By Mr. Pierre El Khoury General Director, President of the Board Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation (LCEC)

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1 Beyond 2016 By Mr. Pierre El Khoury General Director, President of the Board Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation (LCEC) 23 September 2016 International Beirut Energy Forum Beirut, Lebanon

2 Outline LCEC plans in the near future: law 288 Announcement of 10 new public building sites Immediate announcement of the call for proposals for one building 2

3 LCEC Plans LCEC plans are based on two national documents: National Energy Efficiencyi At Act tion Plan (NEEAP ) 2020) (already published) National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP ) 2020) (to be published soon) 3

4 Reminder: National Basis Declaration of the Lebanese Government, 2009 The adoption of a national road map built on modern environmental concepts (green energy) and counting on renewable energy sources to reach 12% of Lebanon s needs by the year 2020 حديثة (الطاقة الخضراء) وتعتمد على مصادر الطاقة ا«عتماد خريطة طريق وطنية مبنية على مفاھيم بيئية «.2020 لبنان عن قا طريقھا فيالا العام استھالك من المتجددة وصواال إلى تأمين حوالي %12 Policy Paper for the Electricity i Sector, 2010 Commits to launching, supporting and reinforcing all initiatives to adopt the utilization of renewable energies to reach 12% of electric and thermal supply 4

5 2010 As the Baseline Year Figure 4: Primary Energy Mix in 2010 in Lebanon (toe) Primary Energy Mix in 2010 in Lebanon (measured in tons of oil equivalent toe) 5

6 Baseline Definition Description Baseline Demand (ktoe) Electricity generated from 3,,090 non renewable energy resources Notes Electricity generated from renewable energy resources Heating generated from all resources Cooling generated from all resources Liquid Gas: 27.2, SWH: 12.72, N.A. Diesel: 127.6, Other resources: N.A TOTAL GENERATION 34 3,

7 Heating/Electricity Demand till 2030

8 Very Important (and Challenging) Assumptions 12% target is a percentage of the demand in 2020 not only supply 12% target is a percentage of the electricity and heating demand in % target is a percentage of the electricity and heating demand in terms of energy (not power or capacity) in % target is a percentage of the electricity and heating demand in terms of energy (not power or capacity) in 2020 based on a 7% yearly increase in demand (as per the policy paper for the electricity sector) 8

9 12% by 2020 = 767 ktoe Year Total National Heating and Electricity Demand (Measured in ktoe) Total National Renewable Energy Production (Measured in ktoe) Share of Renewable Energy Production of the Total Energy Production (%) Baseline Year ,,438 (actual) 4,822 (projected) (actual) 5.63% (actual) (actual) 5.12% (actual) 6,389 (projected) 767 (set target) 12% (set target)

10 Renewable Energy Mix by Billion USD

11 Power Capacity and Energy Production in 2020 Year MW Wind 200 PV, CPV 150 Distributed PV 100 CSP 50 SWH 1,053,988 Total Hydro Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target 2020 GWh ktoe m , , ,

12 LCOE of Each Technology (USC/kWh)

13 Payback Period for Each Technology Geothermal Micro Hydro Rehab New Hydro SWH CSP DPV PV Wind

14 More Details on the Technologies Three wind energy farms (80 MW, 60MW,and60MW) 120 MW of solar farms by the priv vate sector and 30 MW by the public sector 100 MW of decentralized dsolar farms (rooftop applications) A CSP farm with 50 MW capacity (inthebekaaarea) 1,000,000 square meters of solar water heaters installations Hydroelectricity: 236 MW rehabilitation and 95 MW new hydro plants 166 ktoe of bioenergy (waste to energy, methane use, and others) 14

15 Laws 288/2014 and 54/2015 Law 288/2014 (dated 30/4/2014) «بصورة مؤقتة ولمدة سنتين لحين تعيين اعضاء الھيئة واضطالعھا بمھامھا تمنح اذونات وتراخيص الة والمالية.» الطاقة والمياه االنتاجقا بقرار من مجلسالزا الوزراء بناء علىاقتا اقتراح وزيري Law 54/ فقرة الى المادة 7 من «يتم تمديد العمل باحكام القانون رقم القانون 462 تاريخ » لغاية اضافة عبر 288/2014 Onemainbarrieristheissueofthe traditional power plants to be built Transaction Advisor, especially for by the private sector. Laws 288 and 54 are ideal for the inclusion of private sector entities in the production of electricity from renewable energy sources, exclusively. 15

16 Plans to Proceed The call for proposals will cover all regions of Lebanon as per the following distribution for solar PV farms: Mount Lebanon a targeted minimumof30mwandamaximumof 45 MW North a targetedt minimum i of 30 MW and amaximum of 45 MW South a targeted minimum of 30 MW and a maximum of 45 MW Bekaa a targeted minimum of 30 MW and a maximum of 45 MW In each region of Lebanon, the minimum power capacity of one given solar farm is 10 MW and the maximum power capacity is 15 MW Thereisnoobstacletoallowsmaller PV farms in any region of Lebanon (5 MW or less) in case of land issue or national sites 16

17 Pricing? PPA? Optimistic? This approach is welcomed and supported by the Minister of Energy and Water H.E. Mr. Arthur Nazarian This approach is in harmony with the Policy Paper for the Electricity Sector that was approved by the Council of Ministers LCEC is quiet optimistic, yet realistic Based on the experience gained with the wind farm bd bid, a PPA draft contract will be ready With RCREEE, a professional software model will be used for pricing A first indicator is anywhere under 10 USD/kWh, noting that the average cost of EDL is between 16 and 22 USD/kWh 17

18 10 Solar PV Systems in Public Facilities TheMinistryofEnergyandWaterthrough LCEC is hereby announcing its intention to install 10 solar PV systems in 10 public buildings in Lb Lebanon The budget for the 10 projects is available and the expression of interest t is to beshared din thenextt 10 days Interested companies are requested to contact the LCEC As a sign of recognition to the companies participating in the IBEF 2016, these companies will be notified ahead of other companies The buildings include the Ministry of Energy and Water building, the Lebanese Army, the Lebanese Internal Security, and other landmark buildings 18

19 Bid for the Ministry of Energy and Water The solar PV system to be installed on the rooftop of the Ministry of Energy and Water building Exclusively dedicated to the companies participating at the 7 th Edition of the International Beirut Energy Forum

20 Bid for the Ministry of Energy and Water Around kw capacity (total area of around 900 square meters) Call for proposals available to be collected 20

21 Thank You! efficient resources, sustainable achievements The Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation (LCEC) Ministry of Energy and Water Corniche du Fleuve First Floor Room 303 Telephone: