Overview of Photovoltaics in Germany / The Solar Payback Project: Solar Heat for Industrial Processes (SHIP) Johannes Michel November 12, 2018 Dubai

Transcription

1 Overview of Photovoltaics in Germany / The Solar Payback Project: Solar Heat for Industrial Processes (SHIP) Johannes Michel November 12, 2018 Dubai

2 Agenda 1. German Solar Association 2. Photovoltaics in Germany Market and Trends 3. The Solar Payback Project Solar Heat for Industrial Processes Fact Sheet, Objectives and Project Partners 4. What is SHIP? 5. The Solar Payback Project Activities 6. Examples of SHIP TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 2

3 German Solar Association TASK To represent the solar industry in Germany in the thermal and photovoltaic and storage sector VISION A sustainable global energy supply provided by solar (renewable) energy ACTIVITIES Lobbying, political advice, public relations, market observation, standardization EXPERIENCE Active in the solar energy sector for almost 40 years REPRESENTS More than 800 solar producers, suppliers, wholesalers, installers and other companies active in the solar business from all over the world HEADQUARTER Berlin TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 3

4 German Solar Association Partnerships, business networks Projects, Market reports, esp. Enabling PV both TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 4

5 Agenda 1. German Solar Association 2. Photovoltaics in Germany Market and Trends 3. The Solar Payback Project Solar Heat for Industrial Processes Fact Sheet, Objectives and Project Partners 4. What is SHIP? 5. The Solar Payback Project Activities 6. Examples of SHIP TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 5

6 Germany still leads the solar world in per capita capacity 2017 Solar Energy supplies power to 10 Million households Germany Japan Italy Belgium Australia Greece Czech Republic UK USA Europe Austria France Spain China India cumulative installed PV capacity end of 2017 in kwp/1,000 inhabitants * preliminary figures subject to change Source: BSW-Solar calculations, market information nat. solar associations, analyst reports TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 6

7 PV in Germany: 44 GW capacity, 1.8 GW in % of German power demand covered by PV TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 7

8 PV Market Segments Market shares of on-grid PV systems Tennant solar (Start 2017) Large Scale / Ground Mounted (> kwp): ~12 GW installed capacity; 3,700 systems 14% Residential (up to 10kWp): ~ 6 GW installed capacity; 970,000 systems 28% Commercial ( kWp): ~24 GW installed capacity; 660,000 systems 58% Tenant solar / multi family houses (estimation) Residential (up to 10 kwp) Commercial ( kwp) Ground mounted >1.000 kwp Allocation / market shares (cumulative) TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 8

9 German success criteria and lessons learned Reliable policy helps, even when governments change (Feed-in-Tariffs as basis for market growth) Incentivizing private capital instead of state expenses Retroactive measures massively damage investors confidence Most jobs are downstream, in planning, installation, operation & maintainance Lessons learned: Better balance between tariff levels and cost levels to reduce burden on society Leaving the FIT-path too early as long as other business models are not fully in place can hurt the industry Buy-in and participation of utilities and grid operators needed, perceiving the added-value of PV for the system Clear adaption or exit strategy for conventional power plants as part of the transition period TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 9

10 German lesson learned: Safety First! *Bewertung des Brandrisikos in Photovoltaik-Anlagen und Erstellung von Sicherheitskonzepten TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 10 zur Risikominimierung 2015 TÜV Rheinland, Fraunhofer ISE

11 German lesson learned: Quality Second! Ralf Haselhuhn / Bewertung des Brandrisikos in Photovoltaik-Anlagen und Erstellung von Sicherheitskonzepten zur Risikominimierung 2015 TÜV Rheinland, Fraunhofer ISE TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 11

12 German Lesson Learned: Prediction is key *SMA.de TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 12

13 BERLIN ENERGY TRANSITION DIALOGUE 9 & 10 April 2019 in the Federal Foreign Office Berlin 45 ministers and state secretaries 2,000 participants 90+ countries TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 13

14 Agenda 1. German Solar Association 2. Photovoltaics in Germany Market and Trends 3. The Solar Payback Project Solar Heat for Industrial Processes Fact Sheet, Objectives and Project Partners 4. What is SHIP? 5. The Solar Payback Project Activities 6. Examples of SHIP TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 14

15 Solar Payback Fact Sheet COORDINATOR German Solar Association BSW-Solar Johannes Michel Phone: +49 (0) GERMAN IMPLEMENTING PARTNERS DURATION October 2016 to September 2019 BUDGET Total funds available for all four countries: EUR 2,958,920 TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 15

16 Solar Payback Objectives increase awareness of the technical and economic potential of SHIP-technology increase willingness to invest in and to promote this promising technology in four partner countries: Brazil, India, Mexico and South Africa Break the vicious circle of small deployment rates TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 16

17 Agenda 1. German Solar Association 2. Photovoltaics in Germany Market and Trends 3. The Solar Payback Project Solar Heat for Industrial Processes Fact Sheet, Objectives and Project Partners 4. What is SHIP? 5. The Solar Payback Project Activities 6. Examples of SHIP TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 17

18 What is SHIP? TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 18

19 SHIP Markets TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 19

20 Heat Demand of different Industries TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 20

21 Agenda 1. German Solar Association 2. Photovoltaics in Germany Market and Trends 3. The Solar Payback Project Solar Heat for Industrial Processes Fact Sheet, Objectives and Project Partners 4. What is SHIP? 5. The Solar Payback Project Activities 6. Examples of SHIP TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 21

22 Solar Paypack: Activities TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 22

23 Country Studies with analysis of markets and potentials 1. Macroeconomic framework, energy policy and industrial energy consumption in the partner countries 2. Description of solar thermal market for industrial processes 3. Industry landscape at lowand mid-temperature levels 4. Project development process for SHIP plants 5. Profitability Analysis of SHIP projects 6. Conclusions and recommendations TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 23

24 Prequalification and energy audits at interested factories TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 24

25 Agenda 1. German Solar Association 2. Photovoltaics in Germany Market and Trends 3. The Solar Payback Project Solar Heat for Industrial Processes Fact Sheet, Objectives and Project Partners 4. What is SHIP? 5. The Solar Payback Project Activities 6. Examples of SHIP TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 25

26 Examples of SHIP Solar-Heated Chocolate Factory in Jebel Ali, Dubai 510 m 2 solar collectors (Tisun Austria) kwh/a kwh/ m 2 Providing 80% of the hot water required in the production process TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 26

27 Examples of SHIP Radisson Blu Hotel Abu Dhabi Yas Island 85% reduction of water heating costs by installing solar thermal panels on the roof: from AED to AED Heating litres/day TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 27

28 Examples of SHIP Miraah, Oman: Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) 1 GW th (6.000 tons steam/day) Glasspoint paraboilc through system steam generation Feb. 2018: 4 of 36 blocks operational Plans announced for 850 MW th in California TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 28

29 Thank you for your attention Johannes Michel Project Manager International Affairs German Solar Association Headline Times 33 pt Subline Arial 20pt Source: Solarmarkt

30 German Solar Association National: - Lobbying - Stimulation of market - Quality, Safety International: Development of international markets and removing barriers Policy Support Market Intelligence Enabling Business Cooperation & collaboration on international energy policy Analysis of solar in emerging markets Mediation of business opportunities Seite 30

31 Huge Potential for PV in U.A.E. Electricity consumption (kwh / captica / year): > 10 hours sunlight / day, 350 days / year PV component manufacturers available PV technology well established R&D for PV panels relating to the effects of temperature and dust TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 31

32 Solar Payback Partners in the target countries TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 32

33 Solar Paypack: Funding Part of the International Climate Initiative (IKI) Funded by Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building and Nuclear Safety (BMU) TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 33

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36 Solar Payback Events Policy Workshops Financial Trainings Industry-specific conferences TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 36

37 Calculation Tool (Screenshots) TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 37

38 First Solar Payback Brochure TT.MM.JJJJ Seite 38