Knowledge Transfer Workshop

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1 Knowledge Transfer Workshop The Bellagio - Vaughan, Ontario March 6 th, 2018 Scott Bates - MNRF

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3 Drought in Ontario? Really? Drought is not defined by the total amount of precipitation received Rather drought is better defined as the deviation from an average precipitation that a society and economy have adapted to The Bellagio in Vegas is the same as the Bellagio in Vaughn! 3

4 Drought in Ontario? Yes Really! Drier Climate Not Drought! Wetter Climate % below normal Normal Precipitation Millimetres % Drought! below normal 50 0 Las Vegas Vegas Vaughan Ontario Below Normal Precipitation 4

5 Drought in Ontario? Yes Really! Texas 2012 Ontario 2016 South Africa California

6 Drought in Ontario? Yes Really! Month Moving Avg 12 Month Moving Avg 18 Month Moving Avg 24 Month Moving Avg 3 Year Moving Avg 4 Year Moving Avg 5 Year Moving Avg 7 Year Moving Avg 10 Year Moving Avg Period Average Millimetres s Drought 1970 s Drought 1980 s Drought 1990 s Drought 2000 s Drought 20 6

7 Drought Program Background The multi-year low water conditions of led to the provinces first drought-related program being introduced in March 2000, known as Ontario Water Response Drought / Low Water is a type of emergency identified under the Management and Civil Protection Act (1990) MNRF received the mandate for formulating Drought / Low Water emergency plans via Order-in-Council (OIC) in August 2000 Drought / low water management has been primarily delivered by MNRF s Surface Water Monitoring Centre (SWMC) in accordance with the Ontario Low Water Response Guide Despite the use of the word response in the title of the OLWR guide, the program has primarily dealt with drought / low water monitoring, warning, preparedness and mitigation 7

8 Drought Program Background Since 2000: The OLWR program has matured and become a regular part of business in most Conservation Authorities Provincial emergency management programs have matured with the creation of an EM doctrine and updated legislation, regulations and order-in-council Provincial water management programs have matured with enhanced water quantity legislation including the Provincial Policy Statement, Ontario Water Resource Act, Clean Water Act, various Provincial Plans, Stewardship Programs and Agricultural Programs Significant drought / low water conditions in 2012 prompted provincial discussion on the effectiveness of the OLWR program and lead to requests for modification 8

9 Drought Program Future MNRF is planning to revise the Ontario Low Water Response Guide with a modernized, comprehensive emergency management approach. An MNRF-led program that focuses on legislative and regulatory requirements. Clarifies accountable roles and associated responsibilities within a comprehensive emergency management (EM) program. Confirms shared responsibility to assess risk and that municipalities have the lead for local emergency response. Relies on established process for municipalities to access provincial support during escalation and declaration of emergencies. Acknowledges the critical role of communication in drought / low water planning and response. 9

10 Understanding Management in Ontario Ontario EMD (2010) EMCPA (2009) O.REG 380/04 OIC (2009) MNRF MERP (2013) OLWR (2010)

11 Management Doctrine Key Principles 1) Risk Management In recent years, there has been a major conceptual shift in how people seek to cope with disasters from natural to human induced hazards. While humanitarian response capacities are vital and need continued attention, the focus on addressing risk underlines the recognition that human intervention designed to reduce the vulnerability of people and assets can reduce the impact of disasters. Risk management is a proactive process to address risks. 2) Continuity of Operations / Business Continuity Continuity of Operations / Business Continuity is the component of the Management Program that ensures a government will be able to provide critical functions and services during an emergency. The process provides a framework for the determination of functions and services that are time-sensitive and critical, and utilizes a risk management approach to assure the continuity of such critical functions/ services. 3) A System of Partnerships If each community is made safer through the implementation of an emergency management program, the province as a whole is also made safer. In Ontario, emergency management is organized through a loosely linked, vertical structure of individuals and organizations with emergency management roles and responsibilities.

12 Management Doctrine Components 12

13 Management & Civil Protection Act Municipality Province s. 1 Act Definitions s. 5.1 EM Programs of Provincial Government Bodies s. 2 Administration of Act s. 6 s. 7 EM Plans of Provincial Government Bodies Section 7 Definitions Chief - EMO Declaration of EM Plans Submitted to Chief Powers and Orders Powers of the Premier Delegation of Powers Proceedings to Restrain Contravention of Order Reports During an s Cabinet Advisory Committee Termination of Revocation of Orders Disallowance of by Assembly Report on Offences s. 2.1 Municipal EM Programs s. 7.1 s. 7.2 Orders in Orders, General s. 11 Protection from Action s. 3 Municipal Plan s. 8 LGC to Formulate Plan Other Plans s. 12 Right of Action s. 4 Declaration of s. 9 What Plan May Provide s. 13 Agreements Action Not an Appropriation s. 5 Conformity with Upper Tier Plan s. 10 Public Access to Plans s. 14 s. 15 Standards for EM Programs and Plans Crown Bound

14 EMCPA - O.Reg. 380/04 - Standards Ministry (with OIC) Ministries (with no OIC) Municipality MEMC s. 1 Management Program Coordinator Ministries with no OIC responsibility may jointly collaborate on an EM program to a maximum of three ministries s. 10 Municipal EM Program Coordinator CEMC s. 2 Management Program Committee s. 6 s. 11 Municipal EM Program Committee s. 3 Ministry Action Group s. 12 Municipal Control Group Ministry EOC Ministry EIO s. 4 s. 5 Operations Centre Information Officer OIC PLAN s. 13 s. 14 Municipal Operations Centre Municipal Information Officer Municipal EOC Municipal EIO Ministry PLAN Plan Continuity of Operations Plan Response Plan for OIC Emergencies s. 15 Municipal Response Plan Municipal PLAN s. 7 s. 8 s. 9

15 Drought / Low Water as an Order-in-Council Order in Council 1157/2009 Dated and Ordered June 15, 2009 On the recommendation of the undersigned, the Lieutenant Governor, by and with the advice and concurrence of the Executive Council, order that: PURSUANT to Subsection 6(1) of the Management and Civil Protection Act R.S.O 1990 c.e9, as amended, all ministers are responsible for the formation of emergency plans in respect of any emergency that affects the continuity of operations and services in their respective ministries. In addition to the above, the following ministries are responsible for the formulation of emergency plans in respect of the type of emergency assigned. Minister Natural Resources Type of Drought / Low Water 15

16 Program Review Key Findings - OLWR Gaps EM Doctrine (2010) OLWR (2010) OIC PLAN EM COMPONENTS 16

17 Program Review Key Findings - WM vs. EM WATERSHED MANAGEMENT WATER MANAGEMENT EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT EMERGENCY RESPONSE Managing a Resource Managing a Scarce Resource Managing with No Resource Planning / Preparedness Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Municipal Declaration Provincial Declaration Land Use Planning Water Supply Planning Water Conservation Communication EOC Activations PTTW Restrictions Continuity of Operations Plans Response Plans Subwatershed Planning Source Protection Planning Environmental Assessment Municipal By-Law Communication PTTW Notifications PTTW Exemptions By-Law Enforcement Municipal Filling Stations Supply Chain Coordination Disaster Assistance and Recovery Programs By-Law Development Agricultural Extension Agricultural Extension Insurance Programs Agricultural Extension PLANNING PREVENTION MITIGATION PREPAREDNESS RESPONSE RECOVERY increasing drought and low water severity

18 Program Review Key Findings Risk Management IPCC (2012) UNESCO (2016) UNISDR (2015) UNGA (2016) Risk f( ) = Hazard f, Vulnerability Exposure Coping Capacity 18 IPCC Managing the Risks of Extreme Events UNESCO et al Drought Risk Management UNISDR Sendai Framework UNGA Terminology on Disaster Risk Reduction

19 Modernized Program Framework

20 Next Steps Current focus on the HIRA and MEWS components Current consulting agreement with Golder Associates November 2017 March 2018 Two deliverables 1) Provincial-Scale Drought HIRA Mapping Methodology Identify Hazard & Vulnerability Data Pilot-test Mapping at the Conservation Authority scale 2) Drought Monitoring & Early Warning System Review NIDIS & NDMC (USA) AWRA-L (Australia) Future focus on developing Drought Plans 20

21 Takeaways 1) Drought is a hazard that can significantly affect Ontario because impacts are felt relative to normal conditions 2) Ontario has an effective legislative framework for dealing with drought we just haven t realized it s full potential 3) There is a disconnect between the Water Management and Management communities when dealing with drought we re working to bring them together 21

22 Thank You - Questions