Peninsular Malaysia Voters Opinion Poll

Transcription

1 Peninsular Malaysia Voters Opinion Poll August 11-27, 2011 Perception towards National Direction, Prime Minister Approval Rating and Electoral Reform

2 All rights reserved. This report is published by proprietary subscription. No parts of this publication may be distributed, reproduced, copied or transmitted in any form or by any means including photocopying without the permission of the copyright owner, application for which should be addressed to the same. The distribution, reproduction, copying or transmission including the quotation of a part of the whole thereof by a non-customer is strictly prohibited MERDEKA CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH 901B Diamond Complex, Bandar Baru Bangi, Selangor, MALAYSIA Tel: /1499 Fax: info@merdeka.org Web: 2

3 Methodology Methodology 1,027 respondents aged 21 and above were interviewed via telephone. The survey covered all the states in Peninsular Malaysia. Respondents were selected through random stratified sampling method along the lines of ethnicity, gender, age and state. The survey was conducted between August 2011 Key events during survey period: exposure of voters roll problem by opposition parties; post-bersih discussion on electoral reform, Anwar Ibrahim 2 nd sodomy trial, on-going amnesty program for illegal foreign workers in Malaysia, controversy over JAIS action on church event in Selangor and allegations of Christian missionary activities on Muslims. Note: Total percentages presented may or may not add up to 10 due to rounding up of figures.

4 Respondent Profile pt.1 Ethinicity Age 24% 22% 2 2 Gender % % Male 4 Female 5 Malay Chinese Indian Above 61 Level of education Religion % % No formal education 2 Primary school Secondary school 16% Diploma & equivalent 13% Degree & above % 4% 4% None Islam Buddhism Hinduism Christianity Taoist

5 Respondent Profile pt Internet access 34% 5% 6% At home Workplace/ school At home & workplace /school 2% 2% 5 Other locations Mobile internet No internet access 4 2 Occupation 27% 13% 8% 4% 4% 4% 2% Management Self employed Professional Executive Non-executive Students Unumployed Homemaker Setting Monthly household income 4 32% Central 37% Eastern 2 Northern 1 Southern 24% 2 26% 17% 13% 1 2% < RM1500 per mth RM1501 RM3000 per mth RM3001 RM5000 per mth > RM5000 per mth Don't know No response

6 NATIONAL DIRECTION

7 6 4 For media release only Direction of the country Right vs. Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction 54% 55% 54% 52% 52% 52% % 47% 45% 46% 42% 4 36% 36% 36% 37% 34% 34% 4 34% 33% 3 32% 2 Oct 08 May-09 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sept 09 Dec 09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Nov 10 Mar-11 May-11 Aug-11 Q : Considering the condition in Malaysia today, how strongly would you say that things are heading in the right or wrong direction?

8 Direction of the country (along ethnic lines) Right direction Malay Chinese Indian % 57% 45% 42% 43% 33% 2 16% 66% 52% % 48% 46% 47% 27% 17% 18% % 67% 66% 64% 67% 64% 6 63% 52% 5 57% 52% 54% 55% 46% 54% 46% 27% 26% 2 22% 22% 22% 65% 64% 56% 5 54% Oct 08 May-09 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sept 09 Dec 09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Nov 10 Mar-11 May-11 Aug-11 Q: Considering the condition in Malaysia today, how strongly would you say that things are heading in the right or wrong direction?

9 Most important issue that needs solving in the country today Top ten issues Most important problems Total (1027) Malay (608) Chinese (323) Indian (96) Price hike/inflation/rising cost of living 30.3% 32.4% 25.4% 33.3% Low wages/unemployment % 1.5% 9.4% Unfavourable economic condition 2.3% % 0. Poverty in general 1.8% 2.6% Social problems (drug, mat rempit, moral decline) 9.5% % 5.2% Crime & public safety 6.6% 3.5% Lack of unity among Malaysians,Malays/Worse ethnic relations % 5.2% Political instability 3.4% 4.3% 2.2% 2. Economic related concerns have continued to rise, now comprises 38% of voters; this is markedly 14% higher than December 2010 Social problems rank second at 1. Politics, race and leadership c issues comprise a further & followed concerns over crime and public safety 7% Corruption & lack of transparency 1.7% 0.5% 4.3% 0. Poor Education System & Policy 1.3% % 2.

10 PRIME MINISTER S APPROVAL RATING

11 Prime Minister s Approval Rating Approval versus disapproval 8 6 Approva; Disapproval 72% % 66% 67% 64% 65% 5 56% % 45% 2 16% 22% 2 23% 22% 25% 2 24% 25% 27% 27% Mar-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Sept 09 Dec 09 Mar-10 May-10 Nov 10 Mar-11 May-11 Aug-11 Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak as Prime Minister?

12 Prime Minister s Approval Rating 10 Peninsular Malay Chinese Indian % 52% 53% 45% 34% 74% 72% 74% 67% 65% 64% 4 48% 68% 64% 56% 36% 72% 7 66% 54% 9 75% 8 85% 77% 74% 76% 72% % 67% 58% 54% 5 53% 73% 67% 65% % 2 15% 25% Mar 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul-09 Sept 09 Dec 09 March May 10 Nov 10 Mar-11 May-11 Aug Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak as Prime Minister?

13 VIEWS ON ELECTORAL REFORM

14 Understanding of BERSIH 2.0 Demands Not at all/don't know 2 33% 2 Not very much 4 claim comprehension of Bersih 2.0 demands 33% A fair amount 16% 16% A great deal 22% 26% 3 16% 3 26% 22% 3% 16% 4% 3% 2% 3% Not at all/don't know Not very much A fair amount A great deal 13% 13% Not at all/don't know 34% 34% Not very much Overall (1027) Malay (608) Chinese (323) Indian (96) 4 4 A fair amount 1 1 A great deal 2% 2% 16% 16% Not at all/don't know 26% 26% Not very much 17% 17% A fair amount 3 3 A great deal 3% 3% Q: In July 9, 2011, BERSIH 2.0, a coalition of NGOs held a public rally in Kuala Lumpur to demand free and fair elections. How much would you say you understand or know about the demands made by BERSIH 2.0

15 10 For media release only Government handling of BERSIH % % 14% 48% 24% 24% 13% 12% 53% 37% 32% 15% % 1 16% % 15% 28% 2 7% 55% 27% 28% 17% 17% Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied Overall (1027) Malay (608) Chinese (323) Indian (96) Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way government handled he issues and events concerning BERSIH?

16 Acceptance of Proposed Election Reforms: Allow foreign and local observers % 74% 68% 6 37% 37% 4 23% % 23% 8% 15% 8% 7% 3 27% 7% 1 6% 6% 33% 16% 1 6% 1 45% 23% 14% Overall (1027) Malay (608) Chinese (323) Indian (96) Q: Do you agree or disagree that in the next election, the Election Commission should apply the following step for a cleaner and fair election: Allowing foreign and local election observer?

17 Acceptance of Proposed Election Reforms: Allowing Opposition to access mainstream media 10 84% % 6 42% 62% % 32% 24% 15% 8% 7% 34% 32% 27% 23% 7% 6% 42% 8% 6% 8% 2% 24% 38% 3 18% 13% 8% 7% Overall (1027) Malay (608) Chinese (323) Indian (96) Q: Do you agree or disagree that in the next election, the Election Commission should apply the following step for a cleaner and fair election: Allowing opposition parties to campaign via government-owned TV & radio for at least one hour a day?

18 Acceptance of Proposed Election Reforms: Usage of indelible ink 10 83% % 22% 6 32% 33% 34% % % 2 6% 14% 1 33% 2 13% 16% 12% 5% 62% 7% 7% 2% 7% Overall (1027) Malay (608) Chinese (323) Indian (96) Q: Do you agree or disagree that in the next election, the Election Commission should apply the following step for a cleaner and fair election: Using of indelible ink?

19 Acceptance of Proposed Election Reforms: Review and clean up the electoral roll 10 88% 8 85% 88% % 3 25% % 6% 7% 4% 2% 6% 47% 6% 6% 3% 3% 5% 46% 6% 5% 8% 2% 63% 7% 5% 6% 4% Overall (1027) Malay (608) Chinese (323) Indian (96) Q: Do you agree or disagree that in the next election, the Election Commission should apply the following step for a cleaner and fair election: Reform and clean up electoral roll?