IEEJ Feb GJETC Outreach event in Berlin, Germany 16 February. 2018

Transcription

1 GJETC Outreach event in Berlin, Germany 16 February

2 Strategic Topic 2 2 Strategic framework and socio-cultural aspects of the energy transition Objective 1. To identify the targets, strategies and strategic framework conditions in Germany and Japan for a successful energy transition 2. To analyzed the respective socio-cultural preconditions in both countries and the approaches on changes of lifestyle and actors behavior in the fields of consumption, habitation, mobility, products, production and services. 3. To examine the perception of the energy transition by the general public and geographical differences between Germany and Japan.

3 accessibility (geopolitically) ST2; Key findings 3 In both countries, energy policy is based on the principles of economic efficiency, energy security and environmental sustainability ( 3Es ). However, strategy is different between Germany and Japan. Renewables today availability (technically) Oil crises Since the 1990s dependeny on Russian natural gas energy security acceptability Nuclear accidents fossil fuels and climate change affordability Oil price peaks Figure: (1) Social shifts underlying the anti-nuclear-movement narrative, (2) Energy security (Source: IZES/Areport Consult/IGES/Nagoya University/NIES 2017)

4 ST2; Key findings 4 Commonality The citizens in both countries have a favorable view of the transition to low carbon society. The recent trend to prosumerism. Germany Anti-nuclear movement since 1970s has been influencing energy policy. Japan Due to its geographic situation, energy security concerns have been engrained in behavior. Because of such commonality and difference, An intensified bilateral policy research dialogue between the two countries has been identified as crucial, complemented by a national multi-stakeholder dialogue with businesses, civil society and the research community.

5 Strategic Topic 3 5 New allocation of roles and business segments of established and new participants in the energy sector currently and within a future electricity market design Objective 1. National framework conditions in both countries especially for the electricity market design influencing the role of established and new participants in the energy sector 2. The technical and economic challenges for a new electricity market arrangements and designs 3. The conditions regarding a decentralized energy market for Japan and Germany, so that new actors receive a fair playing field to develop robust business models.

6 ST3; Key findings 6 While Germany has longer and deeper experience in the liberalization of electricity markets, both countries face similar challenges for electricity market design of the near future. These concern, i.a., the flexibility options and costs for system integration of fluctuating wind and PV generation, but also coupling the power, heat, and transport sectors. Views on the future role of conventional power generation, particularly coal and nuclear, diverge. New business and consumer concepts, such as prosumers, municipal utilities, and energy cooperatives, provide opportunities.

7 ST3; Key findings 7 Figure: (1) Cross-border transmission lines (as of end-2016) in Germany, (2) German cross-border flows with neighboring countries (Source: IZES/JEPIC 2017)

8 ST3; Key findings 8 Figure: (1) Ten electric utilities and their areas, (2) Transfer Capacity and Maximum Electricity Demand Forecast (Source: IZES/JEPIC 2017)

9 Summary 9 Simple copy of a strategy/policy in one country to another is impossible due to different framework conditions. However we can find some challenges and lessons learns that we can commonly share. e.g. Need to address for; - flexibility option for VRE - cost for system integration of VRE - coupling sector Therefore, it would be a mutual benefit to continue this type of dialogue for accelerating respective energy transition.

10 10 We provide part of our cutting-edge research results on energy and the environment on our website free On the 31st January 2018, the Think Tanks and Civil Societies Program at the University of Pennsylvania (U.S.) released its 2017 Global Go To Think Tank Index Report, the most comprehensive ranking of the world s top think tanks. of charge. In the ranking for 2017, the Institute of Energy Economics, Japan ( IEEJ ) is ranked 2nd in the world in the category of Energy and Resource Policy Think Tanks. Past Ranking 3rd 1st 3rd 2nd (2014) (2015) (2016) (2017)