Knowledge needs related to

Transcription

1 The parallel group session; NERSC/LHP - WG Climate; 01/12/2009 Sino-Norwegian Environmental Research Cooperation, Beijing Knowledge needs related to climate change Lasse H. Pettersson Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center (NERSC) Room 305 interdisciplinary environmental issues Zhu Yonglong Institute of Urban Environment, CAS Room 303

2 Session objectives and organisation Indentify knowledge gaps within; Climate change Interdisciplinary environmental challenges Quick presentation of each participant p (TdT) Suggestions of joint research topics/objectives/questions Clustering (and refinement) of identified knowledge gaps/topics Identify key research partners in China and Norway

3 Group session; Knowledge needs related to climate change Lasse H. Pettersson Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center (NERSC)

4 The Norwegian NORKLIMA The primary objective of the NORKLIMA programme is to generate vital new knowledge about; 1. the climate system,, about climate trends in the past, present and future, 2. and about the direct and indirect impacts of climate change on the natural environment and society, 3. as a basis for adaptive responses by society.

5 NORKLIMA: Scientific Objectives 1. Improve understanding di of fthe climate system and dits variability, and to quantify uncertainty. 2. Improve knowledge of climate change and its impacts on buildings, infrastructure and other installations, both on land and offshore. 3. Improve knowledge of climate change and its impacts on natural and cultivated ecosystems and natural resourcebased industries. 4. Improve knowledge of the impacts of climate change on society and how adaptive capacity can be strengthened. 5. Improve knowledge of the links between emission trends and the development of society, and of international cooperation to mitigate climate change.

6 CAS; Priority areas for co operative research Lü Yonglong: A. Exploration of emerging environmental issues, institutional capacity building, and regulatory instruments for environmental enhancement; B. Environmental observation and monitoring systems, new energy and environmental technology development transfer and communication; C. Environment and health, environment and energy for achieving harmoneous development between man and nature; D. Integrated approaches for environmental risk assessments, pollution control and remediation; E. Watershed management, coastal zone, marine environment, urban environment, and ecotone preservation should be included as the key areas of of future cooperation.

7 How to match the "#" and the "A A,... "? Environment = Climate and denvironment A. Exploration of emerging environmental issues, institutional capacity building, and regulatory instruments for environmental enhancement; B. Environmental observation and monitoring systems, new energy and environmental technology development transfer and communication; C. Environment and health, environment and energy for achieving harmoneous development between man and nature; D. Integrated approaches for environmental risk assessments, pollution control and remediation; E. Watershed management, coastal zone, marine environment, urban environment, and ecotone preservation should be included as the key areas of of future cooperation. NERSC/LHP - WG Climate; 01/12/2009 Sino-Norwegian Environmental Research Cooperation, Beijing

8 CAS Action on Climate Change Study from Wang Yi presentation; Involve in climate-related research programs since 1980s More than 30 institutes involve in climate change research: including data collection, theoretical study, energy and low carbon technology development, and policy analysis Work out the CAS action plan on climate change Establish the CAS Center of Climate Change: multi-institute mechanism IAP) Organize programs of climate change: refer to mitigation, adaptation, technology development, and policy aspects roadmap research to 2050: 18 areas include energy, environment, water resource related climate issues Policy consultation: powerful Academician system involve in policy making Energy and climate modeling Foresight of energy and low carbon technologies Simulation, evaluation and strategy studies on climate change policies Reports and policy recommendations...

9 CHINOR Climate research foci Climate STUDIES and MODELLING Climate IMPACT Climate ADAPTATION INTEGRATE STUDIES

10 From N.R. Sælthun 30/11; Summary Well established co operation operation within environment observation, process studies and modelling Should this still be the focus!? Potential for cooperation underdeveloped within: The energy sector in general Environment/health and environment/energy interaction Environmental risk assessments Pollution control and remediation Coastal zone Marine environment Urban environment Ecotone/ecosystems preservation Regulatory instruments New energy and environmental technology development from disciplinary to interdisciplinary research

11 Session objectives and organisation Indentify knowledge gaps within Climate change Quick presentation of each participant (TdT) Suggestions of joint research topics/objectives/questions Clustering (and refinement) of identified knowledge gaps under; Climate SYSTEM research Climate IMPACT Climate ADAPTATION Integrated climate studies Research and education Identify key research partners in China and Norway

12 Climate SYSTEM Research Topics Topics / Research Questions

13 Climate IMPACT Research Topics Topics / Research Questions

14 Climate ADAPTATION Research Topics Topics / Research Questions

15 INTEGRATED Climate Research Topics Topics / Research Questions

16 Climate STUDIES; Summary (1) Topics / Research Questions Partners China Norway

17 Climate IMPACT; Summary (2) Topics / Research Partners China Questions Norway

18 Climate ADAPTATION; Summary (3) Topics / Research Questions Partners China Norway

19 Climate Change; Summary (4) Cooperation mechanisms beyond projects; Joint centre, laboratory, or partnership pinstitute Joint training, MSc & PhD students > joint programmes, sandwich degrees

20 Topics of interests to the Nansen Centers 1. Reconstruction of past climate, 2. Melting of glaciers, 3. Decadal time scale climate predictability and teleconnections, 4. Terrestrial and oceanic uptake of carbon dioxide, 5. Environmental and climate observations from satellite remote sensing 6. Development of Earth System Modelling

21 Water Vapor Transport Courtesy M. Bentsen, NERSC

22 Topics of interests to the Nansen Centers Decadal time scale climate predictability and teleconnections, ti 1. "Blue Arctic" and monsoon teleconnections Melting of glaciers, 2. Greenland Ice sheet and Himalayan glaciers Environmental and climate observations from satellite remote sensing 3. Essential climate variables from satellites Development of Earth System Modelling 4. NorESM model development, comparison and applications 5. Climate and climate change impact on environment in China (integrated project)

23 Proposal from the Nansen Centers: "Blue Arctic" Impact on Asian Monsoons System Principal Investigators: Prof. Ola M. Johannessen Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen, NORWAY Prof. Hui-Jun Wang Nansen Zhu Centre and Institute of Atmospheric Physics / Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, CHINA Prof. Yongqi Gao Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Norway/ Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, IAP/CAS, China

24 Proposal from the Nansen Centers: Climate variability and change in Arctic and Asian Monsoon regions and possible teleconnection Principal Investigators: Prof. Ola M. Johannessen Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen, NORWAY Prof. Hui-Jun Wang Nansen Zhu Centre and Institute of Atmospheric Physics / Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, CHINA Prof. Yongqi Gao Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Norway/ Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, IAP/CAS, China

25 Proposal from the Nansen Centers: Greenland Ice-Sheet: Changes, Effects and Impacts on Sea Level, including Chinese and Norwegian Waters Principal Investigators: Prof. Ola M. Johannessen Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen, NORWAY Prof. Hui-Jun Wang Nansen Zhu Centre and Institute of Atmospheric Physics / Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, CHINA Prof. Atle Nesje Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research and Department t of Earth Sciences, University it of Bergen, NORWAY

26 Proposal from the Nansen Centers: Climate and Climate change impact on environment in China (integrated) 1. Climate and climate change 2. Air pollution 3. Water 4. Fish 5. Agriculture 6. Synthesis and assessment Norwegian partners: NERSC, NIVA, Univ. of Life Science, UiOslo Chinese partners; NZC, IAP CAS, SINCERE, Geochemistry Institute

27 Proposal from the Nansen Centers: Essential climate variables (ECVs) derived d from satellite remote sensing using Chinese and European satellites Principal Investigator: Prof. Johnny A. Johannessen Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen, NORWAY + European partners (F, DE) Chinese partners: Nansen Zhu Centre and Institute of Atmospheric Physics /CAS, Beijing Ocean Remote Sensing Institute, Ocean University of China National Satellite Ocean Application Service, P.R. China Beijing Normal University, P.R. China Ministry of Science and Technology, P.R. China National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, P.R. China Second Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, P.R. China

28 NorESM framework and model components NERSC/LHP - WG Climate; 01/12/2009 Sino-Norwegian Environmental Research Cooperation, Beijing Atmospheric chemistry CAM CICE CLM River routing MICOM HAMOCC Components in blue communicate trough a coupling component. Components in red are subroutines o blue components.

29 Research Themes 1/3 1. Reconstruction of past climate and climate variability based on low and high latitude paleo environmentalenvironmental reconstructions from tree rings, marine and lake sediments, mountain glaciers, ice cores and by use of modelling. Co heads: Huijun Wang, NZC/IAP, Eystein Jansen, BCCR/UoB/UNIFOB. 2. Study the natural and anthropogenic variability of selected glaciers at high and low latitudes and their potential interrelationships, including the study of the Greenland ice sheet and mountain glaciers and their contributions to the past, present and future sea level changes. Co heads: Meixue Yang, Cold and Arid Regions Environment and Engineering Research Institute (CAREERI), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Atle Nesje, UoB/BCCR.

30 Research Themes 2/3 3. Identification of teleconnection patterns and mechanisms, seasonal, interannual and decadal time scale climate predictability Co heads: Shuanglin Li, NZC, Xiu Qun Yang, Nanjing University and Tore Furevik, UoB/BCCR,. 4. Model and assess long term climate and air quality effects of regional to global scale atmospheric events like aerosol variability, dust storms and pollution emissions. Co heads: Zifa Wang, NZC, Igor Esau, NERSC 5. Assess sources and sinks of carbon dioxide on seasonal to interdecadal time scales based on integrated use of observations and modelling. Co heads: Yongfu Xu, IAP, Christoph Heinze, UoB/BCCR

31 Research Themes es 3/3 6. Model and analyze the ocean circulation by means of advanced data assimilation methods. Co heads: Jiang Zhu, IAP, B. K. Tan, PKU, Laurent Bertino, NERSC 7. Development of satellite based, multidisciplinary, i li spatially and temporally harmonized and stable long time series of Essential Climate Variables (ECVs) for environmental and climate change monitoring and research. Co heads: Pucai Wang, IAP, Johnny A. Johannessen, NERSC/UoB 8. Collaboration on module development, validation and applications of Earth system models. Co heads: Yongqi Gao, NZC,Mats Bentsen,NERSC

32 NorESM framework and model components NERSC/LHP - WG Climate; 01/12/2009 Sino-Norwegian Environmental Research Cooperation, Beijing NorESM is based on a development version of CCSM4 from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, USA. Model components: Atmosphere: Community Atmosphere Model (CAM ). Land: Community Land Model (CLM ). Sea-ice: Community Sea-Ice Model (CSIM/CICE 4). Ocean: Miami Isopynic Coordinate Ocean Model (MICOM) extensively modified at the Nansen Center. Atmospheric chemistry: Chemistry-aerosol-cloud package in CAM by University of Oslo and met.no. Ocean Carbon Cycle: Hamburg Model of Ocean Carbon Cycle (HAMOCC) adopted for use with an isopycnic ocean model. Coupler: CPL 7. Ice sheet: Currently none, but we together with NCAR and LANL are working on this.