Natural Gas Distribution Sector Report

Transcription

1 Natural Gas Distribution Sector Report 217

2 Investments As of the end of 217, within the natural gas distribution sector, 72 natural gas distribution companies made network investments of 21.5 billion TL in total. Thanks to the investments, Turkey s natural gas distribution network has extended to km and the length of the network has increased by 12% compared to TOTAL 5 STEEL PIPELINE 1.4 KM 11.8 KM POLYETHYLENE (PE) PIPELINE 6.5 KM 8.13 KM SERVICE PIPELINE KM KM TOTAL KM KM 1 % In 217, the distribution companies made network investments at the amount of 1.75 billion Turkish Liras. Thanks to these investments, a total of km network was built in 217. The number of service pipelines rose to with an increase of in the previous year. With the 217 network investments, there was a growth of 1% in the distribution network. 1

3 Investments The length of network in total increased by 42.2% compared to 213 due to the investments of km in total made in the last 4 years. 3% of the network investments in question were made in 217. Between while the minimum network investment was made in 214, the maximum network investment was made in 217. In the last 4-year period when the network investments increased, there was an increase, too, in the number of subscribers and of districts where natural gas supplies are provided. In the last 4 years, the number of subscribers increased by 44% and the number of districts where natural gas is provided increased by 48%. Network Length- Thousand KM Total Network Length and Growth Rate Total Network Length Number of Subscribers Million-Number of Subscribers Due to the investment of km in 217, the network grew by 1.1%. In 216, a network investment of KM was made. In 215, the network grew by 9.8%. In the last 4-year period, with the investments, the network length supply number of subscribers increased in parallel. (Between %4- %5) In 214, a network investment of KM was made. Due to the investments in 217, the Subscribers Active Users and the Network increased by 9-1%. Network: %1,1 Number of Subscribers: %9 Active Subscribers: %9, Network Length KM Total Network Length KM KM KM KM 2

4 Expansions While 21 districts were provided with natural gas in the last 1 years, in 217, 11 districts and towns were provided with natural gas. As of the end of 217, 78 provinces and 426 districts and towns use natural gas in Turkey Number of Districts Provided with Supply Between The average annual number of districts provided with natural gas supply in Turkey (21) Target While the annual average number of districts in Turkey which were provided with natural gas was 21 in the last 1 year period, the number of districts and towns increased 4,5 times in 217. In 217, approximately 5 million TL was invested in the districts and towns within the scope of the expansions. Due to this investment, natural gas distribution network reached to new 2.3 million citizens. In the agenda of 218 expansion investments, there are 98 districts and towns. In 218, the investments are projected to be in the amount of approximately 7 million TL, and the number of citizens that the distribution network will reach is estimated to increase by 2,5 million, reaching to a total of 64.5 million persons. When the expansion investments are completed, 81 provinces and 554 districts and towns in Turkey will use natural gas. 3

5 Expansions District Based Natural Gas Supply Map Provided with Natural Gas (325) Provided with Natural Gas in 217 (11) To be Provided with Natural Gas (128) 4 4

6 Number of Subscribers As of the end of 217, the number of natural gas total subscribers in total reached to The number of subscribers increased to and of eligible consumer rose to In 217, new subscribers were included to Turkey s natural gas distribution system Number of Subscribers Between The difference in the number of Subscribers Between : Growth:44 % The number of eligible consumers increased by 33% in the last 5 years. Subscriber Eligible Consumer While there was about inclusion of subscriber between , in the last 4-year period, the inclusion was above the Turkey average. In 217, 72% more than the Turkey average of subscribers was included. 5

7 Number of Subscribers The maximum number of subscribers in 217 was the month of November during which (16% of inclusion in 217) subscribers was included in the natural gas distribution system. 33% of the subscribers was included in the first half of 217 and the remaining 67% was included in the second half of the year. Istanbul, which is the province with the maximum number of new subscribers, is followed by Izmir and Bursa. yılında Türkiye nin 76 ilinde doğal gaz217 dağıtım sistemine ortalama yeni abone dahil olmuştur. 216 yılı ile kıyaslandığında il bazlı ortalama abone alımı %31 artış göstermiştir. Average of Province Change 217 yılında 57 ilde ortalamanın altında abone alımı gerçekleşirken, 19 ilde Türkiye ortalamasının Based Subscriber üzerinde abone alımı gerçekleşmiştir. +%45 Inclusion First 1 Provinces Maximum Subscriber Inclusion in 217 November 16% October 15% December 12% 217 Monthly Percentages of Subscriber Inclusion September 1% January 9% Feb. 3% March 5% August 8% June 5% July 6% April 5% May 6% Tekirdağ İstanbul Bursa Kocaeli Ankara Samsun İzmir Konya Kayseri Gaziantep

8 Number of Subscribers Heat Map of Province Based Subscriber Inclusion in

9 Penetration In 217, the population of Turkey increased by people (1.25%) to compared to the previous year. As of the end of 217, citizens accessed the natural gas distribution network through investments of distribution companies. The number of citizens who accessed the distribution network increased by (4%) compared to 216. In 217, the number of citizens who had access to the distribution network but could not use the natural gas distribution service fell by 13.8% to As of the end of 217, the population using natural gas increased by 9.7% and reached to (%1,2) (%4) Population Using Natural Gas increased by 14.6 Million (42%) in the last 5 years (%1) (%11) Number of Persons not Using Natural Gas Actively decreased by 14.6 million (37%) in Population of Turkey Population reached by Natural Gas Distribution Network Population Using Natural Gas* Population Using Natural Gas Actively *Population Signing the Natural Gas Supply Agreement

10 Consumption In 217, 53.3 billion m 3 of natural gas was consumed in Turkey. Compared to 216, the natural gas consumption increased by 16%. The reasons of this increase are; The increase in the number of subscribers Colder temperature in the first 4 months compared to 216 The advantages of natural gas compared to other energy resources Sectorial Consumption Between RESIDENTAL POWER PLANTS INDUSTRY % % % Other %2 94% of the NG consumed in the Transformation- Conversion Sector was consumed in Power Plants.. Industry % Sectorial Consumption Percentages Transformation- Conversion %39 Service %6 Residental Power Plant Industry Other Service Residental %25 9

11 Consumption In 217, the natural gas consumption in residences increased by 14.5% to 13.3 billion m 3 compared to 216. The reasons for the increase of consumption in residences are the temperature below-normal season in the first 4 months of the year and the increase in the number of residential subscribers. The increase mostly occurred in the first 4 months of Average Temperature of Turkey 217 Million-m Residental Consumption and Temperature Chart Temperature- C 3 Difference -,5 C The first 4 months of 217 were 2 C colder than those of 216 and there was an increase of 2 BCM in demand in residences Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ave. Temp 217 Ave. Temp ,1 C 13,6 C December 217 was 5 C hotter than December 216; so, there was a decrease of 4 MCM in demand in residences. The changes in the number of subscribers take effect in the next year. New subscribers do not use natural gas in full capacity. Therefore, while 85. subscribers involved in the system in 216 affected 217 average, it is estimated that 1.1 million residential subscribers included in the distribution system will have an effect on

12 Consumption The average consumption per residence in Turkey was 132 m 3. Compared to 216, the consumption per residence increased by 1.5% (934 m 3 in 216). While the maximum average consumption per residence was in Ardahan (1636 m 3 ), the province with minimum average consumption per residence (82 m 3 ) was Antalya. 5 Provinces with maximum avg. consumption per residence Province Change Ardahan 1636 m 3 Karabük 1517 m 3 Kars 1488 m 3 Van 1457 m 3 Bayburt 1348 m m m m m m 3 Consumption per residence in 5 provinces with maximum subscribers in 217; Province Ankara 199 m 3 183m 3 Kocaeli 116 m 3 İzmir 14 m 3 İstanbul 948 m 3 Bursa 91 m 3 %6 %17 %7 %5 %5,9 869 m m m 3 89 m 3 5 Provinces with minimum avg. Consumption per residence Province Change Antalya 82 m 3 71 m 3 %17, Bursa 91 m 3 Kırşehir 926 m 3 Mersin 942 m 3 İstanbul 948 m 3 Change %1,55 %17 %14 %1,7 %1,14 89 m m 3 75 m m %1,2 %11, %25,4 %1,7 In 217, the consumption per residence in 64 of 77 provinces where natural gas is distributed was higher than the Turkey s average. Compared to 216, in 217, the average consumption per residence increased in 66 provinces but decreased in 8 provinces. Average Consumption per Residence Between m m m m m

13 Consumption Province Based Consumption per Residence Map 12

14 Consumption In 217, the amount of natural gas consumed in power plants increased by 22.5% to 2.4 billion m 3, compared to 216. The reasons of this increase include; Amount of Total Rainfall Between billion m 3 The price advantage of natural gas 217 was a dry year The increase in demand due to the cold winter Million-m Power Plants Consumption and Natural Gas Total Consumption Share Share(%) Share of NG in Power Generation Share of Power Plants in NG Consumption

15 Consumption In 217, 15.1 billion m 3 natural gas was consumed in the industrial sector. The industrial consumption increased 7% in 217 compared to 216. In the Marmara region whose nearly all provinces are among the 25 most industrial cities of Turkey, 7 billion m 3 natural gas was consumed in the industrial facilities. Marmara region has a share of 46% in the industrial consumption in 217. In the Aegean region which is also industrially developed, 3.2 billion m 3 natural gas was consumed in 217. The natural gas consumed in the industrial sector of the Aegean region has a share of 21% in the total consumption Industrial Sector Consumption Region Consumption Share in industrial consumption Central Anatolia 1,89 billion m 3 %13 Mediterranean 1,66 billion m 3 %11 Black Sea 882 billion m 3 %6 South Eastern Anatolia 312 billion m 3 %2 Eastern Anatolia 13 billion m 3 %1 In the province based industrial consumption ratings, Kocaeli ranks first with a consumption of 1.65 billion m 3. It is followed by Istanbul with 1.36 billion m 3 consumption and Izmir with 1.33 billion consumptions in the industry sector. 14

16 Consumption Sector Change (%) 1. Transformation/Conversion Sector 16.73, ,2 22% 1.1. Power Plants 12.57, ,9 54% 1.2. Autoproducer Power Plants 3.49,31 297,39-91% 1.3. Heat and Electricity (CHP) Plants 33,2 58,21 75% 1.4. Autoproducer Heat and Electricity Plants 361,36 744,76 16% 1.5. Heat Plants 25,62, -1% 1.6. Autoproducer Heat Plants 249,34 1,78-96% 1.7. Other Conversion Sector Consumers,6 63, % 2. Energy Sector 289,54 53,6 74% 2.1. Oil Refineries 179,4 18,7 1% 2.2. Blast Furnaces 37,34 36,12 72% 2.3. Electricity, CHP and Heat Plants consumed as fuel 5,28 1,53 99% 2.4. Other Energy Sector Consumers 67,52 6,25-91% 3. Transportation Sector 82,3 141,5 72% 3.1. Vehicle Fuel 81,12 83,43 3% 3.2. Pipeline Transportation,6 56, % 3.3. Other Transportation Sector Consumers 1,8 1,34 24% 4. Industrial Sector 14.95, ,16 7% 4.1. Wood Products Processing 199,99 195,21-2% 4.1. Chemistry (including Petrochemistry) 2.435, ,89 7% Mining and quarrying 19,79 14,38 28% Machinery Industry 63,37 67,29 6% Textile, Leather and Clothing Industry 787, 82,37 2% Tobacco and Tobacco Products 17,96 12,7-29% Transportation Vehicles Industry (Automotive, Aircraft 163,3 15,31-8% Industry, etc.) OSB's 3.259, ,53 16% Other Industrial Sector Consumers 958, ,41 1% 4.2. Alcohol and Alcohol Products 19,93 19,87 % 4.3. Non-metallic Minerals (Glass, ceramics, cement, etc.) 1.717, ,7 4% 4.4. Iron and Steel 1.286, ,93 18% 4.5. Production and Processing of Non-ferrous Metals 585,21 45,5-23% (Chromium, Copper, etc.) 4.6. Food and Beverages 1.8, ,74 5% 4.7. Fertilizer 588,5 493,4-16% 4.8. Construction (Construction products, road construction) 547,71 6,56 1% 4.9. Paper, Cellulose and Printing 274,44 255,82-7% Sector Change (%) 5. Service Sector 3.96, ,3 25% 5.1. Business 1.411, ,6 3% 5.2. Government Offices 1.43, ,92 2% 5.3. Other Service Sector Consumers 254,47 318,28 25% 6.1. Housing , ,49 14% 6.2. Agriculture/ Forestry 17,87 2,46 14% 6.3. Livestock (balıkçılık, kümes ve ahır hayvancılığı, vs.) 5,21 58,62 17% 6.4. Other Non-Specified Sector Consumers 34,8 4,42 16% 7.1. Losses 4,9 4,4-1% Grand Total , ,21 16% *Values are specified in Million m 3 15

17 Natural Gas Lignite +18 mm TL Lignite +2 mm Import Coal Fuel-Oil Electricity- Residental LPG-Bulk Gas LPG-Bottled Gas 1.22 TL 1.89 TL TL TL TL TL TL Prices In 217, the average annual expenditure of natural gas of a residence was 1.22 Turkish Lira. Natural gas is 42% cheaper than the closest fuel source. 217 Natural Gas and Other Fuel Sources Expenditure Comparison -TL In 217, natural gas is 517 TL cheaper than the closest fuel. 4 When the annual fuel costs are compared, it is observed that natural gas has the minimum fuel cost of 1.22 TL/year and LPG- Bottled Gas has the maximum fuel cost of TL/year Average Monthly Natural Gas Expenditure of Residences -TL Jan. Feb. March April May June July August Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. In November and December 217, natural gas bills decreased by 2-25% due to the high temperature in Turkey * This study was carried out based on a residence of 1 m2 and productivity factors. 16

18 Natural Gas and Environment In 217, subscribers consumed 13,3 billion m 3 natural gas in Turkey. According to the calculations made by considering that the residences which do not have natural gas prefer coal and other fuels, carbon emission of all residences in 217 is 66.3 million ton in Turkey. It is possible to decrease our carbon emission (of residences) by 23% (14.8 million ton) by extending the use of natural gas in residences in Turkey. In 217, the average carbon emission of a residence using natural gas was 2.2 ton. If coal and other fuels had been preferred, the average carbon emission per residence would have been about 4.3 ton. Due to the natural gas, the carbon emission was 5% less per residence. Million Ton ,5 Carbon Emission if All Residences Used Natural Gas 217 Carbon Emission Values 66,3 Million Ton 36,5 96,7 29,8 217 Residences Carbon Emission Carbon Emission if All Residences used Coal The use of natural gas in residences instead of coal provided a carbon emission saving of 3.4 million ton in residences, in 217. Use of 16 bottles of 45 kg propane gas 3.4 Million Ton Carbon Emission Saving Equivalents 2,1 Ton Carbon Emission Saving Equivalences Emission value of a fourdoor mid-range vehicle driving 1. km/year Emission saving of 71 LED lamps (for 1 year) Carbon emission value that 1 trees can clean in a year 17

19 218 at a Glance It is estimated that, in 218, the distribution companies will invest approximately 1.7 billion TL. Nearly 7 Million TL of this investment will be used for expansion. As of 218, the natural gas service will have reached 524 districts and towns of 81 provinces of Turkey once Hakkari, Şırnak and Artvin have been provided with the natural gas supply Within the scope of the expansion, natural gas will be provided to new 98 districts and towns. In 218, the distribution network will also reach new 2.5 million citizens and a total of 64.5 million citizens will benefit from natural gas distribution service. According to the calculations, the total demand of natural gas of Turkey in 218 is 51.9 billion m 3. It is estimated that the total number of subscribers will be more than 15 million and the consumptions of the residences will be about 13 billion m 3. 18

20 Gazbir Ege Plaza İş Merkezi Konya Yolu (Mevlana Bulvarı) No:182/B Kat:22 Ofis: Balgat, Çankaya / ANKARA Gazbir_ For your questions, suggestions and opinions info@gazbir.org.tr This report was written by GAZBİR by using the data of EMRA, TurkStat and Turkish State Meteorological Service. Cannot be use without reference.