Systems Analysis in Forest Resources

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1 Systems Analysis in Forest Resources Proceedings of the Eighth Symposium, held September 27-30, 2000, Snowmass Village, Colorado, U.S.A. Edited by Greg J. Arthaud USDA Forest Service, Washington Office, U.S.A. and Tara M. Barrett Forest Inventory and Analysis, Pacific Northwest Research Station, USDA Forest Service, U.S.A. KLUWER ACADEMIC PUBLISHERS DORDRECHT / BOSTON / LONDON

2 CONTENTS Preface Acknowledgments Fire and fuels ix xi l Characterizing Historical Variability in Boreal Forest Fire Frequency: Implications for Fire and Forest Management JENNIFER L. BEVERLY AND DAVID L. MARTELL 3 Comparing Potential Fuel Treatment Trade-Off Models DAVID R. WEISE, RICHARD KIMBERLIN, MIKE ARBAUGH, JIM CHEW, GREG JONES, JIM MERZENICH, MARC WIITALA, ROBERT KEANE, MARK SCHAAF, AND JAN VAN WAGTENDONK 15 Supply Chain Modeling of Forest Fuel HELENE GUNNARSSON, JAN T. LUNDGREN, AND MlKAEL RONNQVIST 27 Combining Simulation and Optimization for Evaluating the Effectiveness of Fuel Treatments for Four Different Fuel Conditions at Landscape Scales JIMMIE CHEW, J.GREG JONES, CHRIS STALLING, JANET SULLIVAN, AND STEVE SLACK 35

3 vi Systems analysis in forest resources Determining Forest Fuel Treatment Levels for the Bitterroot Front using VDDT JIM MERZENICH, WERNER KURZ, SARAH BEUKEMA, MIKE ARBAUGH, AND SUSAN SCHILLING 47 Spatial Point Pattern Analysis of Lightning-caused Forest Fires in the Boreal Forest Region of Ontario JUSTIN PODUR, DAVID L. M ARTELL, AND FERENC CSILLAG 61 Networks and transportation 69 Simulating a Smokejumper Service Delivery System MARC R. WIITALA AND CARL L. DAMMANN 71 An Approach to Optimizing Helicopter Logging Operations JOHN SESSIONS AND WOOD AM CHUNG 81 Annual Harvest Planning Integrated with Crew Assignment and Transportation Planning JOHAN BERGSTROM, JENNY KARLSSON, AND MlKAEL RONNQVIST 87 An Application of Combinatorial Optimization Heuristics to Timber Sale Scheduling Considering Distance Dependent Costs and Equipment Balancing Requirements WOOD AM CHUNG AND JOHN SESSIONS 91 An Investigation of the Influence of Digital Elevation Model Inaccuracies on Terrain-Based Delineation of Drainage Networks DEMETRIOS GATZIOLIS AND JEREMY S. FRIED 105 NETWORK 2000, a Program for Optimizing Large Fixed and Variable Cost Transportation Problems WOODAM CHUNG AND JOHN SESSIONS 109 Forest and landscape planning 121 Cooperative Forest Planning Using Criteria, Indicators and Systems Analysis MELANIE KARJALA, STEPHEN DEWHURST, AND SUSAN GRAINGER 123

4 Systems analysis in forest resources vii Techniques for Assessing Relative Values for Multiple Objective Management on Private Forests DONALD F. DENNIS, THOMAS H. STEVENS, DAVID B. KITTREDGE, AND MARK G. RICKENBACH 127 Structure-Based Management for the State of Oregon: an Application of Combinatorial Optimization Heuristics for Large-Scale Landscape Analysis JOHN SESSIONS AND PAMELA OVERHULSER 135 Applying TELSA to Assess Alternative Management Scenarios SARAH J. BEUKEMA, WERNER A. KURZ, WALT KLENNER, JIM MERZENICH, AND MIKE ARBAUGH 144 A Decision Support System for Forest Ecosystem Management in Portugal JOSE G. BORGES, ANDRE O. FALCAO, CARLA MIRAGAIA, PEDRO MARQUES, AND MARLENE MARQUES 155 Linking Temporal-Optimization and Spatial-Simulation Models for Forest Planning LARRY A. LEEFERS, ERIC J. GUSTAFSON, AND PHILLIP FREEMAN 165 Improving Habitat for Species at Risk While Maintaining Timber Supply: the Umpqua Land Exchange Project JOHN SESSIONS 175 Ecological modelling, biodiversity and wildlife 183 An Ecological Approach to Developing a Decision Support System for Forest Planning JOHN D. BECKINGHAM AND LOUISE VERSTEEG 185 Assessing Forest-Management Strategies Through the Lens of Biodiversity: a Practical Case from Central-West Alberta FREDERIK DOYON AND PETER N. DUINKER 207 Sustaining Wildlife Populations in Productively Managed Forests MICHAEL BEVERS, CURTIS H. FLATHER, JOHN HOF, AND H. FRED KAISER 225

5 viii Systems analysis in forest resources Designing Compact and Contiguous Reserve Networks Under a Budget Constraint DAREK J. NALLE, JEFFREY L. ARTHUR, AND JOHN SESSIONS 243 Eight Heuristic Planning Techniques Applied to Three Increasingly Difficult Wildlife Planning Problems: a Summary PETE BETTINGER, JOHN SESSIONS, WOODAM CHUNG, DAVID GRAETZ, AND KEVIN BOSTON 249 Forest resource applications 259 Optimal Financial Management of the Yellow-poplar/Oak Covertype in the Central Appalachians NATALIA V. KIRILLOVA AND MATTHEW H. PELKKI 261 Comparison of Heuristics for Spatially Constrained Natural Resource Management Problems ANDRE O. FALCAO AND JOSE GUILHERME BORGES 269 An Adjacency-Modeling Problem Based on Constructing Harvesting Areas RAFAEL EPSTEIN, MARCOS GOYCOOLEA, ALAN T. MURRAY, ANDRES WEINTRAUB 279 Estimating and Mapping Five Forest Attributes with Satellite Ancillary Data SUSAN L. KING, ANDREW J. LISTER, AND MICHAEL L. HOPPUS 291 General Equilibrium Analysis of Impacts of NAFTA and WTO on U.S. Forest Products Industries JlANBANG GAN AND SABYASACHI GANGULI 305 Co-integration of Timber and Financial Markets - Implications for Portfolio Selection VELI-PEKKA HEIKKINEN 315 Estimating Wood Utilization Accounts and Input-Output Relations from International Forest Product Statistics JOSEPH BUONGIORNO AND CHIA-SHENG LIU 317

Wildfire Initial Response Assessment System: A Tool for Fire Preparedness Planning 1

Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Fire Economics, Planning, and Policy: A Global View Wildfire Initial Response Assessment System: A Tool for Fire Preparedness Planning 1 Marc R. Wiitala,