Water Resources Management and Sustainable Development. Francisco Pérez Trejo

Transcription

1 Water Resources Management and Sustainable Development Francisco Pérez Trejo

2 The World Water Cycle

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4 Water Resources Hot-spots

5 Territorial Dynamics of Water Scarcity

6 Distribution of Water Resources

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9 MEDALUS Future Scenarios - Dynamic Modeling (1995) Crete

10 Development A Complex Systems Perspective

11 Development

12 Development

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14 Dimensions of Rural Development (in an international context)

15 Key Processes of Development

16 Effects of the Economic Crisis on Development

17 Innovation-Driven Rural Development The Big Picture: The nature of the development process Impact of Living Labs: Scaling-up results Expected Contribution

18 Sustainable Rural Development Not a universally agreed concept, but it is clearly connected to a specific geographic location and its associated population It is inter-sectorial in nature, and therefore requires horizontal integration.

19 Implications The development process is: Continuous, medium to longterm Complex Non-linear Not controllable Multi-directional Results from multiple interacting driving forces over space and time

20 Factors affecting development scenarios

21 The driving forces of the development process

22 Rural and Urban Populations in the World (Source FAO 2006)

23 Driving Forces of Development - Structural Change Regional Disparities Urban vs. Rural

24 Socio-economic disparities between rich and poor

25 Future Development Scenarios in Agriculture

26 The increase in cereal production (3x) over the past 50 years is due to: Introduction of high yielding varieties Intensification, mechanization of agriculture, irrigation, use of fertilizers High energy consumption

27 Mapping system-level dynamics

28 Mapping Causal Linkages of Social Dynamics Social Networks Mapping Future scenarios development Livelihoods-based Impact Assessment

29 Scenario Analyisis: Driving Forces of Development

30 Impact Long-term, sustainable changes in the conditions of people and the environment, that structurally improve human well-being and protect and conserve natural resources. The challenge: providing the enabling environment for achieving impact.

31 Focus of Impact Assessment Program influence decreases Local partners / beneficiaries ownership increases Planning LFA focus Impact Evaluation Inputs Activities Outputs Outcomes Impacts Logical Framework Approach

32 The Impact of Research-Development- Innovation (R-D+i) Linking research results to sustainable development Link to the policy process Social networks - scaling-up mechanisms

33 Impact Assessment Framework: Dealing with complexity Based on an interdisciplinary systems approach Characterize processes (causal links) at different spatial/temporal scales Development of scenarios to evaluate the impact of alternative interventions, policies

34 Impact Assessment Methodological Approach The impact evaluation methodology is based on: Future development scenarios (with geographic reference) Social Networks mapping: characterizing behaviour and interactions among stakeholders and social agents Impact on local communities is measured using the Livelihoods Approach, dimensions of well-being (human, social, infrastructure, economic y financial, environmental - natural resources)

35 Impact Assessment (2) based on a common understanding of system definition, boundaries, processes, scenarios collective assessment reflection among stakeholders explicit mechanisms and means for participation, ownership, scaling-up requires equitable dialogue processes, promotes social learning

36 Scope of impact assessment indicators: Well-being quality of life: health, education, food security, infrastructure etc. Lifestyles, workstyles Institutional support (policies, norms) Employment and social welfare Capacity to adapt, innovate Sustainability (environmental, social, economic)

37 The Policy Context

38 The overlap in aims

39 Policy Dimension of Innovation and Development Policy mechanisms and instruments that promote mechanisms for the systemic and sustained use of research results.

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42 The complexity-based conceptual framework

43 Social Disparities

44 Intensification of Agriculture

45 Impacts on Access to Water

46 Rural Urban Migration

47 Challenges for Improving Science Policy Links Science Policy Rondinelli (1993) suggests that the policy process can be seen as a sort of social experiment, less a matter of prediction, and more a matter of trial and error

48 Improving Science Policy Links

49 The Gradual Perspective of Climate Change

50 Increased frequency of extememe climatic events

51 Another Perspective on Climate Change: Tipping Points

52 Another Perspective on Climate Change:

53 Another Perspective on Climate Change: Tipping Points

54 The Innovation Process as the Motor of Development

55 The Innovation Process as the Motor of Development The traditional conception of innovation

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57 Social Spaces for Reserach and Innovation SSRI

58 Social Spaces for Research and Innovation A methodological approach to establish an innova4on layer for territorial development, driven by human needs and crea4vity, and powered by ICTs, aimed at: a) improving the strategic effec4veness of the work of key players that support an enhance the capaci4es and poten4al for results- based collabora4on. Emergence of new products, services, ins4tu4onal arrangements, adap4ve policy framework Ecological sustainability

59 SSRI Foster collabora4on between public authori4es, research centers, businesses and user communi4es Increased sustainability of the RDI ac4vi4es Crea4on and exploita4on of new technologies, products, services, business models, policies Improved coopera4on in Interna4onal networks Facilitate the interna4onal posi4oning and improved access to markets Facilitate the development of human capital Fostering sustainability culture

60 The Innovation Process in SSRI

61 Conclusions A strategic plan for the development and scaling-up research results (systemic and sustained use of innovation results) Adapted to the evolutionary nature of rural development An inbuilt impact assessment process that measure impact in all the dimensions of well-being in rural communities

62 Expected Contribution Strengthening networks for collaboration Impact evaluation guidelines and methods Indicators of impact (livelihoods, employment) Scaling up SSRI success at global level Policy assessment methodologies Partnerships in other regions of the world Communication and dissemination strategy

63 Thank you