The renaissance of our industry!

Transcription

1 TM Canadian wood products and advanced building systems revolution or evolution? Chris Gaston, PhD WOOD 465, January 2018 Overview Canadian fibre supply land base, production and trade End-use markets Lumber, wood based panels and engineered wood products / composites Residential, R&R, non-residential and industrial Bio-energy and bio-chemicals The renaissance of our industry! Product and system evolution / revolution The Green Economy (?) 2 Gaston January

2 Overview of the Canadian forest sector 3 Forests of Canada M hectares M certified 37.3 M national parks 2016 (hectares): 0.78 M harvest (153 M m 3 ) 17.6 M lost to insects 1.4 M lost to fires 67% coniferous, 16% mixed wood and 11% hardwood 94% publicly owned 30% of the world s boreal forest Source: The State of Canada s Forests, 2016 Annual Report 4 Gaston January

3 Forests of Canada Source: BC Archives 5 Forest industry in Canada key facts Forest Sector Revenues (2014) Forestry and logging $ 9.3 Billion Pulp & paper $24.5 Wood products $26.5 $60.3 Contribution to GDP: $20.3 Billion Balance of Trade (2015): $22 Billion Average Wage per Employee (2011): $52,673 16% above the national average Jobs (2015): 296,691 Jobs (2013): 361,564 Research and development (2011) Wood Products Manufacturing: $95 Million Pulp and Paper: $56 Forestry and Logging: $ 6 Source: FPAC; The State of Canada s Forests, 2016 Annual Report 6 Gaston January

4 Structural changes in (or affecting) supply US housing collapse Drop in newsprint consumption Rise in lower grade demand (China, bioenergy) Rise in CDN $ value against US currency Annual allowable cut drops Recently Ontario and Quebec; pending in BC with the MPB) Increasing fiber costs Decreasing fiber quality Increasing natural disturbances 7 8 Gaston January

5 9 Wood supply cost in Canada Source: Wood Resources International, February Gaston January

6 Global fibre supply changes Source: Pöyry 11 Canada forest products exports Source: Global Trade Atlas 12 Gaston January

7 BC / rest of Canada lumber production Source: Statistics Canada 13 Canada lumber exports Source: Global Trade Atlas 14 Gaston January

8 Canada lumber exports Source: Global Trade Atlas 15 Some context: wood-use in the U.S. Source: RISI, Boston, Massachusetts 16 Gaston January

9 U.S. housing starts Source: US Bureau of the Census 17 Stick-built platform frame construction 18 Gaston January

10 Pre-fab platform frame construction 19 Move to 6-story multi-family Library Square, Kamloops, BC, 2010 Source: WoodWorks 20 Gaston January

11 Move to 6-story multi-family Testing of 6-storey 2x4 construction in Japan Source: FPInnovations 21 Move to 6-story multi-family Residential, University of BC Source: Adera, Vancouver, BC 22 Gaston January

12 Six story hybrid wood-concrete Quebec, QC 2010 Source: FPI, Quebec 23 Six story hybrid wood-concrete Concrete cores/walls to resist lateral loads Glulam post & beam Source: FPI, Quebec + Three levels of parking (concrete) 24 Gaston January

13 Five story hybrid wood-concrete Earth Sciences Building, UBC Source: Perkins + Will 25 Five story hybrid wood-concrete Earth Sciences Building, UBC Source: Perkins + Will 26 Gaston January

14 Consumer reaction to Canadian softwoods Source: FPInnovations 27 Tall Buildings Wood Innovation Design Centre, Prince George, BC Source: Michael Green Architecture 28 Gaston January

15 Tall buildings We are in a unique moment in architectural and building engineering history when shifting world needs has asked us to question some of the fundamentals of how we have built for the last century and how we will build in the next. Michael Green Source: Michael Green Architecture 29 Tall wood structures 18-story student residence at UBC (expected completion Fall, 2017) Source: 30 Gaston January

16 Tall wood structures UBC Brock Commons (18-story student residence) Source: 31 Wood Works design awards Source: 32 Gaston January

17 Wood Works design awards Source: 33 Wood Works design awards Source: 34 Gaston January

18 Wood pellets Source: 35 Bio-pathways Source: 36 Gaston January

19 Bio-pathways 40% 30% BC Central Interior ROCE Normalized 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% Pellets East medium Ethanol via Fermentation+ H&P Power Direct Newsprint MDF OSL BCTMP + H&P Medium Biocarbon East Small Particle Board Methanol via Syngas (E) Syngas for lime kiln Biocarbon West Small NBHK + H&P Medium Power via gasification med (E) LWC FT Diesel Mega Value Added MDF NBSK + Ethanol + H&P OSB medium Full Fractionation Value Added Particleboard Ethanol via Syngas (E) NBSK + H&P Medium CHP Direct Pellets West medium SPF West medium CHP via Pyrolysis Nexterra Syngas dryer Nexterra CHP small (<10Mw) CHP (17.8 MW) Lignol Commercial Brownfield LVL large Acetate via Syngas (E) Pyrolysis Stand-alone Torrefied Pellets West Cross Laminated Timber - Medium Source: FPInnovations 37 Life cycle assessments Source: Athena Sustainable Materials Institute 38 Gaston January

20 Bio-pathways II value pathways in construction Market Leader Interviews Architects feel very strong social / environmental responsibility Survey state of market-ready and emerging technologies / products Address business models of innovation How to foster new product development Source: 39 Value pathways in construction Forest Industry Transformation (IFIT) program provided $190 million in 2010/2014 to help with the valley of death. Source: 40 Gaston January

21 Examples of new tech / product development Past Heavy focus on commodities Heavy focus on manufacturing cost reductions More limited: Wood modification Engineered wood products Present / future Growing interest in engineered wood products and systems Solid and Composites Bio-energy Bio-chemicals 41 Treated lumber Source: US Borax 42 Gaston January

22 Thermally modified wood Source: ThermoWood 43 Chemically modified (acetylated) wood Source: Accsys Technologies 44 Gaston January

23 Non structural composites Source: Trex 45 Profiled decking Source: FPInnovations 46 Gaston January

24 Profiled decking Source: FPInnovations 47 Glulam Source: Chantiers Chibougamau 48 Gaston January

25 Glulam Source: Nordic, Structurlam, Western Archrib 49 Laminated Veneer Lumber (LVL) Source: FPInnovations 50 Gaston January

26 Laminated Veneer Lumber (LVL) Source: FPInnovations, Quebec City office/laboratory 51 Cross laminated timber Source: FPInnovations 52 Gaston January

27 Cross laminated timber Source: KLH 53 Cross laminated timber 9-Storey building, London, UK 8-Storey buildings, Växjö, Sweden Source: KLH 54 Gaston January

28 Cross laminated timber Source: KLH 55 Kobe-level seismic test Source: FPInnovations 56 Gaston January

29 Cross laminated timber FPInnovations has carried out a number of studies to develop seismic factors for CLT as a lateral load resisting system. Source: FPInnovations 57 Brock Commons Source: 58 Gaston January

30 Parallel and laminated strand lumber (PSL. LSL) Source: FPInnovations, Weyerhaeuser 59 Scrimtec High yield process using pulp wood (low value wood) Source: 60 Gaston January

31 Dascanova Source: 61 Light weight panels / partition walls 62 Gaston January

32 Wood fibre insulation Steico, Actis, Pavatex, Gutex and others Source: 63 Extruded wood plastic 64 Gaston January

33 Bio-plastics 65 Biodiesel Rudolf Diesel's designed his demonstrated engine in Germany in 1893 running on nothing but peanut oil. Rudolf Diesel 66 Gaston January

34 Biodiesel 67 Biochemicals / bioproducts Source: FPInnovations 68 Gaston January

35 Star Trek replicator 69 3-D printing Source: 70 Gaston January

36 3-D printing Source: D printing Source: 72 Gaston January

37 4-D printing. the addition of time Source: 73 The 4th industrial revolution! Source: 74 Gaston January

38 The ultimate goal Petroleum End-uses Revenues 26% 15% 4% 70% 42% 43% Transportation Fuels Chemicals, Plastics, Rubber Other Fuels and Products Source: T. Werpy, 2009 BioWorld Conference (Modified by Tom Brown) 75 Economic, environmental and social 76 Gaston January

39 Questions? Chris Gaston Source: The State of Canada s Forests Gaston January

40 Source: The State of Canada s Forests Gaston January