Cattle on Feed. Special Note

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1 Cattle on Feed ISSN: Released September, 8, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United s Department of Agriculture (USDA). Special Note The December 8 Cattle on Feed report will be released on December, 8 at 3: P.M. EST at Please contact the Livestock Branch at () or at hq_sd_lb@nass.usda.gov with any questions or concerns. United s Cattle on Feed Up 6 Percent Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the United s for feedlots with capacity of, or more head totaled. million head on September, 8. The inventory was 6 percent above September, 7. This is the highest September inventory since the series began in 996. Placements in feedlots during August totaled.7 million head, 7 percent above 7. Net placements were. million head. August, placements of cattle and calves weighing less than 6 pounds were 43, head, pounds were 335, head, pounds were 46, head, pounds were 475, head, -999 pounds were, head, and, pounds and greater were 3, head. Marketings of fed cattle during August totaled.98 million head, slightly above 7. Other disappearance totaled 55, head during August, percent above 7.

2 Cattle on Feed Inventory, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s: September, 7 and 8 Item On feed August... Placed on feed during August... Fed cattle marketed during August... Other disappearance during August... On feed September (, head) (, head) (percent),64,98,979 49,4,93,7,983 55, Cattle on Feed Inventory, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s: August, 7 and 8 Item On feed July... Placed on feed during July... Fed cattle marketed during July... Other disappearance during July... On feed August (, head) (, head) (percent),8,,784 48,64,87,74,873 63, Cattle on Feed (September 8)

3 Cattle on Feed Inventory on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 7 and 8 September, 7 August, 8 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... September, 8 previous month (, head) (, head) (, head) (percent) (percent) ,, 35 5, ,3 3,33 35, ,3 5,33 3, Other s United s...,4,93,5 6 Cattle on Feed Inventory on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Cattle on Feed (September 8) 3

4 Cattle Placed on Feed on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 7 and 8 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... August 7 July 8 August 8 previous month (, head) (, head) (, head) (percent) (percent) Other s United s...,98,74,7 7 9 Cattle Placed on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 4 Cattle on Feed (September 8)

5 Cattle Placed on Feed by Weight Group on,+ Capacity Feedlots and Month s and United s: 7 and 8 Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas... August 7 Under 6 lbs lbs lbs lbs + lbs -999 lbs,+ lbs Total (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) Other s United s.. Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas July 8 Under 6 lbs lbs lbs lbs + lbs -999 lbs,+ lbs Total (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (X) 3 5 7, Other s United s.. Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas August 8 Under 6 lbs lbs lbs lbs + lbs -999 lbs,+ lbs Total (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (, head) (X) , Other s... 4 United s Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. The pounds and greater weight group is the sum of -999 pounds and, pounds and greater weight groups (X) 3,7 Cattle Marketed on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 7 and 8 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... August 7 July 8 August 8 previous month (, head) (, head) (, head) (percent) (percent) Other s United s...,979,873,983 6 Cattle on Feed (September 8) 5

6 Cattle Marketed on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s Million head Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Cattle Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 7 and 8 Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... August 7 July 8 August 8 previous month (, head) (, head) (, head) (percent) (percent) Other s... 3 United s Cattle on Feed (September 8)

7 Terms and Definitions of Cattle on Feed Estimates Cattle on feed are steers and heifers being fed a ration of grain, silage, hay and/or protein supplement for slaughter market that are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. It excludes cattle being "backgrounded only" for later sale as feeders or later placement in another feedlot. Placements are steers and heifers put into a feedlot, fed a ration which will produce a carcass that will grade select or better, and are intended for the slaughter market. Marketings are steers and heifers shipped out of feedlots to a slaughter market. Other disappearance includes death loss, movement from feedlots to pasture, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: January and July all known feedlots in the United s with capacity of, or more head are surveyed to provide data for cattle on feed estimates. the other months, all known feedlots from 6 s are surveyed. The 6 s account for approximately 98 percent of the cattle on feed in feedlots with capacity of, or more head. Individual estimates are published monthly for of the 6 s. Data collected from the remaining 4 s are used to establish the Other s estimates. These 4 s include Illinois, New Mexico, Oregon, and Wyoming. The Other s category represents all cattle on feed with a capacity of, or more head for the rest of the United s. Estimating Procedures: These cattle on feed estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by Regional Field Offices. Regional and survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from the previous month when establishing the current estimates. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve month to month relationships. Estimates for the previous month are subject to revision in all s each month when current estimates are made. In February, all monthly estimates for the, and the number of feedlots and annual marketings from two years ago are reviewed and subject to revisions. The reviews are primarily based on slaughter data, state check-off or brand data, and any other data that may have been received after the original estimate was made. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date and estimates become final. Reliability: Since all,+ capacity cattle on feed operators in every are not included in the monthly survey, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table on the following page. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for cattle on feed inventory estimates over the past 4 months is. percent. This means that chances are out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of. million head by more than. percent. Chances are 9 out of that the difference will not exceed. percent. The table on the following page shows a 4 month record of the range of differences between first and latest estimates for selected items. Using estimates of number on feed as an example, changes between the first estimate and the latest estimate during the past 4 months have averaged, head, ranging from to 5, head. this period the initial estimate has been above the latest estimate time and has been below the latest estimate times. This does not imply that the initial estimate is likely to understate or overstate final inventory. Cattle on Feed (September 8) 7

8 Reliability of Monthly Cattle on Feed Estimates [Based on data for the past 4 months] Item on feed... Root mean square error percent confidence level Difference between first and latest estimate Average Smallest Largest Below latest Months Above latest (percent) (percent) (,) (,) (,) (number) (number).. 5 Placements Marketings..... Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov. Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch... () Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section... () 6-44 Sherry Bertramsen Livestock Slaughter... () Holly Brenize Sheep and Goats... () Donnie Fike Dairy Products... () Heidi Gleich Cattle, Cattle on Feed... () 7-3 Mike Miller Milk Production and Milk Cows... () Seth Riggins Hogs and Pigs... () Cattle on Feed (September 8)

9 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: Both national and state specific reports are available via a free subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit and click on National or in upper right corner above search box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (8) 77-95, 7:3 a.m. to 4: p.m. ET, or nass@nass.usda.gov. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or employment activities.) If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form (PDF), found online at or at any USDA office, or call (866) to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. -9, by fax () or at program.intake@usda.gov.