop productivity / application rate

43 Summary Region specific crop residue calculation needs to account for changed straw lengths in cereals can be adjusted to better account for inputs from perennial crops may result in considerably annual belowground contribution from perennial grass clover crops

44 Conclusions It is important to evaluate crop production systems, not only individual crops Grass as break crop may integrate feedstock and food production, while improving overall sustainability of the crop rotation Soil organic carbon changes should be included in crop production LCAs

45 Thomas Prade Department of Biosystems and Technology Thank you! Thomas Prade Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU) Department of Biosystems and Technology Alnarp, Sweden