Integrated Resource Plan First Nations Workshop. March 7, 2011 Coast Canadian Inn Kamloops B.C.

Transcription

1 Integrated Resource Plan First Nations Workshop March 7, 2011 Coast Canadian Inn Kamloops B.C.

2 Welcome & Introductory Remarks Dan George

3 INDEPENDENT/NEUTRAL FACILITATOR The role of Four Directions Management Services is to facilitate an inclusive, respectful and safe process where community voices can be heard concerning the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). The role of FDMS does not include the promotion or marketing of the IRP. 3

4 Rules of Engagement Challenge ideas, not people Participate Stay focused and in process Be positive and open Be solution-oriented One conversation at a time Listen generously Encourage new ideas; build on the ideas of others Observe time limits; stick to the agenda Ensure that everyone gets heard See situation from a perspective other than your own 4

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6 What is the Integrated Resource Plan? Charlie Weiler

7 What is the Integrated Resource Plan? BC Hydro s 20-year plan to meet future electricity needs Planning at the province-wide strategic level Flexible enough to respond to future uncertainties The Integrated Resource Plan will be renewed periodically 7

8 What the Integrated Resource Plan is Not? Does not commit BC Hydro to any particular project Approval of the Integrated Resource Plan does not approve any particular project Specific projects are subject to their own unique approval processes 8

9 Why an Integrated Resource Plan? In order to meet future demand BC Hydro needs to plan ahead It can take 5 to 7 years to build a new generation facility and even longer to build transmission Helps set the strategic direction for BC Hydro 9

10 How is the Integrated Resource Plan Developed? Planning context How much electricity is needed? How can needs be met? Which Options best meet needs? Plan BC Hydro s goal is to provide clean, reliable, cost effective electricity to its customers Clean Energy Act - guided by 16 provincial Energy objectives i.e. Achieve electricity self-sufficiency by 2016 Reduce greenhouse gas emissions Foster the development of First Nation and rural communities through the use and development of clean or renewable resources Be a net exporter of clean electricity from clean or renewable resources 10

11 Consultation on the Integrated Resource Plan There are three consultation streams First Nations Technical Public and Stakeholder Opportunities for input First Nations Regional Workshops Written comments Participation in public and stakeholder stream 11

12 Consultation on the Integrated Resource Plan March/April Input into Plan September/October Feedback on Draft Plan December Plan to Government 12

13 Ongoing Consultation with First Nations BC Hydro will consult with First Nations on any future BC Hydro projects that may impact their asserted aboriginal rights and title 13

14 Why are we here today? Listen generously and respectfully Engage in an solution-based dialogue Seek your input on the development of the Integrated Resource Plan The 5 key topics are: Conservation and Efficiency Electrification Electricity Generation Options Transmission Planning Export Market Potential 14

15 Developing an Integrated Resource Plan John Rich

16 What are the Integrated Resource Planning Steps? Planning context How much electricity is needed? How can needs be met? Which Options best meet needs? Plan Forecast Demand compared to existing Supply: Is there a GAP? 16

17 What is the Future Need? The Gap How much electricity is needed? 90,000 80,000 Operating Planning Forecast Demand Firm Energy Capability (GWh) 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 F2012 F2013 F2014 F2015 F2016 F2017 F2018 F2019 F2020 F2021 Fiscal Year (year ending March 31) F2022 F2023 F2024 F2025 F2026 F2027 F2028 F2029 F2030 F2031 Demand BC Uncertainty Hydro Supply BC Hydro Demand Supplybefore Conservation Demand Demand before after Conservation current Conservation Plan Demand Demand after Conservation Uncertainty GAP Existing Supply 17

18 What are the Integrated Resource Planning Steps? Planning context How much electricity is needed? How can needs be met? Which Options best meet needs? Plan How to fill the GAP? Mix of potential Demand and Supply options 18

19 How can needs be met Conservation & Efficiency 90,000 Operating Planning Conservation & Efficiency reduces demand Firm Energy Capability (GWh) 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 F2012 F2013 F2014 F2015 F2016 F2017 F2018 F2019 F2020 F2021 Fiscal Year (year ending March 31) F2022 F2023 F2024 F2025 F2026 F2027 F2028 F2029 F2030 F2031 Demand BC Uncertainty Hydro Supply BC Hydro Demand Supplybefore Conservation Demand before Conservation Demand after current Conservation Plan Demand after Conservation Demand Uncertainty Reduce Demand Further? 19

20 How can needs be met Electricity Generation 90,000 Operating Planning 80,000 Firm Energy Capability (GWh) 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 F2012 F2013 F2014 F2015 F2016 F2017 F2018 F2019 F2020 F2021 Fiscal Year (year ending March 31) F2022 F2023 F2024 F2025 F2026 F2027 F2028 F2029 F2030 F2031 Demand BC Uncertainty Hydro Supply BC Hydro Demand Supplybefore Conservation Demand before Conservation Demand after current Conservation Plan Demand after Conservation Demand Uncertainty Increase Supply Existing Supply 20

21 What are the Integrated Resource Planning Steps? Planning context How much electricity is needed? How can needs be met? Which Options best meet needs? Plan Which blend of future resources will best fill the gap? 21

22 What are the Integrated Resource Planning Steps? Planning context How much electricity is needed? How can needs be met? Which Options best meet needs? Plan Renewed periodically 22

23 Key topics for today s discussion Conservation & Efficiency Electrification Electricity Generation Options Transmission Planning Export Market Potential 23

24 Development of the Integrated Resource Plan Questions & Answers Integrated Resource Plan 24

25 Integrated Resource Planning Topics Conservation & Efficiency John Rich

26 Conservation and Efficiency: A closer look Conservation & Efficiency = Demand Side Management 90,000 Operating Planning 80,000 Firm Energy Capability (GWh) 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 F2012 F2013 F2014 F2015 F2016 F2017 F2018 F2019 F2020 F2021 Fiscal Year (year ending March 31) F2022 F2023 F2024 F2025 F2026 F2027 F2028 F2029 F2030 F2031 Demand BC Uncertainty Hydro Supply BC Hydro Demand Supplybefore Conservation Demand Demand before after Conservation current Conservation Plan Demand after Conservation Demand Uncertainty Reduce Demand Further? 26

27 Approaches to Conservation & Efficiency Current Approach to Conservation & Efficiency Expected savings ~ 79% load growth 2020 Regulations, rates and Power Smart programs Moderate uncertainty that expected savings will materialize Greater Conservation & Efficiency: to achieve significantly higher energy savings from current targets, BC Hydro would have to: Expand Power Smart programs to help consumers find savings Send stronger rate signals through specially designed electricity conservation rates Request that the provincial and federal governments increase commit to bring in new regulations 27

28 Integrated Resource Planning Topics Electrification John Rich

29 Electrification: What, Where, When? What? Switching from other fuel sources to electricity Where? Electric vehicles currently 38% of B.C. emissions from transportation Air and ground source heat pumps Electric compressors can replace natural gas Shore power for ships When? Equipment changes over the short, medium, or long term Government and BC Hydro actions can influence the rate at which electrification occurs 29

30 Approaches to Electrification Responsive Approach Currently BC Hydro responds to customer needs Proactive Electrification Approach BC Hydro would work with government and other partners to promote and encourage increased efficient electrification 30

31 Facilitated Discussion Conservation and Efficiency Electrification 31

32 Integrated Resource Planning Topics Electricity Generation Options John Rich

33 Energy and Capacity BC Hydro must plan to meet both future energy and capacity needs Energy is electricity that is available at all times Capacity is the maximum amount of electricity that can be generated at any one time Sources of dependable capacity include: Large Hydro with Reservoir Pumped Storage Natural Gas 33

34 Example Portfolio - Renewable Mix A mix of potential renewable resources such as wind and run-of river from Independent Power Producers. Site C project is specifically excluded. 34

35 Example Portfolio Renewable Mix with Site C This portfolio includes a mix of renewable resources that include Site C along with wind, run-of-river and biomass projects from Independent Power Producers. 35

36 Example Portfolio Renewable Mix with Site C and Gas-Fired Generation This portfolio includes Site C, other potential renewable resources such as wind and runof-river from Independent Power Producers and gasfired generation allowable under Clean Energy Act limits. 36

37 Integrated Resource Planning Topics Transmission Planning John Rich

38 Transmission Planning Need to ensure the energy produced can be delivered to customers BC Hydro s Integrated Resource Plan will assess: Province wide transmission system needs Demand driven regional requirements (Northeast B.C.) Generation driven regional requirements (Identify potential clusters of projects) 38

39 Different Approaches - Bulk Transmission Planning Responsive Approach: BC Hydro develops transmission plans in response to forecast need Proactive Approach: BC Hydro develops long-term transmission plans in anticipation of potential future need, over a 30-year horizon While BC Hydro is likely to use both approaches going forward, emphasis can be placed on one or the other. 39

40 Transmission Approaches Responsive Proactive 40

41 Facilitated Discussion Electricity Generation Options Transmission Planning 41

42 Integrated Resource Planning Topics Export Market Potential John Rich

43 BC Hydro s Electricity Trade to Date BC Hydro through its wholly owned subsidiary Powerex, has been importing and exporting electricity for many years The energy stored in large reservoirs gives BC Hydro the flexibility to trade electricity BC Hydro can make the best use of its resources by importing electricity when electricity prices are lower and exporting when prices are higher 43

44 Approaches to Export Current Approach to Export: These are exports of surplus energy during times when BC Hydro has excess water in the hydroelectric system, including energy that is acquired to achieve the legal requirement of self-sufficiency by 2016 with an additional 3,000 GWh of insurance by 2020 Clean Generation for the Purpose of Export: These are exports that would come from the aggregation of renewable energy from Independent Power Producers in B.C. for the sole purpose of long-term export contracts 44

45 Export Market Potential The Clean Energy Act directs BC Hydro to assess the potential export market for electricity through: An assessment of the demand for renewable energy in markets BC Hydro can serve An estimate of market share BC Hydro might capture An estimate of the expenditures that will be required to undertake exports beyond traditional exports BC Hydro may also acquire, subject to Cabinet approval, renewable energy from Independent Power Producers in B.C. for the sole purpose of exporting to Alberta or the U.S. The Clean Energy Act protects existing BC Hydro ratepayers from the cost risks associated with energy purchased solely for export 45

46 Facilitated Discussion Export Market Potential 46

47 Clean or Renewable Energy Development Charlie Weiler

48 Clean or Renewable Energy Development Clean Energy Act objective to foster the development of First Nation and rural communities through the use and development of clean or renewable resources BC Hydro wants to understand your perspective on the use and development of clean or renewable resources What are your interests in clean or renewable energy development for your community? 48

49 Facilitated Discussion Clean or Renewable Energy Development 49

50 Integrated Resource Plan Next Steps Charlie Weiler

51 First Nations Consultation Schedule Mar 2-21, 2011 Apr 8, 2011 Apr 30, 2011 May 30, 2011 Sept-Oct, 2011 Dec 3, 2011 Regional Workshops in 9 communities input into the Draft Integrated Resource Plan Send meeting notes to participants Submit written comments by end of April Summary of consultation posted on website Regional Workshops on Draft Integrated Resource Plan Integrated Resource Plan to government April 30, 2011 Send your comments to 2011irp@bchydro.com 51

52 Additional Opportunities for Input Attend a public open house Send us your written comments: irp@bchydro.com Fax: Visit 52