Notification of new depreciation rules on wind power plants

Transcription

1 EFTA Surveillance Authority Rue Belliard Brussels, Belgium Your ref Our ref Date 14/4159 SL LJ Notification of new depreciation rules on wind power plants 1. INTRODUCTION In accordance with article 1 (3) of Part I of protocol 3 to the Surveillance and Court Agreement the Ministry of Finance hereby notifies to the EFTA Surveillance Authority ( the Authority ) amendments to the depreciation rules for wind power plants (amendments to the Norwegian Tax Act of 26 March 1999 no. 14 ("the Tax Act"), section 14-51). According to the amendments, most assets in wind power plants acquired from 1 January 2015 till 31 December 2020, or later if the deadline to be entitled to electricity certificates is extended 1, can be depreciated according to the straight line method over five years. The objective of the measure is to stimulate new investments in wind power in Norway. Accelerated depreciation rules for investments in wind power plants were signalized in the State Budget for 2015 (Prop. 1 LS ( ) chapter 20) 2 in September A proposal was sent on public consultation on 16 February , and the law passed in Parliament on 19 June In line with Article 1 (3) of Part I of Protocol 3 of the Surveillance and Court Agreement, the preparatory works of the new depreciation rules 1 After the amendments to the Norwegian Tax Act regarding new depreciation rules, the final deadline for Norwegian producers was deferred one year, from 31 December 2020 to 31 December See information below 2 Please confer enclosure 1, Prop. 1 LS ( ) 3 Please confer enclosure 2, Høringsnotat endringer i avskrivningsreglene for vindkraft 4 Please confer enclosure 3, Prop. 120 LS ( ) chapter 10 and enclosure 4, act 19 June 2015 no. 52 Postal address P.O Box 8008 Dep NO-0030 Oslo, Norway postmottak@fin.dep.no Office address Akersg. 40 Telephone Org. no Tax Law Department Telephone /33 Telefax

2 state that they are made conditional upon approval from the Authority. The date for entering into force of the new legislation depends on a decision by the Council of State. Thus, the stand-still-obligation is met, and the new rules will not enter into force until the state aid question has been clarified. The new rules were originally meant to have effect from 1 January However, to ensure that the measure will have the required incentive effect, the Norwegian government has decided to defer the date of effect to the date the law passed in Parliament, i.e. 19 June Further, it will clearly be stated in the Tax Act article that the new rules will not be applicable if work on the project has started before 19 June Thus, the scheme will cover only new investments from 19 June Based on this the Norwegian authorities will propose amendments to the current rules to the Parliament. Norway is notifying the scheme based on the premise that the Tax Act will be amended and only investments as of 19 June 2015 will be eligible for aid. The current depreciation rules and the proposed amendments are described in section 4 of this notification. 2. BACKGROUND The Norwegian government will facilitate a continued efficient climate-friendly and secure energy supply, and therefore wishes to increase the production of renewable electricity in Norway. This includes strengthening the wind power sector, which has a considerable unexploited potential in Norway. The Government s main instrument to increase production of renewable electricity is the Norwegian-Swedish electricity certificate ( certificate ) market, which was established on 1 January The certificate system was established in accordance with the cooperation mechanisms in article 11 in EU's Renewables Directive (Directive 2009/28/EC). The joint certificate system is regulated by the agreement between Norway and Sweden of 29 June 2011 and an amendment of 8 April The amendment to the agreement sets out a common target for new renewable electricity production of 28.4 TWh in Norway and Sweden in 2020 from plants built after 1 January The amendment increased the target from 26.4 TWh to 28.4 TWh. In Norway, power plants have to start generation no later than 31 December 2021 in order to have the right to receive certificates. The final deadline for Norwegian producers was deferred one year, from 31 December 2020 to 31 December 2021, in an amendment to the Electricity Certificate Act, which entered into force 1 January The amendment was done in order to reduce the risk of losing the right to receive 5 Please confer enclosure 5 regarding electricity certificates 6 Please confer enclosures 16 and 17 Page 2

3 certificates due to delays of production planned to start by The power plants in the certificate market have the right to receive certificates for up to 15 years. The Norwegian and the Swedish governments are responsible for the framework for the certificate market, including the production goal. Electricity suppliers and some end-users of electricity have an obligation by law to buy certificates corresponding to a certain proportion (quota) of their electricity sales or use. The electricity suppliers' costs of certificates are included in the electricity bill to the end users. In this way, electricity end-users contribute to finance the increase in renewable electricity production. The scheme is not financed through state resources in any form, but is designed in particular to have the additional cost of producing renewable electricity borne directly by the market, that is to say, by users of electricity 7.The Norwegian- Swedish certificate market is similar to the previous Swedish certificate market. The Norwegian authorities consider the joint certificate scheme not to entail state aid 8 In this regard, the Norwegian authorities based their assessment on the 2003 Commission decision stating that the Swedish certificate market does not entail state aid. Investment decisions for renewable electricity production are based on several factors as described in the attached expert report 9, prepared by the Norwegian consultant Thema Consulting Group ( Thema ) 10. The prices of certificates are determined in the market based on trade between buyers and sellers of certificates. There are no fixed or guaranteed minimum prices for certificates. According to economic theory, the price of certificates should be driven by the cost of investing in new renewable power and the demand of certificates, set by the production target. In an economic model, rational investors with full information would develop projects along an upward sloping supply curve. The market price of certificates would be set by the financial gap in the last marginal project needed to obtain the production target of 28.4 TWh. This is also the basis for Thema s fundamental analysis as described in section 5. According to Thema s report, wind power will be the technology with potential to clear the production goal of 28.4 TWh. Thus, in a fundamental analysis, the long run marginal costs of wind power will be setting the market price of certificates. However, current prices in the forward market are considerably lower than the cost level for wind power. According to the attached report, prices would have to increase with more than 10 EUR/MWh (25 pct.) before a substantial amount of wind power 7 EEA Agreement article 61, cfr. also enclosure 6, ECJ judgment 379/98 Preussen Elektra, enclosure 7, ECJ judgement C-573/12 Åland Vindkraft AB and enclosure 8, N789/2002 Green certificates 8 Please confer enclosure 8, N789/2002 Green certificates. Reference to this case is made in the preparatory work of the Norwegian act on electricity certificates; confer enclosure 9; Prop. 101 L Please confer enclosure 10, Thema Consulting Group's report Please confer enclosure 11 about Thema Consulting Group Page 3

4 would be profitable (the effect of the new depreciation rule is then included). Market prices of electricity and certificates are even lower than the forward prices used in Thema's report dated 16 November 2015 (used in Thema s report). The combined sales price of electricity and certificates is today approximately 10 pct. lower than the market price assumed in Thema s market scenario, ref. figure 12 and 13 in the report from Thema. The market participants are well informed about the potential for new renewable projects and the demand for new renewable productions to fulfil the production goal of 28.4 TWh. Future price developments are uncertain and investors have to make their own price assumptions to be used in investment decisions. Market prices of certificates (spot prices and forward prices until 2021) are listed by Svensk Kraftmäkling 11. Forward market prices of electricity are listed by Nasdaq 12. In the period 1 January 2012 to 1 January 2016, new renewable electricity production corresponding to a normalized annual production of 13.8 TWh has been established under the electricity certificate scheme 11.6 TWh in Sweden and 2.2 TWh in Norway. Table 1 shows the distribution of developed production capacity in the electricity certificate market. To reach the overall target of 28.4 TWh new renewable electricity production in 2020, an additional 14.6 TWh of new renewable electricity production must be established under the scheme before the end of It is clear from table 1 that so far substantial investments have been made in Swedish wind power, GWh, as opposed to only 337 GWh in Norway. Bio Solar Hydro Wind Total Sweden Norway Source: Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE) Table 1: Distribution of new renewable production in the electricity certificate market under the common target as of 1 January Normalized production in TWh As stated above the Norwegian government wants to increase the production of renewable electricity. Since 2012 hydropower has been developed in Norway, but only a minor amount of wind power. The Norwegian government therefore have decided to amend the depreciation rules for new investments in wind power. 3. WIND POWER IN NORWAY The Norwegian government wishes to increase the production of renewable energy in line with the EU Renewables Directive. Norway has a target of a renewable share of 11 Please confer enclosure Please confer enclosure 26 Page 4

5 67.5 pct. In accordance with the Directive, Norway has developed an action plan for achieving the national target, which was submitted to ESA at the end of June The certificate scheme is the most important single measure for achieving the target of a renewable share of 67.5 pct. In 2014, the renewable share was 69.2 pct. However, the share varies from one year to another, as it is vulnerable to changes in weather conditions pct. is higher than estimated in the Renewable energy action plan. The main reason is that the consumption was lower than normal because of higher temperatures, and the production of electricity was also larger than normal, mainly due to increased precipitation. The legal basis for the Norwegian target of 67.5 pct. share of energy from renewable sources by 2020 was settled after negotiations between the EU and Norway on the implementation of the Renewables Directive in the EEA Agreement. The explicit legal basis for the target is Decision of the EEA Joint Committee no. 162/2011 of 19 December 2011, Article 1 (e) 13. This provision constitutes an adaptation to the Renewables Directive Annex I, where the national targets for the EU countries appear. Norway has an electricity production mix dominated by hydropower. In 2015, Norway produced 145 TWh electricity. Of this, 139 TWh came from hydropower, 3.5 TWh from thermal energy (gas-fired plants) and 2.5 TWh came from wind power. Most of the wind power was developed before startup of the certificate market in 2012.This gives a production mix of 95.9 pct. hydropower, 2.4 pct. thermal power and 1.7 pct. wind power. Therefore almost all power production in Norway is already renewable. The Norwegian-Swedish electricity market is the main instrument to achieve the Norwegian obligation in the EU s Renewable Directive. The target is 28.4 TWh new renewable electricity production in 2020, installed in Norway and Sweden after 1 January Consequently, new renewable power investments are needed. The Norwegian authorities note that since 2012 hydropower has been the main source of increased renewable energy generation in Norway, but the potential for further development is limited. The alternative technology, wind power, has a large potential, but very few projects have been developed so far since costs are considerably higher than the market price for electricity and certificates. Norway has good wind resources, which so far have not been extensively exploited. As the cost of wind power largely is a function of the wind resource, wind power in Norway would be more cost efficient than wind power in most other countries. The capacity factor, which illustrates the amount of energy per unit of installed capacity, is high in 13 Please confer enclosure 24 Page 5

6 Norway, as shown in the IEA wind power group's annual report for Here, Norwegian wind power plants are shown to have a capacity factor of 31 pct., only surpassed by USA. However, wind turbine technology for low wind conditions has been improved and the technology has been used at several wind power plants. Thus, the profitability of wind power in low wind conditions has improved relative to high wind conditions. Licenses have been granted to Norwegian wind power projects that could generate more than 12.2 TWh annually, if developed. This represents only a fraction of the technical potential, which has been estimated at several hundred TWh per year. Several reports concur on this, e.g. NVE report Despite licenses being granted, very few wind power projects have been developed. The certificate system is the primary tool for promoting new renewable electricity and to achieve the renewables share goal. However, with the certificate market only, very few investments have been made in Norwegian wind power plants. Up until end 2015, the certificate market has triggered investments totaling 108 MW of wind power in Norway, with an average yearly production of 337 GWh. The total installed wind power capacity in Norway was 873 MW at the end of After the Parliament had adopted the rules in June 2015, an investor group recently announced their investment decision for a large wind power project in central Norway, with a yearly production of GWh. Consequently, the Norwegian authorities see the new depreciation rules for wind power plants as an instrument to increase Norwegian investment in wind power. 4. DEPRECIATIONS OF WIND POWER PLANTS 4.1 Current depreciation rules In Norway, assets in wind power plants have been depreciated according to the general depreciation system, which aims to correspond with the expected economic life of the asset. Pursuant to the general depreciation system, assets in wind power plants have been capitalised and depreciated using the declining balance method at different maximum rates, depending on the classification of the asset. Assets in wind power plants have normally been classified under the following groups; (i) cars, tractors, machines, equipment, instruments, furniture and fixtures etc. at the rate of 20 pct pct. in the start-up year, (ii) equipment for transmission and distribution of electric power and electric devices in power plants at the rate of 5 pct., and (iii) industrial buildings, hotels, guest houses and restaurants at the rate of 4 pct. 14 Please confer enclosure Please confer enclosure 14 Page 6

7 4.2 New depreciation rules In June Norway introduced statutory provisions allowing most of the assets 17 in wind power plants to be depreciated according to the straight line method over five years. (i.e. a maximum of 1 /5 of the cost price annually). The new depreciation rules for wind power plants imply that deductions in taxable income will occur at an earlier point in time than according to current rules. The purpose of the measure is to stimulate to increased future investments in wind power plants in Norway. Thus, the new depreciation rules will only be applicable for new wind power plant investments. It has not been the legislator s intention that investments in wind power plants made before introduction of the new depreciation rules should be comprised by the new rules. Consequently, transfer of such wind power plants or shares in a company owing such wind power plants from one entity to another will not give the buyer the right to depreciate the transferred assets according to the new rules. The new rules were originally meant to have effect for assets acquired from 1 January However, to ensure that the measure will have the required incentive effect, the Norwegian government has decided to defer the date of effect to the date the law passed in Parliament, i.e. 19 June Further, it will clearly be stated in the Tax Act article that the new rules will not be applicable if work on the project has started before 19 June Thus, the scheme will cover only new investments from 19 June In line with Article 1 (3) of Part I of Protocol 3 of the Surveillance and Court Agreement, the preparatory works of the new depreciation rules state that they are made conditional upon approval from the Authority. The date for entering into force of the new legislation depends on a decision by the Council of State. Thus, the stand-stillobligation is met, and the new rules will not enter into force until the state aid question has been clarified. Based on this the Norwegian authorities will propose amendments to the current rules to the Parliament. Norway is notifying the scheme based on the premise that the Tax Act will be amended and only investments as of 19 June 2015 will be eligible for aid. The Norwegian authorities would like to inform the Authority that no payments under the new depreciation scheme will be made until the Authority has reached a decision regarding the case at hand. 16 Please confer enclosure 3, Prop. 120 LS ( ) 17 Depreciation rules for investments in roads and buildings connected to the wind power plants will remain unchanged Page 7

8 In the General Block Exemption Regulation (GBER) preamble (20) it is stated that it is a condition for automatic aid schemes in the form of tax advantages that the scheme has been adopted before the beneficiary started to work on the aided project. In the EFTA Surveillance Authority Guidelines on State aid for environmental protection and energy (EEAG) a similar condition is not directly mentioned, but it is our understanding that a similar condition must be interpreted in EEAG point (45). Thus, the Norwegian government has the intention to clearly state in the Tax Act article that the new rules will not be applicable if work on the project has started before 19 June The rules will only be applicable for investments made by 31 December 2021, which is the deadline for Norwegian renewable producers to be entitled to electricity certificates. The new depreciation rules are, as most tax legislation, in principle objectively, neutrally and generally designed, which means that any tax payer with taxable income/deductible loss in Norway may benefit from the rules regardless of size, type and profitability provided that the above mentioned conditions are met. Thus, no application process will be required. In accordance with the general principle for depreciation deductions, also depreciations on wind power plants will imply a reduction of the tax payer s income/increase of loss. Depreciations on wind power plants are not a new phenomenon in the Norwegian tax system. However, the new rules imply accelerated depreciations compared with current system. Please also note that according to the Norwegian tax system, all deductible costs may be deducted regardless of whether the tax payer is in a tax position or not. If the tax payer s net income is negative, the tax loss can be carried forward without any time limitations. If the tax payer cease to exist (e.g. wind up), the tax loss carry forward will be lost. The effect of the change of the depreciation rules for wind power plants is illustrated in figure 1. The depreciation curve is shifted forward, and thus the net present value of the tax deduction increases. Under the general rules the depreciation would decline over the lifetime, with a high remaining value at the time of termination. Page 8

9 Current rules New depreciation rules Figure 1: Illustration of tax depreciation under current and new rules In Sweden, wind power plants are classified as machines, which are depreciated in the group for fixtures. The classification of wind power plants as machines is a result of an advance tax ruling from the Swedish tax authority 18. Pursuant to the depreciation system in Sweden, the taxpayer may choose between depreciating fixtures using the declining balance method at the rate of 30 %, or using a straight line depreciation method over 5 years. The taxpayer may also choose to combine the two depreciation methods. The current differences between depreciations of wind power plants in Norway and Sweden imply that such depreciations are more favourable in Sweden than in Norway, cf. figure Please confer enclosure 15, Skatterättsnamnden, ställningstagande 20. april 2005 Page 9

10 Yearly depreciation Current Norwegian depreciation rules Swedish depreciation (5 yeras linear) Figure 2: Illustration of tax depreciation for wind power in Norway and Sweden With the new rules, the Norwegian depreciation curve will be shifted forward and deductions can be almost as early as with Swedish depreciation rules. The effect of the new Norwegian rules will approximately mirror the depreciation rules currently in force in Sweden, but the Swedish rules are to some extent more favourable than the new Norwegian rules. We have informed our Swedish colleagues of the new depreciation rules for wind power plants. They do not have objections to this regarding the common Norwegian-Swedish certificate market. Article 5 of the agreement between Norway and Sweden on the joint market for electricity certificates 19 states that the basic principle shall be that electricity certificates shall constitute sufficient support for the promotion of investment in plants that produce renewable electricity. The article state that this provision shall not be applied to existing or potential future investment or operational support that the parties provide through the tax system. 5. ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECT OF NEW DEPRECIATION RULES The Norwegian authorities have carried out an assessment of the effects of the measure in terms of increasing investment in wind power and regarding the possible adverse effects to other renewable electricity technologies. In order to have a good basis for estimating the effects, the Government has requested Thema to prepare an updated report on the effects of the new depreciation rules, cf. the attached report 20, dated 1 December Thema has previously delivered several reports on the expected renewable electricity production to industry associations and to the Ministry of Petroleum and Energy. Thema is known to have good knowledge about the Nordic 19 Please confer enclosure Please confer enclosure 10 Page 10

11 Langsiktig marginalkostnad [EUR/MWh] electricity market, the potential for renewable projects, and they have built a model to analyse the effects of changes in tax rules. In the Government's opinion, this report gives the best estimates of the effects of the new depreciation rules and should be considered as part of the notification documents. Based on the knowledge of renewable projects under consideration, Thema has constructed a supply curve of possible new projects, ref. figure 3. The remaining potential for hydropower projects is limited and projects have large variations in costs. The potential for wind power projects is considerably higher and the cost curve starts at 40 EUR/MWh and a large potential is seen between 50 and 60 EUR/MWh Norsk + svensk vindkraft Norsk vannkraft Utbyggingspotensial [GWh] Figure 3: Cost curve for potential renewable projects long term marginal cost. Source: Thema Consulting Group. The prices of electricity and certificates have been very volatile during the last years, and market prices are now low compared to the costs for renewable projects. The prices for the coming years are uncertain, and the future development has therefore been evaluated under two price scenarios - the forward prices traded in the market and a fundamental analysis of required prices to reach the production goal of 28.4 TWh in the certificate market. Thema s analysis based on forward market prices: Current prices of electricity and certificates are low and forward contracts until 2021 are also traded at a low price level. The prices are decided in market trading between buyers and sellers of certificates. The report is based on forward marked prices dated 16 November The combined sales price of electricity and certificates for new renewable producers in the forward markets were then below 40 EUR/MWh. Thus, based on forward market prices it would not be rational to develop many new wind projects in Norway, according to Thema s cost estimates. According to the report, only a limited amount of hydro power is profitable at this price level, while no wind power project is profitable. The total sales price would have to increase with more than 10 Page 11

12 EUR/MWh (25 pct.) before a substantial amount of wind power would be profitable. The new depreciation rules for wind power will shift the supply curve moderately downwards as illustrated in figure 13 in the update report. Thus, more of the wind power projects will be profitable at a given price level. Market prices of electricity and certificates have since further declined compared to the prices used in Thema s report. The combined sales price of electricity and certificates is today approximately 10 pct. lower than the market price assumed in Thema s market scenario, ref. figure 12 and 13 in the report from Thema. At the current price levels, the certificate price cannot be derived from the cost level of marginal wind power, ref. figure 13 in Thema s report. A marginal improvement in profitability from new depreciation rules will therefore not have a demonstrable effect on the price of certificates and accordingly have no direct link to the profitability of hydro power projects. Thema s fundamental model: Thema has also made a "fundamental analysis" where prices are modelled in order to achieve the production goal of 28.4 TWh. In this scenario, the prices in the certificate market will adjust upwards, so that 28.4 TWh will become profitable. The required total sales price for wind power would be approximately 53 EUR/MWh, or 35 pct. above the forward market prices traded on 16 November At this price level, wind power would be profitable, and the new depreciation rules are seen to increase Norwegian wind power production with approximately 1.2 TWh. In this fundamental analysis the certificate price is set by wind power projects. The new depreciation rules would reduce the cost level of marginal wind power and thereby reduce the modelled certificate price. This is illustrated by the shift from the soliddrawn to the dashed green price line in figure 11 in the report. The net effect on the profitability of wind power projects would therefore be significantly less than the isolated effect of accelerated depreciations, because of the reduced certificate price. Further, the reduction in certificate prices in this fundamental model would also have an effect on the development of marginal hydropower projects. Thema has modelled a reduction in development of Norwegian hydro power of 0.3 TWh. This effect on hydro power projects is dependent on prices being set in accordance with the fundamental model assumptions and that the investors with full information and rationality choose projects along the upward sloping supply curve. Assessment of the Norwegian authorities: In our opinion, there is a wide span of possible price developments, and investor decision patterns are difficult to predict. Electricity and certificate prices are low, and it is prudent to consider the price level traded in the market for forward contracts. We must assume that the market participants are well informed about the potential for new developments and the demand for new projects to fulfil the production goal of 28.4 Page 12

13 TWh. Few investments in Norwegian wind power has been made since the introduction of the certificate market in As already mentioned, development in market prices in coming years is uncertain and the investors have to make their own price assumptions for investment decisions. The new depreciation rules will act as an incentive for increased investment in wind power. At the same time, the aid intensity is moderate and will therefore not overcompensate wind power investments. With current low market prices, the new depreciation rules for wind power will not have significant negative effects on the development of hydro power or other renewable electricity projects. In addition, Thema's analysis illustrates that there is a potential of hydropower with costs below the cost level of wind power. This is also supported by the development in the certificate market, where Norwegian producers have developed 1871 GWh of hydropower and only 337 GWh wind power, per 1 January THE NEW DEPRECIATION RULES UNDER THE STATE AID CONCEPT The notion of state aid is defined in EEA Agreement Article 61 no. 1. The new depreciation rules on wind power plants represent a transfer of state resources to the owners of wind power plants through the effects on income tax 21. The advantage consists in faster deductions on investments in wind power plants compared to current rules; see section 4.2 and figure 1 above. The gain for the companies is related to an increased present value of deductions in taxable income. Norway considers that the measure entails state aid within the meaning of Article 61(1) of the EEA Agreement. Effect on trade and distortion of competition Regarding the effect on trade and competition, Norway is part of a highly integrated Nordic and European electricity market. Norway has a high degree of cross-border electricity infrastructure capacity with other countries. Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Finland have established a joint Nordic power market, Nord Pool AS. The Nordic power market has access to a larger European power market through interconnectors to Germany, the Netherlands, Estonia, Poland and Russia. The total exchange capacity between Norway and other countries is currently about MW, or 18.5 pct. of installed generation capacity. Two new electricity interconnectors from Norway to Germany and the UK are scheduled to be completed in 2019 and 2021, respectively. Each of the interconnectors will have an additional capacity of MW. The integrated European electricity market is currently undergoing rapid harmonisation and development. Price Coupling of Regions (PCR) is an initiative of seven European Power Exchanges to develop a common price algorithm, in order to 21 Please confer enclosure 4 Page 13

14 provide fair and transparent determination of day-ahead electricity prices across Europe and efficient allocation of cross-border capacity on a day-ahead basis. During the winter 2014, the North-Western European Price Coupling pilot project was launched. The project included the Central Western Europe, the UK, the Nordic and Baltic countries, and a link between Sweden and Poland. The price coupling between the North-Western Europe and South-Western Europe markets took place during the spring of The power exchange, Nord Pool AS, provides a venue for physical power trading, and offers clearing and settlement services. Nord Pool AS has about 380 trading members, and is owned by the Nordic TSOs: Statnett SF, Svenska Kraftnät, Fingrid Oyj, Energinet.dk and the Baltic transmission system operators Elering, Litgrid and Augstsprieguma tikls (AST). Nord Pool offers a day-ahead market (Elspot) for the physical electricity trade in the Nordic countries, Baltic countries and the UK(N2EX), as well as an intraday market (Elbas) in the Nordic countries, Baltic countries, Germany and the UK. The majority of the electricity trade takes place in the Elspot market. Elspot is a dayahead auction on electricity for delivery on the following day. The market participants place their orders, on an hourly basis, in Nord Pools trading system. Every day, at 12:00, the electricity prices (area prices and system price), for the following day, are published. The electricity prices are the result of the equilibrium between the aggregated supply and demand within each bidding zone. Every day, at 14:00, the capacities available for trade on Elbas, are published. Elbas is a continuous market, which supplements Elspot and helps secure the necessary balance between supply and demand in the power market for Northern Europe. The importance of intraday trade is increasing with a higher share of renewables, without flexibility, into the electricity system. As a result of a highly integrated market, the effect on trade and distortion of competition from the new depreciation rules, is likely to be very small, if at all present. 7. COMPATIBILITY OF THE NOTIFIED SCHEME WITH THE EEA AGREEMENT 7.1 Legal basis the EEA Agreement and the Guidelines on State aid for environmental protection and energy In accordance with the EEA Agreement Article 61 no. 3 (c) state aid to facilitate the development of certain economic activities within the European Union may be considered compatible with the EEA Agreement. The EEAG provide a basis for the compatibility assessment of the EFTA Surveillance Authority. When assessing the legality of an aid measure, the act and guidelines mentioned above may be interpreted in light of other relevant sources of law, hereunder other acts and Page 14

15 jurisprudence. 22 For the sake of simplicity the present assessment will be limited to the legal basis in the wording of the EEA Agreement and the EEAG. For investment aid schemes, the general common compatibility principles set down in Section 3.2 of the EEAG apply. Therefore, the compatibility assessment is based on these principles. 7.2 Contribution to an objective of common interest The tax depreciation rules in question apply exclusively for wind power producers. Wind power is mentioned in the definition of "renewable energy sources" in EEAG section 1.3, paragraph (14)(5). The aim of a low-carbon-economy, the and 2030 goals of the EU are the overarching aims of the energy- and environmental guidelines of the Authority. The EEA Agreement 23 encompasses cooperation in the field of the environment; see the EEA Agreement article 1 f), and articles Article 73 reads as follows: "1. Action by the Contracting Parties relating to the environment shall have the following objectives: (a) to preserve, protect and improve the quality of the environment; (b) to contribute towards protecting human health; (c) to ensure a prudent and rational utilization of natural resources. 2. Action by the Contracting Parties relating to the environment shall be based on the principles that preventive action should be taken, that environmental damage should as a priority be rectified at source, and that the polluter should pay. Environmental protection requirements shall be a component of the Contracting Parties' other policies." Article 75 reads as follows: "The protective measures referred to in Article 74 shall not prevent any Contracting Party from maintaining or introducing more stringent protective measures compatible with this Agreement." A uniform application of the guidelines and equal conditions of competition, require the same conditions of reference to apply for the state aid guidelines of the EFTA Surveillance Authority, see introductory part paragraph (4) and (5). Consequently, state aid for wind power must be considered an aid contributing to an objective of common interest, ref. EEAG section See i.a. directive 2003/96/EC of 27 October 2003 restructuring the Community framework for the taxation of energy products and electricity, Communication from the Commission "Guidelines on State aid for environmental protection and energy " (2014/C 200/01) section 3.7.1, and preamble (9), (10), (24) and (25), and enclosure 18 ECJ N 394/2007 Denmark. See also enclosure 19 case 329/09/COL 23 Agreement on the Economic European Area Page 15

16 7.3 Market failure and the need for state intervention The measure aims at encouraging the generation of renewable electricity from wind power. This includes strengthening profitability of wind power projects, which has a considerable unexploited potential in Norway. Today, despite the large number of licenses granted, very few wind power projects in Norway have been developed, see section 3. The Norwegian government has decided to introduce an amendment to the depreciation rules for wind power plants by accelerating depreciations on such investments. The purpose is to incentivize investments in wind power. The Government does not publish forecasts of investments in generation capacity or profitability in the electricity sector or in wind power plants. An independent expert, Thema, has analyzed the effects of the amended depreciation rules, as described in section 5. The report made by Thema illustrates that, based on the forward market's expectations of prices for electricity and certificates, the total sales price is below the estimated long term marginal cost curve for wind power. Therefore, Thema estimate that it is not profitable to develop wind power in Norway with the current low forward prices. As mentioned, the Norwegian government wishes to increase the production of renewable energy in Norway in line with the Renewables Directive. The potential for additional hydropower projects is limited, and wind power is an alternative technology with a large potential. The lack of development of wind power in Norway is therefore seen as a market failure, as the current market prices are not sufficient to give incentives for wind power investments. The Government has received information from Norwea, a business association for wind power producers in Norway. Norwea has illustrated that investments in wind power is challenging with the current low sales prices. The depreciation rules will improve the profitability of wind power projects, and thus be a positive contribution for investment decisions. In the current regulatory framework facing investors, the low prices of electricity and certificates are not enough to realize wind power investments in Norway. The certificates scheme must therefore be supplemented by aid through the depreciation rules for wind power; see the EEAG section , paragraph (31) in this regard. The new depreciation rules for wind power plants are targeted to the technology that needs additional incentives in order to increase investments. Wind power plants with granted licenses have a potential yearly production of GWh, but only 337 GWh wind power has been developed in Norway under the certificate market as of 1 January In the same period GWh of hydropower has been developed. Page 16

17 According to figure 13 in Thema s report no wind power projects will be profitable at forward market prices. If prices increase the new depreciation rules can have a significant effect on the investment in wind power as shown in Thema s fundamental analysis. The new depreciation rules are thus targeting the technology where additional incentives can increase investments in renewable electricity. 7.4 Appropriateness of aid The EEAG sets out that the aid is awarded in the form that is likely to generate the least distortions of competition, cf. EEAG section Incentives for wind power investments can be given through accelerated depreciations, or by other aid instruments, such as direct subsidy to wind power plants. Changing the depreciation rules is administratively simpler and the aid will be directly linked to the investment level. Since the aid intensity is limited, we believe changing the depreciation rules is the most appropriate method. As mentioned under section 4.2, it is our opinion that the new Norwegian depreciation rules for wind power plants will have an effect that approximately mirrors the depreciation rules that currently are in force in Sweden. Since Norway and Sweden has a joint certificate market, the use of the same tax instruments is likely to have lower distortive effects than other aid instruments, such as direct aid. 7.5 Incentive effect Norway has a large potential for wind power with high production levels. Wind power plants have been granted licenses with a potential yearly production of GWh. However, only 337 GWh wind power have been developed under the certificate market. The new depreciation rule should apply to projects where it may influence the investment behaviour. Thus, investments in projects where works started before 19 June 2015 will not be included in the new depreciation rule. From the moment the law passed in Parliament, i.e. 19 June 2015, investors have taken their investment decisions based on the premise that the new rules will be applicable and that their investments will be eligible for aid. From this date there was full information on the market on which conditions and criteria that would be required to enjoy the aid, and the only open issue was the approval of the scheme by the Authority. It can therefore be concluded that from 19 June 2015 the new scheme has been able to modify the behavior of the investor. The Norwegian authorities have no system for monitoring the market participants' investment decisions or information on their investment assumptions. However, some developers have publicly announced investment decisions after 19 June For example, on 8 September 2015 a consortium announced something akin to an Page 17

18 investment decision for the projects Kvitfjell and Raudfjell January 2016, an announcements was made by Finnmark Kraft 25 and 23 February 2016 by Statkraft Proportionality As discussed in paragraph 5, the market prices are much lower than the cost level of wind power projects. Furthermore, costs for wind power are less volatile than for alternative energy sources. The changes in depreciation rules will also have limited aid intensity. With the low market prices in the forward markets, the aid will not be higher than the funding gap, as described in paragraph 5. It seems the sales prices of electricity and certificates would have to increase significantly before wind power projects in general would be profitable without additional support. In Thema's fundamental model, where prices increase by 35 pct. in order to fulfil the production goal, the aid from new depreciation rules would be countered by a reduction in certificate prices. The net effect for the profitability of wind power projects would therefore also in this fundamental case be limited. Accelerated depreciations on wind power plants imply that the companies receive deductions in taxable income at an earlier point in time. Therefore, the gain and incentive effect of the aid for wind power plants companies is derived from an increased present value of deductions in taxable income, see EEAG section , paragraph (44). The value of current deductions is dependent on the allocation of investments between different declining balance groups. The five year depreciation rule will cover most of the investments in wind power, although investments in for instance roads and buildings in connection with the wind power plants will remain unchanged. With a constant allocation of investments between declining balance groups, increased investments will lead to a proportional change in the value of tax deductions. In accordance with this, the economic gain for the companies has been calculated as the net present value of tax reductions from accelerated depreciations. Provided a risk adjusted discount rate of 6 pct. nominal post tax is used, the aid level can be estimated to approximately 3.7 pct. of the investment cost in a wind power plant. If EFTA s standard discount rate for Norway of 2.34 is used, the aid level would be approximately 2.1 pct. of wind investment cost. These estimates are calculated with the tax rate for 2016 at 25 pct. The estimated aid intensity of pct. is thus far below the maximum aid intensities for investment aid for renewable energy set in Annex 1 of the EEAG for investment aid. For wind power projects in operation, investment costs have been around 12 MNOK per MW installed capacity. Investment costs are expected to be reduced in the future to 24 Please confer enclosure Please confer enclosure Please confer enclosure 22 Page 18

19 a level of around 10 MNOK per MW. Wind power plants in operation have typically had an installed capacity of around 50 MW. The investment level for a wind power plant of this size would be between 500 and 600 MNOK. With an aid intensity of 3.7 pct., the economic value of accelerated depreciations would be between 19 and 22 MNOK. For the future, there are plans for larger wind power plants and this can increase the absolute value of accelerated depreciation for a large wind power plant. 7.7 Cumulation There are no other forms of state aid specifically for renewable electricity generation in wind power plants in addition to the new provisions on tax depreciation. The question of cumulation of aid is therefore of limited relevance for the depreciation scheme in question. The issue of cumulation with other aid is referred to in EEAG point The stateowned enterprise Enova has a program for introduction of new technology. Under the program, investment aid is provided for market introduction of full-scale demonstration of new energy technologies in Norway. The objective of the aid is to remove barriers so that immature technologies over time can be competitive. Aid from Enova under the New Energy Technology Programme will be in line with the state aid rules and the Authority s decision on the Energy Fund Scheme Avoidance of undue negative effects on competition and trade The purpose of accelerating the depreciations for wind power plants is to increase investments in wind power production in Norway. The potential negative effects on other production technologies will probably not be significant, cf. paragraph 5. The depreciation scheme is designed to have the least distortive effect possible, by neutral and objective criteria in tax law, defining the scope of the scheme, creating predictability for the wind power producers who will be entitled to apply the favorable deprecation rules. This entails also the scheme to be considered to avoid undue negative effects on competition and trade. Reference in this regard is made to the case N 394/2007 Denmark. 28 A depreciation scheme for wind power production let wind power producers keep a depreciation rate of 25 pct. in the long term, while the general depreciation rate was reduced to a rate of 15 pct. The scheme was considered compliant with the former environmental guidelines and the EEA Agreement. For a significant amount of hydropower, the cost level is lower than that for wind power, and the costs are also far more varying than for wind power, as shown in figure 7 in Thema s report. The potential for additional hydropower projects is also more limited. Even at current low marked prices some of the hydro power projects will be profitable. 27 Please confer enclosure 25 Decision 18 July 2011, COL 248/ Please confer enclosure 18 Page 19

20 Accordingly, hydropower projects do not have the same need for additional investment incentives as wind power projects. As stated in section 5 it is not clear that new depreciation rules for wind power will have an adverse effect for hydro power projects. With current low prices in the forward market, the new depreciation rules for wind power will not have significant negative effects on the development of hydro power or other renewable electricity projects. In the fundamental analysis, Thema has modelled a reduction in development of Norwegian hydro power of 0.3 TWh. This moderate effect on hydro power projects is dependent on prices being set in accordance with the fundamental model assumptions and that the investors with full information and rationality choose projects along the upward sloping supply curve. It should be noted that prices for electricity and certificates in the forward markets are far below the price levels calculated in the fundamental analysis. Other technologies, such as biomass and solar energy, have limited potential in Norway, and the cost level is considerably higher than for wind power. A moderate incentive from the proposed accelerated depreciation rules would thus not have a significant negative effect for the development of renewable electricity from these technologies. Biomass and solar energy installations are eligible for investment aid from the state agency Enova. 7.9 Transparency The Norwegian authorities will ensure that the necessary information is published on the national comprehensive State aid website (the national state aid register) in accordance with section of the EEAG Notification of the scheme as such This depreciation scheme for wind power is considered selective, as it singles out the wind power producers as recipients of aid. This notwithstanding, it is a tax measure, based on objective, transparent and non-discriminatory criteria. The specific section in the EEAG on reductions in environmental taxes requires that the tax reductions should be based on objective, transparent and non-discriminatory criteria 29. This approach is logical for aid measures within the tax system. The EEAG in wording presupposes that environmental aid granted through general tax exemptions can indeed be considered as appropriate aid measures 30. The depreciation scheme for wind power plants is in its legal particularities and conditions similar to a tax exemption. As the depreciation scheme is similar to a tax exemption from a legal point of view, the Norwegian government considers that the scheme should not be subject to the 29 EEAG section 3.7, 1 paragraph (163) 30 EEAG section 2, paragraph (16) and section , paragraph (40) Page 20