Helping dairy farmers to improve economic performance utilizing data-driven DSS tools

Transcription

1 Improving cost-efficiency and profitability Helping dairy farmers to improve economic performance utilizing data-driven DSS tools Victor E. Cabrera University of Wisconsin-Madison Supported by several USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture and Hatch USDA Grants from College of Agriculture and Life Sciences from the University of Wisconsin-Madison 67 th Annual Meeting of the European Federation of Animal Science, Belfast UK, 29 Aug - 2 Sep 2016

2 Rationale - dairy farming decision-making Highly dynamic Always changing policies prices climate environment weather cows economics crops soils management Highly integrated Interrelated components

3 Successful dairy farming decision-making Meaningful DATA Records Decision Support Systems DSS Tools Integrated System Approach

4 Outline - description Describe DSS development DairyMGT.info > 40 DSS tools assist dairy farm decision makers decision-making and problem solving describe sample tools by management area Methods no single or special combination adaptation empirical

5 Outline - description Overarching goal farm specific user-friendly scientifically sound relevant throughout time Providing answers fast concrete simple relevant

6 Outline - description Innovative DSS tools many areas of dairy farm management practical and real-life applications impact documentation DSS tools performance Vision for the future new technologies opportunities chalenges

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8 > 40 tools

9 Decision support tools Farm-specific assessments Every farm is different Farm conditions change Decisions should adjust Market conditions change permanently Prices and cost impact decisions Applications should be user-friendly Still scientifically sound and robust

10 Elements of Decision Support Tools UW-Dairy Management Category Name Short description Link Supplementary documentation Video demonstration

11 FeedVal Actual value of dairy feed ingredients

12 farm specific DATA referee NUTRIENTS ingredients nutrients prices DATA PRICES daily for midwest US as reference

13 market PRICE ACTUAL price REFEREE ingredients (market price) VALUE good or bad ingredient purchases

14 SPECIFIC location & time BEST purchases WORST purchases NON- REFEREE ingredients CALCULATED prices

15 Economic Value of Sexed Semen Value of using sexed semen on dairy heifers

16 farm specific reproductive performance DATA EXPECTED performance with sexed semen ADDITIONAL production and economic information

17 best DECISIONS overall VALUE SCENARIOS plausible for a farm

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19 Wisconsin-Cornell Dairy Repro$ Value of specific reproductive programs

20 farm specific DATA

21 test ALTERNATIVE strategies farm specific reproductive detailed DATA required additional specific DATA

22 case study in WI estimated whole herd: $188,000/year dec14 jul15

23 Integrated Genomic Testing Tool Value of using genomic testing on heifer calves

24 Herd DATA

25 farm specific DATA visual display DATA replacements AVAILABLE

26 farm specific DATA net profit OPTIMIZED net profit CUSTOMIZE D animals to TEST

27 The Economic Value of a Dairy Cow Projected net return of a cow vs. replacement

28 COW REPLACEMENT farm & herd specific DATA HERD ECONOMICS

29 COW VALUE VALUE components cow specific RESULTS HERD structure HERD net return

30 The value of a cow Value of a new pregnancy (e.g., US$ 222 ( ) Cost of a pregnancy loss (e.g., US$323 ( ) Cost of a day open (e.g., US$5.2 ( )/(120-90) Effect of 10% increased productivity in future lactations Economic value of a cow, $ (50) 3 Average non-pregnant Average 120 DIM 10% higher producer non-pregnant Days after second calving

31 DairyMGT.info Quick stats

32 A vision for the future Keep up with the needs INTEGRATION cows crops heifers hardware software financial environmental TECHNOLOGY tablets smartphones sensors monitors AMS precision feeding FUNCTIONALITY beyond record keeping decision-making artificial intelligence

33 Thanks 2011 Wisconsin Milk Marketing Board, Inc.