Performance Dashboard

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1 Unified Corridor Investment Study Performance Dashboard Step 2 Analysis Results DRAFT Revised 11/08/18 October 2018

2 Project Description Three parallel routes - Highway 1, Soquel/Freedom and the Santa Cruz Branch Rail Line - link the communities along the Santa Cruz County coast from Davenport through Watsonville. The Unified Corridor Study examines how well complimentary transportation improvements on all three routes - when designed to function together as a single unified corridor perform to meet the community s transportation needs. The Unified Corridor Study performance dashboard presents the result of the second, in a two step analysis, which compares how each of the scenarios address the study goals of Safety, Efficiency, Economics, Environmental Sustainability, and Social Equity by The evaluation of 16 performance measures for each of the scenarios and a comparison to a no build and baseline conditions is designed to increase understanding of transportation project benefits by transparently evaluating their impacts and lead to effective investments in the corridor.

3 Step 2 Scenarios for Analysis Approved by RTC on December 7, 2017 Scenario Highway 1 Projects A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E No Build Buses on shoulders High occupancy vehicle lanes (HOV) and increased transit frequency Auxiliary lanes to extend merging distance IN ADDITION TO MEASURE D Metering of on-ramps Additional lanes on bridge over San Lorenzo River Mission St intersection improvements Soquel Avenue/Drive and Freedom Blvd BRT lite (faster boarding, transit signal priority and queue jumps) Increased frequency of transit with express services Buffered/protected bike lanes Intersection improvements for auto Intersection improvements for bikes/pedestrians Rail Corridor Bike and pedestrian trail Local rail transit with interregional connections Bus rapid transit Freight service on rail Overall Project Area/Connections between Routes Improved bike/pedestrian facilities throughout urban area closing gaps in network Additional transit connections Bike share, bike amenities, transit amenities, park and ride lots Multimodal transportation hubs Automated vehicles/connected vehicles Transportation Demand and System Management Employers and residences - incentive programs Education and enforcement - electric vehicle, motorist safety, and bike safety Only Watsonville These projects will be evaluated in all scenarios. These projects will be evaluated in all scenarios.

4 Goals & Performance Measures Approved by RTC on May 4, 2017 The goals and performance measures below support a vision for an integrated, multimodal transportation network based on a triple bottom line approach that maximizes the environmental, economic and equity benefits. Goal 1: Safer transportation for all modes Injury and fatal collisions by mode Goal 2: Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods Peak period mean automobile travel time Peak period mean transit travel time Peak period travel time reliability Mode share Person trips across N-S screenline Goal 3: Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality Level of public investment Visitor tax revenues Cost associated with fatalities and injuries Goal 4: Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts Automobile vehicle miles traveled Greenhouse gas emissions Criteria pollutants Environmentally sensitive areas Goal 5: Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled Household transportation costs Benefits and impacts to transportation disadvantaged communities

5 Scenario A Step 2 Performance Measures PM: Total Collisions Revised 10/15/18 (Fatal, Injury, and Property Damage Only per year) Scenario A, 979, 1211 Baseline, 1110 Highway 1 Projects HOV and auxiliary lanes, ramp meters, San Lorenzo bridge widening, multimodal intersection improvements Soquel / Freedom BRT Lite with increased transit frequency, multimodal intersection improvements Rail ROW Bike and pedestrian trail Goal 1 Safer transportation for all modes. PM: Countywide Mean Auto Speed (mph) Walk 10.9% Bike 4.3% Transit 4.1% Drive Alone 42.8% Scenario A AM Peak Period 6:00-9:00 AM Baseline PM Peak Period 4:00-7:00 PM Scenario A Carpool 37.8% PM: Mode Share Goal 2 Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods.

6 PM: Person trips across N-S Screenline 4:00-6:00 PM (In thousands) Revised 11/2/18 Scenario A 34K 38K 23K 31K 31K 19K Baseline 28K 27K 16K Seabright Avenue 41st Ave San Andreas/Freedom Goal 3 Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality. PM: Level Of Public Investment ($ millions) Revised 11/08/18 $25 $13 $12 New Public Investment Needed Funding Potential $901 $522 $379 PM: Visitor Tax Revenues (per year in millions) O&M Scenario Costs A Capital Scenario Costs A Total Transient Occupancy Tax Visitor Related Sales Tax $40.1 $39.0 $28.6 $28.0 $27.2 $18.3 $10.3 $12.0 $11.8 Baseline Scenario A

7 PM: Cost Associated with Collisions (per year) Revised 10/15/18 Cost per $224 K Collision x 1,211 Collisions = $271 M Collision Cost Cost per $224 K Collision x Scenario A 979 Collisions = Scenario A $219 M Collision Cost Cost -$52 M Savings PM: Automobile Vehicle Miles Traveled (Countywide VMT per day in millions) Scenario A Baseline Goal 4 Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts. PM: Total Criteria Pollutants (metric tons per day) Baseline Scenario A CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 ROG NOX

8 PM: Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO 2 e Emissions (metric tons per day) and Percentage Reduction from 2015 Baseline CO 2 e 2,617-27% -26% 1,915 1,941 Baseline Scenario A PM: Environmentally Sensitive Areas (# linear miles along 3 routes) nd lowest score Goal 5 Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users. PM: Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled (per year in millions) Scenario A Baseline 3.33

9 PM: Household Transportation Cost Percentage of Income Spent on Transportation (by median income households per year) 26% 24% Daily Costs for 2-Vehicle Households Scenario A $ % 16% 17% 25% Baseline 2015 Baseline $46.63 $ $50.14 $ Vehicle Household 2 Vehicle Household PM: Share of Investment Benefit for Transportation Disadvantaged Population 24.0% 13.7 % of population is transportation disadvantaged Scenario A

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11 Scenario B Step 2 Performance Measures PM: Total Collisions Revised 10/15/18 (Fatal, Injury, and Property Damage Only per year) Scenario B, 865, 1211 Baseline, 1110 Highway 1 Projects Bus on shoulder, ramp metering, Mission St. intersection improvements Soquel / Freedom BRT Lite with increased transit frequency, buffered/protected bike lanes, bike/ped intersection improvements Rail ROW Bike and pedestrian trail, rail transit Goal 1 Safer transportation for all modes. PM: Countywide Mean Auto Speed (mph) Bike 4.4% Walk 10.7% Drive Alone 42.4% Scenario B AM Peak Period 6:00-9:00 AM Scenario B PM Peak Period 4:00-7:00 PM Transit 6.0% Carpool 36.5% PM: Mode Share Baseline Goal 2 Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods.

12 PM: Person trips across N-S Screenline 4:00-6:00 PM (In thousands) Revised 11/2/18 Scenario B 33K 33K 19K 31K 31K 19K Baseline 28K 27K 16K Seabright Avenue 41st Ave San Andreas/Freedom Goal 3 Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality. PM: Level Of Public Investment ($ millions) Revised 11/08/18 $48 $22 $26 New Public Investment Needed Funding Potential $884 $430 $455 PM: Visitor Tax Revenues (per year in millions) Scenario O&M Costs B Capital Scenario Costs B Total Transient Occupancy Tax Visitor Related Sales Tax $40.2 $39.0 $28.6 $28.1 $27.2 $18.3 $10.3 $12.1 $11.8 Baseline Scenario B

13 PM: Cost Associated with Collisions (per year) Revised 10/15/18 Cost per $224 K Collision x 1,211 Collisions = $271 M Collision Cost Cost per $224 K Collision x Scenario B 865 Collisions = Scenario B $192 M Collision Cost Cost -$78 M Savings Goal 4 Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts. PM: Automobile Vehicle Miles Traveled (Countywide VMT per day in millions) Scenario B Baseline 5.48 PM: Total Criteria Pollutants (metric tons per day) Baseline Scenario B CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 ROG NOX

14 PM: Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO 2 e Emissions (metric tons per day) and Percentage Reduction from 2015 Baseline CO 2 e 2,617-27% -28% 1,915 1,886 Baseline Scenario B PM: Environmentally Sensitive Areas (# linear miles along 3 routes) nd highest score Goal 5 Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users. PM: Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled (per year in millions) Scenario B Baseline 3.33

15 PM: Household Transportation Cost Percentage of Income Spent on Transportation (by median income households per year) 26% 24% Daily Costs for 2-Vehicle Households Scenario B $ % 16% 2015 Baseline $46.63 $ % 25% Baseline 2035 $50.14 $ Vehicle Household 2 Vehicle Household PM: Share of Investment Benefit for Transportation Disadvantaged Population 25.2% 13.7 % of population is transportation disadvantaged Scenario B

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17 Scenario C Step 2 Performance Measures PM: Total Collisions Revised 10/15/18 (Fatal, Injury, and Property Damage Only per year) Scenario C, 970, 1211 Baseline, 1110 Highway 1 Projects Bus on shoulders, auxiliary lanes Soquel / Freedom BRT Lite with increased transit frequency, multimodal intersection improvements Rail ROW Bike and pedestrian trail, bus rapid transit, freight service (in Watsonville) Goal 1 Safer transportation for all modes. PM: Countywide Mean Auto Speed (mph) Transit 4.8% Carpool 37.1% Bike 4.2% Walk 10.8% PM: Mode Share Drive Alone 43.1% Scenario C AM Peak Period 6:00-9:00 AM Baseline PM Peak Period 4:00-7:00 PM Scenario C Goal 2 Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods.

18 PM: Person trips across N-S Screenline 4:00-6:00 PM (In thousands) Revised 11/2/18 Scenario C 32K 32K 19K 31K 31K 19K Baseline 28K 27K 16K Seabright Avenue 41st Ave San Andreas/Freedom Goal 3 Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality. PM: Level Of Public Investment ($ millions) Revised 11/08/18 $30 $12 $18 New Public Investment Needed Funding Potential $729 $273 $455 PM: Visitor Tax Revenues (per year in millions) Total Transient Occupancy Tax Visitor Related Sales Tax O&M Scenario Costs C $39.7 $39.0 Capital Scenario Costs C $28.6 $27.8 $27.2 $18.3 $10.3 $11.9 $11.8 Baseline Scenario C

19 PM: Cost Associated with Collisions (per year) Revised 10/15/18 Cost per $224 K Collision x 1,211 Collisions = $271 M Collision Cost Cost per $224 K Collision x Scenario C 970 Collisions = Scenario C $217 M Collision Cost Cost -$54 M Savings Goal 4 Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts. PM: Automobile Vehicle Miles Traveled (Countywide VMT per day in millions) Scenario C Baseline PM: Total Criteria Pollutants (metric tons per day) Baseline Scenario C CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 ROG NOX

20 PM: Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO 2 e Emissions (metric tons per day) and Percentage Reduction from 2015 Baseline CO 2 e 2,617-27% -27% 1,915 1,899 Baseline Scenario C PM: Environmentally Sensitive Areas (# linear miles along 3 routes) 36.0 Lowest score Goal 5 Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users. PM: Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled (per year in millions) Scenario C Baseline 3.33

21 PM: Household Transportation Cost Percentage of Income Spent on Transportation (by median income households per year) 26% 24% Daily Costs for 2-Vehicle Households Scenario C $ % 16% 17% 25% Baseline 2015 Baseline $46.63 $ $50.14 $ Vehicle Household 2 Vehicle Household PM: Share of Investment Benefit for Transportation Disadvantaged Population 25.2% 13.7 % of population is transportation disadvantaged Scenario C

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23 Scenario E Step 2 Performance Measures PM: Total Collisions Revised 10/15/18 (Fatal, Injury, and Property Damage Only per year) Scenario E, 968, 1211 Highway 1 Projects HOV and auxiliary lanes, ramp meters Soquel / Freedom Buffered/protected bike lanes, bike/pedestrian intersection improvements Rail ROW Bike and pedestrian trail, rail transit, freight service Baseline, 1110 Goal 1 Safer transportation for all modes. PM: Countywide Mean Auto Speed (mph) Transit 5.3% Bike 4.4% Carpool 37.3% Walk 10.7% PM: Mode Share Drive Alone 42.3% Scenario E AM Peak Period 6:00-9:00 AM Baseline Scenario E PM Peak Period 4:00-7:00 PM Goal 2 Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods.

24 PM: Person trips across N-S Screenline 4:00-6:00 PM (In thousands) Revised 11/2/18 Scenario E 35K 39K 23K 31K 31K 19K Baseline 28K 27K 16K Seabright Avenue 41st Ave San Andreas/Freedom Goal 3 Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality. PM: Level Of Public Investment ($ millions) Revised 11/08/18 $40 $12 $28 New Public Investment Needed Funding Potential $1,279 $825 $455 PM: Visitor Tax Revenues (per year in millions) Total Transient Occupancy Tax Visitor Related Sales Tax $28.6 $40.1 $39.0 O&M Scenario Costs E Capital Scenario Costs E $28.1 $27.2 $18.3 $10.3 $12.0 $11.8 Baseline Scenario E

25 PM: Cost Associated with Collisions (per year) Revised 10/15/18 Cost per $224 K Collision x 1,211 Collisions = $271 M Collision Cost Cost per $224 K Collision x Scenario E 968 Collisions = Scenario E $217 M Collision Cost Cost -$54 M Savings Goal 4 Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts. PM: Automobile Vehicle Miles Traveled (Countywide VMT per day in millions) Scenario E Baseline PM: Total Criteria Pollutants (metric tons per day) Baseline Scenario E CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 ROG NOX

26 PM: Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO 2 e Emissions (metric tons per day) and Percentage Reduction from 2015 Baseline CO 2 e 2,617-27% -26% 1,915 1,928 Baseline Scenario E PM: Environmentally Sensitive Areas (# linear miles along 3 routes) 40.7 Highest score Goal 5 Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users. PM: Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled (per year in millions) Scenario E Baseline

27 PM: Household Transportation Cost Percentage of Income Spent on Transportation (by median income households per year) 26% 24% Daily Costs for 2-Vehicle Households Scenario E $ % 16% 17% 25% Baseline 2015 Baseline $46.63 $ $50.14 $ Vehicle Household 2 Vehicle Household PM: Share of Investment Benefit for Transportation Disadvantaged Population 23.5% 13.7 % of population is transportation disadvantaged Scenario E

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29 All Scenarios Comparison With Preferred Scenario GOAL 1 Safer transportation for all modes. Scenario A PM: Total Annual Collisions Fatal, Injury, and Property Damage Only Revised 10/15/ Baseline 1110 Scenario B 865 Scenario C 970 Scenario E 968 Preferred 865 Beyond GOAL 2 Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods Countywide Mean Auto Speed (MPH) Baseline Revised 11/02/ Baseline AM Peak Period (6-9am) PM Peak Period (4-7pm)

30 GOAL 2 Reliability and Efficiency (continued) 2015 Baseline Mode Share 2035 Drive Alone 44.8% Drive Alone 44.8% Carpool 38.4% Carpool 38.4% Walk 10.6% Walk 10.6% Bike 3.4% Bike 3.4% Transit 2.9% Transit 2.9% Scenario A Scenario B Drive Alone 42.8% Drive Alone 42.4% Carpool 37.8% Carpool 36.5% Walk 10.9% Walk 10.7% Bike 4.3% Bike 4.4% Transit 4.1% Transit 6.0% Scenario C Scenario E Drive Alone 43.1% Drive Alone 42.3% Carpool 37.1% Carpool 37.3% Walk 10.8% Walk 10.7% Bike 4.2% Bike 4.4% Transit 4.8% Transit 5.3% 2035 Preferred Beyond 2035 Drive Alone 42.7% Drive Alone 42.3% Carpool 36.7% Carpool 37.3% Walk 10.7% Walk 10.7% Bike 4.4% Bike 4.4% Transit 5.4% Transit 5.3%

31 GOAL 3 Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality. Level of Public Investment Capital Costs and Funding Potential Estimates ($ millions) Revised 11/08/18 New Public Investments Needed $901 $884 $522 $430 $729 $273 $1,279 $825 $948 $494 $1,279 Annual Capital Costs Funding Potential $379 $455 $455 $455 $455 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E Preferred Beyond 2035 Annual Cost for Operations & Maintenance ($ millions) $48 Revised 11/08/18 New Public Investments Needed Funding Potential $25 $13 $12 $22 $26 $30 $12 $18 $40 $35 $12 $9 $28 $26 $40 Annual O&M Costs Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E Preferred Beyond 2035

32 GOAL 3 Economic Vitality (continued) Total Transient Occupancy Tax Visitor Related Sales Tax Visitor Tax Revenues (per year in millions) $40.1 $40.2 $39.7 $40.1 $39.0 $40.1 $40.1 $28.6 $28.0 $28.1 $27.8 $28.1 $27.2 $28.1 $28.1 $18.3 $10.3 $12.0 $12.1 $11.9 $12.0 $11.8 $12.0 $12.0 Baseline Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E 2035 Preferred Beyond 2035 Cost Associated with Collisions ($ Revised millions/year) 10/15/18 Scenario A $219 $52 Scenario B $193 $78 Scenario C $217 $54 Scenario E $217 $54 Preferred Beyond 2035 $193 $216 $78 $55 $- $100 $200 $300 Collision Cost Savings

33 GOAL 4 Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts. Countywide Vehicle Miles Traveled Miles (in millions/day) 5.98 Baseline Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E 2035 Preferred Beyond 2035 Environmentally Sensitive Areas Scenario A (mi) Scenario B (mi) Scenario C (mi) Scenario E (mi) 2035 Preferred Beyond Total Criteria Pollutants (metric tons per day) Baseline No Build Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E 2035 Preferred Beyond 2035 CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 ROG NOX

34 GOAL 4 Environment (continued) CO2e Emissions (metric tons/day) and % Reduction from 2015 Baseline 2,617-27% -26% -28% -27% -26% -27% -26% CO 2 e (mtpd) 1,915 1,941 1,886 1,899 1,928 1,899 1,928 Baseline No Build Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E 2035 Preferred Beyond 2035 GOAL 5 Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users. Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled (millions/year) Scenario A 5.74 Scenario B 6.65 Scenario C 6.11 Scenario E 2035 Preferred Beyond Baseline

35 GOAL 5 Equity (continued) Household Transportation Cost (% of Median Income) 26% 18% Baseline 24% Baseline 16% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17% 1 Vehicle Household 2 Vehicle Household Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E 2035 Preferred Beyond 2035 Share of Investment Benefit for Transportation Disadvantaged Population 24.0% 25.2% 25.2% 23.5% 24.4% 23.5% 13.7 % of population is transportation disadvantaged Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E 2035 Preferred Beyond 2035

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