Countdown to Copenhagen: Climate Change Policy and Advocacy

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1 Countdown to Copenhagen: Climate Change Policy and Advocacy

2 Climate Change What s happening? Who s responsible What is the impact Who is suffering already What is the solution? Global Deal What s Oxfam doing?

3 What s happening? Climate change is the greatest challenge of our time Mary Robinson, Honorary President Oxfam International

4 The Science Atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases and global average temperatures

5 The Urgency Greenhouse gas emissions are rising faster than even worst case scenarios

6 Who s responsible? Historic responsibility for climate change lies with richer industrialised countries. USA: 24 tonnes per person Ireland 17 tonnes per person

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8 Oxfam and Climate Change? Climate change in not just an environmental issue. It is a human rights issue It is a development issue It is a justice issue

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11 What s the impact The Human Cost Those living in poverty: Least responsible for the problem Least able to cope Being hit first and hardest by current and future changes in the climate

12 Hunger, agriculture, water Seasons are shifting, rains are disappearing Failing harvests South African government scientists predicting 50% drop in all cereal yields by 2080 The Indo-Gangetic plain home to 200m people, wheat production will shrink by more than half by 2050 We expect rains and they do not come, or we get heavy rains, which only destroy Mukelabai Liywalii, Zambia 2009

13 Disasters and Displacement 375 million people at risk each year by a 50% increase which could overwhelm humanitarian systems Climate-related disasters storms, floods, droughts and wildfires increasing in frequency 26 million people already displaced 1 million more people displaced every year by weather- related events Heavy winds blow away our house Enless Nakhuba, Thomasi village, Malawi 2009

14 Health, labour and trade Diseases like malaria and dengue fever are creeping into new areas Heat stress is a massive risk to farmers and outdoor workers Sub-Saharan Africa to lose $2bn per year as viability of just one crop - maize - declines

15 Oxfam Climate & Poverty Uganda Viet Nam South Africa Malawi Nepal Bolivia

16 Now that the sun is so hot, the glacier is melting, and we worry that there will be no more water. And even the rains that used to come on time are late Valerio Quispe, Bolivia

17 Frequency of Drought: Uganda

18 Viable land in Uganda

19 What is the solution?

20 The Road to Copenhagen Kyoto Protocol 1997 Binding targets for 37 industrialized countries and the European community for reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. An average of five per cent against 1990 levels over the five-year period countries signed on No USA Canada will not meet its target

21 Bali to Copenhagen Bali Action Plan deep cuts in global emissions agreed outcome and decision at Copenhagen mitigation commitments by all developed country parties Appropriate mitigation actions by developing countries adequate, predictable and sustainable financial resources new and additional resources reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation in developing countries (REDD)

22 Oxfam Reports People-centred Resilience Nov 09 Beyond Aid Sept 09 Suffering the Science July 09 Hang Together of Seperately June 09 EU Leadership or Losership May 09 Right to Survive April 09 Turning Carbon into Gold Dec 08 Climate, Poverty and Justice Dec 08

23 Poznan December 08 Bonn June 09 Bonn August 09 Bangkok October 09 Barcelona November 09

24 Copenhagen: December Key global moment, 192 countries World leaders must agree a deal that avoids climate catastrophe Responsibilities of rich and poor countries are common but different Deal must address : Mitigation Adaptation Finance Technology

25 A fair & safe global deal The deal must: Limit global warming to 2 degrees C Fair: Developing countries are supported in their efforts to cope with the impact of climate change now and into the future and are supported to pursue low-carbon development Safe: Rich countries must drastically cut their CO2 emissions and support developing countries.

26 And the role of business. Now or Never Sectoral Solutions or Carbon Cartels Global Sectoral Industry Approaches to Climate Change: Helping or Harming?

27 What you can do! Join Oxfam s climate campaign Get your friends, family, EVERYONE you know to join the campaign! Spread the word, raise awareness Contact your political representatives demand a fair and safe global deal

28 More information