Points to be Considered and Concrete Actions for the Next Medium to Long-term Plan(draft)

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1 Document Points to be Considered and Concrete Actions for the Next Medium to Long-term Plan(draft) March, 2016 National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED)

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3 Medium to long-term objectives Establishment of flexible and efficient management system Concerning the items of the medium to long-term objectives and the description contents of the medium to long-term plans of NIED To Maximize research and development achievements "To Maximize research and development achievements" in earth science and disaster prevention means to realize a society whose each member is equipped with high disaster prevention power by scientific technology. Therefore, it is necessary to construct a research system in which Co-design and Co-production are available when researchers and the society are cooperatively engaged in solving the problems. Medium to long-term Medium to long-term plans objectives (points to be considered for the description contents) Formation of a core organization Promotion of fundamental research development Management of the Institute Promote cooperation and collaboration with private enterprises/local on disaster prevention and mitigation measures by making use of fundamental observation network,advanced research infrastructure, and cross-appointment system Promote acceptance of students by making use of internship program and collaboration with disaster prevention practitioners Promotion of observation and prediction research on seismic motion/tsunami by making use of the world's largest fundamental observation networks Promotion of research for the resilient improvement of social infrastructure by making use of the 3-D Full-Scale Earthquake Testing Facility(E-Defense) Promotion of research for mitigating the risk of disasters toward realization of a society that can implement appropriate disaster measures Medium to long-term plans (points to be considered for the description contents) Establish a system to support the President by installing Deputy Directors General who are in charge of extraordinary matters and by close cooperation among Vice President, Planning Department, and Deputy Directors General For emphasis matters, establish a flexible research and development system that can set up a project center to cross the professional sector of the departments Grasp the challenges of the present business operations by obtaining the advices and recommendations in an objective/professional and a wide range points of view from the outside Reflect the evaluation results to research plan and the allocation of budget/human 1 resources etc.

4 Efforts to Maximize Research and Development Achievements (Formation of a Core Institution) Things the hub produces- High fluidization of people and technology - Current situation (limit) Outcome is hard to reach in society Entrance Small) Achieve ment develop ment Achiev ement develo pment Exit Small) Achiev ement develo pment Construction of the hub by the rally of human resources and technology - Four years later (Hubbing) Entrance Large) (Development to collaborative research) Initial drive (accelerator) (Private weather company, etc.) Exit Small) (Quality improvement of the disaster prevention p erson in charge) Robust network formation of industry, academia, and government - Seven years later (Influence) Sustainable development of the innovation hub Entrance Large) Exit Large) Existing research community etc. V u l n e r a b l e n e t w o r k w i t h t h e o u t s i d e Development with an eye to the goal that corresponds to the needs PI class(crossappointment) Students (Partner Innovation hub Rally etc. graduate school) close to the society, industry and local Human resources concentrate from universities, industry, and local to rally to the hub, and leave the nest after learning the "knowledge, technology and experience" -All sites development - (Influence effect) etc. E-defense Innovation hub Earthquake/ Tsunami Volcano Social disaster preventi on system Fluidiz ation etc. R o b u s t n e t w o r k f o r m a t 2i o n o f i n d u s t r y, a c a d e m i a, a n d g o v e r n m e n t

5 Promoting basic and fundamental research and development on disaster prevention technologies Research and development in order to observe and predict disasters in real-time Strategic sophistication research of the earthquake and tsunami prediction technology Towards solving the problems of false alarms such as underestimation and aftershocks of the tsunami height in the Great East Japan Earthquake, carryout out the immediate prediction research of ground motion and tsunami by using the data of the fundamental earthquake observation network of land and sea or the like Observation prediction research of the volcano disaster Toward the volcano monitoring and observation systems and solve problems of transmission such as disaster prevention information that was revealed in the eruption of Ontakesan, conduct research on the grasp the volcanic activity and eruptions phenomena by taking advantage of the volcano observation network and remote sensing technologies that take advantage of the volcano observation network and remote sensing techniques, etc. and the way of volcano disaster risk communication Research and development aiming to improve the toughness of the social base Earthquake mitigation research by taking advantage of the E- defense system In order to contribute to the toughening of sophistication and social base of the earthquake disaster mitigation technology, conduct seisemic performance evaluation of the structure and demonstration experiment on the countermeasure technologies Fundamental research and development toward mitigation of disaster risks Research on water disaster prediction technique based on multi-sensing Toward the improvement of the utilization method of the prediction of heavy rains and others and prediction information, by using the multi-sensing technology, develop the torrential rain prediction technology up to one hour ahead and develop the tornado prediction information preparation technology by municipality unit and conduct the social implementation experiment in parallel Fusion research of risk assessment observation of the aspect of diversifying snow and ice disaster Toward challenges dissolution of traffic failure in heavy snowfall of 2014 in Koshinetsu region, develop the high-precision snowfall estimation method and the current state grasp technology of the snow and ice disaster risk degree and conduct the social implementation test Research on the natural disaster hazard and risk assessment Toward the realization of a society that can implement appropriate disaster measures, in order to prepare the earthquake and tsunami hazard evaluation method research Prediction of life (all processes) of the tsunami Utilization of land and sea integrated data Operation of the earthquake and tsunami observation network, etc Volcano observation prediction research by utilizing remote sensing technology the 3-D Full-Scale Earthquake Testing Facility (E-Defense) Observation by weather radar Seabed tsunami observation network Seismic observation network on land Ground-based radar E-Defense Shaking Test(Seismic assessment, response control, etc.) Prediction of "rolling to rolling period" of the earthquake Front detection of farfield tsunami Prediction technology development of the volcano disaster Sophistication of numerical shaking table Weather radar and grasp of risk degree of snow and ice disaster Research on the utilization of natural disaster hazard risk assessment and information Towards solving the problems of delay in the response by lack of information in the Great East Japan Earthquake, etc., in cooperation with the government and companies, or else, construct the information platform to realize the sharing and utilization of various types of disaster information that leads to the spread of Earthquake Tsunami Disaster information effective disaster management measures hazard assessment utilization system 3

6 Realize the observation network, such as guerrilla heavy rain 1km mesh 30-minute intervals Against the guerrilla heavy rain and tornadoes whose grasp has been difficult until now as they occur locally and sporadically, establish the high-precision rainfall observation technology National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED) develops the MP (multi-parameter) radar technology of high-resolution and high-precision rainfall observation technology. (FY 2000 to 2010) 500m mesh 5-minute intervals Succeeded in capturing the torrential rainfall" that was rapidly developing in a narrow range (at Zoshigaya in August 2008) Technology transfer to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport As a high-precision real-time rainfall observation network (XRAIN) widely utilized by the citizens and the organizations concerned (July ) Realization of the Emergency Earthquake Early Warning System Convey the information of the shaking before arrival of the main motion of the earthquake S Wave Earthquake Establish the immediate seismic center estimation technique that becomes the basis of earthquake early warning, by taking advantage of the data obtained by locations the seismometer of the high sensitivity seismograph network (Hi-net) that was installed across the country in about 800 locations by NIED. (FY 2000 to 2006) P Wave S Wave Main movement P Wave Cases for the maximization of research and development achievements First movement NIED implements the technology development in cooperation with private companies Conduct technology development and social experiment by the cooperation of the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology; Japan Meteorological Agency; National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED); Japan Weather Association; NPO; and private companies Technology transfer to the Japan Meteorological Agency Widely utilized by the citizens and the organizations concerned as Emergency Earthquake Early Warning (October ) Each nation member can confirm the situation change of the heavy rain with a smartphone XRAIN (MP Radar network) 14 areas, 38 units Population coverage rate: 90% or more Other than the river management and flood prevention activities, Utilize in various fields High-resolution precipitation "Nowcast" of the Japan Meteorological Agency Information dispatch and vigilance of the municipalities Safe operation of the aircraft and railway Delivery by the smartphone and TV stations In particular, widely used in the wake of the Great East Japan Earthquake and its aftershocks Distribution by television broadcasting Simultaneously delivered by the mobile Distribution by television broadcasting and mobile Ensuring safety in the local government and schools, and others Safe operation of the railways Automatic control of the emergency stop of such as an elevator and others Recorded 1.4 million access a day Information provided through the smartphone application Social experiment in collaboration with local Tokyo Fire Department, Edogawa-ward, or else It provides an estimate rainfall information to "Edogawa map" Information provided through the smartphone application 4

7 Opinions from external experts National Research and Development Agency Council Management Advisory Council External Evaluation Committee Evaluation, Advice, Proposal Flexible and efficient management system Management by the leadership of President Clear objectives set Streamlining of work environment Newly established (Enlarged) Board meeting Presentation of policy Instruction Presentation Evaluation, Resource allocation Flexibly organized Close communication Planning Department (Planning functions, Research promotion/support) Proposal Fundamental Research and Development Center Basic Research Department Some organization name and the like are tentative ones Deputy Director General Council Proposal General Affairs Department Internal control such as Compliance Aud itor Internal audit Audit Office 5