TSS Project Update and Demo of Selected Tools

Transcription

1 TSS Project Update and Demo of Selected Tools WRAP IWG Meeting Santa Fe, NM December 7, 2006

2 Outline WRAP Technical Information Centers TSS Overview Status of TSS functionality Future TSS work TSS training Demo of selected TSS tools

3 WRAP Technical Information Centers Visibility Information Exchange Web System (VIEWS): VIEWS provides on-line access to monitoring data, research results and special studies related to visibility. Regional Modeling Center: The WRAP s Regional Modeling Center at the University of California Riverside provides state and tribal agencies with sophisticated modeling of regional haze in the Western United States. Emissions Data Management System: An emission inventory data warehouse for states and tribes. The system provides a consistent, complete and regional approach to emissions data management and tracking. Causes of Haze Assessment: A detailed analysis of ambient monitoring data for regional haze in the WRAP region. The Technical Support System integrates a number of different information resources under one web-based umbrella.

4 WRAP Data Centers Support the TSS Data Centers Planning/Decision Tool & Summary Data Haze monitoring data Modeling analysis results Emissions data Monitoring analysis results

5 TSS Overview TSS url: TSS focus has been to prepare tools to support SIP writers needs Dynamic tools interactive, based on data queries Graphs Tables Maps Static tools analyses/products generated outside of the TSS, often placeholders for planned dynamic tools Recent work incorporates Tribal areas in tools Where possible, data tables have been made available for download so analysts can examine data and reformat graphics as required

6 Status of TSS Functionality Green Substantially functional, results or information generally available Yellow Functional, but somewhat incomplete at this time Red Not substantially functional or complete

7 Home Page

8 Resources Page

9 WOE Checklist Page

10 Source Apportionment Page

11 Integrated Mapping and Analysis Tool

12 Future TSS Work On-going site evolution and tool development TSS training anticipated: 2 WebEx style sessions (early 2007) 1 classroom style session (spring 2007) TSS data updates: Emissions updates (mid-2007) Results from control strategy modeling (mid-2007) IMPROVE data updates for 2005 and 2006 TSS linkage with other web sites/data nodes: Fire Emissions Tracking System (FETS) Emissions Data Management System (EDMS)

13 TSS Training Early 2007 set tentative dates today? WebEx style no travel required minutes Use well-defined syllabus Session 1: Go through entire WOE Checklist? Session 2: Explore source attribution tools? Will request that IWG participants do some homework prior to each session Review of specific documents on the TSS Review of tools included in the syllabus so that participants will have some specific questions

14 Demo of Selected TSS Tools Following slides contain notes to be covered in the demo Red text = left hand navigation bar clicks

15 Emissions Summaries Resources/Emissions Summaries: Downloadable Excel spreadsheets Annual and seasonal State and county WRAP and entire RPO domain

16 2018 Proj./Glide Slope Calculation (1) Resources/Monitoring/Analysis Results eline Select Model Response and Preliminary Glide Slope Calculations Summaries: Graphs Model response (2018 baseline results) for worst days Preliminary glide slope with predicted 2018 value Old IMPROVE Algorithm Default natural conditions Final numbers will change, but general results not expected to differ significantly at most sites

17 2018 Proj./Glide Slope Calculation (2) Resources/Weight of Evidence Select a site under the Start tab Select the Class I Area tab Scroll down to Reasonable Progress Goal Select 3 rd bullet (species glide slopes) Summaries: Graphs and data Species glide slopes New IMPROVE Algorithm New natural conditions Does not yet display the 2018 projected values

18 Tabular Summary of WOE Results Resources/Weight of Evidence Select the Class I Area tab Scroll down to Class I Area Summary Table Select 1 st (only) bullet Summaries: Not yet implemented sample table next slide Does sample table meet IWG needs?

19 Tabular Summary of WOE Results SAMPLE* Summary Table for Worst Visibility Days Baseline Conditions (Mm -1 ) 2064 Natural Conditions (Mm -1 ) Strawberry Mountain and Eagle Cap Class I Areas, Oregon Base Case Control Case (Mm -1 ) (Mm -1 ) 2018 URP (Mm -1 ) Change In Statewide Emissions 1 (tons / %) Change In Upwind Weighted Emissions 1 (%) Change In WRAP Antrho Contribution 1 (%) Other Apportionment Results SO / PSAT PMF NO / PSAT PMF OC / PMF EC / Not PMF FS / Applicable PMF CM / PMF DV Not Applicable 1 Represents change between control case and baseline condition. 2 Visibility projections not available due to model performance issues. 3 Unitless value. 4 This becomes the reasonable progress goal for the worst visibility days. *Courtesy of Lee Alter

20 Annual/Seasonal Pollutant Graphs Resources/Emissions (emissions graphs) Resources/Monitoring/Monitoring Data Browser px Select the Time Series tab Tool selections include: Mass or extinction Old or new IMPROVE algorithm Various time and averaging periods

21 Exploration of a Fire Signature Resources/Monitoring/Monitoring Data Browser Select the Time Series tab Choose: worst 20%, daily, years Copy/download data Same page; select Source Apportionment and then Organic Aerosol Tracer tabs Results show contribution to organic carbon of: Anthropogenic secondary OC (man-made VOCs and fire) Biogenic secondary OC (natural VOCs and fire) Anthropogenic AND biogenic primary OC (fire; other) Full analysis would include knowing periods of wildfire impact

22 Tool For Emissions Rollback? (1) Short answer: NO AQ model required to predict visibility from changes in emissions Data mining may help understanding of emissions/extinction Review PSAT and WEP results to identify relative contributions from source regions

23 Tool For Emissions Rollback? (2) Resources/Area of Interest Select the Source Apportionment, then SOx NOx Tracer or Weighted Emissions Potential tabs SOx NOx Tracer provides PSAT concentration attribution results Select 2 By Region to identify most important source areas Select 1 Time Series to determine seasonal impact of source areas Weighted Emissions Potential (WEP) provides a back trajectory residence time and distance weighting to emissions sources Select map graphic of emissions densities, residence times, or WEP results Select Excel file to see relative contributions by source types and categories

24 How does Utah impact Black Canyon of the Gunnison, CO? Black Canyon is represented by the Weminuche (WEMI) IMPROVE site Review PSAT results for WEMI; identify relative contribution from Utah (how do they change in 2018?) Review seasonality of Utah impacts (Currently there are no Weighted Emissions Potential maps for this site)

25 Nitrate PSAT Results

26 Sulfate PSAT Results

27 Nitrate/Sulfate Contribution from UT

28 How does Nevada impact Zion, UT? Zion is represented by the ZION IMPROVE site Review PSAT results for ZION; identify relative contribution from Nevada What are the dominant source categories? Review seasonality of Nevada impacts Review the Weighted Emissions Potential (WEP) maps and spreadsheets for this site

29 Nitrate PSAT Results

30 Sulfate PSAT Results

31 Nitrate/Sulfate Contribution from NV

32 WEP Emissions and Residence Time NOx Emissions Residence Time

33 WEP NOx, SOx, PEC Results NOx Results SOx Results PEC Results

34 NOx WEP Contributions for ZION Sources and Areas of Potential Nitrogen Oxide Emissions Influence Baseline for Zion National Park, UT 20% Worst Visibility Days Biogenic Natural Fire Point Area WRAP Area O&G Off-Shore On-Road Mobile Off-Road Mobile Road Dust Fugitive Dust WB Dust Anthro Fire Arizona California Colorado Idaho Montana Nevada New Mexico North Dakota Oregon South Dakota Utah Washington Wyoming Pacific Offshore CENRAP Eastern US Mexico Canada Percent of Total Distance Weighted Emis x ResTime