Unified Corridor Investment Study Performance Dashboard

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1 Unified Corridor Investment Study Performance Dashboard October 2018

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3 Project Description Three parallel routes - Highway 1, Soquel/Freedom and the Santa Cruz Branch Rail Line - link the communities along the Santa Cruz County coast from Davenport through Watsonville. The Unified Corridor Study examines how well complimentary transportation improvements on all three routes - when designed to function together as a single unified corridor perform to meet the community s transportation needs. The Unified Corridor Study performance dashboard presents the result of the second, in a two step analysis and the preferred scenario. The Step 2 Analysis groups projects into scenarios and compares how each of the scenarios address the study goals of Safety, Efficiency, Economics, Environmental Sustainability, and Social Equity by The evaluation of 16 performance measures for each of the scenarios and a comparison to a no build and baseline conditions is designed to increase understanding of transportation project benefits by transparently evaluating their impacts and lead to effective investments in the corridor.

4 Goals & Performance Measures Approved by RTC on May 4, 2017 The goals and performance measures below support a vision for an integrated, multimodal transportation network based on a triple bottom line approach that maximizes the environmental, economic and equity benefits. Goal 1: Safer transportation for all modes Injury and fatal collisions by mode Goal 2: Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods Peak period mean automobile travel time Peak period mean transit travel time Peak period travel time reliability Mode share Person trips across N-S screenline Goal 3: Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality Level of public investment Visitor tax revenues Cost associated with fatalities and injuries Goal 4: Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts Automobile vehicle miles traveled Greenhouse gas emissions Criteria pollutants Environmentally sensitive areas Goal 5: Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled Household transportation costs Benefits and impacts to transportation disadvantaged communities

5 Step 2 Scenarios for Analysis Approved by RTC on December 7, 2017 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E No Build Highway 1 Projects Buses on shoulders High occupancy vehicle lanes (HOV) and increased transit frequency Auxiliary lanes to extend merging distance IN ADDITION TO MEASURE D Metering of on-ramps Additional lanes on bridge over San Lorenzo River Mission St intersection improvements Soquel Avenue/Drive and Freedom Blvd BRT lite (faster boarding, transit signal priority and queue jumps) Increased frequency of transit with express services Buffered/protected bike lanes Intersection improvements for auto Intersection improvements for bikes/pedestrians Rail Corridor Bike and pedestrian trail Local rail transit with interregional connections Bus rapid transit Freight service on rail Overall Project Area/Connections between Routes Improved bike/pedestrian facilities throughout urban area closing gaps in network Additional transit connections Bike share, bike amenities, transit amenities, park and ride lots Multimodal transportation hubs Only Watsonville These projects will be evaluated in all scenarios. Automated vehicles/connected vehicles Transportation Demand and System Management Employers and residences - incentive programs Education and enforcement - electric vehicle, motorist safety, and bike safety These projects will be evaluated in all scenarios.

6 Scenario A Step 2 Performance Measures PM: Total Collisions (Fatal, Injury, and Property Damage Only per year) Scenario A, 979, 1211 Baseline, 1110 Highway 1 Projects HOV and auxiliary lanes, ramp meters, San Lorenzo bridge widening, multimodal intersection improvements Soquel / Freedom BRT Lite with increased transit frequency, multimodal intersection improvements Rail ROW Bike and pedestrian trail Goal 1 Safer transportation for all modes. PM: Countywide Mean Auto Speed (mph) Walk 10.9% Bike 4.3% Transit 4.1% Drive Alone 42.8% Scenario A AM Peak Period 6:00-9:00 AM Baseline PM Peak Period 4:00-7:00 PM Scenario A Carpool 37.8% PM: Mode Share Goal 2 Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods.

7 PM: Person trips across N-S Screenline 4:00-6:00 PM (In thousands) Scenario A 34K 38K 23K 31K 31K 19K Baseline 28K 27K 16K Seabright Avenue 41st Ave San Andreas/Freedom Goal 3 Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality. PM: Level Of Public Investment ($ millions) $25 $13 $12 New Public Investment Needed Funding Potential $901 $522 $379 PM: Visitor Tax Revenues (per year in millions) O&M Scenario Costs A Capital Scenario Costs A Total Transient Occupancy Tax Visitor Related Sales Tax $40.1 $39.0 $28.6 $28.0 $27.2 $18.3 $10.3 $12.0 $11.8 Baseline Scenario A

8 PM: Cost Associated with Collisions (per year) Cost per $224 K Collision x 1,211 Collisions = $271 M Collision Cost Cost per $224 K Collision x Scenario A 979 Collisions = Scenario A $219 M Collision Cost Cost -$52 M Savings PM: Automobile Vehicle Miles Traveled (Countywide VMT per day in millions) Scenario A Baseline Goal 4 Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts. PM: Total Criteria Pollutants (metric tons per day) Baseline Scenario A CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 ROG NOX

9 PM: Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO 2 e Emissions (metric tons per day) and Percentage Reduction from 2015 Baseline CO 2 e 2,617-27% -26% 1,915 1,941 Baseline Scenario A PM: Environmentally Sensitive Areas (# linear miles along 3 routes) nd lowest score Goal 5 Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users. PM: Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled (per year in millions) Scenario A Baseline 3.33

10 PM: Household Transportation Cost Percentage of Income Spent on Transportation (by median income households per year) 26% 24% Daily Costs for 2-Vehicle Households Scenario A $ % 16% 17% 25% Baseline 2015 Baseline $46.63 $ $50.14 $ Vehicle Household 2 Vehicle Household PM: Share of Investment Benefit for Transportation Disadvantaged Population 24.0% 13.7 % of population is transportation disadvantaged Scenario A

11 Scenario B Step 2 Performance Measures PM: Total Collisions (Fatal, Injury, and Property Damage Only per year) Scenario B, 865, 1211 Baseline, 1110 Highway 1 Projects Bus on shoulder, ramp metering, Mission St. intersection improvements Soquel / Freedom BRT Lite with increased transit frequency, buffered/protected bike lanes, bike/ped intersection improvements Rail ROW Bike and pedestrian trail, rail transit Goal 1 Safer transportation for all modes. PM: Countywide Mean Auto Speed (mph) Bike 4.4% Walk 10.7% Drive Alone 42.4% Scenario B AM Peak Period 6:00-9:00 AM Scenario B PM Peak Period 4:00-7:00 PM Transit 6.0% Carpool 36.5% PM: Mode Share Baseline Goal 2 Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods.

12 PM: Person trips across N-S Screenline 4:00-6:00 PM (In thousands) Scenario B 33K 33K 19K 31K 31K 19K Baseline 28K 27K 16K Seabright Avenue 41st Ave San Andreas/Freedom Goal 3 Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality. PM: Level Of Public Investment ($ millions) $48 $22 $26 New Public Investment Needed Funding Potential $884 $430 $455 PM: Visitor Tax Revenues (per year in millions) Scenario O&M Costs B Capital Scenario Costs B Total Transient Occupancy Tax Visitor Related Sales Tax $40.2 $39.0 $28.6 $28.1 $27.2 $18.3 $10.3 $12.1 $11.8 Baseline Scenario B

13 PM: Cost Associated with Collisions (per year) Cost per $224 K Collision x 1,211 Collisions = $271 M Collision Cost Cost per $224 K Collision x Scenario B 865 Collisions = Scenario B $192 M Collision Cost Cost -$78 M Savings Goal 4 Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts. PM: Automobile Vehicle Miles Traveled (Countywide VMT per day in millions) Scenario B Baseline 5.48 PM: Total Criteria Pollutants (metric tons per day) Baseline Scenario B CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 ROG NOX

14 PM: Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO 2 e Emissions (metric tons per day) and Percentage Reduction from 2015 Baseline CO 2 e 2,617-27% -28% 1,915 1,886 Baseline Scenario B PM: Environmentally Sensitive Areas (# linear miles along 3 routes) nd highest score Goal 5 Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users. PM: Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled (per year in millions) Scenario B Baseline 3.33

15 PM: Household Transportation Cost Percentage of Income Spent on Transportation (by median income households per year) 26% 24% Daily Costs for 2-Vehicle Households Scenario B $ % 16% 2015 Baseline $46.63 $ % 25% Baseline 2035 $50.14 $ Vehicle Household 2 Vehicle Household PM: Share of Investment Benefit for Transportation Disadvantaged Population 25.2% 13.7 % of population is transportation disadvantaged Scenario B

16 Scenario C Step 2 Performance Measures PM: Total Collisions (Fatal, Injury, and Property Damage Only per year) Scenario C, 970, 1211 Baseline, 1110 Highway 1 Projects Bus on shoulders, auxiliary lanes Soquel / Freedom BRT Lite with increased transit frequency, multimodal intersection improvements Rail ROW Bike and pedestrian trail, bus rapid transit, freight service (in Watsonville) Goal 1 Safer transportation for all modes. PM: Countywide Mean Auto Speed (mph) Transit 4.8% Carpool 37.1% Bike 4.2% Walk 10.8% PM: Mode Share Drive Alone 43.1% Scenario C AM Peak Period 6:00-9:00 AM Baseline PM Peak Period 4:00-7:00 PM Scenario C Goal 2 Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods.

17 PM: Person trips across N-S Screenline 4:00-6:00 PM (In thousands) Scenario C 32K 32K 19K 31K 31K 19K Baseline 28K 27K 16K Seabright Avenue 41st Ave San Andreas/Freedom Goal 3 Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality. PM: Level Of Public Investment ($ millions) $30 $12 $18 New Public Investment Needed Funding Potential $729 $273 $455 PM: Visitor Tax Revenues (per year in millions) Total Transient Occupancy Tax Visitor Related Sales Tax O&M Scenario Costs C $39.7 $39.0 Capital Scenario Costs C $28.6 $27.8 $27.2 $18.3 $10.3 $11.9 $11.8 Baseline Scenario C

18 PM: Cost Associated with Collisions (per year) Cost per $224 K Collision x 1,211 Collisions = $271 M Collision Cost Cost per $224 K Collision x Scenario C 970 Collisions = Scenario C $217 M Collision Cost Cost -$54 M Savings Goal 4 Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts. PM: Automobile Vehicle Miles Traveled (Countywide VMT per day in millions) Scenario C Baseline PM: Total Criteria Pollutants (metric tons per day) Baseline Scenario C CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 ROG NOX

19 PM: Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO 2 e Emissions (metric tons per day) and Percentage Reduction from 2015 Baseline CO 2 e 2,617-27% -27% 1,915 1,899 Baseline Scenario C PM: Environmentally Sensitive Areas (# linear miles along 3 routes) 36.0 Lowest score Goal 5 Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users. PM: Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled (per year in millions) Scenario C Baseline 3.33

20 PM: Household Transportation Cost Percentage of Income Spent on Transportation (by median income households per year) 26% 24% Daily Costs for 2-Vehicle Households Scenario C $ % 16% 17% 25% Baseline 2015 Baseline $46.63 $ $50.14 $ Vehicle Household 2 Vehicle Household PM: Share of Investment Benefit for Transportation Disadvantaged Population 25.2% 13.7 % of population is transportation disadvantaged Scenario C

21 Scenario E Step 2 Performance Measures PM: Total Collisions (Fatal, Injury, and Property Damage Only per year) Scenario E, 968, 1211 Highway 1 Projects HOV and auxiliary lanes, ramp meters Soquel / Freedom Buffered/protected bike lanes, bike/pedestrian intersection improvements Rail ROW Bike and pedestrian trail, rail transit, freight service Baseline, 1110 Goal 1 Safer transportation for all modes. PM: Countywide Mean Auto Speed (mph) Transit 5.3% Bike 4.4% Carpool 37.3% Walk 10.7% PM: Mode Share Drive Alone 42.3% Scenario E AM Peak Period 6:00-9:00 AM Baseline Scenario E PM Peak Period 4:00-7:00 PM Goal 2 Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods.

22 PM: Person trips across N-S Screenline 4:00-6:00 PM (In thousands) Scenario E 35K 39K 23K 31K 31K 19K Baseline 28K 27K 16K Seabright Avenue 41st Ave San Andreas/Freedom Goal 3 Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality. PM: Level Of Public Investment ($ millions) $40 $12 $28 New Public Investment Needed Funding Potential $1,279 $825 $455 PM: Visitor Tax Revenues (per year in millions) Total Transient Occupancy Tax Visitor Related Sales Tax $28.6 $40.1 $39.0 O&M Scenario Costs E Capital Scenario Costs E $28.1 $27.2 $18.3 $10.3 $12.0 $11.8 Baseline Scenario E

23 PM: Cost Associated with Collisions (per year) Cost per $224 K Collision x 1,211 Collisions = $271 M Collision Cost Cost per $224 K Collision x Scenario E 968 Collisions = Scenario E $217 M Collision Cost Cost -$54 M Savings Goal 4 Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts. PM: Automobile Vehicle Miles Traveled (Countywide VMT per day in millions) Scenario E Baseline PM: Total Criteria Pollutants (metric tons per day) Baseline Scenario E CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 ROG NOX

24 PM: Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO 2 e Emissions (metric tons per day) and Percentage Reduction from 2015 Baseline CO 2 e 2,617-27% -26% 1,915 1,928 Baseline Scenario E PM: Environmentally Sensitive Areas (# linear miles along 3 routes) 40.7 Highest score Goal 5 Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users. PM: Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled (per year in millions) Scenario E Baseline

25 PM: Household Transportation Cost Percentage of Income Spent on Transportation (by median income households per year) 26% 24% Daily Costs for 2-Vehicle Households Scenario E $ % 16% 17% 25% Baseline 2015 Baseline $46.63 $ $50.14 $ Vehicle Household 2 Vehicle Household PM: Share of Investment Benefit for Transportation Disadvantaged Population 23.5% 13.7 % of population is transportation disadvantaged Scenario E

26 All Scenarios Comparison Including Preferred Scenario Highway 1 Projects Buses on shoulders High occupancy vehicle lanes (HOV) and increased transit frequency Auxiliary lanes to extend merging distance IN ADDITION TO MEASURE D Metering of on-ramps Additional lanes on bridge over San Lorenzo River Mission St intersection improvements Soquel Avenue/Drive and Freedom Blvd BRT lite (faster boarding, transit signal priority and queue jumps) Increased frequency of transit with express services Buffered/protected bike lanes Intersection improvements for auto Intersection improvements for bikes/pedestrians* Rail Corridor Bike and pedestrian trail High-capacity public transit service Local rail transit with interregional connections Bus rapid transit 2035 Beyond Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Preferred 2035 A B C E Freight service on rail Overall Project Area/Connections between Routes Only Watsonville Improved bike/pedestrian facilities throughout urban area closing gaps in network Additional transit connections Bike share, bike amenities, transit amenities, park and ride lots These projects are evaluated in all scenarios. Multimodal transportation hubs Automated vehicles/connected vehicles Transportation Demand and System Management Employers and residences - incentive programs Education and enforcement - electric vehicle, motorist safety, and bike safety These projects are evaluated in all scenarios. *Intersection improvements will include right turn pockets or bypass lanes for bus service and transit priority, if feasible.

27 The performance measure results for the preferred scenario reflect projections if passenger rail service is implemented for comparison purposes only and is not bias against other potential high-capacity transit alternatives on the rail corridor. GOAL 1 Safer transportation for all modes. Scenario A PM: Total Annual Collisions Fatal, Injury, and Property Damage Only Revised 10/15/ Baseline 1110 Scenario B 865 Scenario C 970 Scenario E 968 Preferred 865 Beyond GOAL 2 Reliable and efficient transportation choices that serve the most people and facilitate the transport of goods Countywide Mean Auto Speed (MPH) Baseline Revised 11/02/ Baseline AM Peak Period (6-9am) PM Peak Period (4-7pm)

28 GOAL 2 Reliability and Efficiency (continued) Scenario A Mode Share Scenario B Drive Alone 42.8% Drive Alone 42.4% Carpool 37.8% Carpool 36.5% Walk 10.9% Walk 10.7% Bike 4.3% Bike 4.4% Transit 4.1% Transit 6.0% Scenario C Scenario E Drive Alone Carpool Walk Bike Transit 10.8% 4.2% 4.8% 43.1% Drive Alone 37.1% Carpool Walk Bike Transit 4.4% 5.3% 10.7% 2015 Baseline 37.3% 42.3% 2035 Person Trips (4-6pm) Screenline # 4 at 41st Ave Screenline # 4 at 41st Ave Baseline 27K Baseline 27K 31K 31K Scenario A 38K Scenario A 38K Scenario B 33K Scenario B 33K Scenario C 32K Scenario C 32K Scenario E 39K Scenario E 39K

29 GOAL 3 Develop a well-integrated transportation system that supports economic vitality. Level of Public Investment Capital Costs and Funding Potential Estimates ($ millions) $1,279 $901 $884 $522 $430 $729 $273 $825 New Public Investments Needed $379 $455 $455 $455 Funding Potential Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E Annual Cost for Operations & Maintenance ($ millions) $48 $40 $25 $22 $30 $12 $12 New Public Investments Needed $13 $12 $26 $18 $28 Funding Potential Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E

30 GOAL 3 Economic Vitality (continued) Total Transient Occupancy Tax Visitor Related Sales Tax Visitor Tax Revenues (per year in millions) $40.1 $40.2 $39.7 $40.1 $39.0 $28.6 $28.0 $28.0 $27.8 $28.1 $27.2 $18.3 $10.3 $12.0 $12.1 $11.9 $12.0 $11.8 Baseline Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E Cost Associated with Collisions (in millions/year) Scenario A $219 $52 Scenario B $193 $78 Scenario C $217 $54 Scenario E $217 $54 $- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 Millions Collision Cost Savings

31 GOAL 4 Minimize environmental concerns and reduce adverse health impacts. Countywide Vehicle Miles Traveled Miles (in millions/day) Baseline Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E Environmentally Sensitive Areas Scenario A (mi) 36.5 Scenario B (mi) 38.3 Scenario C (mi) 36.0 Scenario E (mi) Total Criteria Pollutants (metric tons per day) Baseline Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 ROG NOX

32 GOAL 4 Environment (continued) CO 2 e Emissions (metric tons/day) and % Reduction from 2015 Baseline 2,617-27% -26% -28% -27% -26% 1,915 1,941 1,886 1,899 1,928 CO 2 e (mtpd) Baseline Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E GOAL 5 Accessible and equitable transportation system that is responsive to the needs of all users. Annual Transit Vehicle Miles Traveled (in millions) Scenario A 5.74 Scenario B 6.65 Scenario C 6.11 Scenario E Baseline 3.33

33 GOAL 5 Equity (continued) Household Transportation Cost (% of Median Income) 26% 18% Baseline 24% Baseline 16% 17% 17% 17% 17% 25% 25% 25% 25% 1 Vehicle Household 2 Vehicle Household Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E Share of Investment Benefit for Transportation Disadvantaged Population 24.0% 25.2% 25.2% 23.5% 13.7 % of population is transportation disadvantaged Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario E