Turban and Volonino. Business Intelligence and Decision Support Systems

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1 Turban and Volonino Chapter 12 Business Intelligence and Decision Support Systems Information Technology for Management Improving Performance in the Digital Economy 7 th edition John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Slides contributed by Dr. Sandra Reid Chair, Graduate School of Business & Professor, Technology Dallas Baptist University Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 12-1

2 Business Intelligence and Decision Support Systems 1. The Need for Business Intelligence (BI) 2. BI Architecture, Reporting and Performance Management 3. Data, Text, and Web Mining and BI Search 4. Managers and Decision Making Processes 5. Decision Support Systems 6. Automated Decision Support (ADS) 7. Managerial Issues Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 12-2

3 Figure IT7eU Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 12-3

4 12.1 The Need for Business Intelligence (BI) Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 12-6

5 Business Intelligence Technologies 1990s primarily associated with back office workers & operations such as accounting, finance & human resources. 2000s expanded to enterprise data to include needs of managers & executives. Vendors offered advanced analytic, decision support, easy-to-use interfaces, & improved data visualization tools. Web-based delivery became common-place. Evolved from reporting to predicting. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 12-7

6 The Need for Business Intelligence (BI) ETL Extract, Transform, and Load. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 12-8

7 (E)xtract (T)ransform (L)oad Tools E involves tools for extracting the data from source systems (silos). T involves converting (transforming) the data into standardized formats. L involves loading & integrating data into a system (such as a data warehouse). Check out this great article for much, much more about the topic ETL: Extract - Transform - Load (and data management and integration) Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 12-9

8 Risks with Disparate Data Responsiveness requires intelligence which requires trusted data & reporting systems. * Data that are too late * Data that are wrong level of detail-too much or too little * Directionless data * Unable to coordinate with departments across enterprise * Unable to share data in a timely manner Silos arise creating decisions based upon inaccurate, incomplete, possibly outdated data. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

9 The Need for Business Intelligence (BI) Business Intelligence Technologies BI Vendors all ERPs and specialized systems Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

10 BI Vendors Business intelligence BIG business Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

11 The Need for Business Intelligence (BI) Power of Predictive Analytics, Alerts, and Decision Support Event-Driven Alerts Predictive Analytics Operational Decision Support Operational decisions Tactical decisions Strategic decisions Business Intelligence Solutions Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

12 Table 12.2 Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

13 Table 12.3 Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

14 Real-time alerts triggered by customer-driven events

15 Power of Predictive Analytics, Alerts & DSS Real-time view of the data Reactive to proactive with respect to future Improved data quality Shared, common vision of business activity benefitting key decision makers across enterprise Simple to view KPIs Informed, fast decision making Complete, comprehensive audit trails Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

16 Figure 12.1 Top five business pressure driving the adoption of predictive analytics. (Data from Aberdeen Group.) Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

17 Figure 12.3 Click here for a plethora of dashboard examples! Sample performance dashboard. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

18 Figure 12.4 Basic BI components

19 Figure 12.5 How a BI system works

20 Business Intelligence Solutions Must be able to access enterprise data sources such as TPS, e-business & e- commerce processes, operational platforms & databases. Needed for real-time decision making. Enhanced operational understanding capabilities. Improved cost control & customer relationship management. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

21 12.2 BI Architecture, Reporting, and Performance Management Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

22 BI Architecture, Reporting, and Performance Management Data Extraction and Integration Enterprise Reporting Systems Routing Reporting User Interfaces: Dashboards and Scorecards Data Mining, Query, and Analysis Business Performance Management BI Payoffs and Applications Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

23 Table 12.4 Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

24 Data Extraction & Integration Many sources such as OLAP, ERP, CRM, SCM, legacy & local data stores, the Web all lacking standardization & consistency. ETL tools provide data for analyses to support business processes. Central data repository with data security & administrative tools for information infrastructure. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

25 Enterprise Reporting Systems Provide standard, ad hoc, or custom reports. 95% of Fortune 500 rely on BI to access information & reports they need. Reduces data latency. Decreases time users must spend collecting the data; increases time spent on analyzing data for better decision-making. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

26 Dashboards & Scorecards Dashboards are typically operation & tactical in application & use. Scorecard users are executive, manager, staff strategic level in application & use. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

27 Check out this great example of a marketing dashboard used at BMW! Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

28 Figure 12.6 Multidimensional view of sales revenue data. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

29 Business Performance Management Requires methods to quickly & easily determine performance versus goals, objectives & alignment strategies. Relies on BI analysis reporting, queries, dashboards & scorecards. Objective is strategic to optimize overall performance of an organization. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

30 Figure 12.7 Business performance management (BPM) for monitoring and assessing performance. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

31 Table

32 12.3 Data, Text, and Web Mining and BI Search Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

33 Data, Text, and Web Mining and BI Search Characteristics and Benefits of Data Mining Power Users of Data Mining Tools Advantages and Disadvantages of Data Mining Tools Capabilities of Data Mining Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

34 Data, Text, and Web Mining and BI Search Data Mining Application Retailing and sales Banking Manufacturing and production Healthcare Broadcasting Marketing Text Mining And Web Mining and Analysis Web Mining with Predictive Analysis Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

35 Text-Mining Content that is mined include unstructured data from documents, text from messages & log data from Internet browsing. May be major source of competitive advantage. Needs to be codified with XML & extracted to apply predictive data mining tools to generate real value. Comprises up to 80% of all information collected. Click link for an informative article in cio.com Text Analytics: Your Customers are Talking About You Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

36 Advantages & Disadvantages of Data Mining Tools that are interactive, visual, understandable, & work directly on data warehouse of organization. Simpler tools used by front line workers for immediate & long-term business benefits. Techniques may be too sophisticated or require extensive knowledge & training. May require expert statistician to utilize effectively, if at all. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

37 12.4 Managers and Decision Making Processes Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

38 Managers and Decision Making Processes Managers and Decision Making Processes Interpersonal roles Informational role Decisional role Decision making and Problem Solving Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

39 Managers and Decision Making Processes Decision Support Tools Why Managers Need IT Support Can the Manager s Job Be Fully Automated? What ITs are Available to Support Managers? The Process of IT-Supported Decision Making Decision Modeling and Models Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

40 Figure 12.8 Manager s decision role

41 Managers and Decision Making Processes A Framework for Computerized Decision Analysis Structured decisions Unstructured decisions Semi-structured decisions IT Support for Structured Decisions Management Science Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

42 Managers Need IT Support from DSS Tools Scenarios, alternatives & risks are many. Time is always critical consideration & stress level is high. Requires sophisticated analysis. Geographically dispersed decision makers with collaboration required. Often requires reliable forecasting. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

43 Automating Manager s Job Routine decisions by mid-level managers (frontline employees) may be automated fairly easily & frequently. Automation of routine decisions leaves more time for supervising, training & motivating nonmanagers. Top level managerial decision making is seldom routine & very difficult to automate. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

44 IT Available to Support Managers (MSS) DSS - indirect support discovery, communication & collaboration with web facilitation. DSS provide support primarily to analytical, quantitative types of decisions. ESS early BI supports informational roles of executives. GDSS supports managers & staff working in groups, remotely or closely. Common devices PDAs, Blackberrys, iphones. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

45 Figure 12.9 IT support for decision making

46 Figure Phases in the decision-making process. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

47 Decision Modeling & Models Decision model simplified representation, or abstraction of reality. Simplicity is key. Based upon set of assumptions. Requires monitoring & adjustment periodically as assumptions change. Modeling virtual experiments reduce cost, compress time, manipulate variables, reduces risk. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

48 Framework for Computerized Decision Analysis Structured routine & repetitive problems. Unstructured lots of uncertainty, no definitive or clear-cut solutions. Semistructured between the extremes. Most true DSS are focused here. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

49 12.5 Decision Support Systems Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

50 DSS & Managers DSS Concept Characteristics and Capabilities of DSSs Sensitivity Analysis: What-If and Goal Seeking Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

51 DSS & Managers Structure and Components of DSS Database Model Base User Interface Users Knowledge Base Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

52 DSS & Managers Need new & accurate information. Time is critical. Complex organization for tracking. Unstable environment. Increasing competition. Existing systems could not support operational requirements. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

53 Characteristics & Capabilities - DSS Sensitivity analysis for what if & goalseeking strategy setting. Increases system flexibility & usefulness. Basic components database, model base, user interface, users & knowledge base. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

54 Figure Conceptual model of DSS and its components. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

55 12.6 Automated Decision Support (ADS) Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

56 ADS Rule-based systems with automatic solutions to repetitive managerial problems. Closely related to business analytics. Automating the decision-making process is usually achieved by capturing manager s expertise. Rules may be part of expert systems or other intelligent systems. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

57 Characteristics & Benefits of ADS Rapidly builds business rules to automate or guide decision makers, & deploys them into almost any operating environment. Injects predictive analytics into rule-based applications, increasing their power & value. Combines business rules, predictive models & optimization strategies flexibly into enterprise applications. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

58 Automated Decision Support (ADS) ADS Applications Product or Service customization Yield or price optimization Routing or segmentation decisions Corporate and regulatory compliance and fraud detection Dynamic forecasting and SCM Operational control Customer selection, loyalty, and service Human capital ADS for Frontline Employees Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

59 12.7 Managerial Issues Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

60 Managerial Issues Why BI Projects Fail Failure to recognize as enterprise-wide business initiatives. Lack of sponsorship. Lack of cooperation. Lack of qualified & available staff. No appreciation of negative impact on business profitability. Too much reliance on vendors. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

61 Managerial Issues System development and the need for integration Cost-Benefit issues and justification Legal issues and privacy BI and BPM today and tomorrow Cost Justification; intangible benefits Documenting and securing support systems Specialized ready-made decision support Ethical issues DSS failures Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc