The Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS): Background and recent progress

Transcription

1 The Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS): Background and recent progress This project was undertaken with the financial support of: Ce projet a été réalisé avec l'appui de: SWIOCOF-5 Seychelles, September 2016 Lisa-Anne Jepsen Project Officer World Climate Applications and Services Division Climate and Water Department World Meteorological Organization LJepsen@wmo.int 1 Weather Climate Water

2 Let s assume you manage the drinking water supply for a metropolitan area. How can you mitigate the impacts of climate variability and maintain a constant flow of water to your customers homes? On what information will you base your decisions? 2

3 Topics The Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS): Background and recent progress Climate services: what are they; providers and users of climate services GFCS vision GFCS governance: the Partners Advisory Committee GFCS pillars Observations and monitoring Research, modeling and prediction Climate services information system User interface platform Capacity development GFCS implementation on global, regional and national levels Key examples of recent progress: GFCS Climate services: the way forward Questions 3 3

4 Climate services: support for decision-making Strengthening the use of climate services in decisionmaking by individuals and organizations requires: engagement between providers and users of climate information; targeted climate information products that respond to users needs; and effective/efficient application by users of climate services. 4 4

5 Climate services: provision and use Scientific basis: accumulation of knowledge about the past, present and future of the climate system Climate service providers: development and delivery of a range of "products" and advice based on knowledge of climate and its impacts on natural and human systems Historical climate data sets Climate monitoring Climate watches Monthly/Seasonal/Decadal climate predictions Climate change projections Climate service users: application by sectoral stakeholders of climate products; users include highlevel users and end-users.. 5

6 Vision: Enable better management of the risks of climate variability and change, and adaptation to climate change, through the development and incorporation of science-based climate information and prediction into planning, policy and practice on the global, regional and national scale Energy 6

7 PAC Membership 7 Weather Climate 7 Water

8 GFCS Pillars 8 8

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11 Climate Services Information System Developing and implementing CSIS architecture Functional descriptions and product development (Data/Monitoring/Prediction/Projection) Operational infrastructure: RCCs, RCOFs, NCOFs/NCFs Climate Services Toolkit Capacity Development Promoting applications of CSIS products in climate risk management Sector-specific climate indices Climate risk management concepts User interface approaches 11

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14 Implementation of GFCS: Global level Global Regional National 14 Weather Climate 14 Water

15 WMO Global Producing Centres of Long-Range Forecasts (GPCLRFs) 15

16 Implementation of GFCS: Regional level Global Regional National 16 Weather Climate 16 Water

17 WMO RCC Status Worldwide NEACC North America Initiative BCC TCC CIIFEN ACMAD AGRRHYMET ICPAC Designated RCCs Designated RCC-Networks SADC-CSC RCCs in Demonstration Phase RCC-Networks in Demo Phase RCCs Proposed RCC-Networks Proposed 17 Weather Climate 17 Water

18 Regional Climate Outlook Forums Regional Projects National Projects Regional Climate Outlook Forums 18

19 Implementation of GFCS: National level Global Regional National 19 19

20 Key examples of recent progress: GFCS Towards enhanced coordination at national level Coordinated and systematic approach to develop Proof of Concept in 6 focus countries: Bhutan Burkina Faso Dominica Moldova Papua New Guinea United Republic of Tanzania Process for coordinated support for Bhutan agreed by the Partner Advisory Committee (PAC) and joint activities commenced in Bhutan Database on national climate capacities in development 20 20

21 Key Key examples recent of GFCS recent achievements progress: GFCS Towards operationalizing the GFCS Climate Services Adaptation Programme in Africa Framework for Climate Services for Tanzania endorsed by the National Steering Committee for Climate Services Seasonal forecasts downscaled to district level in Malawi and Tanzania Climate information provided users through radio and SMS in Malawi and Tanzania Health Vulnerability Assessments demonstrated linkages between climate and health; four pilot climate services projects formulated to address vector borne diseases and flood risks Energy Exemplar adopted and Climate Services for the Energy Sector meeting held in February

22 Key examples of recent progress: GFCS Towards operationalizing the GFCS (cont d) Climate and health initiatives include: Briefing note on El Nino and health published; WHO s use of El Nino risk information supports preparedness and humanitarian action Climate and health vulnerability and adaptation assessments conducted in Dominica Holistic approach to climate services for health tested in Malawi and Tanzania Climate Services User Forums for the health sector held along with SASCOF and CARICOF; one result is the creation of a Climate-Health community in South Asia 22 22

23 Key examples of recent progress: GFCS Towards operationalizing the GFCS (cont d) Climate Services Information System (CSIS) initiatives include: Implementation of online Climate Services Toolkit to be discussed in developers workshop, December 2016 International Workshop on Implementation of Climate Services Information System to be held in China in Mar-April 2017 Regional Climate Centre (RCC) Development 6 RCCs/RCC-Networks presently designated; further 5 RCCs expected to shortly receive designation; Issuance of Operational Guidance by CCl Expert Team 23 23

24 Key examples of recent progress: GFCS Governance Establishment of the Expert Team on Specific Data Requirements for the GFCS Monitoring and evaluation process and methodology for GFCS approved 24 24

25 Climate services: the way forward 1. Tailored climate information products and advisory services (detailed and skilful forecasts + climate change projections + better prediction of extremes); 2. Capacity development of professionals and communities on production and effective application of climate services; 3. Improved, standardized, and quality controlled sector monitoring data that is compatible with environmental and climate information; 4. Monitoring and evaluation of the appropriate and cost-effective use of climate information for sector decisions; 5. Research and prediction of sector impacts associated with climate variability and climate change; 6. Development and deployment of early warning systems appropriate to the sector and user communities; 7. Sustainable financial and technical support; 8. Better collaboration with the climate community for interdisciplinary policy, practice and research

26 Thank you. Questions? 26

27 Seamless hydrometeorological and climate services Climate Change Climate Variability Decades Centuries Forecast uncertainty Years Weather Hours Minutes 1 Week Days Historical Observations Months 2 Weeks Seasons Forecasts Warnings Alerts Outlooks Predictions Response Preparedness Scenarios Projections Customized Products Risk assessment and mapping Risk Monitoring Early Warnings Public Advisories Research Planning tools

28 Concern... Energy Water Resource Management Strong Wind Transport Food security Intensity Coastal Marine Hazards Health Industry Tropical Cyclones Urban areas Hazards intensity and frequency are increasing Heavy rainfall / Flood Vulnerability and exposure on the rise! 28 Heatwaves Frequency Need for > coping mechanisms