Session 5.5. Network Planning Strategy for evolving Network Architectures Session 5.5-1

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1 ITU Seminar Bangkok, Thailand, November 2002 Session 5.5 VPI: Strategic with VPIaccessMaker : Market Description, ing, Clustering, Economic Analysis Strategy for evolving Architectures Session VPIsystems provide software for demand-driven network deployment Vendor Carrier Incumbant SYSTEM INTEGRATOR and CONSULTANT NETWORK OPERATOR (access, metro, Core) SERVICE PROVIDER END CUSTOMER END CUSTOMER Lifecycle Management (NLM) Strategy for evolving Architectures Session 5.5-2

2 lifecycle management Major phases and tasks Lifecycle ing Deployment / Business Plng Node/Link/Equip Configuration Deployment/ Engineering market segmentation & forecast service mix technology selection roll-out strategy economic analysis (ROI, etc) network architecture network design network dimensioning network costs (CapEx, OpEx) supplier selection link configuration node configuration equipment configuration list of material connection planning (DCN, SCD, etc.) inside plant (inventory) as built documentation Strategy for evolving Architectures Session NLM phases and the associated toolsets NLM phases & Business Plng Node/Link/Equip Configuration Deployment/ Engineering Associated toolsets VPIaccessMaker VPIserviceMaker VPIserviceMaker Distribution VPIserviceMaker IP VPIserviceMaker ATM VPIserviceMaker Switch VPIserviceMaker SS7 VPItransportMaker SONET-SDH VPItransportMaker Optical Rings VPItransportMaker Optical Mesh VPItransportMaker Sync VPItransportMaker VPIlinkConfigurator VPIaccessMaker Markets VPIaccessMaker Technology VPIequipmentConfigurator VPIaccessMaker Economics VPIdeploymentMaster Strategy for evolving Architectures Session 5.5-4

3 Results Management R&D Optical Product Designs Technical Sales Product Configuration Rules VPIsystems intends to partner with ITU-D for the benefit of the developingcountries Proposal ITU-D to provide their first-class & well known enabling and training services to the incumbant network operators VPIsystems to support this effort by providing packages of their software tools, specially tailored for the needs of the developing countries Benefit know-how on network development is being built locally while commercial software is being introduced simultaneously Strategy for evolving Architectures Session VPI Design & Deployment Center connecting people, tools & data VPItransmissionMaker WDM VPItransmissionMaker Cable Access Optical VPIcomponentMaker Fiber Amplifier Design VPIcomponentMaker Active Photonics VPIlinkConfigurator VPIaccessMaker Markets VPIaccessMaker Technology Business VPIaccessMaker Economics VPItransportMaker SONET-SDH VPItransportMaker Ethernet VPItransportMaker Optical Ring VPItransportMaker Optical Mesh VPIlinkConfigurator VPIserviceMaker Distribution VPIserviceMaker IP VPIserviceMaker ATM VPIserviceMaker Switch VPIserviceMaker SS7 VPItransportMaker SONET-SDH VPItransportMaker Optical Ring Optical VPItransportMaker Optical Mesh ing VPItransportMaker Sync VPIdataRepository (Q4 02) Installation & Documentation VPIequipmentConfigurator: Customizable configuration engine Framework for equipment library Automatic creation of equipment parameter lists Report of connection discrepancies NMS interface VPIdeploymentMaster: CAD -based visualization Consistency and reliability check for cable connections Comprehensive equipment documentation on inside plant End-to -end representation of connections and cabling throughout entire network Visualization of status for equipment and connection VPIlifecycleManager: Ad -hoc collaboration Configuration management Automatic team notification Tool API Token licensing Best practice library Oracle interface Data API Results Management Algorithms API Automatic project management Lifecycle Management Platform Connecting People, Tools & Data People Tools Projects Data in projects or across projects Strategy for evolving Architectures Session 5.5-6

4 Business? VPI Answer The VPI Business software module addresses efficiently and seamlessly the various problem domains and the complex issues involved in planning broadband access networks through a powerful workflow of strategic planning tasks, including: Sophisticated market capture, prediction and reporting systems (VPIaccessMaker Markets) Geographical information system (VPIaccessMaker GIS) Flexible multi-technology modeling (VPIaccessMaker Technologies) Design synthesis algorithms and rollout reporting system (VPIaccessMaker Technologies) Effective economic analysis tools (VPIaccessMaker Economics) Collaborative working environment (VPI D&D Center) for seamlessly connecting people, tools and data Markets Geo-Marketing Service definitions Market data Penetration/price forecasts Geographical Information System (GIS) CRM Technologies Technology/vendor selection planning Roll out strategy and DDC Economics Economic and financial analysis Cash flow Payback, NPV ROI Strategy for evolving Architectures Session status OSS Connecting People, Tools and Data Marketing Service definition Service pricing Selection of new access areas Customer databases Customer prioritization Demand Mapping Geomarketing reports Design Architecture and topology studies Technology selection Equipment selection Strategic planning Traffic forecasting Traffic protection Techno-economic analysis Scenario analysis Finance Financial analysis Budget approval Cash flow Payback Project net present value VPIaccessMaker VPIaccessMaker VPIaccessMaker Markets TM Technologies TM Economics TM Geographical Information System (GIS) Business and Implementation Choice of locations Choice of routes Site affiliation Equipment upgrades and expansions Detailed costing and budgeting Equipment inventory Rollout planning Acceptance procedures Implementation procedures Documentation Strategy for evolving Architectures Session 5.5-8

5 POTS ISDN DSL Gig-E Cable January February March MARKET DEMAND AND FORECAST Access Business Process Service plan Marketing plan Demand demographics TECHNO-ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Revenues Scenario selection Business plan Life Cycle Costs Investment plan NETWORK PLANNING Multiple Scenarios Finance plan Technology Models Rules Existing infrastructure design dimensioning cost and roll-out Strategy for evolving Architectures Session Inside the Business Business VPIaccessMaker Markets TM Market Demand & ❶ ❹ TM VPIlifecycleManager TM VPIaccessMaker Technologies TM Technology & Architecture Modeling ❷ Geographical Geographical Information Information System System (GIS) (GIS) VPIaccessMaker Economics TM Techno- Economic Analysis 1. Geomarketing aspects such as service definitions and customer demand mapping are addressed by VPIaccessMaker TM Markets. 2. The network -planning phase including access technology selection and the architecture modeling process is handled by VPIaccessMarker TM Technologies. 3. Business analysis such as technoeconomic assessments and comparisons are performed using VPIaccessMaker TM Economics. 4. All geographical aspects such as area maps, customer locations or network layout are handled by the geographical information system (GIS). Strategy for evolving Architectures Session

6 VPIaccessMaker Markets Market definition Definition of services classes (bandwidth, nature) Creation of customer classes (service mixes, tariffs, lines) Definition of densities classes (as mixes of customer classes) Flexible planning period Evolution forecasting Tariffs Market penetration Traffic prediction Component costs calculator (e.g. times series, linear regression) Demand mapping Import of raster and vector maps for background information Definition of service areas (sub urban, down town, etc) Geometrical modeling of service areas (area grids) Exact site locations (skyscrapers, business offices, etc.) Defining site grids to simulate BLEC projects and model in-building networks Defining outside plant cost regions for accurate OSP cost modeling Import/export market demand from Excel or from GIS files Geomarketing results Extensive and flexible user defined query system Results are displayed on the GIS (selected year) Results are displayed on annual tables & charts (exportable to Excel) Market capture for a service provider Strategy for evolving Architectures Session VPIaccessMaker Technologies Technology modeling Specification of network infrastructure (nodes and links) Specification of network elements (nodes and links) Specification of interfaces (upstream, downstream) Modeling of multiple interfaces rules (bandwidth, distances) Precise cost modeling: acquisition, installation, maintenance, operation, depreciation Chains as connection of nodes and links for topology modeling design optimization Optimization clustering algorithm generates blue-print design proposals Satisfy bandwidth requirement from all demand points Satisfy technological specifications and constraints OSP cost regions for modeling the effects of variations in OSP costs on a regional or local basis Support of multiple technologies Considers legacy infrastructure Manual fine tuning of the network layout for accurate OSP cost estimation Roll-out results Calculate automatically all network costs Each element (node or link) has its own set of results (interfaces, costs) exportable to Excel Multiple roll-out with different technologies Bill of materials Extensive and flexible user defined query system Results are displayed on the GIS (selected year) Results are displayed on annual tables & charts (exportable to Excel) Modeling a PON network deployment in a city center Strategy for evolving Architectures Session

7 VPIaccessMaker Economics Financial calculations Project revenues Project cost structure Project cash-flows Project net present value Scenario analysis Full geographical visualization of the business case Specification of network infrastructure (nodes and links) Various scenarios can be compared in terms of the main economics indexes All data exportable to Excel Return on investment from a FWA deployment in a metro area Strategy for evolving Architectures Session Business Benefits Increased accuracy in planning CapEx and OpEx Accurate market demand capture Demand driven CapEx and OpEx planning Deployment costs are forecasted with greater accuracy Vendor selection is based on real market situations and true product techno-economics Assists in the development of costing metrics (cost per Mbps, cost per customer) Reduced time-to-market Facilitates decision making on network deployments Facilitates RFQ, RFI preparation and vendor benchmarking: market driven scenarios, common data format (VPI) Better reporting for increased visibility and improved decision making Re-usability of data Strategy for evolving Architectures Session