MISO-AMEREN Modeling Process Improvement Initiative. Sep 12, 2016

Transcription

1 MISO-AMEREN Modeling Process Improvement Initiative Sep 12, 2016

2 Agenda Industry wide challenges Common objectives AMEREN Introduction Key business drivers Near term goals Long term vision MISO Introduction Key business drivers Near term goals Long term vision 2

3 Industry wide modeling challenges Multiple Tools/Systems EMS FTR DTS Market Planning Multiple modeling practices & processes Multiple users and maintainers Models are inherently different Technical Internal Silos Organizational Duplicate efforts Synchronization issues Inconsistent solutions Difficult change management ISO/RTOs Silos at Multiple levels Utilities ISO EMS, Planning, Market Utilities EMS, Planning, Protection Transmission, Distribution Difficult model exchange 3

4 Common objectives Improved Compliance Model accuracy & consistency Compatible solution results Improved Efficiency Avoid duplication Shorter Modeling cycle Process automation Improved Integration Standard based data exchanges Common and consistent APIs 4

5 AMEREN Modeling practices and plan

6 ($ Billions) Ameren - Introduction Diversified regional electric and gas utility serving 2.4 million electric and 933,000 gas customers over 64,000 square miles in Missouri and Illinois. Long-Term Total Return Outlook Expect strong ~6.5% compound annual rate base growth from 2015 through 2020 Expect 5% to 8% compound annual EPS growth from 2016 through to 2020 Regulated Infrastructure Rate Base 5-Yr Rate Base CAGR $12.1 $1.4 $1.2 $2.4 $16.7 $3.5 $2.0 $ % 20% 11% 6% $7.1 $7.9 2% E FERC-Regulated Transmission Ameren Illinois Gas Delivery Ameren Illinois Electric Delivery Ameren Missouri 2 '15-'20E 6

7 Key Business Drivers View of the Future 2.6M Customers => 10M managed resources New solar resource goes online every 83 sec Converged T/D/IT systems Corporate Strategy Competition Invest in the Grid Aging Infrastructure New Standards NERC Alert Projects Changing Generation Mix Security = Physical & Cyber Improved Efficiency 2010 $25M in T / 2016 $800M in T Can t do things the same old way 7

8 Near term objectives Common Language Terminology that translates across functions (planning, operations, market, protection, maintenance, financial) and across entities Shared Commitment to Dialogue One Version of the Truth Standards-based (CIM) databases and exchange formats Automation (APIs) 8

9 Long term vision inmm Cloud-based Apps (i.e. models) OS High Availability (i.e. 100%) - Backups Auto-detection of new devices Security Vertical Scalability Systems and processes think new devices every sec Artificial Intelligence 95+% of display work created by AI Validation (connectivity, ratings, etc.) Prediction what will the system look like next hour, tomorrow, next month, next year? Transactive Energy DLMPs (any point where two or more customers can transact will be a market) 9

10 MISO Modeling practices and plan

11 Generation 175,436 MW (market) 200,906 MW (reliability) Load 126,337 MW (market) 132,893 MW (reliability) 65,757 miles of Transmission $20.3 billion in annual gross market charges (2013) 400 Market Participants serving over 42 million people EMS Model Stations ~29000 Network Buses ~44000 Generating units ~6500 Loads ~37000 Line Segments ~42000 SCADA points ~ MISO - Introduction 11

12 Key Business Drivers Ensure Compliance Steady-State and Dynamic System Model Validation Improve operations and planning models accuracy and consistency Compatible solution results across multiple functional areas Improve Stakeholder Value Shorten modeling cycle Process automation Expedited and reliable process flow Standardize model data submission and exchange Capitalize on Technological Advancements Planning moving towards node-breaker model Coordinated data model formats Distributed Energy Resources Standard based common and consistent APIs 12

13 Near term objectives Process review Engage model dependent upstream and downstream systems for process requirements and timing to reduce cycle time Stakeholder Outreach Engage Stakeholder community on model building process and timing Industry Engagement Engage Neighboring RC community on data exchange timing and requirements Standardize Input Standardize Model Exchange format 13

14 Long term vision Current State Desired State External Entity Needs External Entity Needs Customer Inputs TO 1 TO 2 Various data formats Planning Bus Branch Customer Inputs TO 1 TO 2 Inputs integrated across all models Standardized Input Format Planning Studies TO n MP 1 Manual Collection and Translation Operations Node Breaker TO n MP 1 Centralized Model Management Network Apps MP 2 MP n Markets Asset Ownership Inadequate integration across Planning, Operations, and Markets MP 2 MP n Automated Validation Standardized Translation Market Apps 14

15 Thank you