World Agricultural Production

Transcription

1 United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Circular Series WAP October 2018 World Agricultural India Peanuts: Below-Average Monsoon Impacts Peanut USDA estimates 2018/19 India peanut production at 4.7 million metric tons, down 18 percent from last month and down 29 percent from last year. The month-to-month decrease of over 1 million tons is due to reduced area and lower yields stemming from drought conditions in the main peanut producing area of Kutch in northwestern Gujarat. Area harvested is estimated at 4.7 million hectares, down 6 percent from last month. Yield is estimated to reach 1.0 metric ton per hectare, down 23 percent from last year. There are two peanut growing seasons in India: kharif and rabi. The kharif crop accounts for 85 percent of the total output and is typically planted in late June and harvested in October. The rabi crop is planted from late October through January and is harvested in April. Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board

2 Gujarat accounts for 40 percent of India s total peanut production during the kharif season. Over half of Gujarat s production is concentrated in the Kutch district. Cumulative rainfall was down 33 percent from the long-term average in the Saurashtra and Kutch districts. MODIS Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is showing weak crop vigor. (For more information, please contact Arnella.Trent@fas.usda.gov.) India Cotton: Weak 2018 Southwest Monsoon Impacts USDA estimates 2018/19 India cotton production at 28.7 million 480-pound bales, down 1 percent from Area is estimated at 12.3 million hectares, up 3 percent from last month and down slightly from last year. The 3-percent increase in area is due mainly to favorable prices during planting. Yield is estimated to drop to 508 kilograms per hectare, down 3 percent from last month and down slightly from last year. The yield adjustment is due to the rainfall deficits in the major cotton producing areas of Gujarat and Maharashtra. The India Meteorological Department estimated that monsoon rainfall was 9 percent below the long-term average. In Gujarat and Maharashtra, the top two cotton producing states, cumulative rainfall was down 33 percent and 8 percent, respectively, from the long-term average. Precipitation was adequate during emergence, but the cumulative rainfall dropped to 50 percent of normal during flowering. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) indicated that crop vigor is below average in the major cotton producing areas of Maharashtra and Gujarat. Cotton is grown only in the kharif season from May to October. Cotton harvest is already underway in the early planted areas of Punjab. (For more information, please contact Arnella.Trent@fas.usda.gov.) Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 2 October 2018

3 Australia Cotton: Forecast Decreased USDA estimates 2018/19 Australia cotton production at 2.5 million 480-pound bales, down 0.5 million bales from last month and down 2.2 million or 47 percent from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 0.3 million hectares, down 20 percent from last month, and down 43 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 1,814 kilograms per hectare, up 4 percent from last month but 6 percent below the 5-year average. The overall yield increased from last month because of a forecast decrease in the share of the area sown to lower-yielding dryland cotton. Irrigated cotton yields are substantially higher than dryland yields and the difference widens in low-rainfall years. On average about 90 percent of Australia s total cotton comes from irrigated areas. Dryland planting tends to vary with the seasonal weather forecast and prices at sowing. The notable factor this season is the decrease in irrigation water availability that was exacerbated by below normal precipitation during the month of September. Sorghum and cotton are the two dominant summer crops in eastern Australia. Cotton sowing commences in October and harvest begins in April. (For more information, please contact James.Crutchfield@fas.usda.gov.) Egypt Cotton: Area Increases after Reaching All-Time Low in 2016 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 3 October 2018

4 USDA estimates 2018/19 Egypt cotton production at 450, pound bales, up 30,000 bales (7 percent) from last month, and up 150,000 bales (50 percent) from last year. Area is estimated at 135,000 hectares, 10,000 hectares (8 percent) above last month, and 44,000 hectares (48 percent) above last year. Yield is estimated at 726 kilograms per hectare, down 1 percent from last month, but up 1 percent from last year. After reaching a low of 55,000 harvested hectares in, cotton area has increased the last two years. Harvested area peaked at over 800,000 hectares in the 1960 s and has gradually declined ever since. In the past two years, however, both cotton and corn have benefited from a decline in rice area, and have seen increased plantings each year. Higher farm-gate prices have also encouraged planting. After years of deteriorating quality and decreasing production, the Government of Egypt announced new cotton policies in 2017 to reverse this decline. In order to improve the Egyptian cotton industry and recover the long-held Egyptian Cotton name recognition, the Egyptian Ministry of Agriculture and Land Reclamation began to oversee cotton seed distribution. These policies have wide support from both government and private industry. (For more information, please contact Bryan.Purcell@fas.usda.gov.) China Corn: Estimated to Increase from Last Year USDA estimates China s 2018/19 corn production at a record 225 million metric tons, unchanged from last month, up 4 percent from last year, and up 3 percent from the 5-year average. Yield is estimated at a record 6.16 tons per hectare (t/ha) unchanged from last month, up 1 percent from last year s record of 6.09 t/ha, and up 3 percent from the 5-year average. Area is estimated at 36.5 million hectares, unchanged from last month, but up 3 percent from last year. Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 4 October 2018

5 The estimated area is below the long term trend because in 2014 the government enacted a wide range of policies aimed at reducing high government-owned corn stockpiles through the reduction of subsidies and other corn-production support programs. In 2016 and 2017 these efforts encouraged some farmers to switch to alternative crops such as soybeans, peanuts, rice, potatoes, and silage. However, in 2018/19, indications are that area significantly rebounded from the two previous seasons due to the relatively higher returns for corn compared to alternative crops, specifically soybeans. Also, ethanol program initiatives and government support encouraged corn production. Approximately 90 percent of China s corn is used for feed, and the reported rebound in feed demand may have also resulted in increased corn production. The 2018/19 season progressed well with generally favorable conditions across most of the major corn growing regions of the North China Plains and northeast provinces. In September a team of USDA analysts conducted field travel across the major corn-producing provinces in the North China Plains and northeast provinces. Corn harvest is in progress and is expected to finish by mid- October. On the North China Plain, crop conditions ranged from slightly below average to average, while in northeast provinces of Liaoning, Jilin, and Heilongjiang, the conditions were average to above average. The field assessment confirmed that area increased year-to-year, and that overall yields were above average, and production is, therefore, estimated to be higher than last year. (For more information, please contact Dath.Mita@fas.usda.gov.) Russia Corn: Reported Yield in the Southern District is down 40 Percent from Last Year USDA estimates Russia corn production for 2018/19 at 11.0 million metric tons (mmt), down 1.0 mmt from last month and down 2.2 mmt from last year. The estimated harvested area is unchanged from last month at 2.45 million hectares. Yield is estimated at 4.49 tons per hectare, down 8 percent from both last month and last year and 9 percent below the 5-year average. The month-to-month decrease is based on harvest reports from the Ministry of Agriculture indicating a 40-percent year-to-year yield decrease in the Southern District, which accounts for 35 percent of the country s total corn area. The low yields in southern Russia are attributed to severe heat during the growing season. High reported yields in the Central District, Russia s other major corn region, will partially offset the unusually low production in the Southern District. The reported yield for the Central District, where harvest was 36 percent complete as of October 9, is up 23 percent from last year. The Russian corn harvest will continue through the end of November. (For more information, please contact Mark.Lindeman@fas.usda.gov.) Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 5 October 2018

6 Egypt Corn: Record as Farmers Increase Plantings Egypt corn production for 2018/19 is estimated at 6.8 million metric tons (mmt), up 0.4 mmt (6 percent) from both last month and last year. Area harvested is estimated at 85,000 hectares, up 5,000 hectares (6 percent) from both last month and last year. Estimated yield is unchanged at 8.0 metric tons per hectare, unchanged from last month and last year. Along with rice and cotton, corn is a primary summer crop in Egypt s Nile Delta. The vast majority of Egypt s corn is white, not yellow. Corn area increased significantly in 2018 due to a large decrease in rice area as well as higher corn prices. The government of Egypt is also encouraging corn production by distributing higher-yielding hybrids, improving marketing and logistics channels, improving procurement pricing and enhancing extension services. Egypt remains dependent on imported yellow corn for animal feed. (For more information, please contact Bryan.Purcell@fas.usda.gov.) Egypt Rice: Lowest Area since 2010 USDA estimates 2018/19 Egypt rice production at 4.1 million metric tons (mmt), or 2.8 mmt on a milled basis, down 15 percent from last month and down 35 percent from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 462,000 hectares, down 126,000 hectares (21 percent) from last month, and down 300,000 hectares from last year (39 percent). Yield is estimated at 8.78 metric tons per hectare, up 8 percent from last month and up 7 percent from last year. Rice area and production have fluctuated significantly over the last 10 years. Rice is a water-intensive crop which uses large quantities from the Nile. The Government of Egypt has been trying to curb production by setting limits on how much area is allowed. This program has not had much success until recently when penalties, such as fines and the destruction of illegal rice fields, have become enforced. The enforcement has resulted in a very large drop in rice area since 850,000 hectares were planted in. Regardless of penalties, the estimated 2018/19 crop still remains above the 347,000 hectare limit set by the Egyptian Government. Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 6 October 2018

7 Enormous development pressure is being placed on the limited arable land of the Nile Delta. In the last 10 years, population has increased from 80 million to 100 million people. Additionally, the cost of labor and inputs has increased dramatically, and fuel subsidies have been removed. The net result has been steady or declining yields for rice. (For more information, please contact Philippines Rice: Estimated Reduced Due to Typhoon Mangkhut USDA estimates Philippines 2018/19 rice production at 12.2 million metric tons (milled-basis), down 1 percent from both last month and last year. Area harvested is estimated at 4.8 million hectares, down slightly from both last month and last year. Yield is estimated at 4.01 tons per hectare, unchanged from both last month and last year. Super Typhoon Mangkhut Storm Track (September 15, 2018) Rice in the Philippines is planted in two different seasons, wet (March to June) and dry (September to December). Harvest for the wet season begins in July and extends to October; dry season harvest begins in January and ends in April. On September 15, Super Typhoon Mangkhut made landfall over Luzon, the northern-most island of the Philippines. Luzon, commonly known as the country s breadbasket, encompasses the country s top two rice producing provinces, Cagayan and Isabela. According to official reports, less than 15 percent of the wet season rice had been harvested in Cagayan and Isabela prior to when Mangkhut made landfall. Damage assessments from the Philippines Department of Agriculture indicate rice area had been affected, but rice area could rebound in the next cropping cycle. (For more information, please contact Justin.Jenkins@fas.usda.gov.) Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 7 October 2018

8 Madagascar Rice: Estimated Increases Due to Favorable Weather Madagascar s 2018/19 milled rice production is estimated at 2.75 million metric tons (milledbasis), up 19 percent from last month, up 39 percent from last year, and up 18 percent from the 5-year average. Area is estimated at 1.5 million hectares, up 5 percent from both last year and the 5-year average. Yield is estimated at 2.87 metric tons per hectare, up 32 percent from last year and up 13 percent from the 5-year average. The northern half of the country received average to above-average rainfall during the 2018 growing season and bumper rice yields were reported by Madagascar s Ministry of Agriculture. The favorable 2018 output helped Madagascar recover from the 2017 drought, when rice production was reduced to the lowest level since Madagascar s Minister of Agriculture and Livestock announced, in mid-september, that Madagascar harvested 4.3 million tons of paddy rice in 2018, up from 3.1 million tons in The minister attributed the bumper yield to better weather and added that farmers still require better farming infrastructure such as dams and channels, and adequate supply of quality seeds, farming equipment and fertilizers. After nearly ten years of decline in rice production, the government has set a goal to increase rice production to remain a major food granary for the Indian Ocean. Madagascar is the third largest rice producer in Africa, behind Nigeria and Egypt. Rice is planted in almost all administrative zones in Madagascar and is the main subsistence crop grown. Madagascar s per capita rice consumption is one of the highest worldwide. There are three principal rice growing environments in Madagascar which include: irrigated rice, rainfed lowland and rainfed upland rice. (For more information, please contact Curt.Reynolds@fas.usda.gov.) Australia Wheat: Forecast Revised Down USDA forecasts Australia s 2018/19 wheat crop at 18.5 million metric tons (mmt), down 1.5 mmt (8 percent) from last month, and down 2.8 mmt (13 percent) from last year. Harvested area is expected to total 11.0 million hectares (mha), unchanged from last month and down 1.25 mha (10 percent) from last year. Yield is forecast at 1.68 tons per hectare, 18 percent below the 5-year average. Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 8 October 2018

9 Australia s wheat region has experienced a mixed start. Sowing operations were facilitated by timely rainfall in May in most cropping regions of Western Australia, South Australia, Victoria, and southern New South Wales. Growing conditions in Western Australia and Southern Australia remained generally favorable until September when dry conditions lowered yield potential. In the eastern states of Queensland and New South Wales, below-normal precipitation was received for the entire season, substantially lowering the yield. This is corroborated by satellite-derived vegetation indices. Soil moistures range from below average to insufficient throughout large areas of the wheat belt. Harvest of Australia wheat will begin in November. (For more information, please contact James.Crutchfield@fas.usda.gov.) Russia Wheat: Ural District Yield is Lower than Expected Russia wheat production for 2018/19 is estimated at 70.0 million metric tons (mmt), down 1.0 mmt from last month and down 15.0 mmt from last year s record crop. The estimate includes 51.0 mmt of winter wheat and 19.0 mmt of spring wheat, and excludes estimated output from Crimea. Harvested area is estimated at 26.0 million hectares (mha) mha winter and mha spring against 27.3 mha last year. The month-to-month decrease is based chiefly on a sharp drop in the estimated output from the Ural District, where the reported yield is down 17 percent from last year despite generally favorable weather during the growing season and satellite-derived vegetation indices supporting forecasts of high potential yield. Total-wheat yield for Russia is estimated at 2.69 tons per hectare, down about 1 percent from last month, down 13 percent from last year, and 4 percent above the 5-year average. The wheat harvest is essentially complete except for the Ural and Siberian Districts, where the launch of the harvest campaign was delayed due to late spring planting. Dry weather since mid-september has facilitated rapid progress, and harvest as Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 9 October 2018

10 of October 8 had been completed on 82 percent of the sown area in Siberia and 90 percent in the Ural District. Area, yield, and production estimates for Russia winter wheat and spring wheat are available on PSD Online. Select Downloadable Data Sets and open the zipped file for Russia Wheat; Winter/Spring Area & Prod. (For more information, please contact Mark.Lindeman@fas.usda.gov.) Russia Barley: Official Harvest Reports Cite Average Yield Russia barley production for 2018/19 is estimated at 16.5 million metric tons (mmt), down 1.0 mmt from last month and down 3.7 mmt from last year s record crop. The month-tomonth decrease is based mostly on a 4-percent decrease in the estimated harvested area, from 8.0 to 7.7 million hectares. Daily data from the Ministry of Agriculture indicate that harvest is essentially complete except for in the Ural and Siberian Districts, which together account for less than 25 percent of the country s total barley area. The estimated yield is reduced by 2 percent to 2.14 tons per hectare, 17 percent lower than last year s record but only 3 percent below the 5-year average. The yield revision is also based on the Ministry data. (For more information, please contact Mark.Lindeman@fas.usda.gov.) Turkey Sunflowerseed: Record Yield Estimate Due to Excellent Growing Conditions USDA estimates Turkey 2018/19 sunflowerseed production at 1.8 million metric tons (mmt), up 0.1 mmt from last month and up 0.3 mmt from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 750,000 hectares (ha) up 25,000 ha from last month and up 7 percent from last year. Precipitation and irrigation resources in the sunflower growing regions were above average for most of the planting window, followed by frequent and well-timed rains throughout development and maturation. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) has been above average for the entire sunflowerseed growing season. The estimated yield is at a record level of 2.40 tons per ha, unchanged from last month and up 8 percent from last year. Harvest started in August and usually continues through October. (For more information, please contact William.Baker@fas.usda.gov.) Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 10 October 2018

11 World Agricultural U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service / International Assessment Division (IPAD) Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building Washington, DC Telephone: (202) Fax: (202) This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Service s (FAS) global network of agricultural attachés and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign area, yield, and production are from the International Assessment Division, FAS, and are reviewed by USDA s Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S. area, yield, and production are from USDA s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers within the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-582), October 11, Printed copies are available from the National Technical Information Service. Download an order form at or call NTIS at The FAS International Assessment Division prepared this report. The next issue of World Agricultural will be released after 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time, November 8, Conversion Table Metric tons to bushels Wheat, soybeans = MT * Corn, sorghum, rye = MT * Barley = MT * Oats = MT * Metric tons to 480-lb bales Cotton = MT * Metric tons to hundredweight Rice = MT * Area & weight 1 hectare = acres 1 kilogram = pounds Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 11 October 2018

12 For further information, contact: U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service International Assessment Division Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building Washington, DC Telephone: (202) Fax: (202) GENERAL INFORMATION Director Ronald Frantz Deputy Director Robert Tetrault Administrative Assistant Shelisa Johnson USDA Remote Sensing Advisor Glenn Bethel Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Curt Reynolds, Ph.D Sr. Analyst/ Satellite Imagery Dath Mita, Ph.D Archives Manager/Technical Lead Sr. Analyst/ Global Special Jim Crutchfield Projects Manager/Technical Lead Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Vacant GIS Analyst/WAP Coordinator Justin Jenkins COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION South America, Argentina, Venezuela, Denise McWilliams, Ph.D and Colombia Western and Central Europe, Bryan Purcell and North Africa Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan Mark Lindeman South Asia, Sri Lanka Arnella Trent Bangladesh, India, and Nepal East Asia, China, and Japan Dath Mita, Ph.D Sub-Saharan Africa, Curt Reynolds, Ph.D Nigeria and South Africa S.E. Asia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Justin Jenkins Cambodia and Vietnam Central America, Mexico, Vacant and Western United States Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan Jim Crutchfield Papua New Guinea and South Pacific Islands Middle East, Central Asia, Afghanistan Bill Baker, Ph.D Iraq, Iran, and Syria Canada, Caribbean, Katie McGaughey Eastern United States Brazil Maria Anulacion Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 12 October 2018

13 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Reports: Archives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Reports: Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): EU Countries Area & Estimates Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports): Export Sales Report: Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports): Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE): Economic Research Service: National Agricultural Statistics Service: Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 13 October 2018

14 Table 01 World Crop Summary Million Metric Tons Commodity World - - Total Foreign - North America United States North America Canada - North America Mexico - Former Soviet Russia - Former Soviet Ukraine - Europea n - Asia (WAP) China - Asia (WAP) India - South America Brazil - Asia (WAP) Indonesia Asia (WAP) Pakistan Asia (WAP) Thailand South America Argentina Selected Other Australia Selected Other South Africa Selected Other Turkey - All Others - ---Million metric tons--- Wheat nr /18 prel nr /19 proj. Sep nr Oct nr Coarse Grains 1, nr /18 prel. 1, nr /19 proj. Sep 1, nr Oct 1, nr Rice, Milled nr /18 prel nr /19 proj. Sep nr Oct nr Total Grains 2, , nr /18 prel. 2, , nr /19 proj. Sep 2, , nr Oct 2, , nr Oilseeds nr /18 prel nr /19 proj. Sep nr Oct nr Cotton /18 prel /19 proj. Sep Oct / Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above. Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 14 October 2018

15 Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Country / Region Area (Million hectares) Yield (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons) Change in Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. From last month From last year 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent World United States Total Foreign European Union China South Asia India Pakistan Afghanistan Nepal Former Soviet Union - 12 Russia Russia Winter Russia Spring Ukraine Kazakhstan Uzbekistan Belarus Canada South America Argentina Brazil Uruguay Australia Africa Egypt Morocco Ethiopia Algeria Middle East Turkey Iran Iraq Syria Mexico Serbia Others World and Selected Countries and Regions Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 15 October 2018

16 Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Country / Region Area (Million hectares) Yield (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons) Change in Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. From last month From last year 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent World , , , , United States Total Foreign China European Union South America Brazil Argentina Former Soviet Union - 12 Russia Ukraine Kazakhstan Belarus Africa Nigeria South Africa Tanzania Burkina Ethiopia Egypt Mali India Southeast Asia Indonesia Philippines Vietnam Thailand Mexico Canada Australia Middle East Turkey Iran Others World and Selected Countries and Regions; Coarse Grain includes: Barley, Corn, Millet, Mixed Grains, Oats, Rye and Sorghum Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 16 October 2018

17 Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Country / Region Area (Million hectares) Yield (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons) Change in Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. From last month From last year 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent World , , , , United States Total Foreign China South America Brazil Argentina Bolivia European Union Africa South Africa Nigeria Ethiopia Egypt Tanzania Malawi Zambia Kenya Uganda Zimbabwe Former Soviet Union - 12 Ukraine Russia South Asia India Pakistan Nepal Southeast Asia Indonesia Philippines Vietnam Thailand Mexico Canada Turkey Others World and Selected Countries and Regions Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 17 October 2018

18 Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Country / Region Area (Million hectares) Yield (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons) Change in Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. From last month From last year 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent World United States Total Foreign European Union Former Soviet Union - 12 Russia Ukraine Kazakhstan Belarus Azerbaijan Canada Australia Middle East Turkey Iran Iraq Syria Africa Ethiopia Morocco Algeria Tunisia South Africa South America Argentina Uruguay Brazil India China Mexico Afghanistan Others World and Selected Countries and Regions Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 18 October 2018

19 Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Country / Region Area (Million hectares) Yield (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons) Change in Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. From last month From last year 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent World United States Total Foreign European Union Former Soviet Union - 12 Russia Ukraine Belarus Kazakhstan Canada South America Argentina Brazil Chile Uruguay Oceania Australia New Zealand China Africa Algeria Morocco South Africa Other Europe Norway Serbia Albania Bosnia and Herzegovina Turkey Mexico Others World and Selected Countries and Regions Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 19 October 2018

20 Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Country / Region Area (Million hectares) Yield (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons) Change in Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. From last month From last year 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent World United States Total Foreign European Union Former Soviet Union - 12 Russia Belarus Ukraine Kazakhstan Turkey Canada South America Chile Argentina Other Europe Bosnia and Herzegovina Switzerland Serbia Australia Others World and Selected Countries and Regions Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 20 October 2018

21 Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Country / Region Area (Million hectares) Yield (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons) Change in Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. From last month From last year 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent World United States Total Foreign Africa Nigeria Ethiopia Sudan Burkina Mali Niger Cameroon Tanzania Egypt Uganda Ghana Mozambique South Africa Mexico South America Argentina Brazil South Asia India Pakistan China Australia European Union Others World and Selected Countries and Regions Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 21 October 2018

22 Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Country / Region World and Selected Countries and Regions Area Yield Change in (Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons) Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. From last month From last year 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent World United States Total Foreign East Asia China Japan Korea, South Korea, North South Asia India Bangladesh Pakistan Nepal Sri Lanka Southeast Asia Indonesia Vietnam Thailand Burma Philippines Cambodia Laos Malaysia South America Brazil Peru Africa Egypt Madagascar Nigeria European Union Iran Others Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling process. is on a milled basis, after the milling process. Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 22 October 2018

23 Country / Region Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and World and Selected Countries and Regions Area (Million hectares) Yield (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons) Change in Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. Prel. 2018/19 Proj. From last month From last year 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct 2017/18 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent World Total Total Foreign Oilseed, Copra Oilseed, Palm Kernel Major OilSeeds United States Foreign Oilseeds South America Brazil Argentina Paraguay Bolivia Uruguay China South Asia India Pakistan European Union Former Soviet Union Russia Ukraine Uzbekistan Canada Africa Nigeria South Africa Tanzania Southeast Asia Indonesia Burma Australia Turkey Others World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel) Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and rapeseed) Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 23 October 2018