Vancouver, Canada Greenest City Action Plan & Climate Adaptation Strategy

Transcription

1 SESSION No. 8 Adapting to Climate Change Vancouver, Canada Greenest City Action Plan & Climate Adaptation Strategy Gordon Price, City Councillor, Vancouver, Canada; Fellow with the Simon Fraser University (SFU) Center for Dialogue

2 QUESTION: WILL SUSTAINABILITY AVERT CATASTROPHE?

3 Climate Change IT S TOO LATE.

4 October 3, 2016 Safe level : 350 ppm

5 October 3, 2016 Mauna Loa, Hawaii, reported that levels had recently risen above the symbolically important figure of 400 parts per million, and were likely to stay that way for the indefinite future.

6 The Age of Frequent Catastrophe

7 October 5, 2016 To pay the tab, the United States Forest Service has had to take money away from other programs in place that are intended to prevent big fires from burning

8 October 5, 2016 Intact Financial Corp. did little to calm investors still jittery from the losses insurers incurred after the Fort McMurray wildfires the insurer warned Tuesday that catastrophe losses from other events in the third quarter would be higher than expected.

9 October 7, 2016 It s really stunning that in the three nationally televised forums we ve had so far the moderators have asked not a single question about climate.

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11 These people (in the financial markets) believed that the collapse of the subprime mortgage market was unlikely precisely because it would be such a catastrophe.

12 Nothing so terrible could ever actually happen.

13 DOUBLING DOWN is an expression of confident disbelief.

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15 October 6, 2016

16 Tsawwassen Mills

17 FRASER SURREY DOCK EXPANSION THERMAL COAL FROM WYOMING Port Mann Bridge Massey Bridge Coal Port

18 PORT MANN BRIDGE Widest bridge in the world OPEN 2012

19 CLEM 7 TUNNEL Brisbane

20 The First Rule of Holes: STOP DIGGING

21 If you change the conversation to things that we all care about efficiency, not being wasteful, innovation, moving things forward, you can actually create consensus where there seems to be only polarization. - Andrew Revkin

22 VANCOUVER: GREENEST CITY IN THE WORLD BY

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24 STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE Consultation: public, internal and external Advisory Committees Greenest City Action Team Report: A Bright Green Future Draft: Greenest City Action Plan Public engagement Greenest City Action Plan adopted July

25 GREENEST CITY FRAMEWORK 3 HIGH-LEVEL OBJECTIVES 10 GOAL AREAS ZERO CARBON ZERO WASTE Green Buildings Green Transportation Zero Waste Access to Nature HEALTHY ECOSYSTEMS Clean Water Local Food Clean Air 27

26 Climate & Renewables Green Buildings Green Transport Zero Waste Green Economy -33% -20% 50% -50% community GHGs energy & GHGs trips by bike, foot, transit waste to landfill 2x green jobs carbon neutral new construction -20% resident distance driven 2x green businesses Baseline TARGETS ACROSS 10 GOAL AREAS 28

27 Access to Nature Clean Water Clean Air Local Food Lighter Footprint 95% % land base 5-min walk to green space water quality exceedances air quality exceedances food assets -33% ecological footprint 150k new trees -33% per-capita consumption Baseline TARGETS ACROSS 10 GOAL AREAS 29

28 POSITIVE RESULTS SINCE targets achieved 50% - 27% - 15% - 23% +38% +19% Mode share Vehicle km driven per capita GHGs Waste to landfill or incinerat or Food assets Continuing areas of focus: Green jobs accelerating GHG reductions reducing water consumption greening businesses SUMMARY 30

29 Sea Level Rise is the largest risk due to climate change 34

30 Vancouver adopted its Climate Adaptation Strategy in

31 Jericho Locarno Stanley Park Kits Coal Harbour False Creek Southland s 37 Fraser Industrial

32 With increasing sea level rise our risk grows significantly Extreme Storm Event, High Tide 2020

33 Future Flood Hazard Mapping Extreme Storm Event, High Tide 2100

34 Coastal Flood Risk Assessment (CFRA) Overview PHASE 1 Flood hazard today and in 2100 What is at risk and potential losses 2012 VBBL Flood Construction Level from 3.5m to 4.6m 2014 PHASE 2 Develop response options for 11 areas and compare options

35 EXAMPLE: False Creek PROTECT with sea barrier closed 3-4 days/yr; increasing over time ~10m high 360m wide

36 POSITIVE RESULTS SINCE targets achieved 50% - 27% - 15% - 23% +38% +19% Mode share Vehicle km driven per capita GHGs Waste to landfill or incinerat or Food assets Continuing areas of focus: Green jobs accelerating GHG reductions reducing water consumption greening businesses SUMMARY 42

37 REDUCED VEHICLE USAGE THROUGH ACTIVE TRANSPORTATION RENEWABLY POWERED TRANSPORTATION THROUGH ELECTRIC VEHICLES, SUSTAINABLE- BIOFUEL HYBRIDS, AND OTHER RENEWABLE FUELS RENEWABLE CITY STRATEGY 44

38 Walkable Urban

39 Transit Friendly

40 Cyclable Dunsmuir Street, Vancouver, B.C.

41 October 4, 2016

42 October 5, 2016 Mobi bikeshare

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45 Comox Helmcken Greenway

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50 Two studies looked at behaviour before and after the greenway was improved. 16% increase in the number of days of moderate physical activity 9.8% decrease in the number of days of poor mental and physical health 49% increase in cycling trips 35% decrease in auto trips

51 October 3, 2016

52 One danger of alarmism, Dr. Keeling said, is that it can make people feel hopeless and throw up their hands. The first step is just to stop the increase, he said, no matter how high the numbers rise in the meantime. There s no punting on global warming. - Ralph Keeling, professor at Scripps Institution of Oceanography

53 Apocalyptic

54 Reality

55 Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn t go away. - Philip K. Dick

56 DOUBLING DOWN is an expression of confident disbelief.

57 DOUBLING UP is an expression of confident possibility.

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59 Carbon Footprint 3.2 tonnes of C0 2 $ in offsets

60 Starts April 15 SFU CITY PROGRAM Next-Generation Cities and Transportation A foundation in the principles and practices of nextgeneration transportation and its role in advancing liveable and resilient cities of the future.

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