Climate Adaptation and Risk Management at the Regional/National Scale: Lessons from Implementation of GFCS in RA-IV

Transcription

1 WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services for Policy and Decision Support (Geneva, Switzerland, 11 th April 2018) Climate Adaptation and Risk Management at the Regional/National Scale: Lessons from Implementation of GFCS in RA-IV Jamie Smith Chair, RA IV GFCS Task Team

2 OUTLINE 2 Introduction Context Climate Risk and Adaptation Current GFCS Activities RA IV Preliminary conclusions: Gaps and Needs for RA IV amend links to CCL

3 Climate Risk Management and Adaptation - Guidelines 3 Drivers for Risk Management The insufficient awareness by some societal and economic actors of their vulnerability to future climate change; Lack of relevant and timely products and services Inappropriate content and format in which information is offered Inadequate business model for provision of climate services Adaptation (IPCC) The adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expect climate stimuli or their effects which moderates harm or exploits beneficial opportunities

4 RA VI Context for Climate Services 4 Variable climatic, economic and social conditions make the delivery of climate services a challenge. regional cooperation is important Encompasses a very wide variety of climates from Tropical to Arctic, with wide variety of weather and climate The main weather and climate impacts are hurricanes, drought and flooding. The agricultural sector as well as transport and tourism are greatly impacted by severe weather and climate events. Economic conditions are variable including economies of the USA and Canada, as well as the developing countries in the Caribbean, such as Haiti. Developed countries provide a range of different support across the region

5 RA IV Established a Task Team (TT) for Implementation of Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) 5 To enable better management of the risks of climate variability and change and adaptation to climate change

6 GFCS TT Assessed needs based upon the Framework: Work Plan Developed with 4 Priority Themes Theme Goal Actions to Date Moving Forward Assessment of Climate Services Capacity Regional Climate Centres Climate Outlook Forums Develop a baseline of current services in order to identify gaps and possible linkages Improved Regional Climate Centres (RCC) Capacity and Coordination Improved Climate Outlook Forums (COFs) Capacity and Coordination Regional Survey Conducted (annex) Communicate needs to WMO and priorities for Work Plan Committees (today) developed Develop recommendations for MG Analysis of WMO 2015 Impacts consideration to fund selected Survey regional projects Establishment of Expert team Develop a climate R&D agenda Develop a Training Strategy for RA IV for Climate Services for regional capacity development. Final RCC Roadmap Developed and Approved by MG Developed plan forward based upon sharing of some lessons learned Develop a description of the current COFs activities, including specific products and services with reference to geographical coverage and languages of service Develop lessons learned and recommendations from cross-cofs exchanges 6 Research, Prediction and Tools Improved Research, Prediction and Tools through Articulation of Needs Developed of research priorities for Communicate needs to WMO the region Committees (today) Develop recommendations for MG consideration to fund selected regional projects

7 Regional Climate Centres: Coverage is strong but new climate products and training are needed.. RCC Road Map Defined priority actions US and Canada to continue to fill the gap in the provision of RCC services in Arctic Polar region (Cross regional) U.S. to proceed with process towards RCC accreditation and explore the potential to develop an RA IV data portal to ensure easy access to their products RCC and other Climate Service Centers (CSC) need to complete a full survey of the existing stations Funding is required to support the development of archiving systems Investigate tailoring their specific long-range forecasts products for RA IV to be more sensitive to regional impacts from long-range forecasts Climate Services Training is needed to support RCCs and regional capacity development Need to share best practices of legal agreements on data release and data quality assessment 7 Geographic Coverage Mandatory RCC Functions (essential) Highly Recommended Functions Capacity Gap Analysis of the geographical coverage for the region Long Range Forecast Climate Monitoring Climate Data Services Training Research Coordination Capacity analysis Roles and Responsibilities of different regional centers and initiatives LRF production of tailored products, and access for users Diagnostic, Climatologies, and Climate Watch Climate datasets, archives Use of operational products and services Priorities for research and development to support RCCs Sustained Financial and Human Resource Support

8 Climate Outlook Forums: Good geographical coverage... 8 Very effective way to communicate with decision makers Great successes with Regional COFs (RCOFs) and National COFs (NCOFs) already in place in the Region (CARICOF, FCCA, Mexico, others). There is a large range of engagement methods used based upon cultural differences regionally and nationally resulting in improved understanding of climate services by stakeholders Lessons learned and potential lessons could be applied at the regional, sub-regional and national levels Expand current Outlook Forums to provide training in climate services for Users Priority actions emphasize cooperation Funding for observers to participate in COF activities from other parts of the Region or other Regions COF activities (providing training, forum dialogue, etc.). Develop lessons learned and recommendations from cross-cofs exchanges Need to improve capacity issues to communicate Climate Watches

9 Some preliminary conclusions (I) 9 Basic Climate systems are in need of support A full survey of the existing climate and weather stations is needed Funding is required to support the development of archiving systems Climate Services Training is needed to support RCCs and regional capacity development Support for data rescue and regional data bases remain low Service Delivery is in need of support Need to improve capacity issues to communicate Climate Watches Funding for observers to participate in COF activities from other parts of the Region or other Regions COF activities (providing training, forum dialogue, etc.). Develop lessons learned and recommendations from cross-cofs exchanges

10 Some preliminary conclusions (I) 10 Specific Research is needed. Research into specific long-range forecasts products to be more sensitive to regional impacts Research is needed into the development of new Climate Watch Indices based upon both physical and User definitions (based upon attribution studies, impacts and risk based approach) Develop of better indicators of climate extremes Use stakeholder evaluations to develop and improve products and services Develop Drought Early Warning Systems at regional and national levels Improve and expand sub-seasonal forecasting and climate change projections

11 An observation and recommendation Specific activities are needed to facilitate the Implementation of GFCS and many regions have similar challenges. To move forward, CCL needs to work closely with RA Climate Focal points is needed for common themes that may be very Regionally specific. For example, the development of climate indices, development of regional long-term forecasts to name a few. CCL can play an important role in supporting regional (and national) adaptation by supporting risk management in a number of areas: - Supporting basic climate systems - Training for climate service providers - Development and support of climate indices - Ongoing support of RCCs and RCOFs (both levels)

12 Thank you for your attention!

13 Assessment of Climate Services Capacity: Some Regional Priorities for Climate Services were defined through an initial Assessment. 13 Observations and Monitoring data recovery and digitization activities Increase access to bathymetry data monitoring for climate extremes Research, Prediction and Tools esearch, Prediction and Tools assessing and communicating the economic and societal value of climate services search/sharing of lessons learned on how climate information is incorporated in the decision making processes develop indicators of climate extremes assess impacts of climate extremes use local and traditional knowledge for increased resilience to climate variability and extremes stakeholder evaluations to inprove products and services develop Drought Early Warning Systems at regional and national levels improve and expand subseasonal forecasting links to national and regional research institutions Improve climate products, verification of models by taking advantage of Global Producing Centers Climate Services Information System User Interface Platform Capacity Building developing frameworks or strategies for climate services at the national level Develop a national strategy for NMS climate services To develop sub-regional strategy for climate services Enhance links between Meso America RCS and Caribbean RCC Consider how the U.S. can help the RAIV network (RCC, etc.) Strengthen the link between NMSs and the health community Implement national legislative and policy frameworks for climate services Cross-NMS exhchange of good practice and lessons learned around a specifical technical area Cross NMS exchange of lessons learned and guidance to (1) increase visibility of NMS, (2) access to additional support, and (3) engage in National Adpation Planning process under the UNFCC ross-cof exchange of creating and delivering products, training, communication strategies, and other areas Explore cross-regional exchange of users on climate services, perhaps around a specific sector (e.g. Agriculture) Explore South to South exchanges (e.g. Pacific Islands-Caribbean) Strengthen linkage with WMO capabilities and resources Increase the access to, and use of, scientific literature 23 GFCS Special Session of Presidents of RAs and TCs, Geneva,